NASDAQ: UAL

United Airlines (UAL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$115.76+8.55 (+8.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

United Airlines shares advanced this week, surging over 6% on November 2 to close at $110.63 without a specific company catalyst, and stock finished at $115.76. President Brett J. Hart sold 39,000 shares on October 30 at an average price of $102.68, worth over $4 million, leaving him with 325,122 shares directly held, a transaction disclosed across several filings. Separately, coverage noted United's five-year average annual return of 15.43%, alongside mention of the Starlink Wi-Fi rollout discussed on the Q3 2026 call, with 50% of departures currently equipped and a target of 87% by mid-2027.

Price sits at $115.76, above both the 50-day average of $107.41 and the 200-day average of $108.02, with a one-month return of 3.5% and a six-month return of 15.7%, though the three-month return is -10.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 49.5, placing UAL in the Neutral zone, down 10.1 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value stands at $166.83, leaving price 30.6% below that level.

The next earnings date falls on 19 January 2027, 75 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Last quarter's EPS of $2.54 missed the $2.57 estimate but still produced a 6.3% reaction, continuing a run of 7 beats in 8 quarters. Options activity shows 5 unusual signals over the last 30 days, with call premium of $9,721,170 against put premium of $1,968,554. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged an 8% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. All 16 covering analysts rate the stock buy, with a consensus target of $149.70.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

United Airlines price vs fair value

▲$166.83$115.76Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $115.76200-day averageGekko Fair Value $166.83

United Airlines quick facts

Market cap
$37.61B
P/E ratio
10
Forward P/E
8.6
EPS, TTM
$10.92
Revenue, TTM
$65.55B
Profit margin
5.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.37
Volume
7.87M avg 5.36M
1-year return
+20.4%
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.5%
50-day average
$107.41
200-day average
$108.02
Next earnings
Jan 19
Shares outstanding
324.9M
52-week range
$84.64$138.77

United Airlines swing-trade checklist

United Airlines scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $115.76 sits between the 50-day ($107.41) and 200-day ($108.02) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.5, Neutral

    Reading 49.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    30.6% below

    Price is 30.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 5 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 75 days

    Next report Jan 19, 2027, 75 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +8.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

United Airlines stock chart and price history

United Airlines closed at $115.76 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $84.64 to $138.77.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
United Airlines share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$90$100$110$120$130DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct115.76

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.5%
3 months
−10.3%
6 months
+15.7%
1 year
+20.4%
The full UAL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UAL in Gekko

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Put UAL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About United Airlines

United Airlines carries passengers and cargo across a wide network spanning North America, Europe, Asia, Africa, the Pacific, the Middle East and Latin America. Flights run on a mix of mainline and regional aircraft, connecting travelers and shippers across these regions. The company is widely recognized for this global passenger and freight transport business.

Alongside its flight operations, United Airlines works with outside clients, offering services such as catering, ground handling, aircraft maintenance and training for aviation personnel. This side of the business extends the company's operational capabilities beyond its own flights to support other operators in the industry.

The company traces its founding back to 1968 and runs its main offices out of Chicago, Illinois. It took on its present corporate name in mid-2019, after having been known previously as United Continental Holdings. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker UAL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Airlines
Website
united.com

United Airlines GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

United Airlines’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.5, in the Neutral zone, down 10.1 points over five sessions.

010049.5Neutral

Down 10.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying29+2.2%+3.6%+1.2%+21.6%
Accumulation196+0.5%+1.1%+2.4%+14.7%
Neutral (current zone)401+1.0%+1.6%+3.0%+5.6%
Distribution70+1.3%+4.0%+12.5%+25.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average UAL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UAL price, zone by zone.Track UAL in Gekko

Is United Airlines stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

United Airlines trades 30.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $166.83, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what United Airlines shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$166.83

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

30.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 42.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$167$107Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UAL in Gekko

United Airlines insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for United Airlines, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UAL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every UAL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UAL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UAL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UAL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UAL in Gekko

Buybacks

United Airlines has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$27.00M
As a share of market cap
0.07%
Trailing four quarters
$315.0M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

5signals, 83% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 31, $842K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold UAL.

2added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

United Airlines earnings: next date and track record

United Airlines reports on Jan 19, 2027 (75 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.5%Jan ’25+2.0%Apr ’25+5.6%Jul ’25−4.8%Oct ’25−2.2%Jan ’26−7.3%Apr ’26−1.3%Jul ’26+6.3%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
United Airlines Q3 2026 earnings call highlighted the company's brand differentiation strategy and resilience in volatile conditions. Management emphasized Starlink Wi-Fi deployment as a key RASM driver, with 50% of departures currently equipped, targeting 87% by mid-2027 and full fleet coverage by end-2027. Boeing MAX-10 certification was noted with first deliveries expected next year. CEO Kirby stressed yield improvements and capacity discipline as critical factors for achieving double-digit pretax margins.
Guidance
Management targets double-digit pretax margins in 2027 but acknowledges difficulty given elevated fuel costs and accelerating industry capacity. Starlink coverage expected fleet-wide by end-2027, positioned as a structural RASM tailwind. Planning assumes no fuel price relief or favorable capacity environment.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 20, 2026$2.54
est $2.57
−1.2%$17.90B
est $17.89B
0.0%+6.3%
Jul 15, 2026$1.99
est $1.92
+3.6%$17.67B
est $17.62B
+0.3%−1.3%
Apr 21, 2026$1.19
est $1.08
+10.2%$14.61B
est $14.39B
+1.5%−7.3%
Jan 20, 2026$3.10
est $2.93
+5.8%$15.40B
est $15.37B
+0.2%−2.2%
Oct 15, 2025$2.78
est $2.65
+4.9%$15.23B
est $15.33B
−0.7%−4.8%
Jul 16, 2025$3.87
est $3.81
+1.6%$15.24B
est $15.36B
−0.8%+5.6%
Apr 15, 2025$0.91
est $0.75
+21.3%$13.21B
est $13.23B
−0.1%+2.0%
Jan 21, 2025$3.26
est $3.03
+7.6%$14.70B
est $14.41B
+2.0%+0.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

United Airlines stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for United Airlines is $149.70, +29.3% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$149.70consensus 12-month target, +29.3% from the last close
Low $125High $203
Buy16
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 29Wells FargoBuy, maintained$155+33.9%
Oct 27BernsteinBuy, maintained$160+38.2%
Oct 22J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$203+75.4%
Oct 22Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$190+64.1%
Oct 22UBSBuy, reiterated$139+20.1%
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+8.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

United Airlines seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, United Airlines averaged +8.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−17.4%2021+5.7%2022+7.7%2023+24.0%2024+19.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+6.2%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.2%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+8.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.9%3 of 5

For scale, UAL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.5%.

United Airlines market cap and key statistics

United Airlines’s market cap is $37.61B, with a P/E ratio of 10 and revenue of $65.55B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$37.61B
P/E ratio
10
Forward P/E
8.6
EPS, TTM
$10.92
Gekko Fair Value
$166.83

Trading

Volume
7.87M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.36M
52-week high
$138.77
52-week low
$84.64
Shares outstanding
324.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$65.55B
Profit margin
5.5%
Return on equity
22.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+8.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.37
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.5%

United Airlines peers

United Airlines’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DALDelta Air Lines+3.9%Neutral0.7% above
LUVSouthwest Airlines+3.2%Neutral4.4% above
AALAmerican Airlines+1.4%Neutral32.9% below
CPACopa+4.0%Neutral3.7% below
ALKAlaska Air+3.6%Neutral9.2% below
SKYWSkyWest+1.1%Buying22.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Airlines

United Airlines stock FAQ

What is United Airlines’s market cap?

United Airlines’s market cap is $37.61B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $115.76, with 324.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.

What is the United Airlines stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for United Airlines is $149.70, +29.3% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is United Airlines stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate United Airlines is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $115.76 is 30.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $166.83. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does United Airlines report earnings next?

United Airlines is expected to report on Jan 19, 2027 (75 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.24 per share on revenue of $18.61B. United Airlines beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.8% on average across the report.

What is United Airlines’s 52-week high and low?

United Airlines’s 52-week high is $138.77 and its 52-week low is $84.64; it closed at $115.76 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.4% over the past year.

Is United Airlines stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in United Airlines?

Gekko flagged 5 unusual options signals in United Airlines over the last 30 days, with $9.72M of flagged premium in calls and $1.97M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 31, 2026 with $842K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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