NYSE: NEU

NewMarket (NEU) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$912.44+14.40 (+1.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

The only development of note this week is a regulatory filing showing an increased institutional stake in NewMarket, with no operational, product, deal or analyst news reported in the period.

NEU closed at $912.44, up 1.6% on the day, trading above both its 50-day average of $882.88 and its 200-day average of $742.51, and not far from its 52-week high of $981.66 after a 6-month gain of 45.4% and a 3-month gain of 15.4%. The GekkoIndex reading of 52.4 places the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -7.6. The current price sits 17.3% above the Gekko Fair Value of $777.64.

NewMarket's next earnings report is due on 26 October 2026, 27 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the prior release having produced a -17% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity is recorded in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a -2.1% return over 5 years, with gains in 1 of those years, worth weighing alongside the approaching earnings date.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

NewMarket price vs fair value

$912.44$777.64Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $912.44200-day averageGekko Fair Value $777.64

NewMarket quick facts

Market cap
$8.39B
P/E ratio
19.2
Forward P/E
22.5
EPS, TTM
$46.63
Revenue, TTM
$2.74B
Profit margin
15.8%
Dividend yield
1.32%
Beta
0.56
Volume
112,270 avg 122,210
1-year return
+10.5%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$882.88
200-day average
$742.51
Next earnings
Oct 26
Shares outstanding
9.20M
52-week range
$580.03$981.66

NewMarket swing-trade checklist

NewMarket scores 1 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $912.44 is above the 50-day ($882.88) and 200-day ($742.51) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.4, Neutral

    Reading 52.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    17.3% above

    Price is 17.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 27 days

    Reports on Oct 26, 2026, 27 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.1% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NewMarket stock chart and price history

NewMarket closed at $912.44 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $580.03 to $981.66.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
NewMarket share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$600$700$800NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep912.44

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.2%
3 months
+15.4%
6 months
+45.4%
1 year
+10.5%
The full NEU chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NEU in Gekko

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About NewMarket

NewMarket makes and supplies petroleum additives through its subsidiaries. Its main line is lubricant additives that help engine oils, driveline fluids and industrial fluids perform well, covering uses from passenger cars, motorcycles and heavy-duty trucks to locomotives, marine engines, off-road powertrains, hydraulic systems, greases, gear lubricants and turbine oils. It also develops fuel additives that support refining and improve gasoline, diesel and biofuel performance.

Its additives reach industrial companies, government bodies, original equipment manufacturers and individual end users. Alongside its additive business, NewMarket produces antiknock compounds, offers contract manufacturing services, and holds a real estate property in Virginia. Operations extend across North America, Latin America, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and India.

NewMarket was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker NEU.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Chemicals: specialty
Website
newmarket.com

NewMarket GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NewMarket’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.4, in the Neutral zone, down 7.6 points over five sessions.

010052.4Neutral

Down 7.6 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+1.5%+1.6%+0.6%−0.4%
Accumulation197+0.2%+0.2%+0.9%+1.7%
Neutral (current zone)369+0.3%+1.0%+2.2%+4.8%
Distribution63+1.1%+1.4%+0.6%+7.7%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average NEU share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NEU price, zone by zone.Track NEU in Gekko

Is NewMarket stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NewMarket trades 17.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $777.64, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NewMarket shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$777.64

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

17.3% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NEU in Gekko

NewMarket insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NewMarket, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NEU in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NEU insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NEU in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NEU were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NEU, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NEU in Gekko

Buybacks

NewMarket has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$861K
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

NewMarket earnings: next date and track record

NewMarket reports on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 2 reports.

2 of 2reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−9.0%Apr ’24+0.8%Jul ’24+4.0%Oct ’24−0.4%Jan ’25+2.9%Apr ’25−0.1%Jul ’25−0.2%Oct ’25−17.0%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 11, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NewMarket Corporation's conference call reviewed Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results. Management noted declines in pretax income and net income in 2025 versus 2024, driven largely by a higher effective tax rate and softer petroleum additive sales. Full-year pretax income decreased modestly (4%), while net income and EPS fell due to higher taxes. Petroleum additive sales and operating profit declined year-over-year, with operating profit impacted by a 6% shipment decline attributed to market softness. The call included references to the company's earnings release and 2025 Form 10-K for more details and non-GAAP reconciliations. No forward-looking guidance was provided during the remarks, and the call contained standard cautionary language regarding forward-looking statements.
Risks flagged
Higher effective tax rate materially reduced net income and EPS; market softness leading to a 6% decline in shipments and lower petroleum additive sales and operating profit; potential macroeconomic or industry headwinds referenced generally; investors should review 10-K and earnings release for additional risks.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 11, 2026$8.65—$635.4M—−17.0%
Oct 22, 2025$10.67—$690.3M—−0.2%
Jul 30, 2025$11.84—$698.5M—−0.1%
Apr 22, 2025$13.26—$700.9M—+2.9%
Jan 29, 2025$11.56———−0.4%
Oct 23, 2024$13.79—$724.9M—+4.0%
Jul 29, 2024$11.63
est $11.63
0.0%$710.2M—+0.8%
Apr 24, 2024$11.23
est $11.23
0.0%$696.7M—−9.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NewMarket stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NewMarket is $450.00, −50.7% from the last close.

$450.00consensus 12-month target, −50.7% from the last close
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NewMarket seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, NewMarket averaged −2.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.1%2021−0.3%2022+3.9%2023−2.7%2024−7.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.4%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.1%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.8%3 of 5

For scale, NEU’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

NewMarket market cap and key statistics

NewMarket’s market cap is $8.39B, with a P/E ratio of 19.2 and revenue of $2.74B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$8.39B
P/E ratio
19.2
Forward P/E
22.5
EPS, TTM
$46.63
Gekko Fair Value
$777.64

Trading

Volume
112,270
Avg volume, 20 days
122,210
52-week high
$981.66
52-week low
$580.03
Shares outstanding
9.20M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.74B
Profit margin
15.8%
Return on equity
25.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+22.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.56
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
1.32%

NewMarket stock news this week

1 headline about NewMarket from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

NewMarket peers

NewMarket’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LINLinde+1.0%Accumulation2.8% below
ECLEcolab+1.0%Neutral8.2% above
APDAir Products and Chemicals−0.7%Accumulation11.9% below
DOWDow−1.5%Accumulation34.3% below
LYBLyondellBasell Industries−0.8%Accumulation12.3% below
ALBAlbemarle−0.1%Accumulation24.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

NewMarket stock FAQ

What is NewMarket’s market cap?

NewMarket’s market cap is $8.39B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $912.44, with 9.20M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.2.

What is the NewMarket stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NewMarket is $450.00, −50.7% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NewMarket stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NewMarket is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $912.44 is 17.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $777.64. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NewMarket report earnings next?

NewMarket is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away).

What is NewMarket’s 52-week high and low?

NewMarket’s 52-week high is $981.66 and its 52-week low is $580.03; it closed at $912.44 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.5% over the past year.

Is NewMarket stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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