NYSE: TFII

TFI International (TFII) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$122.37+1.27 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's activity centers on comparative valuation and an analyst rating change rather than company-specific developments. Coverage compared TFI International against C.H. Robinson Worldwide on value metrics, and a rating upgrade to Strong Buy was issued. No new operational, regulatory or earnings news accompanied these items.

TFII closed at $122.37, up 1% on the day, with the stock sitting below both its 50-day average of $136.62 and its 200-day average of $128.71. Over the past month the shares have fallen 10.2%, and over three months 15.2%, though the one-year return remains positive at 36.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 70.2, placing TFII in the Buying zone, up 3 points over five days. Fair value analysis puts the gap at -18%, with Gekko Fair Value estimated at $149.17 against the current price.

Looking ahead, TFI International's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 October 2026 after the close, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. The prior quarter saw adjusted EPS of $1.85 versus a $1.59 estimate, with a -1.8% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over five years shows a -1.1% average return across the next 20 trading days, with gains in 3 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the consensus price target of $174.08.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

TFI International price vs fair value

$149.17$122.37Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $122.37200-day averageGekko Fair Value $149.17

TFI International quick facts

Market cap
$10.06B
P/E ratio
30.7
Forward P/E
16.8
EPS, TTM
$3.97
Revenue, TTM
$8.12B
Profit margin
4.1%
Dividend yield
1.49%
Beta
1.47
Volume
252,187 avg 202,863
1-year return
+36.1%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
50-day average
$136.62
200-day average
$128.71
Next earnings
Oct 29 after close
Shares outstanding
82.19M
52-week range
$80.63$167.69

TFI International swing-trade checklist

TFI International scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $122.37 sits between the 50-day ($136.62) and 200-day ($128.71) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70.2, Buying

    Reading 70.2 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    18.0% below

    Price is 18% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

TFI International stock chart and price history

TFI International closed at $122.37 on Sep 28, 2026, +36.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $80.63 to $167.69.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
TFI International share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$100$140$160NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep122.37

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.2%
3 months
−15.2%
6 months
+16.9%
1 year
+36.1%
The full TFII chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TFII in Gekko

Follow TFI International through every session

Put TFII on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About TFI International

TFI International moves goods for customers across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, offering services that range from picking up a package to delivering large freight loads. It works in the transportation and logistics space and is recognized for running a broad network that covers courier parcels, bulk freight, and everything between.

Its business is split into four operating groups. One handles courier and package work, taking items from pickup through to final drop off. Another, its Less-Than-Truckload unit, gathers smaller shipments together and consolidates them for efficient movement. A Truckload division covers expedited loads, flatbed hauling, tank container jobs, dedicated lanes, and brokerage, moving full loads straight from a customer's starting point to its destination in either enclosed vans or specialized rigs. A separate Logistics group focuses on services that require little owned equipment, including freight brokerage, international forwarding, transportation management, and last-mile parcel drop offs.

The company is based in Saint-Laurent, Canada, and operated for years under the name TransForce Inc. before switching to its present name in late 2016. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker TFII.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Trucking
Website
tfiintl.com

TFI International GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

TFI International’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.2, in the Buying zone, up 3 points over five sessions.

010070.2Buying

Up 3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)47−2.5%−3.0%−4.7%−0.8%
Accumulation230+0.2%+0.5%+2.3%+5.8%
Neutral342+0.2%+0.4%0.0%−0.8%
Distribution52+1.1%+1.0%+1.2%+0.6%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average TFII share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TFII price, zone by zone.Track TFII in Gekko

Is TFI International stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

TFI International trades 18.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $149.17, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what TFI International shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$149.17

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

18.0% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TFII in Gekko

TFI International insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TFI International, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TFII in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TFII insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TFII in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TFII were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TFII, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TFII in Gekko

Buybacks

TFI International has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$4.49M
As a share of market cap
0.04%
Trailing four quarters
$107.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold TFII.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

TFI International earnings: next date and track record

TFI International reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.3%Oct ’24−20.5%Feb ’25+7.6%Apr ’25+0.1%Jul ’25+0.5%Oct ’25−3.3%Feb ’26+4.2%Apr ’26−1.8%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TFI International reported Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $1.85, beating guidance of $1.50-$1.60 and up 38% YoY. Total revenue before fuel surcharge reached $1.9B (+6% YoY) with operating income up ~30% to $220M, expanding margins to 11.6% (+200bps). All three segments grew operating income double digits: LTL +17%, Truckload +50%, Logistics +32%. Free cash flow exceeded $200M with funded debt-to-EBITDA improving to 2.4x.
Guidance
Q3 2026 adjusted EPS guided at $1.70-$1.80, representing ~50% YoY growth at the high end. Truckload OR expected to improve 500-600bps YoY; Logistics OR up 250-350bps; LTL OR comparable YoY. Full-year net CapEx guidance unchanged at $225M-$250M.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 27, 2026$1.85
est $1.59
+16.4%$2.29B
est $2.23B
+2.8%−1.8%
Apr 27, 2026$0.69
est $0.80
−13.3%$1.95B
est $1.89B
+2.9%+4.2%
Feb 17, 2026$1.09
est $0.86
+26.7%$1.91B
est $1.92B
−0.4%−3.3%
Oct 30, 2025$1.20
est $1.20
0.0%$1.95B
est $1.37B
+42.2%+0.5%
Jul 28, 2025$1.34
est $1.24
+8.1%$1.51B
est $1.51B
+0.6%+0.1%
Apr 23, 2025$0.76
est $0.94
−19.3%$1.38B
est $1.56B
−11.6%+7.6%
Feb 19, 2025$1.19
est $1.65
−27.9%$1.44B
est $1.53B
−6.0%−20.5%
Oct 21, 2024$1.60
est $1.78
−10.1%$1.61B
est $1.59B
+1.4%−1.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

TFI International stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for TFI International is $174.08, +42.3% from the last close.

$174.08consensus 12-month target, +42.3% from the last close
−4.7%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

TFI International seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, TFI International averaged −1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+13.1%2021+0.5%2022−16.3%2023−0.5%2024+0.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.8%3 of 5

For scale, TFII’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.

TFI International market cap and key statistics

TFI International’s market cap is $10.06B, with a P/E ratio of 30.7 and revenue of $8.12B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.06B
P/E ratio
30.7
Forward P/E
16.8
EPS, TTM
$3.97
Gekko Fair Value
$149.17

Trading

Volume
252,187
Avg volume, 20 days
202,863
52-week high
$167.69
52-week low
$80.63
Shares outstanding
82.19M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$8.12B
Profit margin
4.1%
Return on equity
12.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+41.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.47
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
Dividend yield
1.49%

TFI International stock news this week

2 headlines about TFI International from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

TFI International peers

TFI International’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line+2.1%Accumulation2.4% above
JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services+0.6%Buying5.1% below
XPOXPO+2.2%Accumulation4.5% below
KNXKnight-Swift Transportation+0.6%Accumulation2.2% above
SAIASaia+1.9%Accumulation8.1% below
LSTRLandstar System+1.0%Accumulation9.6% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

TFI International stock FAQ

What is TFI International’s market cap?

TFI International’s market cap is $10.06B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $122.37, with 82.19M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.7.

What is the TFI International stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for TFI International is $174.08, +42.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is TFI International stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate TFI International is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $122.37 is 18.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $149.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does TFI International report earnings next?

TFI International is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.78 per share on revenue of $2.21B. TFI International beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.9% on average across the report.

What is TFI International’s 52-week high and low?

TFI International’s 52-week high is $167.69 and its 52-week low is $80.63; it closed at $122.37 on Sep 28, 2026, +36.1% over the past year.

Is TFI International stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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