NYSE: ECL

Ecolab (ECL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$315.01+10.33 (+3.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Ecolab's stock drew attention this week as its Chief Sustainability Officer linked the growth of AI infrastructure to the need for water and energy efficiency, framing it as a potential growth area for the company. Shares also pushed into price discovery after setting a new 52-week and all-time high near $309.51, extending a recovery from a 52-week low near $247.32, even as one session saw the stock underperform peers and snap a six-day winning streak.

ECL closes at $315.01, up 3.4% on the day, trading above both its 50-day average of $283.37 and its 200-day average of $276.45, consistent with a sustained uptrend. The stock sits in the GekkoIndex's Distribution zone with a score of 42.4, down 7 points over the past five readings, while price remains 17.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $267.81.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 9 February 2027, 96 days away, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, insiders made 2 open-market purchases and members of Congress reported 2 buys with no sales. Seasonality for this point in the calendar shows an average 20-trading-day return of 4.3% over 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. Among 12 analysts, 11 rate the stock a buy and 1 a hold, with a consensus price target of $330.57, implying 4.9% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ecolab price vs fair value

$315.01$267.81Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $315.01200-day averageGekko Fair Value $267.81

Ecolab quick facts

Market cap
$88.35B
P/E ratio
41.2
Forward P/E
32.5
EPS, TTM
$7.48
Revenue, TTM
$17.37B
Profit margin
12%
Dividend yield
0.96%
Beta
0.86
Volume
2.74M avg 1.54M
1-year return
+22.4%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$283.37
200-day average
$276.45
Next earnings
Feb 9
Shares outstanding
280.5M
52-week range
$243.15$315.58

Ecolab swing-trade checklist

Ecolab scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $315.01 is above the 50-day ($283.37) and 200-day ($276.45) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    42.4, Distribution

    Reading 42.4 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    17.6% above

    Price is 17.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases; Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 96 days

    Next report Feb 9, 2027, 96 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ecolab stock chart and price history

Ecolab closed at $315.01 on Nov 4, 2026, +22.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $243.15 to $315.58.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ecolab share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$260$280$300DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct315.01

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+12.2%
3 months
+11.1%
6 months
+19.6%
1 year
+22.4%
The full ECL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ECL in Gekko

Follow Ecolab through every session

Put ECL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Ecolab

Ecolab supplies water treatment, cleaning, sanitizing, and pest control solutions to businesses across the United States and other countries. It is widely recognized for its work helping manufacturing, foodservice, healthcare, and hospitality operations manage water use, hygiene standards, and contamination risks.

The company runs its business through four segments. One focuses on water treatment for industries such as food and beverage processing, transportation, mining, power generation, and paper production. Another supplies cleaning and sanitizing products to foodservice, healthcare, hospitality, education, and retail customers. A third handles pest elimination services for restaurants, hotels, grocery businesses, and similar commercial settings. The fourth serves pharmaceutical and personal care manufacturers with contamination control products. Its offerings are marketed under names including Ecolab, Kay, Purolite, and Bioquell, and reach customers through direct sales teams as well as distributors and dealers.

Founded in 1923, Ecolab is headquartered in Saint Paul, Minnesota. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ECL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Chemicals: specialty
Website
ecolab.com

Ecolab GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ecolab’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 42.4, in the Distribution zone, down 7 points over five sessions.

010042.4Distribution

Down 7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying14+1.3%+1.5%+6.5%+7.8%
Accumulation197+0.6%+1.4%+2.7%+5.7%
Neutral445+0.1%+0.2%+0.5%+1.1%
Distribution (current zone)37+0.6%+1.2%−1.1%−2.0%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average ECL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ECL price, zone by zone.Track ECL in Gekko

Is Ecolab stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ecolab trades 17.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $267.81, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ecolab shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$267.81

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

17.6% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 5.2% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$268$305Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ECL in Gekko

Ecolab insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Ecolab worth $1.02M, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.02Min 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 14Green Eric Mark
director
Purchase3,370$932K
Sep 14Green Eric Mark
director
Purchase320$89K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 11

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Ecolab has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$2.80M
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$1.00B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ECL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ecolab earnings: next date and track record

Ecolab reports on Feb 9, 2027 (96 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.5%Feb ’25+5.2%Apr ’25−2.5%Jul ’25−8.0%Oct ’25+5.3%Feb ’26−4.2%Apr ’26+4.5%Jul ’26+1.2%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ecolab reported 7% organic sales growth in Q3 2026, with organic OI margin expanding to 19.6% and organic OI growth accelerating to 11%. Food & Beverage grew 8% organically, Life Sciences surged 17%, while Light Water grew 5%. Pro forma results including CoolIT and Ovivo acquisitions showed high single-digit sales growth and mid-teens adjusted EPS growth. One Ecolab strategy generated over $400 million in sales growth with top 35 customers.
Guidance
Management expects commodity costs to remain elevated but plans to offset impacts through continued pricing execution and supply chain discipline. Institutional & Specialty segment will expand field sales and solution penetration to drive faster growth despite declining restaurant foot traffic.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 27, 2026$2.18
est $2.18
0.0%$4.69B
est $4.70B
−0.1%+1.2%
Jul 28, 2026$2.09
est $2.08
+0.5%$4.42B
est $4.38B
+0.7%+4.5%
Apr 28, 2026$1.70
est $1.71
−0.6%$4.07B
est $4.03B
+1.0%−4.2%
Feb 10, 2026$2.08
est $2.07
+0.5%$4.19B
est $4.19B
+0.1%+5.3%
Oct 28, 2025$2.07
est $2.07
0.0%$4.17B
est $4.12B
+1.1%−8.0%
Jul 29, 2025$1.89
est $1.90
−0.5%$4.03B
est $4.02B
+0.1%−2.5%
Apr 29, 2025$1.50
est $1.50
0.0%$3.70B
est $3.70B
0.0%+5.2%
Feb 11, 2025$1.81
est $1.80
+0.6%$4.01B
est $3.99B
+0.5%+6.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ecolab stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ecolab is $330.57, +4.9% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$330.57consensus 12-month target, +4.9% from the last close
Low $295High $360
Buy11
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 28Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$355+12.7%
Oct 28CitiBuy, maintained$345+9.5%
Oct 28Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$317+0.6%
Oct 28J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$310−1.6%
Oct 28UBSBuy, reiterated$357+13.3%
−1.1%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+4.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ecolab seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Ecolab averaged +4.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.2%2021+11.7%2022+8.9%2023+1.5%2024+2.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.6%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.2%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.6%4 of 5

For scale, ECL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

Ecolab market cap and key statistics

Ecolab’s market cap is $88.35B, with a P/E ratio of 41.2 and revenue of $17.37B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$88.35B
P/E ratio
41.2
Forward P/E
32.5
EPS, TTM
$7.48
Gekko Fair Value
$267.81

Trading

Volume
2.74M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.54M
52-week high
$315.58
52-week low
$243.15
Shares outstanding
280.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$17.37B
Profit margin
12%
Return on equity
20.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−4.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.86
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
0.96%

Ecolab stock news this week

Coverage of Ecolab this week reads positive: 14 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Ecolab peers

Ecolab’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LINLinde+0.9%Neutral3.6% above
APDAir Products and Chemicals+0.4%Distribution1.6% above
DOWDow−3.0%Neutral27.3% below
LYBLyondellBasell Industries−4.2%Neutral11.0% below
ALBAlbemarle+2.7%Accumulation25.3% below
WLKWestlake−2.9%Neutral19.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Chemicals: specialty

Ecolab stock FAQ

What is Ecolab’s market cap?

Ecolab’s market cap is $88.35B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $315.01, with 280.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 41.2.

What is the Ecolab stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ecolab is $330.57, +4.9% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ecolab stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ecolab is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $315.01 is 17.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $267.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ecolab report earnings next?

Ecolab is expected to report on Feb 9, 2027 (96 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.19 per share on revenue of $4.75B. Ecolab beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Ecolab’s 52-week high and low?

Ecolab’s 52-week high is $315.58 and its 52-week low is $243.15; it closed at $315.01 on Nov 4, 2026, +22.4% over the past year.

Is Ecolab stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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