Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for GPRE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every GPRE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GPRE in Gekko
NASDAQ: GPRE
Green Plains (GPRE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$14.60+0.26 (+1.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeGreen Plains's week centers on its second-quarter results and the milestone of producing one billion gallons of ethanol at its Superior, Iowa facility. The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $93.3 million, up from $71.5 million in the prior quarter, with diluted EPS of $0.83 beating the $0.54 consensus estimate, while revenue of $446.2 million missed estimates by 17.7%. The carbon platform contributed $59 million in EBITDA for the quarter, with first-half carbon EBITDA totaling $114 million from 45Z credits. Coverage has noted mixed near-term sentiment alongside what some describe as longer-term strength.
The stock closed at $14.60, up 1.8%, sitting between its 50-day average of $15.23 and 200-day average of $14.97. The GekkoIndex reads 62.7, placing it in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 12.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $16.76. Shares remain well off the 52-week high of $19.65, though one-year returns stand at 53.8%.
Green Plains next reports earnings on 4 November, 23 days away, placing the date inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report triggered an 11.2% reaction despite the EPS beat. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged an 8.2% gain across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 1 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $19.00 reflecting 30.1% upside from current levels.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Green Plains price vs fair value
Close $14.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $16.76
Green Plains quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.02B
- P/E ratio
- 9.4
- Forward P/E
- 9.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.61
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.83B
- Profit margin
- 6.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.15
- Volume
- 1.25M avg 1.25M
- 1-year return
- +53.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.8%
- 50-day average
- $15.23
- 200-day average
- $14.97
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 70.10M
Green Plains swing-trade checklist
Green Plains scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $14.60 sits between the 50-day ($15.23) and 200-day ($14.97) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62.7, Accumulation
Reading 62.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
12.9% below
Price is 12.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+8.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Green Plains stock chart and price history
Green Plains closed at $14.60 on Oct 12, 2026, +53.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.93 to $19.65.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −2.0%
- 3 months
- −14.7%
- 6 months
- −6.8%
- 1 year
- +53.8%
The full GPRE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GPRE in Gekko
Follow Green Plains through every session
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About Green Plains
Green Plains makes ethanol and moves it to buyers at home and abroad, alongside co-products like distiller grains, ultra-high protein, and corn oil. Industrial-grade alcohol is also part of its output. The company is widely tied to this ethanol production and distribution business.
Its work is split across three divisions. Ethanol Production handles the manufacturing of ethanol and its co-products, while Agribusiness and Energy Services covers grain buying, handling, and storage, along with a marketing arm that trades commodities such as ethanol, distiller grains, corn oil, raw grain, and natural gas, plus grain drying and storage services for farmers. A third division, Partnership, supplies fuel storage and transportation infrastructure, including terminal and railcar capacity used to move products to customers.
Green Plains was established in 2004 under the name Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc., later renamed Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. The company is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, and its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker GPRE.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Process industries
- Industry
- Chemicals: specialty
- Website
- gpreinc.com
Green Plains GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Green Plains’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.6 points over five sessions.
62.7Accumulation
Up 5.6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 44 | −0.4% | −4.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 270 | −0.4% | −2.0% | ||
| Neutral | 323 | +0.8% | +2.2% | ||
| Distribution | 44 | −0.9% | +8.7% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average GPRE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GPRE price, zone by zone.Track GPRE in Gekko
Is Green Plains stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Green Plains trades 12.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $16.76, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Green Plains shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$16.76
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
12.9% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 16.0% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GPRE in Gekko
Green Plains insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Green Plains, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in GPRE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for GPRE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GPRE in Gekko
Buybacks
Green Plains has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $30.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.93%
- Trailing four quarters
- $32.05M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold GPRE.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Green Plains earnings: next date and track record
Green Plains reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.53
- Revenue estimate
- $512.3M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Green Plains reported Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $93.3 million, up from $71.5 million in Q1 and significantly improved from $16.4 million in Q2 2025. The company produced 161 million gallons of ethanol at ~90% capacity utilization despite planned maintenance. Carbon platform contributed $59 million EBITDA in Q2, with first-half carbon EBITDA totaling $114 million from 45Z credits. No 2026 credits have been monetized yet as management seeks optimal deal terms.
- Guidance
- Management targets approximately 95% capacity utilization for full year 2026. No 2026 carbon credits monetized yet; management expects to announce a partner delivering stable, predictable cash flows. Favorable demand fundamentals across ethanol, corn oil, and protein markets support continued earnings growth.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.83 est $0.65 | $446.2M est $542.4M | −11.2% |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.42 est $0.12 | $445.8M est $532.5M | +7.2% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.17 est $0.02 | $428.8M est $538.3M | +9.9% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.08 est −$0.14 | $508.5M est $583.5M | −10.4% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.35 est −$0.03 | $508.5M est $583.5M | −4.0% |
| Aug 11, 2025 | −$0.41 est −$0.28 | $552.8M est $538.3M | +19.2% |
| May 8, 2025 | −$0.88 est −$0.51 | $601.5M est $638.3M | +8.0% |
| Feb 7, 2025 | −$0.86 est −$0.22 | $584.0M est $630.0M | −21.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Green Plains stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Green Plains is $19.00, +30.1% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$19.00consensus 12-month target, +30.1% from the last close
Now $14.60Avg $19.00
Low $17High $20
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | UBS | $20 | +37.0% |
| Aug 7 | BMO Capital | $17 | +16.4% |
| Aug 7 | Oppenheimer | $20 | +37.0% |
| Jul 17 | UBS | $20 | +37.0% |
−2.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+8.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Green Plains seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Green Plains averaged +8.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +5.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.8% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, GPRE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.8%.
Green Plains market cap and key statistics
Green Plains’s market cap is $1.02B, with a P/E ratio of 9.4 and revenue of $1.83B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.02B
- P/E ratio
- 9.4
- Forward P/E
- 9.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.61
- Gekko Fair Value
- $16.76
Trading
- Volume
- 1.25M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.25M
- 52-week high
- $19.65
- 52-week low
- $8.93
- Shares outstanding
- 70.10M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.83B
- Profit margin
- 6.8%
- Return on equity
- 15.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −75.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.15
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.8%
Green Plains stock news this week
Coverage of Green Plains this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- How Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) Affects Rotational Strategy TimingStock Traders Daily, Oct 12
- Green Plains marks one billion gallons and Green Plains stock falls 1.97 percentAD HOC NEWS, Oct 8
- Transcript: Green Plains Q2 2026 Earnings Conference CallBenzinga, Oct 7
- Green Plains stock trades at USD 15.16 after earnings beat estimatesAD HOC NEWS, Oct 7
- Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance Australia, Oct 5
Green Plains peers
Green Plains’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| LINLinde | Neutral | 0.3% below |
| ECLEcolab | Neutral | 9.4% above |
| APDAir Products and Chemicals | Accumulation | 9.5% below |
| DOWDow | Accumulation | 33.5% below |
| LYBLyondellBasell Industries | Accumulation | 10.6% below |
| ALBAlbemarle | Accumulation | 29.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Green Plains stock FAQ
What is Green Plains’s market cap?
Green Plains’s market cap is $1.02B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.60, with 70.10M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.4.
What is the Green Plains stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Green Plains is $19.00, +30.1% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Green Plains stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Green Plains is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.60 is 12.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $16.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Green Plains report earnings next?
Green Plains is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.53 per share on revenue of $512.3M. Green Plains beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.4% on average across the report.
What is Green Plains’s 52-week high and low?
Green Plains’s 52-week high is $19.65 and its 52-week low is $8.93; it closed at $14.60 on Oct 12, 2026, +53.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $44.27 on Nov 9, 2021.
Is Green Plains stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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