NYSE: CMP

Compass Minerals Intl (CMP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$22.88+0.09 (+0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week Compass Minerals raised its fiscal 2026 sales guidance to $1.253 billion-$1.299 billion, exceeding analyst estimates, following its Q3 results. The quarter showed revenue of $215.3 million, ahead of estimates, alongside a net loss that narrowed 66% year over year to $5.7 million, even as adjusted EPS came in at negative $0.14, missing consensus. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $39.9 million, a slight decrease from the prior year, with Plant Nutrition cited as a key driver of the improved results. The company also announced Brandon Risner as its new chief operating officer, overseeing its global production and packaging facilities, and its credit rating was improved to 'B+'.

CMP closed at $22.88, down from levels above both its 50-day average of $24.69 and 200-day average of $25.88, with the 50-day sitting below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -7.7% and its three-month return at -23.2%, though it remains up 16.8% over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 63.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.78.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 14 December 2026, 62 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Analyst consensus carries a target of $29.5, implying 28.9% upside, drawn from a split of one buy, one hold and one sell among three firms. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -1.7% across 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Compass Minerals Intl price vs fair value

$26.78$22.88Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $22.88200-day averageGekko Fair Value $26.78

Compass Minerals Intl quick facts

Market cap
$960.0M
P/E ratio
53.7
Forward P/E
14.8
EPS, TTM
$0.42
Revenue, TTM
$1.29B
Profit margin
1.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.26
Volume
184,569 avg 373,940
1-year return
+16.8%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.4%
50-day average
$24.69
200-day average
$25.88
Next earnings
Dec 14
Shares outstanding
41.98M
52-week range
$16.40$34.50

Compass Minerals Intl swing-trade checklist

Compass Minerals Intl scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $22.88 is below the 50-day ($24.69) and 200-day ($25.88) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.1, Accumulation

    Reading 63.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    14.6% below

    Price is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 63 days

    Next report Dec 14, 2026, 63 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −1.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Compass Minerals Intl stock chart and price history

Compass Minerals Intl closed at $22.88 on Oct 12, 2026, +16.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $16.40 to $34.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Compass Minerals Intl share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct22.88

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.7%
3 months
−23.2%
6 months
−8.3%
1 year
+16.8%
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About Compass Minerals Intl

Compass Minerals International produces and distributes essential minerals, with operations spanning the United States, Canada, Brazil and the United Kingdom, along with other international markets. The company is best known for its salt products, including rock salt and mechanically or solar-evaporated salt, used for de-icing roads, water treatment, chemical manufacturing, and both industrial and consumer purposes. It also supplies magnesium chloride, potassium chloride and calcium chloride, either on their own or blended for specialized use.

The business is structured into three segments: Salt, Plant Nutrition North America, and Plant Nutrition South America. The Salt division also offers records management services. Plant Nutrition North America focuses on sulfate of potash fertilizers in various grades, serving agricultural distributors, retailers and growers directly, with products for farming, turf care, and organic and micronutrient lines sold under brands including Protassium+ and Wolf Trax. Plant Nutrition South America supplies plant nutrients and supplements, along with chemicals used in water treatment, decontamination and industrial processes.

Compass Minerals International was founded in 1993 and originally incorporated as Salt Holdings Corporation before taking its current name in December 2003. Its headquarters are located in Overland Park, Kansas, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CMP.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Chemicals: specialty
Website
compassminerals.com

Compass Minerals Intl GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Compass Minerals Intl’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 3 points over five sessions.

010063.1Accumulation

Down 3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying56−0.3%+4.1%+13.6%+27.1%
Accumulation (current zone)259+0.2%−0.6%−1.2%+7.2%
Neutral312+0.2%+0.3%+1.2%+2.4%
Distribution43+3.5%+8.8%+8.4%+4.3%
Selling12+3.4%+3.0%+2.4%−21.2%

Average CMP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CMP price, zone by zone.Track CMP in Gekko

Is Compass Minerals Intl stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Compass Minerals Intl trades 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.78, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Compass Minerals Intl shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$26.78

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

14.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$27$23Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CMP in Gekko

Compass Minerals Intl insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Compass Minerals Intl, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CMP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CMP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CMP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CMP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CMP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CMP in Gekko

Buybacks

Compass Minerals Intl has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.70M
As a share of market cap
0.18%
Trailing four quarters
$3.50M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CMP.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Compass Minerals Intl earnings: next date and track record

Compass Minerals Intl reports on Dec 14, 2026 (63 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.0%May ’24+17.9%Sep ’24−2.1%Dec ’24−5.2%Feb ’25+28.7%May ’25−10.4%Aug ’25−12.3%Dec ’25+6.7%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Compass Minerals reported mixed Q2 fiscal 2026 results: consolidated revenue of $453M (down 8% YoY) while adjusted EBITDA rose to $86M (up 3.3%) and adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 19.1%. Salt segment revenue and tons sold declined YoY (salt revenue $383M; tons 4.1M, down 19%), but per-ton operating earnings increased materially. Plant Nutrition showed strong momentum with revenue up and adjusted EBITDA rising significantly (revenue $67M; adjusted EBITDA $17M, margin 25.2%). Management highlighted early retirement of $150M of 2027 notes, ongoing operational programs (Back to Basics) targeting mining and maintenance improvements—particularly at Goderich—recent collective bargaining agreements, and a capital project (dryer/compaction plant) slated for next year. Management emphasized continued progress but acknowledged remaining work on mine execution and cost dynamics; they expect a constructive bid season and reiterated focus on value over volume.
Guidance
Updated full-year salt guidance: increased expected volumes but lowered margins (no specific numeric guidance provided on the call). No specific multi-year cost guidance; management declined to provide unit cost guidance but expects unit costs at the mine to decrease over time as operational improvements progress. No firm cash tax guidance provided; management said cash tax assumptions are built into current guidance and more detail expected in Q3/Q4. Management also referenced a targeted SOP run-rate (~$40–$50M annually historically) and a planned capital project (dryer/compaction plant) to be executed next year.
Risks flagged
Operational execution risk at Goderich and other mines (mine plan headwinds, equipment availability, slower-than-desired improvement cadence). Weather and geographic mix volatility that drives cost and volume variability. Product and distribution cost pressures and mix shifts. Inventory variability across regions leading to uneven pricing dynamics. Tax and cash tax uncertainty (complex cross-border tax mix and prior Ontario mining matter). Potential project execution risk for the planned capital project. General market/bid-season uncertainty despite early constructive signs.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 6, 2026$0.63
est $0.59
+6.8%$453.2M
est $419.0M
+8.2%+6.7%
Dec 8, 2025−$0.17
est −$0.23
+26.1%$227.5M
est $223.6M
+1.7%−12.3%
Aug 11, 2025−$0.39
est −$0.06
−550.0%$214.6M
est $212.0M
+1.2%−10.4%
May 7, 2025$0.63
est $0.00
+14,218.2%$494.6M
est $208.6M
+137.1%+28.7%
Feb 10, 2025−$0.55
est −$0.05
−1,000.0%$307.2M
est $293.9M
+4.5%−5.2%
Dec 16, 2024−$0.77
est −$0.52
−48.1%$208.8M
est $214.2M
−2.5%−2.1%
Sep 17, 2024−$1.01
est −$0.65
−55.4%$202.9M
est $210.0M
−3.4%+17.9%
May 7, 2024$1.49
est $0.27
+451.9%$364.0M
est $210.7M
+72.8%+2.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Compass Minerals Intl stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Compass Minerals Intl is $29.50, +28.9% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$29.50consensus 12-month target, +28.9% from the last close
Low $25High $32
Buy1
Hold1
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 6BMO CapitalHold, maintained$25+9.3%
Aug 31Deutsche Bank Buy, reiterated$32+39.9%
Aug 10J.P. MorganSell, downgraded$27+18.0%
Aug 7BMO CapitalHold, reiterated$30+31.1%
−1.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Compass Minerals Intl seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Compass Minerals Intl averaged −1.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.5%2021+1.9%2022−10.9%2023+4.5%2024−6.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.5%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.5%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.7%2 of 5

For scale, CMP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.4%.

Compass Minerals Intl market cap and key statistics

Compass Minerals Intl’s market cap is $960.0M, with a P/E ratio of 53.7 and revenue of $1.29B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$960.0M
P/E ratio
53.7
Forward P/E
14.8
EPS, TTM
$0.42
Gekko Fair Value
$26.78

Trading

Volume
184,569
Avg volume, 20 days
373,940
52-week high
$34.50
52-week low
$16.40
Shares outstanding
41.98M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.29B
Profit margin
1.4%
Return on equity
7.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−91.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.26
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.4%

Compass Minerals Intl stock news this week

Coverage of Compass Minerals Intl this week reads positive: 4 positive, 0 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Compass Minerals Intl peers

Compass Minerals Intl’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LINLinde+0.9%Neutral0.3% below
ECLEcolab+1.2%Neutral9.4% above
APDAir Products and Chemicals+1.0%Accumulation9.5% below
DOWDow−1.1%Accumulation33.5% below
LYBLyondellBasell Industries−1.0%Accumulation10.6% below
ALBAlbemarle+1.6%Accumulation29.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Compass Minerals Intl stock FAQ

What is Compass Minerals Intl’s market cap?

Compass Minerals Intl’s market cap is $960.0M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $22.88, with 41.98M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 53.7.

What is the Compass Minerals Intl stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Compass Minerals Intl is $29.50, +28.9% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Compass Minerals Intl stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Compass Minerals Intl is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $22.88 is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.78. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Compass Minerals Intl report earnings next?

Compass Minerals Intl is expected to report on Dec 14, 2026 (63 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.01 per share on revenue of $222.0M. Compass Minerals Intl beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.7% on average across the report.

What is Compass Minerals Intl’s 52-week high and low?

Compass Minerals Intl’s 52-week high is $34.50 and its 52-week low is $16.40; it closed at $22.88 on Oct 12, 2026, +16.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $75.44 on Oct 15, 2021.

Is Compass Minerals Intl stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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