Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AAL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AAL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AAL in Gekko
NASDAQ: AAL
American Airlines (AAL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$13.52−0.35 (−2.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryAmerican Airlines shares moved this week on a mix of fuel-cost relief and revenue optimism, with reports of easing crude and jet fuel prices tied to a de-escalation of Middle East tensions lifting the stock alongside broader airline gains. Management has pointed to strong travel demand and projected 16%-19% Q3 revenue growth, along with plans to expand premium seating capacity by 50% by the decade's end. Separately, two analysts cut their price targets even as shares traded lower on Monday, and the airline also faces a customer dispute over refunds for downgraded international passengers now before the DOT.
AAL closed at $13.52, down 2.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $14.14 and 200-day average of $13.88, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 55.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 38.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $22.11, a gap that stands out against the stock's 52-week range of $10.09 to $18.79.
Earnings are set for 22 October, 23 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the last report showing a beat of $0.15 versus a $0.03 estimate and a -2.1% reaction. Options activity shows 1 unusual signal over the last 30 days, with put premium of $600,080 outweighing call premium of $150,851. Seasonality over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 4.3% gain, positive in 3 of those years. Consensus among 15 firms stands at 7 buy, 7 hold and 1 sell, with a target of $17.33.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
American Airlines price vs fair value
Close $13.52200-day averageGekko Fair Value $22.11
American Airlines quick facts
- Market cap
- $8.95B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 5.3
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.49
- Revenue, TTM
- $58.34B
- Profit margin
- -0.6%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.33
- Volume
- 63.55M avg 70.68M
- 1-year return
- +18.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.5%
- 50-day average
- $14.14
- 200-day average
- $13.88
- Next earnings
- Oct 22 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 662.0M
American Airlines swing-trade checklist
American Airlines scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $13.52 sits between the 50-day ($14.14) and 200-day ($13.88) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
55.1, Neutral
Reading 55.1 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
38.9% below
Price is 38.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
American Airlines stock chart and price history
American Airlines closed at $13.52 on Sep 28, 2026, +18.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $10.09 to $18.79.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −1.5%
- 3 months
- −24.6%
- 6 months
- +31.3%
- 1 year
- +18.7%
The full AAL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AAL in Gekko
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About American Airlines
American Airlines operates as a network air carrier, providing scheduled flights for passengers and cargo. It runs its network through hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., and extends its reach through partner gateway cities including London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo.
The company flies a mainline fleet that numbered 865 aircraft as of the end of 2021, supporting both domestic routes and international connections through its partner cities. Its business centers on moving people and freight across this combined hub-and-gateway network.
American Airlines traces its founding to 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. It was formerly known as AMR Corporation before adopting its current name in December 2013. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker AAL.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Airlines
- Website
- aa.com
American Airlines GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
American Airlines’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.1, in the Neutral zone, down 2 points over five sessions.
55.1Neutral
Down 2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 64 | −0.9% | −3.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 204 | −1.0% | −1.4% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 361 | +1.2% | +2.4% | ||
| Distribution | 42 | −1.3% | +0.4% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AAL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AAL price, zone by zone.Track AAL in Gekko
Is American Airlines stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
American Airlines trades 38.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $22.11, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what American Airlines shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$22.11
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
38.9% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AAL in Gekko
American Airlines insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for American Airlines, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AAL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AAL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AAL in Gekko
Buybacks
American Airlines has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2022
- $5.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.06%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 20% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 12, $751K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold AAL.
1added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
American Airlines earnings: next date and track record
American Airlines reports on Oct 22, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 22, 2026
Expected before the open, 23 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.34
- Revenue estimate
- $16.14B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- American Airlines reported a strong commercial quarter with record quarterly revenue, driven by broad-based demand and growth across regions and cabins. Management highlighted four commercial pillars—elevating customer experience, growing the global network, driving premium revenue, and leading in loyalty—as the drivers of performance. Total revenue rose ~16% year-over-year, with notable strength in premium revenue (up 19%) and unit revenue gains across domestic (nearly 11%), Atlantic (~9%), Pacific (~15%), and Latin America (~7%). Management held nonfuel unit cost growth under 3% in the quarter despite a roughly $2.2 billion (83%) year-over-year increase in fuel expense, and finished the quarter with over $11 billion in liquidity. However, fuel price volatility is a material headwind: since July, expected fuel expense increased by $700M for Q3 and $1.6B for the remainder of the year; management now expects Q3 fuel at roughly $3.75/gal, adding an estimated $1.7B YoY. In response to higher fuel, Q3 capacity was trimmed to up 3-5% YoY (about 2 points lower at midpoint). Management reiterated their focus on CASMx efficiency (guiding Q3 CASMx +2.5%–4.5% YoY), commercial initiatives, targeted hub/network optimization, premium product expansion (premium seats growing faster than main cabin), and balance sheet progress. They raised incremental financing (~$1.3B) to bolster near-term liquidity and reiterated medium-term deleveraging goals (net debt target, credit rating goal, and 3x net debt/EBITDA aim). The tone in prepared remarks was optimistic and confident; during Q&A, management remained assertive while acknowledging fuel and capacity risks and defending strategic investments in premium, lounges, and loyalty.
- Guidance
- Q3 capacity: up 3%–5% YoY (midpoint ~4%). Q3 CASMx: increase 2.5%–4.5% YoY. Q3 revenue growth: expected 16%–19% YoY. Q3 average fuel expectation: ~ $3.75 per gallon (as of July 21), implying ~$1.7B YoY increase in Q3 fuel expense; company noted additional increases since then (and volatility continues). CapEx: ~ $4.0B in 2026 (this year), modestly higher in 2027 (~$4.5B guidance). Liquidity: ended Q2 with over $11B; incremental financing ~$1.3B in Q2. Premium seat growth: ~5% in 2026 vs non-premium seat growth ~3%. Pilot contract: amendable August 2027 (pilots receive pay increase Jan 2027). Management also stated an expectation to produce free cash flow this year despite elevated fuel (forward-looking).
- Risks flagged
- Fuel price volatility and materially higher fuel expense (Q2 fuel +83% YoY; Q3 fuel forecast increase). Capacity and network sizing risks amid volatile input costs. Labor‑related cost increases (pilot agreement amendable Aug 2027 and other amendable groups). Leverage/debt reduction targets dependent on margin expansion; balance sheet goals may be pushed out. Competitive pressure on premium capacity and potential overinvestment in premium configurations in markets with weaker local demand. Macroeconomic and booking curve uncertainty.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $0.15 est $0.03 | $16.74B est $16.70B | −2.1% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | −$0.40 est −$0.46 | $13.91B est $13.79B | +5.2% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $0.16 est $0.38 | $14.00B est $14.03B | −7.8% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | −$0.17 est −$0.28 | $13.69B est $13.63B | +14.0% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $0.95 est $0.78 | $14.39B est $14.29B | −9.3% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | −$0.59 est −$0.69 | $12.55B est $12.54B | +4.6% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | $0.86 est $0.39 | $13.66B est $13.14B | −9.1% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.30 est $0.18 | $13.65B est $13.50B | +2.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
American Airlines stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for American Airlines is $17.33, +28.2% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$17.33consensus 12-month target, +28.2% from the last close
Now $13.52Avg $17.33
Low $13High $25
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | TD Cowen | — | — |
| Sep 28 | BMO Capital | $15.50 | +14.6% |
| Sep 28 | Barclays | $14 | +3.6% |
| Sep 25 | UBS | $17 | +25.7% |
| Sep 24 | Wells Fargo | $17 | +25.7% |
+2.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
American Airlines seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, American Airlines averaged +4.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +10.6% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, AAL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.5%.
American Airlines market cap and key statistics
American Airlines’s market cap is $8.95B and revenue of $58.34B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $8.95B
- Forward P/E
- 5.3
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.49
- Gekko Fair Value
- $22.11
Trading
- Volume
- 63.55M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 70.68M
- 52-week high
- $18.79
- 52-week low
- $10.09
- Shares outstanding
- 662.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $58.34B
- Profit margin
- -0.6%
- Return on equity
- 0%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −88.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.33
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.5%
American Airlines stock news this week
Coverage of American Airlines this week reads positive: 10 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- American Airlines Stock's New Floor Holds, But Resistance RemainsBenzinga, Sep 28
- American Airlines Stock Grinds Higher As Traders Weigh Fuel RisksStocksToTrade, Sep 26
- American Airlines Stock Climbs Friday: What's Happening?Benzinga, Sep 26
- American Airlines AAL Stock Grinds Higher As Revenue Momentum BuildsTimothy Sykes, Sep 26
- American Airlines Says Downgraded Business Class Passengers on International Flights Aren't Entitled to a Partial Refund: A Couple Want the DOT to Force it to ChangePYOK, Sep 25
- American Airlines Rises as Lower Oil and Demand Optimism Support Airline SharesQuiver Quantitative, Sep 25
American Airlines peers
American Airlines’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DALDelta Air Lines | Neutral | 8.4% below |
| UALUnited Airlines | Neutral | 34.5% below |
| LUVSouthwest Airlines | Neutral | 7.6% below |
| CPACopa | Neutral | 15.3% below |
| ALKAlaska Air | Accumulation | 19.7% below |
| SKYWSkyWest | Neutral | 3.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
American Airlines stock FAQ
What is American Airlines’s market cap?
American Airlines’s market cap is $8.95B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.52, with 662.0M shares outstanding.
What is the American Airlines stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for American Airlines is $17.33, +28.2% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is American Airlines stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate American Airlines is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.52 is 38.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $22.11. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does American Airlines report earnings next?
American Airlines is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.34 per share on revenue of $16.14B. American Airlines beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.8% on average across the report.
What is American Airlines’s 52-week high and low?
American Airlines’s 52-week high is $18.79 and its 52-week low is $10.09; it closed at $13.52 on Sep 28, 2026, +18.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $22.35 on Nov 8, 2021.
Is American Airlines stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (smart money and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in American Airlines?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in American Airlines over the last 30 days, with $151K of flagged premium in calls and $600K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 12, 2026 with $751K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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