Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CPA in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CPA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CPA in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryCopa shares closed at $131.07, down about 1.98% on the day, a move the market flagged as more significant than the broader market's decline that session. Separately, brokerages covering the stock maintain a consensus recommendation of "Buy," with twelve ratings firms cited in that assessment. The BOXABL board appointment referencing a "Timothy Goldsmith, CPA" is unrelated to Copa Holdings itself.
The stock trades between its 50-day average of $134.11 and 200-day average of $131.83, reflecting a mixed short-term trend, and sits within the 52-week range of $107.44 to $160.47. Copa's GekkoIndex reading of 57.7 places it in the Neutral zone, up 5.5 points recently. Gekko Fair Value stands at $154.71, putting the current price about 15.3% below that level.
Copa's next earnings report is scheduled for 18 November 2026, 50 days away, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior quarter saw EPS of $4.18 against an estimate of $4.44, with a -1.7% reaction; the company has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 5.7%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.6% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus carries a price target of $178.73, implying 36.4% upside from current levels.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Copa price vs fair value
Close $131.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $154.71
Copa quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.40B
- P/E ratio
- 8.5
- Forward P/E
- 6.8
- EPS, TTM
- $15.23
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.99B
- Profit margin
- 15.7%
- Dividend yield
- 5.06%
- Beta
- 0.97
- Volume
- 208,363 avg 308,809
- 1-year return
- +11.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- 50-day average
- $134.11
- 200-day average
- $131.83
- Next earnings
- Nov 18
- Shares outstanding
- 29.88M
Copa swing-trade checklist
Copa scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $131.07 sits between the 50-day ($134.11) and 200-day ($131.83) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
57.7, Neutral
Reading 57.7 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
15.3% below
Price is 15.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 50 days
Next report Nov 18, 2026, 50 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+0.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Copa stock chart and price history
Copa closed at $131.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $107.44 to $160.47.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −0.2%
- 3 months
- −15.7%
- 6 months
- +18.2%
- 1 year
- +11.7%
The full CPA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CPA in Gekko
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About Copa
Copa operates airline services that move passengers as well as cargo and mail across North America, South America, Central America and the Caribbean. Through its subsidiaries, the company carries out flight operations connecting these regions, positioning air transport as its core activity.
The company runs its operations using a fleet of 125 aircraft as of December 31, 2025, supporting the scheduled routes it maintains throughout the Americas. Its business centers on moving people and goods by air rather than other transport modes.
Copa was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Panama City, Panama. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CPA.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Airlines
- Website
- copa.gcs-web.com
Copa GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Copa’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.7, in the Neutral zone, up 5.5 points over five sessions.
57.7Neutral
Up 5.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 23 | +4.1% | +8.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 200 | +0.2% | +1.9% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 397 | +0.5% | +0.9% | ||
| Distribution | 48 | −1.1% | −2.0% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CPA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CPA price, zone by zone.Track CPA in Gekko
Is Copa stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Copa trades 15.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $154.71, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Copa shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$154.71
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 25, 2026
15.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CPA in Gekko
Copa insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Copa, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CPA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CPA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CPA in Gekko
Buybacks
Copa has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
- $45.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.83%
From company filings.
Copa earnings: next date and track record
Copa reports on Nov 18, 2026 (50 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 18, 2026
50 days away
- EPS estimate
- $4.20
- Revenue estimate
- $1.17B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 11, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Copa Holdings presented strong fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results, reporting Q4 net profit of $172.6M ($4.18/share), up 5.3% year-over-year, and full-year net profit of $671.6M ($16.28/share), up 11.9% YoY. Operating profit and margins were robust (Q4 operating profit $209.6M; Q4 operating margin 21.8%). Cost metrics improved: CASM decreased 1.6% YoY to 8.8¢ and CASM ex-fuel was essentially flat at 5.9¢ (5.8¢ excluding a non-cash maintenance adjustment). Management highlighted a $7.2M non-cash maintenance adjustment and a $6M foreign currency loss tied to a temporary devaluation of the Brazilian real. Key operational topics in the Q&A included the resumption and phased return to Venezuela, choice of an in-flight Wi-Fi provider (to be announced in April), improvements in demand tied to stronger local currencies, capacity growth (double-digit), capacity phasing (front-loaded in H1), Wingo stability, tanker fueling for Cuba routes, codeshare with Volaris continuing, and potential regulatory relief in Brazil (Resolution 400) that could lower lawsuit-related costs. The company also noted a $200M buyback program (about half executed). Management emphasized disciplined cost initiatives, sales & distribution savings, network flexibility, and realistic guidance aligned with internal targets.
- Guidance
- Full-year RASM guidance: flattish (management is "standing by our RASM guidance"). CASM ex-fuel guidance: ~5.7¢ (management targets the lower end of prior range). Capacity growth guidance: double-digit (management referenced 11%-13% growth). Q1 seasonality: Q1 typically one of the stronger quarters; capacity growth front-loaded with stronger growth in H1. Share repurchase program: $200M authorized, roughly half executed; no end date set.
- Risks flagged
- Currency volatility in South America (noted temporary devaluation of the Brazilian real causing a $6M FX loss and management explicitly not banking on currency strength as a full-year tailwind). Lease/end-of-lease maintenance provisions and discount rate sensitivity (non-cash $7.2M adjustment). Potential consumer litigation exposure in Brazil (Resolution 400 uncertainty). Demand pattern disruptions related to events (e.g., World Cup) and regional market supply dynamics. Execution risk associated with achieving CASM ex-fuel targets and integrating capacity increases.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | $4.18 est $4.44 | $962.9M est $959.1M | −1.7% |
| Nov 19, 2025 | $4.20 est $4.03 | $913.1M est $915.8M | −8.2% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $3.61 est $3.25 | $842.6M est $915.2M | +5.6% |
| May 7, 2025 | $4.28 est $3.77 | $899.2M est $887.9M | +4.7% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $3.99 est $3.75 | $878.6M est $887.0M | +5.9% |
| Nov 20, 2024 | $3.50 est $3.43 | $854.7M est $864.9M | −13.5% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | $2.88 est $2.83 | $819.4M est $904.9M | +4.2% |
| May 15, 2024 | $4.19 est $3.45 | $893.5M est $866.8M | +2.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Copa stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Copa is $178.73, +36.4% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$178.73consensus 12-month target, +36.4% from the last close
Now $131.07Avg $178.73
Low $156High $200
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | Raymond James | $185 | +41.1% |
| Aug 11 | UBS | $185 | +41.1% |
| Aug 7 | Evercore ISI | $200 | +52.6% |
| Aug 6 | Bank of America Securities | $186 | +41.9% |
| Aug 5 | Goldman Sachs | $156 | +19.0% |
+0.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Copa seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Copa averaged +0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.7% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, CPA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.
Copa market cap and key statistics
Copa’s market cap is $5.40B, with a P/E ratio of 8.5 and revenue of $3.99B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.40B
- P/E ratio
- 8.5
- Forward P/E
- 6.8
- EPS, TTM
- $15.23
- Gekko Fair Value
- $154.71
Trading
- Volume
- 208,363
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 308,809
- 52-week high
- $160.47
- 52-week low
- $107.44
- Shares outstanding
- 29.88M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.99B
- Profit margin
- 15.7%
- Return on equity
- 23.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −53.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.97
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- Dividend yield
- 5.06%
Copa stock news this week
3 headlines about Copa from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Copa Holdings (CPA) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- BOXABL Appoints Timothy Goldsmith, CPA, to Board of Directors as Audit Committee ChairPRNewsWire, Sep 24
- Copa Holdings, S.A. (NYSE:CPA) Given Average Recommendation of “Buy” by BrokeragesDefense World, Sep 21
Copa peers
Copa’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DALDelta Air Lines | Neutral | 8.4% below |
| UALUnited Airlines | Neutral | 34.5% below |
| LUVSouthwest Airlines | Neutral | 7.6% below |
| AALAmerican Airlines | Neutral | 38.9% below |
| ALKAlaska Air | Accumulation | 19.7% below |
| SKYWSkyWest | Neutral | 3.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Copa stock FAQ
What is Copa’s market cap?
Copa’s market cap is $5.40B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $131.07, with 29.88M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.5.
What is the Copa stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Copa is $178.73, +36.4% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Copa stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Copa is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $131.07 is 15.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $154.71. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Copa report earnings next?
Copa is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026 (50 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.20 per share on revenue of $1.17B. Copa beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.
What is Copa’s 52-week high and low?
Copa’s 52-week high is $160.47 and its 52-week low is $107.44; it closed at $131.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.7% over the past year.
Is Copa stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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