NYSE: APD

Air Products and Chemicals (APD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$318.87+5.90 (+1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Air Products reached a 52-week high of $315.38 this week, with shares also touching $316.43 before trading hit $319.98 in the latest session. The move comes ahead of fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results due 5 November 2026, and follows a leadership restructuring effective 1 November in which Kurt Lefevere and Francesco Maione were named Group Presidents overseeing the Americas and EMEA/Asia portfolios respectively. The prior quarter, reported 30 July 2026, showed sales up 5%, operating margin at 25.6%, and EPS of $3.47 versus a $3.36 estimate, with management having raised full-year EPS growth guidance to 11%-12%.

The stock closed at $318.87, up 1.9%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $294.92 and 200-day average of $290.86, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 41.4, placing APD in the Distribution zone, down 4.5 over five days. Price sits 1.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $313.79.

Earnings arrive 5 November 2026, before the open, zero days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day hold; APD has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 3.7% and a prior reaction of 0.2%. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, and one billionaire holder is present. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +3.6% over 5 years, positive in 3 of them. Consensus among 10 firms stands at 5 buy, 5 hold, with a target of $342.55.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Air Products and Chemicals price vs fair value

$318.87$313.79Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $318.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $313.79

Air Products and Chemicals quick facts

Market cap
$71.01B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
22
EPS, TTM
−$0.21
Revenue, TTM
$12.60B
Profit margin
-0.4%
Dividend yield
2.28%
Beta
0.67
Volume
1.69M avg 1.01M
1-year return
+33.2%
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
50-day average
$294.92
200-day average
$290.86
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
222.7M
52-week range
$229.11$319.98

Air Products and Chemicals swing-trade checklist

Air Products and Chemicals scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $318.87 is above the 50-day ($294.92) and 200-day ($290.86) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    41.4, Distribution

    Reading 41.4 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.6% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.6% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports today

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, today — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Air Products and Chemicals stock chart and price history

Air Products and Chemicals closed at $318.87 on Nov 4, 2026, +33.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $229.11 to $319.98.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Air Products and Chemicals share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$240$260$280$300DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct318.87

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+13.5%
3 months
+6.3%
6 months
+6.2%
1 year
+33.2%
The full APD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open APD in Gekko

Follow Air Products and Chemicals through every session

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Air Products and Chemicals GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Air Products and Chemicals’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.4, in the Distribution zone, down 4.5 points over five sessions.

010041.4Distribution

Down 4.5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying43+2.5%+2.6%+6.5%+4.9%
Accumulation214−0.1%+0.6%+1.1%+2.3%
Neutral389+0.2%+0.3%+0.5%+2.2%
Distribution (current zone)50−0.7%−1.4%−3.0%−3.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average APD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the APD price, zone by zone.Track APD in Gekko

Is Air Products and Chemicals stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Air Products and Chemicals trades 1.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $313.79, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Air Products and Chemicals shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$313.79

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

1.6% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 5.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$314$313Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open APD in Gekko

Air Products and Chemicals insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Air Products and Chemicals, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for APD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every APD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open APD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds APD.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Air Products and Chemicals earnings: next date and track record

Air Products and Chemicals reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (today), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.0%Nov ’24−6.8%Feb ’25+2.4%May ’25−2.9%Jul ’25+9.3%Nov ’25+5.8%Jan ’26−0.5%Apr ’26+0.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Air Products reported solid third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with sales up 5%, operating income up 9%, operating margin improving to 25.6%, and EPS of $3.47 (up 12% YoY), above guidance. Volume improvement was led by on-site business, new assets coming onstream (notably in Asia and the Americas), and helium/ electronics momentum in Asia. Management raised full-year EPS growth guidance to 11%–12% and reduced FY CapEx by roughly $500 million (timing-related). Return on capital improved to 11.7% and company has achieved about $75 million of headcount-reduction savings YTD. The company recorded a pretax charge of $2.9 billion related to exiting the Louisiana (Darrow), Casa Grande (Arizona) and other smaller clean energy distribution projects; management is pursuing redeployment and sale options for equipment and ammonia production assets. Air Products finalized a marketing and distribution agreement with Yara for the NGHC (NEOM) green ammonia project; management expects no income-statement impact in fiscal 2027 related to NEOM but notes a long commissioning period and retained price exposure. Helium headwind was ~2% (better than guided), with Air Products highlighting its cavern inventory and diversified sourcing strategy. Electronics backlog and new large projects (Taiwan, Korea, Samsung-related) are driving a robust opportunity pipeline skewed to electronics. Management reiterated focus on earnings growth through volumes, pricing, productivity, optimizing large projects, and disciplined capital allocation including potential buybacks toward end of 2027/early 2028.
Guidance
Raised full-year adjusted EPS growth guidance to +11% to +12% for fiscal 2026. CapEx forecast reduced by approximately $500 million (timing). Management confirmed no expected income-statement impact from NEOM in fiscal 2027. Share buybacks are in the capital allocation waterfall with a line of sight to begin toward end of fiscal 2027 / early fiscal 2028, dependent on capital deployment and project pipeline.
Risks flagged
Large pretax charge of $2.9 billion from exiting several clean-energy projects (Louisiana/Darrow, Casa Grande and others) creates execution and asset realization risk. NEOM/NGHC commissioning is first-of-a-kind, with long commissioning timeline, deconsolidation timing uncertainty, and retained price exposure under a 30-year offtake obligation (volume risk largely hedged via Yara but price risk remains). Helium supply and pricing remains a headwind (market tightness, geopolitical shipping constraints), and macro weakness in Europe and parts of Asia could depress merchant volumes. Timing and proceeds from asset monetizations (Darrow, gasification assets) are uncertain. Fixed-cost inflation and maintenance/project disruptions could pressure margins until offset by pricing/productivity.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$3.47
est $3.36
+3.3%$3.16B
est $3.20B
−1.3%+0.2%
Apr 30, 2026$3.20
est $3.06
+4.6%$3.17B
est $3.07B
+3.3%−0.5%
Jan 30, 2026$3.16
est $3.04
+3.9%$3.10B
est $3.05B
+1.7%+5.8%
Nov 6, 2025$3.39
est $3.38
+0.3%$3.17B
est $3.18B
−0.3%+9.3%
Jul 31, 2025$3.09
est $2.99
+3.3%$3.02B
est $2.99B
+1.1%−2.9%
May 1, 2025$2.69
est $2.83
−4.9%$2.92B
est $2.92B
−0.1%+2.4%
Feb 6, 2025$2.86
est $2.84
+0.7%$2.93B
est $2.95B
−0.7%−6.8%
Nov 7, 2024$3.56
est $3.47
+2.6%$3.19B
est $3.21B
−0.8%+2.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Air Products and Chemicals stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Air Products and Chemicals is $342.55, +7.4% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$342.55consensus 12-month target, +7.4% from the last close
Low $305High $373
Buy5
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 26BernsteinBuy, reiterated$373+17.0%
Oct 16Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$350+9.8%
Oct 15RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$346+8.5%
Oct 12Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained$314−1.5%
Oct 12BarclaysBuy, initiated$353+10.7%
−3.0%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Air Products and Chemicals seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Air Products and Chemicals averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.2%2021+14.1%2022−10.1%2023+8.0%2024+8.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.4%2 of 5

For scale, APD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.

Air Products and Chemicals market cap and key statistics

Air Products and Chemicals’s market cap is $71.01B and revenue of $12.60B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$71.01B
Forward P/E
22
EPS, TTM
−$0.21
Gekko Fair Value
$313.79

Trading

Volume
1.69M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.01M
52-week high
$319.98
52-week low
$229.11
Shares outstanding
222.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$12.60B
Profit margin
-0.4%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+9.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.67
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
Dividend yield
2.28%

Air Products and Chemicals stock news this week

Coverage of Air Products and Chemicals this week reads neutral: 5 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Air Products and Chemicals peers

Air Products and Chemicals’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LINLinde+0.9%Neutral3.6% above
ECLEcolab+1.3%Distribution17.6% above
DOWDow−3.0%Neutral27.3% below
LYBLyondellBasell Industries−4.2%Neutral11.0% below
ALBAlbemarle+2.7%Accumulation25.3% below
WLKWestlake−2.9%Neutral19.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Chemicals: specialty

Air Products and Chemicals stock FAQ

What is Air Products and Chemicals’s market cap?

Air Products and Chemicals’s market cap is $71.01B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $318.87, with 222.7M shares outstanding.

What is the Air Products and Chemicals stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Air Products and Chemicals is $342.55, +7.4% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Air Products and Chemicals stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Air Products and Chemicals is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $318.87 is 1.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $313.79. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Air Products and Chemicals report earnings next?

Air Products and Chemicals is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (today). Analysts expect earnings of $3.61 per share on revenue of $3.33B. Air Products and Chemicals beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.7% on average across the report.

What is Air Products and Chemicals’s 52-week high and low?

Air Products and Chemicals’s 52-week high is $319.98 and its 52-week low is $229.11; it closed at $318.87 on Nov 4, 2026, +33.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $341.14 on Feb 4, 2025.

Is Air Products and Chemicals stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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