NASDAQ: ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$179.39+1.71 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Old Dominion Freight Line closed at $179.39 on 4 November 2026, +1% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($182.09) and 200-day ($201.78) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $126.01 to $252.03. The GekkoIndex reads 61.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 6 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $160.75, so the price is 11.6% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 3 February 2027, 90 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 7 times, with an average move of 5.6% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +4.9% over the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

17 firms rate the stock: 7 buy, 10 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $213.48. A typical daily move is about 3.7%, and a typical 20-day move about 6.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (trend, fair value).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Old Dominion Freight Line price vs fair value

$179.39$160.75Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $179.39200-day averageGekko Fair Value $160.75

Old Dominion Freight Line quick facts

Market cap
$37.31B
P/E ratio
31
Forward P/E
26.1
EPS, TTM
$5.69
Revenue, TTM
$5.79B
Profit margin
20.1%
Dividend yield
0.67%
Beta
1.15
Volume
1.90M avg 1.96M
1-year return
+30.5%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
50-day average
$182.09
200-day average
$201.78
Next earnings
Feb 3
Shares outstanding
208.0M
52-week range
$126.01$252.03

Old Dominion Freight Line swing-trade checklist

Old Dominion Freight Line scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $179.39 is below the 50-day ($182.09) and 200-day ($201.78) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.5, Accumulation

    Reading 61.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    11.6% above

    Price is 11.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 90 days

    Next report Feb 3, 2027, 90 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.9% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Old Dominion Freight Line stock chart and price history

Old Dominion Freight Line closed at $179.39 on Nov 4, 2026, +30.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $126.01 to $252.03.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Old Dominion Freight Line share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$125$150$200$225$250DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct179.39

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.8%
3 months
−15.1%
6 months
−10.6%
1 year
+30.5%
The full ODFL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ODFL in Gekko

Follow Old Dominion Freight Line through every session

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About Old Dominion Freight Line

Old Dominion Freight Line moves freight for businesses across the United States and North America, specializing in less-than-truckload shipping. It handles regional, inter-regional, and national deliveries, with expedited options available for shippers who need faster transit times. The company is best recognized for this core LTL trucking business, which forms the bulk of what it does.

Beyond hauling freight, Old Dominion Freight Line rounds out its business with related services including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting, giving customers additional options alongside standard shipping. Its operations rely on a large fleet of tractors and trailers, backed by a network of service centers and maintenance facilities that keep freight moving through its regional and national routes.

Old Dominion Freight Line was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ODFL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Trucking
Website
odfl.com

Old Dominion Freight Line GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Old Dominion Freight Line’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 6 points over five sessions.

010061.5Accumulation

Down 6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36−0.7%+0.7%+1.8%+0.6%
Accumulation (current zone)267+0.2%+0.5%+0.9%+3.0%
Neutral353+0.1%−0.1%−0.5%−1.9%
Distribution39−0.8%−0.6%−0.9%−1.7%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average ODFL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ODFL price, zone by zone.Track ODFL in Gekko

Is Old Dominion Freight Line stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Old Dominion Freight Line trades 11.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $160.75, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Old Dominion Freight Line shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$160.75

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

11.6% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 23.6% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$161$178Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ODFL in Gekko

Old Dominion Freight Line insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Old Dominion Freight Line, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ODFL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ODFL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ODFL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ODFL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ODFL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ODFL in Gekko

Buybacks

Old Dominion Freight Line has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$151.6M
As a share of market cap
0.41%
Trailing four quarters
$545.5M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ODFL.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Old Dominion Freight Line earnings: next date and track record

Old Dominion Freight Line reports on Feb 3, 2027 (90 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.7%Feb ’25+4.5%Apr ’25−7.9%Jul ’25+0.9%Oct ’25+6.5%Feb ’26−4.2%Apr ’26−6.1%Jul ’26−7.8%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
ODFL reported strong Q3 2026 results with revenue increasing 13.1% and EPS growing 28.9% year-over-year. Operating ratio improved 280 basis points to 71.5%, demonstrating significant operating leverage. LTL tons per day increased year-over-year in September, signaling improving demand. The company maintained 99% on-time delivery and 0.1% cargo claims ratio, earning the #1 national LTL provider ranking from Mastio & Company for the 17th consecutive year.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in continued market share gains and profitable revenue growth, citing excess network capacity ready to absorb incremental volume. The stable macro environment and improving demand trends suggest continued operating leverage as network density improves.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 28, 2026$1.65
est $1.61
+2.5%$1.59B
est $1.57B
+1.2%−7.8%
Jul 29, 2026$1.68
est $1.52
+10.5%$1.55B
est $1.54B
+0.9%−6.1%
Apr 29, 2026$1.14
est $1.05
+8.6%$1.33B
est $1.31B
+1.6%−4.2%
Feb 4, 2026$1.09
est $1.06
+2.8%$1.31B
est $1.30B
+0.6%+6.5%
Oct 29, 2025$1.28
est $1.22
+4.9%$1.41B
est $1.40B
+0.2%+0.9%
Jul 30, 2025$1.27
est $1.28
−0.8%$1.41B
est $1.42B
−0.6%−7.9%
Apr 23, 2025$1.19
est $1.14
+4.4%$1.37B
est $1.37B
+0.6%+4.5%
Feb 5, 2025$1.23
est $1.16
+6.0%$1.39B
est $1.38B
+0.8%+6.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Old Dominion Freight Line stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Old Dominion Freight Line is $213.48, +19.0% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$213.48consensus 12-month target, +19.0% from the last close
Low $194High $245
Buy7
Hold10
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 30J.P. MorganHold, maintained$216+20.4%
Oct 29Robert W. BairdHold, maintained$215+19.9%
Oct 29Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$224+24.9%
Oct 29Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$220+22.6%
Oct 29TD CowenHold, maintained$226+26.0%
+0.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Old Dominion Freight Line seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Old Dominion Freight Line averaged +4.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.0%2021+6.6%2022+0.2%2023+7.2%2024+6.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.9%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.1%3 of 5

For scale, ODFL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.

Old Dominion Freight Line market cap and key statistics

Old Dominion Freight Line’s market cap is $37.31B, with a P/E ratio of 31 and revenue of $5.79B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$37.31B
P/E ratio
31
Forward P/E
26.1
EPS, TTM
$5.69
Gekko Fair Value
$160.75

Trading

Volume
1.90M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.96M
52-week high
$252.03
52-week low
$126.01
Shares outstanding
208.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.79B
Profit margin
20.1%
Return on equity
26%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+28.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.15
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
Dividend yield
0.67%

Old Dominion Freight Line peers

Old Dominion Freight Line’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XPOXPO−3.5%Neutral5.7% above
JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services−0.1%Neutral4.3% above
KNXKnight-Swift Transportation−2.3%Accumulation2.5% above
SAIASaia+0.6%Neutral6.1% above
TFIITFI International+2.1%Buying26.7% below
SNDRSchneider National−0.4%Accumulation2.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Trucking

Old Dominion Freight Line stock FAQ

What is Old Dominion Freight Line’s market cap?

Old Dominion Freight Line’s market cap is $37.31B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $179.39, with 208.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.

What is the Old Dominion Freight Line stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Old Dominion Freight Line is $213.48, +19.0% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Old Dominion Freight Line stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Old Dominion Freight Line is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $179.39 is 11.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $160.75. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Old Dominion Freight Line report earnings next?

Old Dominion Freight Line is expected to report on Feb 3, 2027 (90 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.50 per share on revenue of $1.54B. Old Dominion Freight Line beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.6% on average across the report.

What is Old Dominion Freight Line’s 52-week high and low?

Old Dominion Freight Line’s 52-week high is $252.03 and its 52-week low is $126.01; it closed at $179.39 on Nov 4, 2026, +30.5% over the past year.

Is Old Dominion Freight Line stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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