NASDAQ: ARCB

ArcBest (ARCB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$129.67+0.31 (+0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Analyst actions dominate ArcBest's week, with Stifel lowering its price target to $168 from $185 while keeping a Buy rating, and Citigroup trimming its target to $170 from $173 while also maintaining a Buy. Both firms point to brokerage and asset-light division weakness pressuring near-term earnings, even as ArcBest's labor contract is cited as a source of financial stability. Separately, options traders have shown elevated implied volatility around a December $95 call, and brokerage coverage from fifteen firms puts a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating on the stock with an average price target of $154.23.

ArcBest shares closed at $129.67, up 0.2%, sitting between the 50-day moving average of $134.69 and the 200-day average of $121.29, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 61, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 7.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $120.75. Over the past six months the stock has returned 19.4%, and over the past year 74.9%, though the most recent month and quarter show declines of 3.8% and 14.5% respectively.

The next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 22 days out and just beyond the typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the last report showing an EPS miss ($0.36 actual versus $0.45 estimate) alongside a 16.9% price reaction. Seasonality over this stretch has averaged a 10.5% gain across 5 years, with gains in 3 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears within the respective tracking windows, leaving the earnings date and seasonal pattern as the notable factors over the coming stretch.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

ArcBest price vs fair value

$129.67$120.75Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $129.67200-day averageGekko Fair Value $120.75

ArcBest quick facts

Market cap
$2.90B
P/E ratio
188.4
Forward P/E
13.7
EPS, TTM
$0.69
Revenue, TTM
$4.20B
Profit margin
0.4%
Dividend yield
0.38%
Beta
1.70
Volume
156,397 avg 239,487
1-year return
+74.9%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±9%
50-day average
$134.69
200-day average
$121.29
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
22.35M
52-week range
$59.43$176.69

ArcBest swing-trade checklist

ArcBest scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $129.67 sits between the 50-day ($134.69) and 200-day ($121.29) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61, Accumulation

    Reading 61 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    7.4% above

    Price is 7.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +10.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

ArcBest stock chart and price history

ArcBest closed at $129.67 on Oct 12, 2026, +74.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $59.43 to $176.69.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
ArcBest share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$75$100$150$175NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct129.67

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.8%
3 months
−14.5%
6 months
+19.4%
1 year
+74.9%
The full ARCB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARCB in Gekko

Follow ArcBest through every session

Put ARCB on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About ArcBest

ArcBest moves freight by road, air, and sea, combining its own trucking operations with brokered transportation capacity. It carries general commodities ranging from food, textiles, and furniture to chemicals, metal products, machinery, and automotive parts, and it is recognized for its less-than-truckload trucking service that handles these goods across North America, including cross-border moves into Mexico.

The company runs through two business segments. One owns and operates the trucking network that handles less-than-truckload freight. The other arranges transportation without owning the underlying equipment, covering ground expediting, brokered capacity such as dry van, refrigerated, flatbed, and intermodal shipping, ocean freight in both partial and full container loads, warehousing, distribution, and managed transportation. This segment also handles consumer moving services, final mile and time-sensitive deliveries, retail logistics, trade show shipping, and international freight combining air, ocean, and ground transport.

ArcBest was founded in 1923 and is based in Fort Smith, Arkansas. It traded previously as Arkansas Best Corporation before adopting its present name in 2014. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ARCB.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Trucking
Website
arcb.com

ArcBest GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

ArcBest’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.8 points over five sessions.

010061Accumulation

Up 1.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying39+0.3%+2.0%−2.8%−4.4%
Accumulation (current zone)256+0.1%+0.1%+1.5%+4.7%
Neutral326+0.4%+0.9%+1.2%+1.4%
Distribution55+1.0%0.0%−0.3%+4.8%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average ARCB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARCB price, zone by zone.Track ARCB in Gekko

Is ArcBest stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

ArcBest trades 7.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $120.75, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what ArcBest shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$120.75

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

7.4% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 14.4% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$121$129Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARCB in Gekko

ArcBest insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ArcBest, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARCB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ARCB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARCB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ARCB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ARCB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARCB in Gekko

Buybacks

ArcBest has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$749K
As a share of market cap
0.03%
Trailing four quarters
$42.00M

From company filings.

ArcBest earnings: next date and track record

ArcBest reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.3%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−16.3%Apr ’24−13.8%Aug ’24−3.5%Nov ’24−3.3%Jan ’25−1.0%Apr ’25−10.8%Jul ’25−8.9%Nov ’25+16.9%Jan ’26

Last earnings call, Jan 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
ArcBest reported solid Q4 2025 results with asset-based LTL shipments up 2% YoY averaging ~20,000 shipments/day. Deferred price increases averaged 5%, up from 4.5% in Q3. Managed solutions delivered double-digit shipment growth with record full-year revenue. Truckload revenue per shipment rose 11% YoY with gross margins improving 17%. Continuous improvement initiatives generated $24 million in annual cost savings across ~60% of the network.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in long-term targets outlined at September Investor Day. Strategic priorities focus on growth, efficiency, and innovation pillars. New COO appointment and board additions signal continued investment in asset-light business expansion and operational excellence.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 30, 2026$0.36
est $0.45
−20.0%$972.7M
est $967.8M
+0.5%+16.9%
Nov 5, 2025$1.46
est $1.37
+6.6%$1.05B
est $961.7M
+9.0%−8.9%
Jul 30, 2025$1.36
est $1.48
−8.1%$1.02B
est $1.04B
−1.6%−10.8%
Apr 29, 2025$0.51
est $0.52
−1.9%$967.1M
est $1.03B
−5.7%−1.0%
Jan 31, 2025$1.33
est $1.05
+26.7%$1.00B
est $1.01B
−0.7%−3.3%
Nov 1, 2024$1.64
est $1.84
−10.9%$1.06B
est $1.07B
−0.5%−3.5%
Aug 2, 2024$1.98
est $2.06
−3.9%$1.08B
est $1.06B
+2.1%−13.8%
Apr 30, 2024$1.34
est $1.54
−13.0%$1.04B
est $1.04B
0.0%−16.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

ArcBest stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ArcBest is $166.85, +28.7% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$166.85consensus 12-month target, +28.7% from the last close
Low $150High $180
Buy6
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 8CitiBuy, maintained$170+31.1%
Oct 8Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$168+29.6%
Oct 8Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$180+38.8%
Oct 7Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$160+23.4%
Oct 7CitiBuy, maintained$170+31.1%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+10.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

ArcBest seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, ArcBest averaged +10.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+26.3%2021−2.0%2022+13.7%2023+11.1%2024−4.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.7%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+10.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.4%4 of 5

For scale, ARCB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9%.

ArcBest market cap and key statistics

ArcBest’s market cap is $2.90B, with a P/E ratio of 188.4 and revenue of $4.20B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.90B
P/E ratio
188.4
Forward P/E
13.7
EPS, TTM
$0.69
Gekko Fair Value
$120.75

Trading

Volume
156,397
Avg volume, 20 days
239,487
52-week high
$176.69
52-week low
$59.43
Shares outstanding
22.35M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.20B
Profit margin
0.4%
Return on equity
1.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−59.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.70
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±9%
Dividend yield
0.38%

ArcBest stock news this week

Coverage of ArcBest this week reads negative: 0 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

ArcBest peers

ArcBest’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line−0.1%Neutral7.7% above
JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services−0.5%Accumulation0.0% above
XPOXPO−1.5%Neutral0.8% below
KNXKnight-Swift Transportation+0.5%Accumulation5.8% above
TFIITFI International−0.5%Buying22.1% below
SAIASaia+0.5%Accumulation3.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

ArcBest stock FAQ

What is ArcBest’s market cap?

ArcBest’s market cap is $2.90B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $129.67, with 22.35M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 188.4.

What is the ArcBest stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ArcBest is $166.85, +28.7% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is ArcBest stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate ArcBest is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $129.67 is 7.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $120.75. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does ArcBest report earnings next?

ArcBest is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.48 per share on revenue of $1.20B. ArcBest beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.3% on average across the report.

What is ArcBest’s 52-week high and low?

ArcBest’s 52-week high is $176.69 and its 52-week low is $59.43; it closed at $129.67 on Oct 12, 2026, +74.9% over the past year.

Is ArcBest stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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