SAP (SAP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$240.04+9.73 (+4.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

This week's news for SAP centers on sovereign cloud expansion and AI deployment. The Dutch Ministry of Defense has partnered with SAP to build a sovereign cloud environment in the Netherlands, described as a milestone for European defense readiness. Alongside this, SAP continues to push its model-agnostic AI strategy, integrating SAP-RPT-2.0 and SAP-RPT-TS into Joule Studio and Joule Work with an aim to cut costs by an estimated €2 billion, and has announced plans to deploy its SAP-RPT foundation model to the International Space Station by early 2027. SAP also continued its share buy-back program, repurchasing 50,000 shares via XETRA in the most recent week, bringing cumulative repurchases to 9,136,956 shares through 30 October.

SAP closed at $240.04, up 4.2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $218.88 and 200-day average of $191.71. The one-month return stands at 14.1% and the three-month return at 20.3%, though the one-year return remains negative at -9.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 47.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 18.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $202.46.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 28 January 2027, 84 days away and outside this typical holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.9% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus among 7 firms stands at 6 buy and 1 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $280.83, reflecting 17% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

SAP price vs fair value

$240.04$202.46Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $240.04200-day averageGekko Fair Value $202.46

SAP quick facts

Market cap
$279.7B
P/E ratio
29.1
Forward P/E
24.8
EPS, TTM
$8.03
Revenue, TTM
$39.39B
Profit margin
20.4%
Dividend yield
1.25%
Beta
0.71
Volume
2.88M avg 2.52M
1-year return
−9.1%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$218.88
200-day average
$191.71
Next earnings
Jan 28 after close
Shares outstanding
1.15B
52-week range
$144.97$264.10

SAP swing-trade checklist

SAP scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $240.04 is above the 50-day ($218.88) and 200-day ($191.71) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    47.9, Neutral

    Reading 47.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    18.6% above

    Price is 18.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 84 days

    Next report Jan 28, 2027, 84 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

SAP stock chart and price history

SAP closed at $240.04 on Nov 4, 2026, −9.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $144.97 to $264.10.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
SAP share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$150$200$250DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct240.04

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+14.1%
3 months
+20.3%
6 months
+38.6%
1 year
−9.1%
The full SAP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SAP in Gekko

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About SAP

SAP develops business software used by organizations to run core operations such as finance, procurement, manufacturing, supply chain, and asset management. Its flagship product, SAP S/4HANA, forms the backbone of many corporate resource planning systems, while additional tools cover human resources, spend management, and customer experience.

The company organizes its offerings into distinct product lines aimed at different business needs. SuccessFactors handles HR, payroll, and workforce analytics, while its spend management tools address expense tracking and external labor administration. SAP Business Technology Platform lets clients and partners build and automate their own applications, and SAP Business Network connects trading partners to digitize supply chain communication. Other offerings include SAP Signavio for process analysis, Taulia for working capital and liquidity management, industry-specific cloud modules, and a set of sustainability-related services. Its customers span organizations across many functions and industries that rely on these systems for daily operations.

SAP SE was founded in Walldorf, Germany, in 1972 and remains based there. Its shares trade under the ticker SAP.

Sector
Technology services
Website
sap.com

SAP GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

SAP’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 47.9, in the Neutral zone, up 4.3 points over five sessions.

010047.9Neutral

Up 4.3 points over five sessions, from the Distribution zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying45+2.2%+1.3%+3.0%−2.7%
Accumulation199−0.4%−0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
Neutral (current zone)373+0.3%+0.6%+1.2%+4.3%
Distribution32+1.1%+1.7%+0.2%−1.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average SAP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SAP price, zone by zone.Track SAP in Gekko

Is SAP stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

SAP trades 18.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $202.46, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what SAP shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$202.46

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

18.6% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.9% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$202$230Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SAP in Gekko

SAP insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SAP, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SAP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SAP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SAP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SAP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SAP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SAP in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SAP.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

SAP earnings: next date and track record

SAP reports on Jan 28, 2027, after the close (84 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.4%Jan ’25+8.4%Apr ’25−5.4%Jul ’25−0.7%Oct ’25−14.9%Jan ’26+0.7%Apr ’26+7.6%Jul ’26+5.1%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
SAP reported record Q3 2026 results with cloud revenue of €6.7B (+25% constant currency), total revenue of €10.3B (+12%), marking the first time quarterly revenue exceeded €10B. Operating profit grew 18% to over €3B. Current cloud backlog reached €24.1B (+26%). AI drove 9 of 10 top-50 deals, with Business AI and Business Data Cloud as primary growth catalysts. SAP claims 11 percentage points faster growth than market per IDC.
Guidance
No explicit forward-looking financial guidance or specific targets were provided in this transcript excerpt. Management signaled continued AI-driven cloud momentum and market share expansion.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 21, 2026$2.18
est $2.03
+7.4%$11.50B
est $11.38B
+1.0%+5.1%
Jul 23, 2026$1.85
est $2.00
−7.5%$11.24B
est $11.30B
−0.5%+7.6%
Apr 23, 2026$1.94
est $1.81
+7.2%$11.19B
est $11.19B
−0.1%+0.7%
Jan 29, 2026$1.89
est $1.77
+6.8%$11.55B
est $11.39B
+1.4%−14.9%
Oct 22, 2025$1.86
est $1.69
+10.1%$10.63B
est $9.77B
+8.8%−0.7%
Jul 22, 2025$1.70
est $1.63
+4.3%$10.63B
est $9.24B
+15.1%−5.4%
Apr 22, 2025$1.74
est $1.23
+41.5%$9.88B
est $9.28B
+6.5%+8.4%
Jan 28, 2025$1.47
est $1.49
−1.3%$9.71B
est $9.08B
+6.9%+0.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

SAP stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for SAP is $280.83, +17.0% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$280.83consensus 12-month target, +17.0% from the last close
Low $260High $288
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 30Erste GroupBuy, upgraded——
Oct 23BarclaysBuy, maintained$288+20.0%
Oct 22TD CowenBuy, reiterated$275+14.6%
Oct 22BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$265+10.4%
Oct 22OppenheimerHold, maintained——
+1.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

SAP seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, SAP averaged +2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−13.4%2021+14.8%2022+15.0%2023+4.8%2024−6.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.6%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.8%3 of 5

For scale, SAP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

SAP market cap and key statistics

SAP’s market cap is $279.7B, with a P/E ratio of 29.1 and revenue of $39.39B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$279.7B
P/E ratio
29.1
Forward P/E
24.8
EPS, TTM
$8.03
Gekko Fair Value
$202.46

Trading

Volume
2.88M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.52M
52-week high
$264.10
52-week low
$144.97
Shares outstanding
1.15B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$39.39B
Profit margin
20.4%
Return on equity
18.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+13.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.71
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
1.25%

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SAP stock FAQ

What is SAP’s market cap?

SAP’s market cap is $279.7B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $240.04, with 1.15B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 29.1.

What is the SAP stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for SAP is $280.83, +17.0% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is SAP stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate SAP is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $240.04 is 18.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $202.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does SAP report earnings next?

SAP is expected to report on Jan 28, 2027, after the market closes (84 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.20 per share on revenue of $12.02B. SAP beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.4% on average across the report.

What is SAP’s 52-week high and low?

SAP’s 52-week high is $264.10 and its 52-week low is $144.97; it closed at $240.04 on Nov 4, 2026, −9.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $313.28 on Jul 10, 2025.

Is SAP stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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