Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ODFL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ODFL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ODFL in Gekko
NASDAQ: ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$173.00−2.09 (−1.2%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOld Dominion Freight Line closes at $173.00, down 1.2% on the day, with the stock sitting below both its 50-day average of $207.58 and its 200-day average of $198.65, well off its 52-week high of $252.03 and above its 52-week low of $126.01. The GekkoIndex reads 72.1, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $173.59, putting price just 0.3% below that mark.
This week's coverage centers on ownership shifts and analyst moves following the company's second-quarter report. Bank of America Corp DE disclosed a new stake of 739,367 shares valued at approximately $160.1 million, while National Pension Service trimmed its holding by 12.4% to 266,283 shares worth about $57.68 million; institutional investors collectively hold 77.82% of the company. Sanford C. Bernstein raised its rating to "Hold" and Wall Street Zen upgraded shares to "buy," with a cited price target of $227.65, even as coverage noted shares gapped down despite beating EPS estimates and revenue rising 10.4% year-over-year to $1.55 billion. Separately, implied volatility has been reported as surging on the October 16, 2026 $90.00 put.
The next earnings date falls on 28 October 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Seasonality for this point in the calendar shows a 2.6% average gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, positive in 4 of them. Analyst coverage spans 17 firms, with 9 at buy, 8 at hold, none at sell, and a consensus target of $228.78, implying 32.2% upside. One billionaire holder is on record, worth noting alongside the absence of tracked insider, Congress or unusual options activity in their respective windows.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $173.00200-day averageGekko Fair Value $173.59
Key stats
- Market cap
- $35.98B
- P/E ratio
- 33.5
- Forward P/E
- 26.8
- EPS, TTM
- $5.22
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.60B
- Profit margin
- 19.4%
- Dividend yield
- 0.65%
- Beta
- 1.17
- Volume
- 3.48M avg 1.79M
- 1-year return
- +22.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- 50-day average
- $207.58
- 200-day average
- $198.65
- Next earnings
- Oct 28
- Shares outstanding
- 208.0M
Old Dominion Freight Line swing-trade checklist
Old Dominion Freight Line scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $173.00 sits between the 50-day ($207.58) and 200-day ($198.65) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
72.1, Buying
Reading 72.1 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
0.3% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.3% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 38 days
Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Old Dominion Freight Line stock chart and price history
Old Dominion Freight Line closed at $173.00 on Sep 18, 2026, +22.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $126.01 to $252.03.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −15.6%
- 3 months
- −21.7%
- 6 months
- −5.1%
- 1 year
- +22.0%
The full ODFL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ODFL in Gekko
Follow Old Dominion Freight Line through every session
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About Old Dominion Freight Line
Old Dominion Freight Line moves freight for businesses across the United States and North America, specializing in less-than-truckload shipping. It handles regional, inter-regional, and national deliveries, with expedited options available for shippers who need faster transit times. The company is best recognized for this core LTL trucking business, which forms the bulk of what it does.
Beyond hauling freight, Old Dominion Freight Line rounds out its business with related services including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting, giving customers additional options alongside standard shipping. Its operations rely on a large fleet of tractors and trailers, backed by a network of service centers and maintenance facilities that keep freight moving through its regional and national routes.
Old Dominion Freight Line was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ODFL.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Trucking
- Website
- odfl.com
Old Dominion Freight Line GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Old Dominion Freight Line’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.1, in the Buying zone, up 0.5 points over five sessions.
72.1Buying
Up 0.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 26 | −0.2% | +2.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 252 | +0.1% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral | 343 | +0.2% | −0.5% | ||
| Distribution | 39 | −0.8% | −0.9% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ODFL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ODFL price, zone by zone.Track ODFL in Gekko
Is Old Dominion Freight Line stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Old Dominion Freight Line trades 0.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $173.59, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Old Dominion Freight Line shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$173.59
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
0.3% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ODFL in Gekko
Old Dominion Freight Line insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Old Dominion Freight Line, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ODFL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ODFL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ODFL in Gekko
Buybacks
Old Dominion Freight Line has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $151.6M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.42%
- Trailing four quarters
- $545.5M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ODFL.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Old Dominion Freight Line earnings: next date and track record
Old Dominion Freight Line reports on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
38 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.60
- Revenue estimate
- $1.55B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Old Dominion Freight Line reported strong Q2 2026 results with revenue increasing 10.4% and operating ratio improving 450 basis points. EPS grew 32.3% to $1.68, matching the company's previous record set in Q3 2022. Service metrics remained exceptional with 99% on-time delivery and a 0.1% claims ratio. Management made approximately 1,000 lane adjustments to improve transit times, reflecting continued investment in network capacity and technology.
- Guidance
- Management expressed cautious optimism citing stable domestic economic conditions and improving demand trends that began late last year. Customer feedback suggests superior service is driving incremental market share gains, positioning ODFL to capitalize on capacity-constrained environments.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $1.68 est $1.52 | $1.55B est $1.54B | −6.1% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $1.14 est $1.05 | $1.33B est $1.31B | −4.2% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | $1.09 est $1.06 | $1.31B est $1.30B | +6.5% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $1.28 est $1.22 | $1.41B est $1.40B | +0.9% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $1.27 est $1.28 | $1.41B est $1.42B | −7.9% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $1.19 est $1.14 | $1.37B est $1.37B | +4.5% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $1.23 est $1.16 | $1.39B est $1.38B | +6.7% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $1.43 est $1.42 | $1.47B est $1.49B | −3.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Old Dominion Freight Line stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Old Dominion Freight Line is $228.78, +32.2% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$228.78consensus 12-month target, +32.2% from the last close
Now $173.00Avg $228.78
Low $200High $280
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | Goldman Sachs | $244 | +41.0% |
| Sep 10 | Bernstein | $200 | +15.6% |
| Sep 9 | Citi | $223 | +28.9% |
| Sep 8 | Citi | $223 | +28.9% |
| Sep 4 | Stifel Nicolaus | $263 | +52.0% |
+2.7%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Old Dominion Freight Line seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Old Dominion Freight Line averaged +2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, ODFL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.
Old Dominion Freight Line market cap and key statistics
Old Dominion Freight Line’s market cap is $35.98B, with a P/E ratio of 33.5 and revenue of $5.60B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $35.98B
- P/E ratio
- 33.5
- Forward P/E
- 26.8
- EPS, TTM
- $5.22
- Gekko Fair Value
- $173.59
Trading
- Volume
- 3.48M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.79M
- 52-week high
- $252.03
- 52-week low
- $126.01
- Shares outstanding
- 208.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.60B
- Profit margin
- 19.4%
- Return on equity
- 24.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +32.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.17
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- Dividend yield
- 0.65%
Old Dominion Freight Line stock news this week
Coverage of Old Dominion Freight Line this week reads positive: 5 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- 739,367 Shares in Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. $ODFL Purchased by Bank of America Corp DEMarketBeat, Sep 18
- Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:ODFL) Shares Gap Down - Should You Sell?MarketBeat, Sep 16
- Is Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Outperforming Other Transportation Stocks This Year?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 15
- Implied Volatility Surging for Old Dominion Stock OptionsYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 14
- How Is Old Dominion Freight's Stock Performance Compared to Other Industrial StocksWebull, Sep 12
- Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:ODFL) Raised to "Hold" at Sanford C. BernsteinMarketBeat, Sep 12
Old Dominion Freight Line peers
Old Dominion Freight Line’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services | Buying | 2.7% below |
| XPOXPO | Accumulation | 6.0% below |
| KNXKnight-Swift Transportation | Accumulation | 5.9% above |
| TFIITFI International | Accumulation | 17.5% below |
| SAIASaia | Accumulation | 5.9% below |
| LSTRLandstar System | Accumulation | 10.5% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Old Dominion Freight Line stock FAQ
What is Old Dominion Freight Line’s market cap?
Old Dominion Freight Line’s market cap is $35.98B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $173.00, with 208.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.5.
What is the Old Dominion Freight Line stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Old Dominion Freight Line is $228.78, +32.2% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Old Dominion Freight Line stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Old Dominion Freight Line is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $173.00 is 0.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $173.59. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Old Dominion Freight Line report earnings next?
Old Dominion Freight Line is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.60 per share on revenue of $1.55B. Old Dominion Freight Line beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.
What is Old Dominion Freight Line’s 52-week high and low?
Old Dominion Freight Line’s 52-week high is $252.03 and its 52-week low is $126.01; it closed at $173.00 on Sep 18, 2026, +22.0% over the past year.
Is Old Dominion Freight Line stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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