Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ULCC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ULCC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ULCC in Gekko
NASDAQ: ULCC
Frontier (ULCC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$5.68−0.18 (−3.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeFrontier draws several analyst actions this week. Morgan Stanley's Ravi Shanker maintains a Hold with an $8.00 price target, citing quarterly revenue of $1.28 billion against a GAAP net loss of $90 million. Citi also issues a Hold, noting negative corporate insider sentiment and recent insider selling activity, while Susquehanna lowers its price target to $6.00 from $7.00 while keeping a Neutral rating. A separate technical piece describes institutional trading strategies around the stock, citing an overweight bias across time horizons.
Frontier closes at $5.68, down 3.1% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $6.17 and 200-day average of $5.39. The GekkoIndex reads 63.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.25. Over the past six months the stock has returned 51.9%, though the three-month return is -11.3% and the one-month return is 1.1%. The 52-week range spans $3.02 to $8.40.
Earnings are scheduled for 4 November 2026, 23 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 5.1% return over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst coverage from 7 firms shows 4 Hold and 3 Sell ratings, with a consensus target of $6.33 implying 11.4% upside. The typical 20-day move for the stock runs 14.7%, worth noting given the approaching earnings date.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Frontier price vs fair value
Close $5.68200-day averageGekko Fair Value $6.25
Frontier quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.31B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 11.7
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.68
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.15B
- Profit margin
- -9.3%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 2.65
- Volume
- 1.91M avg 2.48M
- 1-year return
- +37.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±14.7%
- 50-day average
- $6.17
- 200-day average
- $5.39
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 230.2M
Frontier swing-trade checklist
Frontier scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $5.68 sits between the 50-day ($6.17) and 200-day ($5.39) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63.9, Accumulation
Reading 63.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
9.1% below
Price is 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Frontier stock chart and price history
Frontier closed at $5.68 on Oct 12, 2026, +37.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $3.02 to $8.40.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +1.1%
- 3 months
- −11.3%
- 6 months
- +51.9%
- 1 year
- +37.2%
The full ULCC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ULCC in Gekko
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About Frontier
Frontier runs passenger flights under an ultra-low-cost model, moving travelers between roughly 120 airports across the United States and other destinations in the Americas. The airline is best known for this no-frills, budget-focused approach to flying rather than for added onboard extras.
Bookings and customer service are handled directly rather than through third parties, with passengers reaching Frontier through its website, its mobile app, or its call center. As of the end of 2021, the carrier flew a fleet of 110 single-aisle Airbus jets, made up of 16 A320ceos, 73 A320neos, and 21 A321ceos, all configured for short- and medium-haul routes typical of a low-cost network.
Frontier was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker ULCC.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Airlines
- Website
- flyfrontier.com
Frontier GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Frontier’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 8.4 points over five sessions.
63.9Accumulation
Up 8.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 62 | +0.6% | +0.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 239 | −0.5% | +1.0% | ||
| Neutral | 321 | +2.3% | +4.8% | ||
| Distribution | 59 | −1.3% | +3.1% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ULCC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ULCC price, zone by zone.Track ULCC in Gekko
Is Frontier stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Frontier trades 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.25, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Frontier shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$6.25
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
9.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ULCC in Gekko
Frontier insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Frontier, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ULCC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ULCC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ULCC in Gekko
Buybacks
Frontier has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2024
- $2.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.15%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ULCC.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Frontier earnings: next date and track record
Frontier reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away).
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
23 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.06
- Revenue estimate
- $1.29B
Frontier stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Frontier is $6.33, +11.4% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$6.33consensus 12-month target, +11.4% from the last close
Now $5.68Avg $6.33
Low $4High $9
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | Morgan Stanley | $8 | +40.8% |
| Oct 7 | Susquehanna | $6 | +5.6% |
| Oct 6 | Citi | $9 | +58.5% |
| Oct 5 | Bank of America Securities | $4 | −29.6% |
| Sep 28 | Barclays | $5 | −12.0% |
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Frontier seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Frontier averaged +5.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.5% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, ULCC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 14.7%.
Frontier market cap and key statistics
Frontier’s market cap is $1.31B and revenue of $4.15B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.31B
- Forward P/E
- 11.7
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.68
- Gekko Fair Value
- $6.25
Trading
- Volume
- 1.91M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.48M
- 52-week high
- $8.40
- 52-week low
- $3.02
- Shares outstanding
- 230.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.15B
- Profit margin
- -9.3%
- Return on equity
- -120.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +1.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.65
- Typical daily move
- ±5.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±14.7%
Frontier stock news this week
Coverage of Frontier this week reads negative: 1 positive, 0 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Morgan Stanley Sticks to Its Hold Rating for Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC)The Globe and Mail, Oct 9
- Physician Research Points to a New Frontier for Stemtech Corporation: Nutritional Activation of the Body's Endogenous Regenerative SystemAccesswire, Oct 8
- Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) Receives a Hold from CitiThe Globe and Mail, Oct 8
- ULCC Maintains Neutral Rating -- Price Target Lowered to $6.00 by SusquehannaGuruFocus, Oct 7
- The Technical Signals Behind (ULCC) That Institutions FollowStock Traders Daily, Oct 7
- Snorkel AI Raises $350 Million to Help Push the Frontier: NYSE Content UpdatePRNewsWire, Oct 7
Frontier peers
Frontier’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DALDelta Air Lines | Accumulation | 11.7% below |
| UALUnited Airlines | Accumulation | 38.1% below |
| LUVSouthwest Airlines | Accumulation | 9.0% below |
| AALAmerican Airlines | Accumulation | 39.7% below |
| CPACopa | Neutral | 10.6% below |
| ALKAlaska Air | Accumulation | 20.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Frontier stock FAQ
What is Frontier’s market cap?
Frontier’s market cap is $1.31B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.68, with 230.2M shares outstanding.
What is the Frontier stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Frontier is $6.33, +11.4% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Frontier stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Frontier is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.68 is 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.25. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Frontier report earnings next?
Frontier is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.06 per share on revenue of $1.29B.
What is Frontier’s 52-week high and low?
Frontier’s 52-week high is $8.40 and its 52-week low is $3.02; it closed at $5.68 on Oct 12, 2026, +37.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $17.50 on Nov 8, 2021.
Is Frontier stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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