Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for LUV in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every LUV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LUV in Gekko
NYSE: LUV
Southwest Airlines (LUV) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$42.28−0.40 (−0.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summarySouthwest Airlines has been in focus this week around its commercial overhaul, including updated flight credit rules, bag fees and assigned seating changes that CFO Tom Doxey says are being embraced by customers and are expected to boost earnings by over $2 billion. This follows Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.94 against a $0.52 estimate, with revenue reaching $8.72 billion and adjusted unit revenues up 20% year-over-year, even as full-year guidance was lowered due to fuel costs. Redburn upgraded the stock to Neutral from Sell, saying its bearish thesis had "played out," while another view rates it a buy citing 15–20% upside from the commercial transformation.
The stock closed at $42.28, down 0.9%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $42.65 and 200-day average of $43.49, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 54, placing LUV in the Neutral zone, down 1.2 over five days. Price sits 7.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $45.75.
Southwest next reports earnings on 21 October 2026, 22 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last reaction to earnings was -8.2%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -1.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus target sits at $50.22 among 15 firms, with 7 rated buy, 6 hold and 2 sell.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Southwest Airlines price vs fair value
Close $42.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $45.75
Southwest Airlines quick facts
- Market cap
- $20.68B
- P/E ratio
- 25.7
- Forward P/E
- 8.3
- EPS, TTM
- $1.62
- Revenue, TTM
- $30.07B
- Profit margin
- 2.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.75%
- Beta
- 1.12
- Volume
- 5.95M avg 6.07M
- 1-year return
- +32.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.3%
- 50-day average
- $42.65
- 200-day average
- $43.49
- Next earnings
- Oct 21
- Shares outstanding
- 489.2M
Southwest Airlines swing-trade checklist
Southwest Airlines scores 1 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $42.28 is below the 50-day ($42.65) and 200-day ($43.49) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
54, Neutral
Reading 54 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
7.6% below
Price is 7.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 22 days
Reports on Oct 21, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−1.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Southwest Airlines stock chart and price history
Southwest Airlines closed at $42.28 on Sep 28, 2026, +32.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $29.26 to $55.11.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +6.3%
- 3 months
- −18.1%
- 6 months
- +13.2%
- 1 year
- +32.4%
The full LUV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LUV in Gekko
Follow Southwest Airlines through every session
Put LUV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Southwest Airlines
Southwest Airlines carries passengers on scheduled flights across the United States, reaching dozens of states along with the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico, while also connecting to a handful of nearby international destinations including Mexico, several Caribbean islands, and parts of Central America. The airline operates an all-Boeing 737 fleet and is known for keeping its aircraft type uniform throughout its network.
Passengers flying with Southwest can access in-flight entertainment and internet service on planes equipped with Wi-Fi. The company runs a loyalty scheme called Rapid Rewards, through which travelers earn points tied to the fares they pay. Beyond its main consumer-facing website and mobile apps, Southwest maintains SWABIZ, a booking channel built for corporate travelers, and offers add-on services such as early check-in privileges, priority boarding, and arrangements for traveling pets and unaccompanied minors.
Southwest traces its origins to 1967 and keeps its headquarters in Dallas, Texas. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker LUV.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Airlines
- Website
- southwest.com
Southwest Airlines GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Southwest Airlines’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54, in the Neutral zone, down 1.2 points over five sessions.
54Neutral
Down 1.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 27 | +1.1% | +3.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 222 | +1.2% | +3.8% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 369 | −0.2% | +1.1% | ||
| Distribution | 48 | +1.2% | −6.6% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average LUV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LUV price, zone by zone.Track LUV in Gekko
Is Southwest Airlines stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Southwest Airlines trades 7.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $45.75, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Southwest Airlines shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$45.75
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
7.6% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LUV in Gekko
Southwest Airlines insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Southwest Airlines, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in LUV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for LUV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LUV in Gekko
Buybacks
Southwest Airlines has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
- $1.25B
- As a share of market cap
- 6.04%
- Trailing four quarters
- $3.05B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds LUV.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Southwest Airlines earnings: next date and track record
Southwest Airlines reports on Oct 21, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 21, 2026
22 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.59
- Revenue estimate
- $8.22B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.3%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Southwest Airlines reported Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.94, up ~120% year-over-year, with adjusted operating margin of 6.7% (up 3.3 points YoY) despite ~$900M higher fuel costs. Adjusted unit revenues rose 20.1% YoY to an all-time record, while managed business revenues grew 30% YoY. Rapid Rewards reached nearly 100 million members (+35% new enrollments) and Chase co-brand card acquisitions rose 28%. CASM ex grew only 3.4% on near-flat capacity.
- Guidance
- Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance raised to $3.25-$4.25. Management cited robust forward bookings, sticky pricing, and swift fuel cost recapture, while emphasizing revenue strength reflects proprietary initiatives beyond fuel recovery.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $0.94 est $0.52 | $8.43B est $8.58B | −8.2% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $0.45 est $0.47 | $7.25B est $7.27B | −7.7% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $0.58 est $0.57 | $7.44B est $7.50B | +17.3% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $0.11 est −$0.04 | $6.95B est $6.92B | −8.7% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $0.43 est $0.51 | $7.24B est $7.30B | −10.5% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | −$0.13 est −$0.18 | $6.43B est $6.39B | +6.9% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $0.56 est $0.46 | $6.93B est $6.96B | −3.0% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.15 est $0.00 | $6.87B est $6.77B | −4.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Southwest Airlines stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Southwest Airlines is $50.22, +18.8% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$50.22consensus 12-month target, +18.8% from the last close
Now $42.28Avg $50.22
Low $35High $65
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | TD Cowen | — | — |
| Sep 28 | Barclays | $58 | +37.2% |
| Sep 28 | BMO Capital | $50 | +18.3% |
| Sep 25 | UBS | $53 | +25.4% |
| Sep 24 | Wells Fargo | $50 | +18.3% |
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Southwest Airlines seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Southwest Airlines averaged −1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.1% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, LUV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.3%.
Southwest Airlines market cap and key statistics
Southwest Airlines’s market cap is $20.68B, with a P/E ratio of 25.7 and revenue of $30.07B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $20.68B
- P/E ratio
- 25.7
- Forward P/E
- 8.3
- EPS, TTM
- $1.62
- Gekko Fair Value
- $45.75
Trading
- Volume
- 5.95M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 6.07M
- 52-week high
- $55.11
- 52-week low
- $29.26
- Shares outstanding
- 489.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $30.07B
- Profit margin
- 2.8%
- Return on equity
- 11.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +20.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.12
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.75%
Southwest Airlines stock news this week
Coverage of Southwest Airlines this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Why Southwest Airlines (LUV) Is Back In The SpotlightSimply Wall Street, Sep 29
- Southwest Airlines stock gains 1.24 percent as fuel risk persistsAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- Southwest CFO reveals customer feedback on changes, provides details on first loungesThe Business Journals, Sep 24
- Redburn Says Its Southwest Sell Thesis Has “Played Out.” So Why Does It Still Prefer Delta and United?Yahoo Finance, Sep 23
- Southwest Airlines stock gains 0.71 percent as earnings beat estimatesAD HOC NEWS, Sep 23
- Southwest Airlines stock gains as earnings beat estimatesAD HOC NEWS, Sep 22
Southwest Airlines peers
Southwest Airlines’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DALDelta Air Lines | Neutral | 8.4% below |
| UALUnited Airlines | Neutral | 34.5% below |
| AALAmerican Airlines | Neutral | 38.9% below |
| CPACopa | Neutral | 15.3% below |
| ALKAlaska Air | Accumulation | 19.7% below |
| SKYWSkyWest | Neutral | 3.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Southwest Airlines stock FAQ
What is Southwest Airlines’s market cap?
Southwest Airlines’s market cap is $20.68B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $42.28, with 489.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.7.
What is the Southwest Airlines stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Southwest Airlines is $50.22, +18.8% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Southwest Airlines stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Southwest Airlines is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $42.28 is 7.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $45.75. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Southwest Airlines report earnings next?
Southwest Airlines is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.59 per share on revenue of $8.22B. Southwest Airlines beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.3% on average across the report.
What is Southwest Airlines’s 52-week high and low?
Southwest Airlines’s 52-week high is $55.11 and its 52-week low is $29.26; it closed at $42.28 on Sep 28, 2026, +32.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $56.33 on Oct 4, 2021.
Is Southwest Airlines stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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