Ryanair (RYAAY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$59.05+4.45 (+8.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Ryanair shares moved this week on a run of traffic and earnings news. October 2026 traffic rose 1% year over year to over 19.4 million guests, with 109,100 flights operated and a load factor of 93%, while the rolling year showed guests up 5% to 215.4 million. Adjusted earnings for the quarter ended September 30 came in at $3.57 per share, ahead of analyst estimates though down from the prior year, and CEO Michael O'Leary outlined plans to hedge about 50% of next year's fuel needs while describing airfares as reaching an inflection point. Separate commentary flagged that profits were down 15% year on year and that the fuel bill is expected to rise by more than 2 billion euros.

The stock closed at $59.05, up 8.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $54.19 and its 200-day average of $59.52. The GekkoIndex reads 46.7, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -14.1. Price remains 31.6% below the Gekko Fair Value of $86.29.

The next earnings date is 25 January 2027, 81 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 5.4% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 3 firms is Buy, with a target of $68.37.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ryanair price vs fair value

$86.29$59.05Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $59.05200-day averageGekko Fair Value $86.29

Ryanair quick facts

Market cap
$30.58B
P/E ratio
13.9
Forward P/E
14.4
EPS, TTM
$3.98
Revenue, TTM
$15.81B
Profit margin
11.3%
Dividend yield
1.62%
Beta
0.96
Volume
3.04M avg 2.16M
1-year return
−9.2%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
50-day average
$54.19
200-day average
$59.52
Next earnings
Jan 25 before open
Shares outstanding
517.9M
52-week range
$51.02$74.24

Ryanair swing-trade checklist

Ryanair scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $59.05 sits between the 50-day ($54.19) and 200-day ($59.52) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.7, Neutral

    Reading 46.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    31.6% below

    Price is 31.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 81 days

    Next report Jan 25, 2027, 81 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ryanair stock chart and price history

Ryanair closed at $59.05 on Nov 4, 2026, −9.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $51.02 to $74.24.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ryanair share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$55$65$70$75DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct59.05

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.7%
3 months
−2.5%
6 months
+0.9%
1 year
−9.2%
The full RYAAY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RYAAY in Gekko

Follow Ryanair through every session

Put RYAAY on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Ryanair

Ryanair operates scheduled passenger flights across Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and other international markets, and it is widely recognized for this air travel business.

Beyond flying passengers, Ryanair generates income through a range of related offerings, including onboard sales of food, drinks, duty-free items and merchandise, along with non-flight and internet-based services. Through its website and mobile app, the company also arranges car hire, travel insurance, accommodation bookings, car parking, fast-track airport access, transfers, and tickets to attractions and activities, and it sells gift vouchers. It further supplies handling services for passengers and aircraft, ticketing, and maintenance and repair work, serving travelers who book directly through its own digital platforms.

Ryanair was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland. Its shares trade under the ticker RYAAY.

Sector
Transportation
Website
ryanair.com

Ryanair GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ryanair’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.7, in the Neutral zone, down 14.1 points over five sessions.

010046.7Neutral

Down 14.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+2.8%+3.9%+3.6%+2.0%
Accumulation233+0.5%+0.4%−0.1%−0.1%
Neutral (current zone)367−0.5%−0.6%0.0%+1.2%
Distribution27+1.1%+1.6%+0.4%+1.5%
Selling0Not available

Average RYAAY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RYAAY price, zone by zone.Track RYAAY in Gekko

Is Ryanair stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ryanair trades 31.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $86.29, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ryanair shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$86.29

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

31.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 23.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$86$55Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RYAAY in Gekko

Ryanair insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ryanair, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RYAAY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RYAAY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RYAAY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RYAAY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RYAAY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RYAAY in Gekko

Ryanair earnings: next date and track record

Ryanair reports on Jan 25, 2027, before the open (81 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.6%Nov ’24+2.8%Jan ’25+8.2%May ’25+9.9%Jul ’25+3.4%Nov ’25−4.2%Jan ’26+1.5%May ’26−6.0%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ryanair reported Q1 FY2027 profit after tax of EUR 538 million, down 34% from EUR 820 million, driven by higher unhedged jet fuel costs ($151/bbl) and Easter timing shifts. Traffic grew 6% to 61.3 million passengers, but revenue per passenger fell 5% with average fares down 6%. The EUR 1.2 billion bond was repaid, leaving the group essentially debt-free with EUR 2.8 billion gross cash. Share buyback program is 90% complete at average EUR 26.35/share.
Guidance
FY2027 traffic targets 216 million passengers (4% growth), with H1 at 6% and H2 at 2%. Fuel is 80% hedged at $67/bbl for FY2027 and 15% hedged at $85/bbl for FY2028. Management targets rebuilding gross cash to EUR 4 billion and expects first MAX 10 deliveries spring 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 20, 2026$1.19
est $1.25
−4.8%$5.00B
est $5.06B
−1.2%−6.0%
May 18, 2026−$0.85
est −$0.95
+10.6%$2.93B
est $3.08B
−5.1%+1.5%
Jan 26, 2026$0.26
est $0.15
+73.3%$3.82B
est $3.70B
+3.3%−4.2%
Nov 3, 2025$3.76
est $3.62
+3.9%$6.42B
est $3.13B
+105.3%+3.4%
Jul 21, 2025$1.79
est $1.37
+30.7%$5.07B
est $4.87B
+4.1%+9.9%
May 19, 2025−$0.59
est −$0.65
+9.2%$2.52B
est $3.93B
−35.9%+8.2%
Jan 27, 2025$0.29
est $0.08
+286.7%$3.06B
est $3.15B
−2.8%+2.8%
Nov 4, 2024$2.82
est $7.41
−61.9%$5.56B
est $5.55B
+0.1%+1.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ryanair stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ryanair is $68.37, +15.8% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$68.37consensus 12-month target, +15.8% from the last close
Low $62.90High $75
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$75+27.0%
Sep 23Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Sep 3Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Aug 24Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$74+25.3%
Aug 17Morgan StanleyBuy, initiated$62.90+6.5%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ryanair seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Ryanair averaged +5.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−16.4%2021+12.0%2022+22.9%2023+1.1%2024+1.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.1%4 of 5

For scale, RYAAY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.

Ryanair market cap and key statistics

Ryanair’s market cap is $30.58B, with a P/E ratio of 13.9 and revenue of $15.81B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$30.58B
P/E ratio
13.9
Forward P/E
14.4
EPS, TTM
$3.98
Gekko Fair Value
$86.29

Trading

Volume
3.04M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.16M
52-week high
$74.24
52-week low
$51.02
Shares outstanding
517.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.81B
Profit margin
11.3%
Return on equity
17.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−4.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.96
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
Dividend yield
1.62%

Ryanair stock news this week

Coverage of Ryanair this week reads positive: 4 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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Ryanair stock FAQ

What is Ryanair’s market cap?

Ryanair’s market cap is $30.58B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $59.05, with 517.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.9.

What is the Ryanair stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ryanair is $68.37, +15.8% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ryanair stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ryanair is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $59.05 is 31.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $86.29. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ryanair report earnings next?

Ryanair is expected to report on Jan 25, 2027, before the market opens (81 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.03 per share on revenue of $3.70B. Ryanair beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Ryanair’s 52-week high and low?

Ryanair’s 52-week high is $74.24 and its 52-week low is $51.02; it closed at $59.05 on Nov 4, 2026, −9.2% over the past year.

Is Ryanair stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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