Sea (SE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sea Limited. Retail trade sector. Market cap $61.11B.

$101.79+0.52 (+0.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Sea (SE) closes at $101.79, up 0.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $111.74 and its 200-day average of $104.39. The GekkoIndex reads 67.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 21.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.76. Over the past month the stock is down 14.5%, though it remains up 11.5% over three months and 25.7% over six months, while the one-year return stands at -45.5%.

This week's headlines center on insider selling. Executive Wang Yanjun disposed of 2,400 shares across seven open-market transactions on September 15 and 16 at prices between $103.04 and $106.00, retaining 1,980 shares. COO Ye Gang sold 40,000 shares over the same two days at prices from $103.12 to $106.03, reducing his stake by about 5.9% to 638,792 shares, a transaction separately reported at $4.2 million. Insider Jingye Chen sold 30,000 shares on September 14 at an average price of $107.94, for $3,238,200.00. Separately, coverage noted the stock closing down 2.23% in one session while the broader market gained, with analysts forecasting a 38.46% EPS increase and 35.39% revenue increase year-over-year for the upcoming report.

The next earnings date falls on 10 November 2026, before the open, 51 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. At the last report on 11 August 2026, EPS of $0.70 missed the $0.78 estimate, yet shares reacted with an 11.6% move; average absolute reaction has run 13.2% historically. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 4.4% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst coverage stands at 10 buy and 1 hold among 11 firms, with a consensus target of $157.11.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $101.79200-day averageGekko Fair Value $129.76

Key stats

Market cap
$61.11B
P/E ratio
40
Forward P/E
25.8
EPS, TTM
$2.53
Revenue, TTM
$27.72B
Profit margin
5.9%
Dividend yield
Beta
1.52
Volume
4.23M avg 3.10M
1-year return
−45.5%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±11.3%
50-day average
$111.74
200-day average
$104.39
Next earnings
Nov 10 before open
Shares outstanding
567.0M
52-week range
$77.05$195.48

Sea swing-trade checklist

Sea scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $101.79 sits between the 50-day ($111.74) and 200-day ($104.39) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.4, Accumulation

    Reading 67.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    21.6% below

    Price is 21.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 51 days

    Next report Nov 10, 2026, 51 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Sea stock chart and price history

Sea closed at $101.79 on Sep 18, 2026, −45.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $77.05 to $195.48.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.5%
3 months
+11.5%
6 months
+25.7%
1 year
−45.5%
The full SE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SE in Gekko

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Put SE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Sea

Sea runs a group of businesses spanning digital entertainment, online shopping, and digital finance, active in Southeast Asia, Latin America, other Asian markets, and beyond. Its Garena arm is known for a gaming platform where users play mobile and PC titles, follow eSports competitions, watch live-streamed matches, and connect through chat rooms and forums. Alongside gaming, the company operates Shopee, a mobile-focused online marketplace built for buyers and sellers alike.

Shopee combines its marketplace function with built-in payment tools, delivery and logistics support, and services aimed at helping sellers run their operations. Financial services are handled through SeaMoney, which serves everyday consumers as well as businesses through mobile wallets, payment handling, credit products, insurance technology, and digital banking. These services reach customers under names such as ShopeePay, SPayLater, and SeaBank, and SeaMoney also processes payments made on Shopee itself.

The company began in 2009 under the name Garena Interactive Holding Limited, adopting the Sea Limited name in April 2017. It is headquartered in Singapore. Sea trades under the ticker SE.

Sector
Retail trade
Website
sea.com

Sea GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Sea’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.5 points over five sessions.

010067.4Accumulation

Up 2.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35+2.2%+2.4%−1.8%+3.6%
Accumulation (current zone)164+0.4%+0.8%+3.0%+4.2%
Neutral353+1.1%+2.4%+4.6%+10.0%
Distribution63−0.5%−0.7%+0.8%+8.0%
Selling0Not available

Average SE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SE price, zone by zone.Track SE in Gekko

Is Sea stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Sea trades 21.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.76, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Sea shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$129.76

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

21.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SE in Gekko

Sea insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Sea, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SE in Gekko

Buybacks

Sea has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$414.0M
As a share of market cap
0.68%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

6of the funds Gekko tracks hold SE.

3added1opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Sea earnings: next date and track record

Sea reports on Nov 10, 2026, before the open (51 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.7%Nov ’24+18.5%Mar ’25+14.6%May ’25+19.4%Aug ’25−7.5%Nov ’25−16.1%Mar ’26+10.2%May ’26+11.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Sea Limited reported strong second quarter 2026 results with consolidated revenue of $7.8 billion, up 48% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $917 million (up 11% YoY). Shopee showed continued momentum with GMV up 28% YoY and improved monetization (ad revenue +70%, ad take rate +90 bps). Shopee adjusted EBITDA was over $250 million. Garena bookings grew 15% YoY with GAAP revenue up 34% and adjusted EBITDA up 17% to $430 million. Monee (fintech) saw consumer and SME loans outstanding reach $11.1 billion, up 62% YoY, with NPLs >90 days at 1% of loans. Management emphasized improving unit economics, prudent investment, AI initiatives for buyer and seller experiences, and fulfillment expansion. They reiterated full-year GMV growth guidance of ~25% and Shopee full-year adjusted EBITDA ambition of $1 billion+; also reaffirmed medium-term e-commerce EBITDA margin aspiration of 2-3%.
Guidance
Management reiterated full-year GMV growth guidance of around 25% and Shopee/e-commerce aim of over $1 billion adjusted EBITDA for the year. They also restated a medium-term e-commerce EBITDA margin aspiration of 2-3%.
Risks flagged
Management noted potential forex headwinds due to weaker local currencies against USD, macro/competitive dynamics affecting pricing, and higher provisions driven by loan mix (off-book loans and Brazil loans with higher risk). They also cautioned that guidance is subject to risks and uncertainties. Higher provisions and increased loan mix in higher-risk markets were highlighted as risk factors.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 11, 2026$0.70
est $0.78
−10.3%$7.79B
est $7.12B
+9.4%+11.6%
May 12, 2026$0.81
est $0.77
+5.2%$7.10B
est $6.46B
+9.9%+10.2%
Mar 3, 2026$0.77
est $0.80
−4.3%$6.85B
est $6.45B
+6.2%−16.1%
Nov 11, 2025$0.78
est $1.03
−24.3%$5.99B
est $6.42B
−6.8%−7.5%
Aug 12, 2025$0.85
est $0.99
−14.1%$5.30B
est $5.60B
−5.3%+19.4%
May 13, 2025$0.83
est $0.91
−8.8%$4.84B
est $4.94B
−2.1%+14.6%
Mar 4, 2025$0.39
est $0.41
−4.9%$4.95B
est $5.05B
−1.9%+18.5%
Nov 12, 2024$0.75
est $0.24
+212.3%$4.33B
est $4.08B
+6.2%+7.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Sea stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sea is $157.11, +54.3% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$157.11consensus 12-month target, +54.3% from the last close
Low $115High $181.18
Buy10
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$153+50.3%
Sep 7Arete ResearchBuy, upgraded$152+49.3%
Sep 3Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained
Aug 17TD CowenHold, reiterated$115+13.0%
Aug 17TD CowenHold, maintained$115+13.0%
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Sea seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Sea averaged +4.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+8.3%2021−11.4%2022+21.7%2023+16.4%2024−17.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.8%3 of 5

For scale, SE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.3%.

Sea market cap and key statistics

Sea’s market cap is $61.11B, with a P/E ratio of 40 and revenue of $27.72B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$61.11B
P/E ratio
40
Forward P/E
25.8
EPS, TTM
$2.53
Gekko Fair Value
$129.76

Trading

Volume
4.23M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.10M
52-week high
$195.48
52-week low
$77.05
Shares outstanding
567.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$27.72B
Profit margin
5.9%
Return on equity
14.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+7.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.52
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±11.3%

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Sea stock FAQ

What is Sea’s market cap?

Sea’s market cap is $61.11B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $101.79, with 567.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 40.

What is the Sea stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sea is $157.11, +54.3% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Sea stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Sea is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $101.79 is 21.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Sea report earnings next?

Sea is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026, before the market opens (51 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.00 per share on revenue of $8.13B. Sea beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.2% on average across the report.

What is Sea’s 52-week high and low?

Sea’s 52-week high is $195.48 and its 52-week low is $77.05; it closed at $101.79 on Sep 18, 2026, −45.5% over the past year.

Is Sea stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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