Sea (SE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$80.19+3.42 (+4.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

This week's action on Sea centers on insider transactions and an analyst rating change. COO Gang Ye exercised 1,650,000 share options on 27 October at an exercise price of $15 per share, options originally granted in 2018, with accompanying Form 4 filings also noting activity by CCO and General Counsel Yanjun Wang on 29 October and 2 November. Separately, one analyst upgraded Sea Limited to Strong Buy, pointing to a combination cited as 20x EPS with projected 25-30% annual operating income growth and what the piece described as an A+ balance sheet with significant net cash.

Shares closed at $80.19, up 4.5% on the day, though the stock remains below both its 50-day average of $96.58 and 200-day average of $97.92, with the 50-day under the 200-day. Returns over the past month, three months, six months and year stand at -16.9%, -27.8%, -10.9% and -49.1% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 64.6, placing it in the Accumulation zone, down 11 points over five days. Price sits 31% below Gekko Fair Value of $116.3.

Sea reports earnings on 10 November, five trading days out, following a prior quarter where actual EPS of $0.70 missed the $0.78 estimate yet the stock reacted with an 11.6% move; average absolute reaction has run 13.2% across recent quarters. Seasonality for this point in the calendar shows a 5-year average 20-day return of -0.4%, positive in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus among 12 firms stands at 9 buy, 3 hold, 0 sell, with a consensus target of $148.25.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Sea price vs fair value

$116.30$80.19Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $80.19200-day averageGekko Fair Value $116.30

Sea quick facts

Market cap
$48.31B
P/E ratio
29.1
Forward P/E
18.9
EPS, TTM
$2.59
Revenue, TTM
$27.72B
Profit margin
5.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.56
Volume
9.07M avg 7.43M
1-year return
−49.1%
Typical daily move
±4.7%
Typical 20-day move
±11.8%
50-day average
$96.58
200-day average
$97.92
Next earnings
Nov 10 before open
Shares outstanding
567.0M
52-week range
$71.53$159.80

Sea swing-trade checklist

Sea scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $80.19 is below the 50-day ($96.58) and 200-day ($97.92) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.6, Accumulation

    Reading 64.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    31.0% below

    Price is 31% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 5 days

    Reports on Nov 10, 2026, 5 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Sea stock chart and price history

Sea closed at $80.19 on Nov 4, 2026, −49.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $71.53 to $159.80.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Sea share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$120$140$160$180DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct80.19

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−16.9%
3 months
−27.8%
6 months
−10.9%
1 year
−49.1%
The full SE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SE in Gekko

Follow Sea through every session

Put SE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Sea

Sea runs a group of businesses spanning digital entertainment, online shopping, and digital finance, active in Southeast Asia, Latin America, other Asian markets, and beyond. Its Garena arm is known for a gaming platform where users play mobile and PC titles, follow eSports competitions, watch live-streamed matches, and connect through chat rooms and forums. Alongside gaming, the company operates Shopee, a mobile-focused online marketplace built for buyers and sellers alike.

Shopee combines its marketplace function with built-in payment tools, delivery and logistics support, and services aimed at helping sellers run their operations. Financial services are handled through SeaMoney, which serves everyday consumers as well as businesses through mobile wallets, payment handling, credit products, insurance technology, and digital banking. These services reach customers under names such as ShopeePay, SPayLater, and SeaBank, and SeaMoney also processes payments made on Shopee itself.

The company began in 2009 under the name Garena Interactive Holding Limited, adopting the Sea Limited name in April 2017. It is headquartered in Singapore. Sea trades under the ticker SE.

Sector
Retail trade
Website
sea.com

Sea GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Sea’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 11 points over five sessions.

010064.6Accumulation

Down 11 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying44+1.2%+1.7%−3.4%+3.6%
Accumulation (current zone)190−0.4%−1.0%+1.0%+4.2%
Neutral353+1.1%+2.3%+4.0%+8.2%
Distribution63−0.5%−0.7%+0.8%+4.2%
Selling0Not available

Average SE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SE price, zone by zone.Track SE in Gekko

Is Sea stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Sea trades 31.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $116.30, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Sea shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$116.30

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

31.0% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$116$77Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SE in Gekko

Sea insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Sea, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SE in Gekko

Buybacks

Sea has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$414.0M
As a share of market cap
0.86%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

6of the funds Gekko tracks hold SE.

3added1opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Sea earnings: next date and track record

Sea reports on Nov 10, 2026, before the open (5 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.7%Nov ’24+18.5%Mar ’25+14.6%May ’25+19.4%Aug ’25−7.5%Nov ’25−16.1%Mar ’26+10.2%May ’26+11.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Sea Limited reported strong second quarter 2026 results with consolidated revenue of $7.8 billion, up 48% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $917 million (up 11% YoY). Shopee showed continued momentum with GMV up 28% YoY and improved monetization (ad revenue +70%, ad take rate +90 bps). Shopee adjusted EBITDA was over $250 million. Garena bookings grew 15% YoY with GAAP revenue up 34% and adjusted EBITDA up 17% to $430 million. Monee (fintech) saw consumer and SME loans outstanding reach $11.1 billion, up 62% YoY, with NPLs >90 days at 1% of loans. Management emphasized improving unit economics, prudent investment, AI initiatives for buyer and seller experiences, and fulfillment expansion. They reiterated full-year GMV growth guidance of ~25% and Shopee full-year adjusted EBITDA ambition of $1 billion+; also reaffirmed medium-term e-commerce EBITDA margin aspiration of 2-3%.
Guidance
Management reiterated full-year GMV growth guidance of around 25% and Shopee/e-commerce aim of over $1 billion adjusted EBITDA for the year. They also restated a medium-term e-commerce EBITDA margin aspiration of 2-3%.
Risks flagged
Management noted potential forex headwinds due to weaker local currencies against USD, macro/competitive dynamics affecting pricing, and higher provisions driven by loan mix (off-book loans and Brazil loans with higher risk). They also cautioned that guidance is subject to risks and uncertainties. Higher provisions and increased loan mix in higher-risk markets were highlighted as risk factors.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 11, 2026$0.70
est $0.78
−10.3%$7.79B
est $7.12B
+9.4%+11.6%
May 12, 2026$0.81
est $0.77
+5.2%$7.10B
est $6.46B
+9.9%+10.2%
Mar 3, 2026$0.77
est $0.80
−4.3%$6.85B
est $6.45B
+6.2%−16.1%
Nov 11, 2025$0.78
est $1.03
−24.3%$5.99B
est $6.42B
−6.8%−7.5%
Aug 12, 2025$0.85
est $0.99
−14.1%$5.30B
est $5.60B
−5.3%+19.4%
May 13, 2025$0.83
est $0.91
−8.8%$4.84B
est $4.94B
−2.1%+14.6%
Mar 4, 2025$0.39
est $0.41
−4.9%$4.95B
est $5.05B
−1.9%+18.5%
Nov 12, 2024$0.75
est $0.24
+212.3%$4.33B
est $4.08B
+6.2%+7.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Sea stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sea is $148.25, +84.9% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$148.25consensus 12-month target, +84.9% from the last close
Low $70High $181.18
Buy9
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 28J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$149+85.8%
Oct 26New StreetHold, downgraded$70−12.7%
Oct 23DBSHold, maintained$85+6.0%
Oct 22BarclaysBuy, maintained$156+94.5%
Oct 21DBSHold, maintained$105+30.9%
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Sea seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Sea averaged −0.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−29.0%2021+34.1%2022−14.5%2023+21.3%2024−13.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−8.1%2 of 5

For scale, SE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.8%.

Sea market cap and key statistics

Sea’s market cap is $48.31B, with a P/E ratio of 29.1 and revenue of $27.72B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$48.31B
P/E ratio
29.1
Forward P/E
18.9
EPS, TTM
$2.59
Gekko Fair Value
$116.30

Trading

Volume
9.07M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.43M
52-week high
$159.80
52-week low
$71.53
Shares outstanding
567.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$27.72B
Profit margin
5.9%
Return on equity
14.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+7.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.56
Typical daily move
±4.7%
Typical 20-day move
±11.8%

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Sea stock FAQ

What is Sea’s market cap?

Sea’s market cap is $48.31B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $80.19, with 567.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 29.1.

What is the Sea stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sea is $148.25, +84.9% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Sea stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Sea is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $80.19 is 31.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $116.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Sea report earnings next?

Sea is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026, before the market opens (5 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.97 per share on revenue of $8.08B. Sea beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.2% on average across the report.

What is Sea’s 52-week high and low?

Sea’s 52-week high is $159.80 and its 52-week low is $71.53; it closed at $80.19 on Nov 4, 2026, −49.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $363.81 on Nov 8, 2021.

Is Sea stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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