Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for XPO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every XPO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XPO in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryXPO gains repeated recognition this week, being named to FreightWaves' 2027 FreightTech 100 list for its continuous innovation in cloud-based proprietary technologies and AI applications for route optimization and load quality analysis, marking its inclusion every year since 2020, a distinction shared by only 11 companies. Separate coverage notes the stock trading at $174.34, below its 52 week high of $232.05, after beating earnings estimates with EPS of $1.70 and revenue of $2.35 billion. Brokerage commentary also points to a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating from 26 brokerages with an average price target of $225.82.
XPO closed at $176.66, up 2% on the day, though the stock remains below both its 50-day average of $193.95 and 200-day average of $191.99, reflecting a mixed trend after a one-month return of -7.8% and a three-month return of -14.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.6, placing XPO in the Accumulation zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $184.97 stands at -4.5%.
The next earnings date falls on 29 October 2026, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Smart money data shows no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity in their respective windows, alongside one trailblazer holder. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 1.6% from this point in the calendar, with gains in 3 of those years, a factor worth noting alongside the broader earnings-driven volatility ahead.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
XPO price vs fair value
Close $176.66200-day averageGekko Fair Value $184.97
XPO quick facts
- Market cap
- $20.68B
- P/E ratio
- 53.2
- Forward P/E
- 27
- EPS, TTM
- $3.31
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.57B
- Profit margin
- 4.7%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.70
- Volume
- 1.38M avg 1.16M
- 1-year return
- +36.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.5%
- 50-day average
- $193.95
- 200-day average
- $191.99
- Next earnings
- Oct 29 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 117.1M
XPO swing-trade checklist
XPO scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $176.66 sits between the 50-day ($193.95) and 200-day ($191.99) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.6, Accumulation
Reading 64.6 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
4.5% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 30 days
Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+1.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
XPO stock chart and price history
XPO closed at $176.66 on Sep 28, 2026, +36.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $121.48 to $232.05.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −7.8%
- 3 months
- −14.3%
- 6 months
- −6.6%
- 1 year
- +36.8%
The full XPO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open XPO in Gekko
Follow XPO through every session
Put XPO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About XPO
XPO moves freight for businesses across the United States, the rest of North America, and parts of Europe including France and the United Kingdom. It is known for its less-than-truckload trucking network, which carries goods over regional, inter-regional, and long-haul routes, including shipments that cross the borders between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada. Customers span industrial and manufacturing firms, retail and e-commerce sellers, food and beverage companies, other transportation and logistics businesses, and consumer goods makers.
The company runs two main lines of business. One is its North American LTL operation, which handles the core trucking services described above. The other covers brokerage and related work, including the final delivery step for large items bought online or through retail and direct-to-consumer channels, as well as brokered freight arrangements that sit outside its own trucking network.
XPO was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker XPO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Trucking
- Website
- xpo.com
XPO GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
XPO’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions.
64.6Accumulation
Down 3.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 26 | +0.4% | 0.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 208 | +1.4% | +4.2% | ||
| Neutral | 398 | +0.2% | +2.1% | ||
| Distribution | 32 | +4.7% | +5.5% | ||
| Selling | 8 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average XPO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the XPO price, zone by zone.Track XPO in Gekko
Is XPO stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
XPO trades 4.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $184.97, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what XPO shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$184.97
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
4.5% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open XPO in Gekko
XPO insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for XPO, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in XPO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for XPO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XPO in Gekko
Buybacks
XPO has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $70.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.34%
- Trailing four quarters
- $215.0M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds XPO.
0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
XPO earnings: next date and track record
XPO reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
Expected before the open, 30 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.54
- Revenue estimate
- $2.36B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.5%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- XPO reported strong Q4 2025 results with adjusted EBITDA of $312 million and adjusted EPS of $0.88. North American LTL delivered adjusted operating income of $181 million, up 14% year-over-year, with adjusted operating ratio improving 180 basis points. The company expanded LTL margins by 590 basis points since 2022 despite prolonged trade downturn. Full-year yield excluding fuel grew 6% for the third consecutive year of quarterly revenue per shipment improvements.
- Guidance
- Management expressed confidence in their strategic positioning for recovery with 30% excess door capacity and youngest fleet in industry at 3.7 years average age. They emphasized readiness to capitalize on operating leverage when demand recovers.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.88 est $0.76 | $2.01B est $1.96B | +13.4% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.07 est $1.02 | $2.11B est $2.07B | +15.3% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $1.05 est $0.99 | $2.08B est $2.09B | −10.2% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.73 est $0.65 | $1.95B est $2.07B | +6.7% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $0.89 est $0.63 | $1.92B est $1.92B | +8.7% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $1.02 est $0.90 | $2.05B est $2.02B | +8.5% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | $1.12 est $1.01 | $2.08B est $2.07B | −3.4% |
| May 3, 2024 | $0.81 est $0.67 | $2.02B est $2.01B | +1.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
XPO stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for XPO is $232.33, +31.5% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$232.33consensus 12-month target, +31.5% from the last close
Now $176.66Avg $232.33
Low $115High $270
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | Wells Fargo | $250 | +41.5% |
| Sep 21 | Bernstein | $244 | +38.1% |
| Sep 10 | Bernstein | $244 | +38.1% |
| Sep 9 | Citi | $220 | +24.5% |
| Sep 8 | Citi | $220 | +24.5% |
+4.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
XPO seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, XPO averaged +1.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +18.8% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, XPO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.5%.
XPO market cap and key statistics
XPO’s market cap is $20.68B, with a P/E ratio of 53.2 and revenue of $8.57B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $20.68B
- P/E ratio
- 53.2
- Forward P/E
- 27
- EPS, TTM
- $3.31
- Gekko Fair Value
- $184.97
Trading
- Volume
- 1.38M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.16M
- 52-week high
- $232.05
- 52-week low
- $121.48
- Shares outstanding
- 117.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.57B
- Profit margin
- 4.7%
- Return on equity
- 21.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +52.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.70
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.5%
XPO stock news this week
Coverage of XPO this week reads positive: 7 positive, 0 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- XPO Named to 2027 FreightTech 100 List by FreightWavesHome Furnishings Business, Sep 28
- Andra AP fonden Invests $16.85 Million in XPO, Inc. $XPOMarketBeat, Sep 23
- XPO stock holds a 52 week range as earnings beat estimatesAD HOC NEWS, Sep 23
- XPO Named a 2027 FreightTech 100 Company by FreightWavesGlobeNewswire, Sep 22
- Only 11 companies made FreightWaves' freight technology list every year since 2020. XPO is one.Stock Titan, Sep 22
- XPO, Inc. (NYSE:XPO) Given Consensus Rating of "Moderate Buy" by BrokeragesMarketBeat, Sep 22
XPO peers
XPO’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line | Accumulation | 2.4% above |
| JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services | Buying | 5.1% below |
| KNXKnight-Swift Transportation | Accumulation | 2.2% above |
| TFIITFI International | Buying | 18.0% below |
| SAIASaia | Accumulation | 8.1% below |
| LSTRLandstar System | Accumulation | 9.6% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
XPO stock FAQ
What is XPO’s market cap?
XPO’s market cap is $20.68B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $176.66, with 117.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 53.2.
What is the XPO stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for XPO is $232.33, +31.5% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is XPO stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate XPO is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $176.66 is 4.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $184.97. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does XPO report earnings next?
XPO is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.54 per share on revenue of $2.36B. XPO beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.5% on average across the report.
What is XPO’s 52-week high and low?
XPO’s 52-week high is $232.05 and its 52-week low is $121.48; it closed at $176.66 on Sep 28, 2026, +36.8% over the past year.
Is XPO stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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