NYSE: KNX

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$63.55−0.12 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's coverage of Knight-Swift centers on stock positioning rather than new corporate developments, with one piece assessing whether rising EPS estimates make KNX attractive at current levels and another comparing its value proposition against peer Saia. Both pieces concern how the stock is valued relative to its sector rather than any specific results, guidance or regulatory update.

KNX closed at $63.55, down 0.2%, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $69.54 and its 200-day average of $64.86, reflecting a mixed trend picture. The stock has fallen 7.8% over one month and 18.7% over three months, though it remains up 14.4% over six months and 62.4% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 67.3, placing KNX in the Accumulation zone, up 3.5 over the past five sessions. Price sits 2.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $62.17.

Knight-Swift next reports earnings on 21 October 2026 after the close, 22 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report on 22 July showed EPS of $0.63 against a $0.49 estimate, with shares reacting -5.7% despite the beat. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 3.7% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, though two Trailblazer holders are noted among smart-money categories.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Knight-Swift Transportation price vs fair value

$63.55$62.17Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $63.55200-day averageGekko Fair Value $62.17

Knight-Swift Transportation quick facts

Market cap
$10.34B
P/E ratio
251.9
Forward P/E
15.6
EPS, TTM
$0.26
Revenue, TTM
$7.73B
Profit margin
0.6%
Dividend yield
1.13%
Beta
1.18
Volume
3.50M avg 3.82M
1-year return
+62.4%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
50-day average
$69.54
200-day average
$64.86
Next earnings
Oct 21 after close
Shares outstanding
162.8M
52-week range
$38.63$82.86

Knight-Swift Transportation swing-trade checklist

Knight-Swift Transportation scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $63.55 sits between the 50-day ($69.54) and 200-day ($64.86) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.3, Accumulation

    Reading 67.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.2% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.2% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Oct 21, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Knight-Swift Transportation stock chart and price history

Knight-Swift Transportation closed at $63.55 on Sep 28, 2026, +62.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.63 to $82.86.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Knight-Swift Transportation share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60$70$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep63.55

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.8%
3 months
−18.7%
6 months
+14.4%
1 year
+62.4%
The full KNX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KNX in Gekko

Follow Knight-Swift Transportation through every session

Put KNX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Knight-Swift Transportation

Knight-Swift Transportation hauls truckload freight for businesses operating in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. Its trucks cover many different jobs, among them irregular routes, dedicated contracts, refrigerated loads, flatbeds, expedited shipments, dry van work, drayage, and freight crossing international borders, and this wide-ranging trucking work is what the company is most associated with. It also arranges brokerage and intermodal moves for shippers, and rounds out its offerings with vehicle repair, warranties, insurance, equipment leasing, trailer parts production and storage, plus driver instruction through its own training academy.

Operations are grouped into four areas: Trucking, Logistics, Less-than-truckload, and Intermodal. For shipments beyond its own network's reach, the company relies on outside carriers to extend coverage nationally. Customers come from sectors including retail, food and beverage, consumer goods, paper, transportation and logistics, housing and construction, automotive, and manufacturing.

The company traces its founding to 1989 and runs its headquarters out of Phoenix, Arizona. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker KNX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Trucking
Website
knight-swift.com

Knight-Swift Transportation GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Knight-Swift Transportation’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.5 points over five sessions.

010067.3Accumulation

Up 3.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21−0.9%−2.1%−3.0%−2.6%
Accumulation (current zone)218+0.3%+1.0%+2.1%+5.1%
Neutral380+0.3%+0.5%+0.5%+2.7%
Distribution52+0.1%−0.7%+0.3%−2.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average KNX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KNX price, zone by zone.Track KNX in Gekko

Is Knight-Swift Transportation stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Knight-Swift Transportation trades 2.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $62.17, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Knight-Swift Transportation shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$62.17

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

2.2% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KNX in Gekko

Knight-Swift Transportation insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Knight-Swift Transportation, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for KNX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every KNX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KNX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KNX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KNX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KNX in Gekko

Buybacks

Knight-Swift Transportation has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2022
$155.1M
As a share of market cap
1.50%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold KNX.

0added1opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Knight-Swift Transportation earnings: next date and track record

Knight-Swift Transportation reports on Oct 21, 2026, after the close (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.6%Oct ’24+4.2%Jan ’25+3.4%Apr ’25+0.8%Jul ’25−7.3%Oct ’25+7.9%Jan ’26+1.4%Apr ’26−5.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Knight-Swift reported stronger-than-expected second quarter 2026 results driven by pricing and network efficiencies across asset-based businesses. Consolidated revenue ex-fuel increased 5.5% year-over-year, adjusted operating income rose ~45% YoY, adjusted EPS grew 80% YoY to $0.63, and the consolidated adjusted operating ratio improved 240 bps to 91.4%. Truckload revenue ex-fuel rose 2.8% with revenue per loaded mile up 5.5% and a 360 bps Truckload AOR improvement to 91%. Logistics revenue grew 8.9% but load count fell 16.4% as the segment prioritized profitable loads; gross margin compressed. Intermodal delivered strong growth with revenue up 34.9% and meaningful operating ratio improvement. Management highlighted accelerating contract pricing (double-digit gains in recent bids), improving realized revenue per mile (especially in June), reduced deadhead, and disciplined capacity deployment. Key drivers include supply-constrained market dynamics, tender rejection rates, and regulatory actions (Montgomery ruling, FMCSA/DoT enforcement) that could remove lower-quality capacity and favor asset-based carriers. Management emphasized investments in driver recruiting/training (academy network), use of AI and tools for recruiting and pay optimization, and cost/culture discipline to convert market tailwinds into earnings.
Guidance
Third-quarter revenue (ex-fuel) guidance: up mid-single digits year-over-year. Management expects continued rate momentum into Q3 with many contract rate improvements taking effect in July and August; however, some seasonal moderation in project/spot activity is expected in July/August with potential strengthening into September and into Q4. Truck count is guided to be relatively stable sequentially but lower than the prior year. Management noted fuel is an unpredictable P&L line that could be a headwind or benefit into Q3. No formal multi-quarter or annual guidance beyond Q3 was given.
Risks flagged
Regulatory and litigation risk stemming from the Montgomery ruling (insurance market disruptions, reduced broker insurance capacity, introduction of underwriting exclusions tied to carrier vetting), fuel price volatility, driver supply constraints, potential increases in driver pay pressure, and operational execution risks during bid churn and network rebalancing. Macro demand remains uncertain (supply-driven tightening currently, with demand improvement described as nascent).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$0.63
est $0.49
+28.6%$2.10B
est $2.05B
+2.4%−5.7%
Apr 22, 2026$0.09
est $0.31
−71.1%$1.85B
est $1.86B
−0.3%+1.4%
Jan 21, 2026$0.31
est $0.39
−19.8%$1.86B
est $1.90B
−2.3%+7.9%
Oct 22, 2025$0.32
est $0.37
−13.2%$1.93B
est $1.90B
+1.7%−7.3%
Jul 23, 2025$0.35
est $0.34
+2.9%$1.86B
est $1.91B
−2.5%+0.8%
Apr 23, 2025$0.28
est $0.24
+19.1%$1.82B
est $1.80B
+1.4%+3.4%
Jan 22, 2025$0.36
est $0.33
+9.1%$1.86B
est $1.83B
+1.8%+4.2%
Oct 23, 2024$0.34
est $0.32
+6.3%$1.88B
est $1.91B
−1.8%−1.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Knight-Swift Transportation stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Knight-Swift Transportation is $88.45, +39.2% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$88.45consensus 12-month target, +39.2% from the last close
Low $84High $100
Buy16
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 22Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$92+44.8%
Sep 22Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$92+44.8%
Sep 21BernsteinBuy, maintained$91+43.2%
Sep 10BernsteinBuy, initiated$91+43.2%
Aug 14Wells FargoBuy, maintained$86+35.3%
+2.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Knight-Swift Transportation seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Knight-Swift Transportation averaged +3.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.1%2021−0.6%2022+0.4%2023−1.5%2024+14.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.9%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.7%5 of 5

For scale, KNX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.5%.

Knight-Swift Transportation market cap and key statistics

Knight-Swift Transportation’s market cap is $10.34B, with a P/E ratio of 251.9 and revenue of $7.73B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.34B
P/E ratio
251.9
Forward P/E
15.6
EPS, TTM
$0.26
Gekko Fair Value
$62.17

Trading

Volume
3.50M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.82M
52-week high
$82.86
52-week low
$38.63
Shares outstanding
162.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.73B
Profit margin
0.6%
Return on equity
0.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+23.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.18
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
Dividend yield
1.13%

Knight-Swift Transportation stock news this week

2 headlines about Knight-Swift Transportation from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Knight-Swift Transportation peers

Knight-Swift Transportation’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line+2.1%Accumulation2.4% above
JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services+0.6%Buying5.1% below
XPOXPO+2.2%Accumulation4.5% below
TFIITFI International+1.1%Buying18.0% below
SAIASaia+1.9%Accumulation8.1% below
LSTRLandstar System+1.0%Accumulation9.6% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Knight-Swift Transportation stock FAQ

What is Knight-Swift Transportation’s market cap?

Knight-Swift Transportation’s market cap is $10.34B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $63.55, with 162.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 251.9.

What is the Knight-Swift Transportation stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Knight-Swift Transportation is $88.45, +39.2% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Knight-Swift Transportation stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Knight-Swift Transportation is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $63.55 is 2.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $62.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Knight-Swift Transportation report earnings next?

Knight-Swift Transportation is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026, after the market closes (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.76 per share on revenue of $2.12B. Knight-Swift Transportation beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4% on average across the report.

What is Knight-Swift Transportation’s 52-week high and low?

Knight-Swift Transportation’s 52-week high is $82.86 and its 52-week low is $38.63; it closed at $63.55 on Sep 28, 2026, +62.4% over the past year.

Is Knight-Swift Transportation stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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