NYSE: MTX

Minerals Technologies (MTX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$62.95−0.65 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Minerals Technologies priced $400 million in 7.50 percent senior notes due 2032 to refinance existing 5.00 percent notes due 2028, a move that extends debt maturity while raising the company's interest rate. Separately, the stock has drawn comparison with peer Intrepid Potash in a review of institutional ownership, earnings, valuation, dividends, profitability and risk between the two small-cap materials names.

MTX closed at $62.95, down 1% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $69.76 and its 200-day average of $71.48, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -8.5%, its three-month return at -13%, and its six-month return at -13.8%, against a 52-week range of $53.94 to $84.34. The GekkoIndex reads 73.1, placing MTX in the Buying zone, while the price sits 12.8% below the Gekko Fair Value of $72.2.

Minerals Technologies next reports earnings on 29 October 2026, 17 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report showed EPS of $1.38 against an estimate of $1.25, with a 7.9% reaction, and six beats across the last eight quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 6.6% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 2 covering firms stands at a $91.25 target, both rated buy.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Minerals Technologies price vs fair value

$72.20$62.95Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $62.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $72.20

Minerals Technologies quick facts

Market cap
$1.95B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
−$2.20
Revenue, TTM
$2.15B
Profit margin
-3.1%
Dividend yield
0.72%
Beta
1.12
Volume
181,106 avg 185,539
1-year return
+4.9%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
50-day average
$69.76
200-day average
$71.48
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
31.13M
52-week range
$53.94$84.34

Minerals Technologies swing-trade checklist

Minerals Technologies scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $62.95 is below the 50-day ($69.76) and 200-day ($71.48) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    73.1, Buying

    Reading 73.1 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    12.8% below

    Price is 12.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Minerals Technologies stock chart and price history

Minerals Technologies closed at $62.95 on Oct 12, 2026, +4.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $53.94 to $84.34.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Minerals Technologies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$70$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct62.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.5%
3 months
−13.0%
6 months
−13.8%
1 year
+4.9%
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About Minerals Technologies

Minerals Technologies develops and supplies a broad range of mineral-based and synthetic mineral products, along with related systems and services. It is perhaps best recognized for its work in specialty minerals such as precipitated calcium carbonate and quicklime, used widely across paper, construction, paints and coatings, glass, ceramics, food, automotive and pharmaceutical applications, as well as for its bentonite, leonardite and refractory products.

The business is organized into three divisions. Performance Materials covers bentonite, leonardite, and materials for metal casting, household and personal care uses, environmental work, and building components, serving customers in non-residential construction, infrastructure and remediation. Specialty Minerals produces calcium carbonate, quicklime, limestone and talc for industrial customers. Refractories supplies monolithic and pre-shaped refractory materials, equipment and metallurgical wire products mainly for steel, non-ferrous metal and glass producers. Sales run through an internal sales force and regional distributors, reaching customers across the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, Africa and Asia.

Minerals Technologies was founded in 1968 and is based in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MTX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Chemicals: specialty
Website
mineralstech.com

Minerals Technologies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Minerals Technologies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.1, in the Buying zone, up 6.2 points over five sessions.

010073.1Buying

Up 6.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)37+0.9%+1.4%+1.5%+2.1%
Accumulation2150.0%+0.1%+0.1%+1.1%
Neutral3950.0%+0.1%+0.3%+0.8%
Distribution34+0.3%−0.1%−0.4%−4.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average MTX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MTX price, zone by zone.Track MTX in Gekko

Is Minerals Technologies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Minerals Technologies trades 12.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $72.20, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Minerals Technologies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$72.20

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

12.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 4.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$72$64Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MTX in Gekko

Minerals Technologies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Minerals Technologies, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MTX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MTX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MTX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MTX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MTX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MTX in Gekko

Buybacks

Minerals Technologies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 5, 2026
$1.70M
As a share of market cap
0.09%
Trailing four quarters
$35.10M

From company filings.

Minerals Technologies earnings: next date and track record

Minerals Technologies reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.8%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.1%Jul ’24−0.9%Oct ’24−2.6%Feb ’25−7.9%Apr ’25+8.9%Jul ’25−1.3%Oct ’25−0.8%Jan ’26+7.9%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Minerals Technologies reported a strong start to 2026 with broad-based, double-digit year-over-year growth in Q1 sales to $547 million (11% YoY), driven by both Consumer & Specialty and Engineered Solutions segments. Management highlighted early returns from strategic growth investments intended to contribute $100 million of annualized revenue this year, with specific momentum in pet (cat) litter, sustainable aviation fuel (bleaching earth), PCC satellites for paper & packaging, and FLUORO-SORB installations for PFAS remediation. Operating income (ex-special items) was $68 million (up 7% YoY) and EPS rose to $1.38 (up 21%). Management acknowledged margin pressure in Q1 from a sharp, late-quarter increase in freight and energy costs and higher corporate mark-to-market stock compensation, estimating a roughly $2M price-cost lag in Q1 and a potential $3M lag in Q2 before tapering into Q3. The company reported improved operating and free cash flows and reiterated pricing power and historical ability to pass through inflationary costs. Several product-specific growth initiatives are ramping: two cat litter plants in North America and one in China, a late-Q2 bleaching earth facility largely booked for the year, multiple PCC satellite sites ramping, and an expanding pipeline for FLUORO-SORB (10+ full-scale installations in H2 2026 and 10 more in process). Management emphasized regional demand improvements in mining and environmental/infrastructure, while noting softness in residential construction and cyclicality in heavy truck and ag foundry markets.
Guidance
- Management expects underlying organic growth of mid-single digits with a floor of about mid-single digits (~5%) for the year driven by durable end markets and growth investments. - Pricing: minimal (~1%) realized in Q1; expect additional price increases as implemented to cover higher freight and energy costs. - Price-cost lag: estimated ~$2M impact in Q1, ~$3M in Q2, and tapering to ~+$1M (residual) impact by Q3 assuming energy costs stabilize. - Expectation to be essentially caught up on pass-through of higher costs by Q3 (may have ~ $1M lingering impact). - Growth projects: $100M annualized incremental revenue beginning this year (first portion delivered in Q1); FLUORO-SORB: ~10 full installations in H2 2026 with ~10 more progressing into late 2026/early 2027.
Risks flagged
- Volatility in energy and freight costs creating margin pressure and contractual lags to pass through higher costs. - Currency (FX) movements that contributed ~3% to Q1 growth and could fluctuate. - Softness in certain end markets (residential construction, heavy truck and off-highway ag foundry demand) that can negatively affect mix and margins. - Regional demand risk in Asia/Europe if higher energy costs persist and dampen growth. - Execution risks tied to ramping new facilities and converting pilot trials to full commercial deployments (e.g., FLUORO-SORB installations).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 30, 2026$1.38
est $1.25
+10.4%$546.9M
est $516.4M
+5.9%+7.9%
Jan 29, 2026$1.27
est $1.28
−0.8%$519.5M
est $517.9M
+0.3%−0.8%
Oct 23, 2025$1.55
est $1.47
+5.4%$532.4M
est $517.8M
+2.8%−1.3%
Jul 24, 2025$1.55
est $1.43
+8.4%$528.9M
est $531.2M
−0.4%+8.9%
Apr 24, 2025$1.14
est $1.16
−1.7%$491.8M
est $492.0M
0.0%−7.9%
Feb 6, 2025$1.50
est $1.39
+7.9%$518.1M
est $522.9M
−0.9%−2.6%
Oct 24, 2024$1.51
est $1.50
+0.7%$524.7M
est $533.6M
−1.7%−0.9%
Jul 25, 2024$1.65
est $1.60
+3.1%$541.2M
est $556.4M
−2.7%−8.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Minerals Technologies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Minerals Technologies is $91.25, +45.0% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$91.25consensus 12-month target, +45.0% from the last close
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$90+43.0%
Sep 23Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, maintained$90+43.0%
Sep 18Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, maintained$90+43.0%
Aug 3Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$90+43.0%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+6.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Minerals Technologies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Minerals Technologies averaged +6.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.8%2021+5.2%2022+14.1%2023+8.6%2024−3.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.9%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.6%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.8%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.8%5 of 5

For scale, MTX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.

Minerals Technologies market cap and key statistics

Minerals Technologies’s market cap is $1.95B and revenue of $2.15B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.95B
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
−$2.20
Gekko Fair Value
$72.20

Trading

Volume
181,106
Avg volume, 20 days
185,539
52-week high
$84.34
52-week low
$53.94
Shares outstanding
31.13M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.15B
Profit margin
-3.1%
Return on equity
-3.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−28.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.12
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
Dividend yield
0.72%

Minerals Technologies peers

Minerals Technologies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LINLinde+0.9%Neutral0.3% below
ECLEcolab+1.2%Neutral9.4% above
APDAir Products and Chemicals+1.0%Accumulation9.5% below
DOWDow−1.1%Accumulation33.5% below
LYBLyondellBasell Industries−1.0%Accumulation10.6% below
ALBAlbemarle+1.6%Accumulation29.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Minerals Technologies stock FAQ

What is Minerals Technologies’s market cap?

Minerals Technologies’s market cap is $1.95B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $62.95, with 31.13M shares outstanding.

What is the Minerals Technologies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Minerals Technologies is $91.25, +45.0% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Minerals Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Minerals Technologies is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $62.95 is 12.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $72.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Minerals Technologies report earnings next?

Minerals Technologies is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.51 per share on revenue of $553.8M. Minerals Technologies beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.8% on average across the report.

What is Minerals Technologies’s 52-week high and low?

Minerals Technologies’s 52-week high is $84.34 and its 52-week low is $53.94; it closed at $62.95 on Oct 12, 2026, +4.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $90.30 on Jul 24, 2024.

Is Minerals Technologies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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