Ryanair (RYAAY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Ryanair Holdings plc. Transportation sector. Market cap $27.79B.

$53.51+0.01 (0.0%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Ryanair (RYAAY) closes at $53.51, below both its 50-day average of $57.67 and its 200-day average of $62.15, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 63.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 23.1% below the Gekko Fair Value of $69.55. Shares have fallen 2.3% over one month, 12.6% over three months, and sit within a 52-week range of $51.68 to $74.24.

This week's news centers on fuel costs and capacity. Ryanair cut its full-year traffic target from 216 million to 214 million passengers and trimmed winter flight plans to limit exposure to jet fuel trading near $140 a barrel, a move the airline expects to reduce seasonal losses by €70 million to €100 million. Separately, Ryanair pressed the EU to extend an EES border-check derogation, citing delays of two to three hours during peak periods, while CEO Michael O'Leary apologized for remarks made about rival airlines. Maven Securities LTD also disclosed a new stake of 24,000 shares valued at approximately $1.55 million.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is scheduled for 2 November, 43 days away, outside a typical holding window; the prior report on 20 July showed EPS of $1.19 against an estimate of $1.25, with a 6% share reaction, and the stock has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters with an average absolute reaction of 3.6%. Seasonality from this point has averaged -1.4% over five years, rising in 3 of those years. Three analysts covering the stock rate it a buy, with a consensus target of $70.68.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $53.51200-day averageGekko Fair Value $69.55

Key stats

Market cap
$27.79B
P/E ratio
12.7
Forward P/E
13.1
EPS, TTM
$4.20
Revenue, TTM
$15.59B
Profit margin
12.1%
Dividend yield
1.71%
Beta
0.96
Volume
1.06M avg 1.39M
1-year return
−7.1%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6.3%
50-day average
$57.67
200-day average
$62.15
Next earnings
Nov 2 before open
Shares outstanding
518.2M
52-week range
$51.68$74.24

Ryanair swing-trade checklist

Ryanair scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $53.51 is below the 50-day ($57.67) and 200-day ($62.15) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.1, Accumulation

    Reading 63.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    23.1% below

    Price is 23.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 2, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −1.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ryanair stock chart and price history

Ryanair closed at $53.51 on Sep 18, 2026, −7.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $51.68 to $74.24.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.3%
3 months
−12.6%
6 months
−10.1%
1 year
−7.1%
The full RYAAY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RYAAY in Gekko

Follow Ryanair through every session

Put RYAAY on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Ryanair

Ryanair operates scheduled passenger flights across Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and other international markets, and it is widely recognized for this air travel business.

Beyond flying passengers, Ryanair generates income through a range of related offerings, including onboard sales of food, drinks, duty-free items and merchandise, along with non-flight and internet-based services. Through its website and mobile app, the company also arranges car hire, travel insurance, accommodation bookings, car parking, fast-track airport access, transfers, and tickets to attractions and activities, and it sells gift vouchers. It further supplies handling services for passengers and aircraft, ticketing, and maintenance and repair work, serving travelers who book directly through its own digital platforms.

Ryanair was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland. Its shares trade under the ticker RYAAY.

Sector
Transportation
Website
ryanair.com

Ryanair GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ryanair’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.8 points over five sessions.

010063.1Accumulation

Down 2.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+2.8%+3.9%+3.9%+2.1%
Accumulation (current zone)211+0.5%+0.5%+0.2%+0.4%
Neutral354−0.5%−0.5%0.0%+2.0%
Distribution27+1.1%+1.6%+0.4%+3.3%
Selling0Not available

Average RYAAY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RYAAY price, zone by zone.Track RYAAY in Gekko

Is Ryanair stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ryanair trades 23.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.55, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ryanair shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$69.55

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

23.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RYAAY in Gekko

Ryanair insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ryanair, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RYAAY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RYAAY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RYAAY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RYAAY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RYAAY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RYAAY in Gekko

Ryanair earnings: next date and track record

Ryanair reports on Nov 2, 2026, before the open (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.6%Nov ’24+2.8%Jan ’25+8.2%May ’25−1.4%Jul ’25+3.4%Nov ’25−4.2%Jan ’26+1.5%May ’26−6.0%Jul ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 20, 2026$1.19
est $1.25
−4.8%$5.00B
est $5.06B
−1.2%−6.0%
May 18, 2026−$0.85
est −$0.95
+10.6%$2.93B
est $3.08B
−5.1%+1.5%
Jan 26, 2026$0.26
est $0.15
+73.3%$3.82B
est $3.70B
+3.3%−4.2%
Nov 3, 2025$3.76
est $3.62
+3.9%$6.42B
est $3.13B
+105.3%+3.4%
Jul 28, 2025$1.79
est $1.33
+34.2%$5.11B
est $4.16B
+22.6%−1.4%
May 19, 2025−$0.59
est −$0.65
+9.2%$2.52B
est $3.93B
−35.9%+8.2%
Jan 27, 2025$0.29
est $0.08
+286.7%$3.06B
est $3.15B
−2.8%+2.8%
Nov 4, 2024$2.82
est $7.41
−61.9%$5.56B
est $5.55B
+0.1%+1.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ryanair stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ryanair is $70.68, +32.1% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$70.68consensus 12-month target, +32.1% from the last close
Low $62.90High $74
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 3Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained
Aug 24Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$74+38.3%
Aug 17Morgan StanleyBuy, initiated$62.90+17.5%
Aug 14Morgan StanleyBuy, initiated$62.90+17.5%
Jul 28Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained
+0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ryanair seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Ryanair averaged −1.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.4%2021−11.7%2022−8.8%2023−2.8%2024+11.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.3%3 of 5

For scale, RYAAY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.3%.

Ryanair market cap and key statistics

Ryanair’s market cap is $27.79B, with a P/E ratio of 12.7 and revenue of $15.59B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$27.79B
P/E ratio
12.7
Forward P/E
13.1
EPS, TTM
$4.20
Gekko Fair Value
$69.55

Trading

Volume
1.06M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.39M
52-week high
$74.24
52-week low
$51.68
Shares outstanding
518.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.59B
Profit margin
12.1%
Return on equity
22.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−33.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.96
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6.3%
Dividend yield
1.71%

Ryanair stock news this week

5 headlines about Ryanair from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ryanair stock FAQ

What is Ryanair’s market cap?

Ryanair’s market cap is $27.79B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $53.51, with 518.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.7.

What is the Ryanair stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ryanair is $70.68, +32.1% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ryanair stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ryanair is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $53.51 is 23.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.55. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ryanair report earnings next?

Ryanair is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, before the market opens (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.38 per share on revenue of $6.49B. Ryanair beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.

What is Ryanair’s 52-week high and low?

Ryanair’s 52-week high is $74.24 and its 52-week low is $51.68; it closed at $53.51 on Sep 18, 2026, −7.1% over the past year.

Is Ryanair stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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