Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for DOW in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every DOW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DOW in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryDow shares slipped this week amid broader market pressure, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average itself falling as oil prices and Treasury yields climbed. UBS analyst Joshua Spector cut his price target on the stock from $32 to $30 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing margin pressures in the commodity chemicals sector tied to slow industrial demand recovery and constrained pricing power. The stock traded as low as $28.10 intraday on 25 September, underperforming peer LyondellBasell, and closed at $28.02 that day before easing further.
Dow closed at $27.89, down 0.5%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $30.07 and 200-day average of $31.93, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 66.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 34.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $42.48.
Dow's next earnings report is scheduled for 22 October, 23 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 23 July beat estimates ($1.44 vs $1.25) but still drew a -4.5% reaction. Options activity over the past 30 days shows one unusual signal, with put premium of $1,314,445 against call premium of $48,901. Seasonality over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -0.2%, higher in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus across 13 firms includes 4 buy, 8 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $34.31.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Dow price vs fair value
Close $27.89200-day averageGekko Fair Value $42.48
Dow quick facts
- Market cap
- $20.15B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 14.1
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.83
- Revenue, TTM
- $41.32B
- Profit margin
- -3.1%
- Dividend yield
- 4.90%
- Beta
- 0.42
- Volume
- 7.99M avg 8.78M
- 1-year return
- +25.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.3%
- 50-day average
- $30.07
- 200-day average
- $31.93
- Next earnings
- Oct 22 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 722.3M
Dow swing-trade checklist
Dow scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 4 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive0 mixed4 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $27.89 is below the 50-day ($30.07) and 200-day ($31.93) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.3, Accumulation
Reading 66.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
34.3% below
Price is 34.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Dow stock chart and price history
Dow closed at $27.89 on Sep 28, 2026, +25.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $20.65 to $42.74.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.0%
- 3 months
- −0.1%
- 6 months
- −31.7%
- 1 year
- +25.6%
The full DOW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DOW in Gekko
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About Dow
Dow supplies materials used in packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer goods, drawing on chemistry-based products that turn up in everyday manufacturing across many industries. It is known for producing the basic building blocks and finished materials that other companies use to make plastics, coatings, adhesives, and construction components.
The company runs through three main units. One makes core chemicals and polymers such as ethylene, propylene, and various polyethylene products used in plastics and packaging. Another handles a wider mix of goods, including glycols, polyurethane systems, coatings, adhesives, and chemicals like caustic soda and vinyl chloride monomers, along with specialty items such as cellulose ethers and acrylic emulsions. The third focuses on paints, protective coatings, and silicone-based materials for uses ranging from wood and metal finishes to traffic markings and leather goods. Dow also has a smaller business in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance. Its customer base spans sectors tied to construction, consumer products, and industrial manufacturing, and its operations reach the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America.
Dow was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Midland, Michigan. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DOW.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Process industries
- Industry
- Chemicals: specialty
- Website
- dow.com
Dow GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Dow’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.7 points over five sessions.
66.3Accumulation
Up 0.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 75 | −0.3% | −0.1% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 258 | +0.1% | −3.0% | ||
| Neutral | 315 | −0.8% | −0.6% | ||
| Distribution | 23 | +1.6% | +4.7% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average DOW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DOW price, zone by zone.Track DOW in Gekko
Is Dow stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Dow trades 34.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $42.48, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Dow shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$42.48
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
34.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DOW in Gekko
Dow insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Dow, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in DOW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for DOW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DOW in Gekko
Buybacks
Dow has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2024
- $94.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.47%
- Trailing four quarters
- $619.0M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 4% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 5, $1.36M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold DOW.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Dow earnings: next date and track record
Dow reports on Oct 22, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 22, 2026
Expected before the open, 23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.63
- Revenue estimate
- $11.25B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Dow reported solid second-quarter 2026 results driven by pricing leadership, improved integrated margins, better cash flow and execution of self-help initiatives. Packaging & Specialty Plastics benefited from significantly higher polyethylene pricing (local price up >40%), offsetting lower volumes in several regions. Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure saw year-over-year improvement driven by higher local prices (~15%) and margin gains aided by supply disruptions for some peers. Management highlighted operational actions including restarting the low-cost Terneuzen cracker, planned maintenance on Gulf Coast crackers, and strategic siloxanes capacity realignment in Europe. The company reiterated a disciplined capital allocation approach, approximately $14 billion in available liquidity, prioritization of deleveraging, and no substantive maturities until 2029. Self-help programs were upsized with an additional $200 million benefit this year, and Transform to Outperform is now expected to deliver ~$700 million this year and $2 billion by end of next year. Management emphasized continued execution in a volatile macro environment and indicated potential upside to guidance if recent commodity dynamics persist.
- Guidance
- Third-quarter guidance: $1.7 billion EBITDA (company-wide guide). Assumes a $0.10 per pound decline in global integrated polyethylene margins versus Q2 (including a $0.15/lb June settlement in North America) and no additional quarterly price movement. Management has announced a $0.05/lb announced price increase in North America (recent action) which, if sustained or followed by additional increases, would be upside to the $1.7B guide. Self-help guidance: expecting >$1.3 billion benefits this year (upsized by $200M), $700M from Transform to Outperform this year, and a $2.0 billion total opportunity from Transform to Outperform by end of next year. Liquidity: ~ $14B available; expected >$500M working capital release in H2; ~$300M litigation proceeds received in early Q3 (in addition to ~$1B received in Q1).
- Risks flagged
- Macroeconomic and commodity price volatility (oil, naphtha, propane, benzene) that can reverse margin benefits; planned maintenance and turnarounds that constrain volumes; supply chain and shipping disruptions (e.g., Strait of Hormuz, Red Sea) creating logistics uncertainty; operational downtime of partners/JVs (e.g., Sadara) impacting volumes; regional pricing and normalization risks in Europe and Asia; execution risk on self-help initiatives and headcount reductions; regulatory and geopolitical risks impacting feedstock supply and export patterns.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $1.44 est $1.25 | $12.09B est $12.03B | −4.5% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | −$0.14 est −$0.26 | $9.79B est $9.66B | −0.4% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | −$0.34 est −$0.46 | $9.46B est $9.46B | −0.8% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | −$0.19 est −$0.31 | $9.97B est $10.22B | +14.3% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | −$0.42 est −$0.17 | $10.10B est $10.24B | −16.0% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $0.02 est −$0.01 | $10.43B est $10.24B | +3.5% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | −$0.08 est $0.24 | $10.41B est $10.51B | −4.9% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.47 est $0.47 | $10.88B est $10.65B | −3.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Dow stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Dow is $34.31, +23.0% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$34.31consensus 12-month target, +23.0% from the last close
Now $27.89Avg $34.31
Low $30High $40
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | UBS | $30 | +7.6% |
| Sep 17 | Wells Fargo | $35 | +25.5% |
| Sep 17 | Deutsche Bank | $32 | +14.7% |
| Sep 14 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Sep 11 | KeyBanc | — | — |
−3.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Dow seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Dow averaged −0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.3% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −2.0% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, DOW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.
Dow market cap and key statistics
Dow’s market cap is $20.15B and revenue of $41.32B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $20.15B
- Forward P/E
- 14.1
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.83
- Gekko Fair Value
- $42.48
Trading
- Volume
- 7.99M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 8.78M
- 52-week high
- $42.74
- 52-week low
- $20.65
- Shares outstanding
- 722.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $41.32B
- Profit margin
- -3.1%
- Return on equity
- -5.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −73.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.42
- Typical daily move
- ±3.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.3%
- Dividend yield
- 4.90%
Dow stock news this week
Coverage of Dow this week reads neutral: 4 positive, 10 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
- Dow Inc. stock at USD 28.02 on September 28, 2026AD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- [U.S. Stocks] Dow reverses gains, down $270; Nasdaq also lower (morning of the 28th)Moomoo, Sep 28
- Dow slides 330 pts as oil and yields climb, Nvidia jumps on record $150B buybackInvezz, Sep 28
- Form 4 Dow Inc For: 27 September By Investing.comInvesting.com Nigeria, Sep 27
- Dow Stock Drops Following UBS Price Target CutBenzinga, Sep 25
- Dow stock last at USD 28.10, down 1.62 percent in New York tradingAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
Dow peers
Dow’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| LINLinde | Accumulation | 2.8% below |
| ECLEcolab | Neutral | 8.2% above |
| APDAir Products and Chemicals | Accumulation | 11.9% below |
| LYBLyondellBasell Industries | Accumulation | 12.3% below |
| ALBAlbemarle | Accumulation | 24.7% below |
| WLKWestlake | Accumulation | 25.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Dow stock FAQ
What is Dow’s market cap?
Dow’s market cap is $20.15B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $27.89, with 722.3M shares outstanding.
What is the Dow stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Dow is $34.31, +23.0% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Dow stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Dow is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $27.89 is 34.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $42.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Dow report earnings next?
Dow is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.63 per share on revenue of $11.25B. Dow beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.
What is Dow’s 52-week high and low?
Dow’s 52-week high is $42.74 and its 52-week low is $20.65; it closed at $27.89 on Sep 28, 2026, +25.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $71.86 on Apr 21, 2022.
Is Dow stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 4 as headwinds (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Dow?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Dow over the last 30 days, with $49K of flagged premium in calls and $1.31M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 5, 2026 with $1.36M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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