NASDAQ: ALGT

Allegiant Travel (ALGT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$74.60−1.83 (−2.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's coverage of Allegiant Travel (ALGT) centers on its secondary-airport strategy and network expansion, including a new five-year contract with St. Pete-Clearwater International Airport that grows nonstop destinations to 66. Valuation also drew attention, with several commentators flagging the stock as undervalued following its recent share price slide, while Raymond James reiterated a Buy rating but cut its price target to $110. A separate note cited an average 12-month analyst target of $122.43 across 14 analysts, down from $123.86, with a consensus "Buy" rating from 15 analysts.

ALGT closed at $74.60, down 2.4%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $81.18 and 200-day average of $88.84, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 63.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 23% below Gekko Fair Value of $96.89.

Over the next 20 trading days, Allegiant's earnings report on 4 November falls within that window; the prior quarter's actual EPS of $2.19 beat the $1.27 estimate, with a 0.5% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over this calendar stretch has averaged a 10.5% gain across 5 years, rising in 4 of them, which bears consideration given the earnings timing.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Allegiant Travel price vs fair value

$96.89$74.60Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $74.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $96.89

Allegiant Travel quick facts

Market cap
$2.00B
P/E ratio
65.3
Forward P/E
6.4
EPS, TTM
$1.17
Revenue, TTM
$2.89B
Profit margin
0.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.54
Volume
239,408 avg 471,779
1-year return
+22.8%
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.1%
50-day average
$81.18
200-day average
$88.84
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
27.34M
52-week range
$57.11$123.63

Allegiant Travel swing-trade checklist

Allegiant Travel scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $74.60 is below the 50-day ($81.18) and 200-day ($88.84) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.6, Accumulation

    Reading 63.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    23.0% below

    Price is 23% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +10.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Allegiant Travel stock chart and price history

Allegiant Travel closed at $74.60 on Oct 12, 2026, +22.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $57.11 to $123.63.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Allegiant Travel share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$80$100$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct74.60

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.7%
3 months
−28.5%
6 months
−12.5%
1 year
+22.8%
The full ALGT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ALGT in Gekko

Follow Allegiant Travel through every session

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About Allegiant Travel

Allegiant Travel provides leisure air travel for people living in smaller American cities that often lack frequent flight options, connecting them with direct, non-daily routes to popular holiday spots. It has built its name around making vacation travel accessible from places larger carriers tend to overlook, relying on a fleet of Airbus A320 aircraft to serve these routes.

Beyond selling seats, the company adds to its revenue through a range of extra charges and services tied to flying, such as baggage fees, seat selection, travel insurance, faster boarding, onboard snacks and drinks, and phone booking support. It also arranges hotel stays, car rentals, and airport shuttle transport for travelers, and takes on fixed-fee flying contracts along with scheduled and on-demand charter work. Somewhat unusually for an airline operator, its holdings also include a golf course.

Allegiant Travel was founded in 1997 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ALGT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Airlines
Website
allegiantair.com

Allegiant Travel GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Allegiant Travel’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.3 points over five sessions.

010063.6Accumulation

Up 0.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying55+0.1%−2.7%−7.0%−10.4%
Accumulation (current zone)235+0.2%+0.6%+1.0%+7.9%
Neutral348+0.6%+1.4%+3.6%+6.8%
Distribution43−0.8%−0.1%−1.6%−1.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average ALGT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ALGT price, zone by zone.Track ALGT in Gekko

Is Allegiant Travel stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Allegiant Travel trades 23.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $96.89, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Allegiant Travel shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$96.89

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

23.0% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 37.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$97$76Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ALGT in Gekko

Allegiant Travel insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Allegiant Travel, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ALGT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ALGT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALGT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ALGT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ALGT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALGT in Gekko

Buybacks

Allegiant Travel has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$783K
As a share of market cap
0.04%
Trailing four quarters
$2.96M

From company filings.

Allegiant Travel earnings: next date and track record

Allegiant Travel reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.1%Oct ’24−14.2%Feb ’25+1.6%May ’25+1.6%Aug ’25+17.2%Nov ’25+7.2%Feb ’26+0.7%Apr ’26+0.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Allegiant Travel (ALGT) reported record quarterly revenue in Q2 2026, with both Allegiant and Sun Country achieving 20%+ year-over-year TRASM improvement. The company led the industry in operating margin for the third consecutive quarter. ALGT completed the Sun Country acquisition (closed May 13), with June showing particularly strong combined performance. MAX aircraft represented 21% of scheduled service ASMs, up from 11% year-over-year, contributing to cost advantages.
Guidance
Full-year 2026 outlook covers the combined Allegiant-Sun Country entity. Management expects continued TRASM outperformance driven by maturing commercial initiatives including Allegiant Extra, improved bundling, and network optimization. Integration synergies from Sun Country acquisition are anticipated to further strengthen results.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$2.19
est $1.27
+72.4%$943.5M
est $982.7M
−4.0%+0.5%
Apr 30, 2026$3.77
est $3.40
+10.9%$732.4M
est $711.0M
+3.0%+0.7%
Feb 4, 2026$2.86
est $2.01
+42.3%$656.2M
est $645.4M
+1.7%+7.2%
Nov 4, 2025−$2.09
est −$1.84
−13.6%$561.9M
est $638.7M
−12.0%+17.2%
Aug 4, 2025$1.23
est $0.83
+48.2%$689.4M
est $577.6M
+19.4%+1.6%
May 6, 2025$1.81
est $1.54
+17.5%$699.1M
est $695.0M
+0.6%+1.6%
Feb 4, 2025$2.10
est $0.48
+337.5%$627.7M
est $718.4M
−12.6%−14.2%
Oct 30, 2024−$2.02
est −$1.87
−8.0%$562.2M
est $625.7M
−10.1%+7.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Allegiant Travel stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Allegiant Travel is $120.21, +61.1% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$120.21consensus 12-month target, +61.1% from the last close
Low $85High $165
Buy7
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 7SusquehannaHold, maintained$85+13.9%
Oct 7Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$110+47.5%
Oct 7Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$115+54.2%
Oct 6CitiBuy, reiterated$156+109.1%
Oct 5Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained$85+13.9%
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+10.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Allegiant Travel seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Allegiant Travel averaged +10.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.5%2021+16.1%2022−19.1%2023+24.0%2024+20.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.8%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+10.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.4%3 of 5

For scale, ALGT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.1%.

Allegiant Travel market cap and key statistics

Allegiant Travel’s market cap is $2.00B, with a P/E ratio of 65.3 and revenue of $2.89B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.00B
P/E ratio
65.3
Forward P/E
6.4
EPS, TTM
$1.17
Gekko Fair Value
$96.89

Trading

Volume
239,408
Avg volume, 20 days
471,779
52-week high
$123.63
52-week low
$57.11
Shares outstanding
27.34M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.89B
Profit margin
0.9%
Return on equity
1.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+32.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.54
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.1%

Allegiant Travel peers

Allegiant Travel’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DALDelta Air Lines−1.2%Accumulation11.7% below
UALUnited Airlines−1.3%Accumulation38.1% below
LUVSouthwest Airlines−1.1%Accumulation9.0% below
AALAmerican Airlines−0.3%Accumulation39.7% below
CPACopa+2.0%Neutral10.6% below
ALKAlaska Air−2.0%Accumulation20.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Allegiant Travel stock FAQ

What is Allegiant Travel’s market cap?

Allegiant Travel’s market cap is $2.00B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $74.60, with 27.34M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 65.3.

What is the Allegiant Travel stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Allegiant Travel is $120.21, +61.1% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Allegiant Travel stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Allegiant Travel is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $74.60 is 23.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $96.89. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Allegiant Travel report earnings next?

Allegiant Travel is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.49 per share on revenue of $946.3M. Allegiant Travel beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is Allegiant Travel’s 52-week high and low?

Allegiant Travel’s 52-week high is $123.63 and its 52-week low is $57.11; it closed at $74.60 on Oct 12, 2026, +22.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $198.30 on Oct 15, 2021.

Is Allegiant Travel stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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