Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$4.22−0.01 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Melco Resorts this week draws attention from Citigroup, which initiated coverage with a "buy" rating and a $9.40 price target, adding to a "Moderate Buy" consensus from Wall Street brokerages with an average target of $7.27. Separately, the company launched REM, a new luxury hotel brand at City of Dreams Macau aimed at premium guests, while Macau's Golden Week holiday drew more visitors but softer-than-expected gaming revenue. Shares also remain below $5 following Q2 2026 results that showed a 5.7% revenue decline to $1.25 billion, even as earnings per share matched consensus.

MLCO closes at $4.22, down 0.2%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $5.00 and its 200-day average of $5.62, with the stock down 16.4% over one month and 49.6% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 66.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 27.5% below the Gekko Fair Value of $5.82.

Earnings are scheduled for 5 November, 24 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the last report showing EPS of $0.21 against a $0.09 estimate. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 7.3% decline across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window, though one billionaire holder is recorded, and consensus analyst coverage shows 3 buy and 2 hold ratings among 5 firms.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment price vs fair value

$5.82$4.22Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $4.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $5.82

Melco Resorts & Entertainment quick facts

Market cap
$1.64B
P/E ratio
7.1
Forward P/E
6
EPS, TTM
$0.59
Revenue, TTM
$5.22B
Profit margin
4.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.48
Volume
1.31M avg 1.81M
1-year return
−49.6%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±10.6%
50-day average
$5.00
200-day average
$5.62
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
380.2M
52-week range
$4.06$9.53

Melco Resorts & Entertainment swing-trade checklist

Melco Resorts & Entertainment scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $4.22 is below the 50-day ($5.00) and 200-day ($5.62) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.7, Accumulation

    Reading 66.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    27.5% below

    Price is 27.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −7.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −7.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Melco Resorts & Entertainment stock chart and price history

Melco Resorts & Entertainment closed at $4.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −49.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.06 to $9.53.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Melco Resorts & Entertainment share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$6$7$8$9NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct4.22

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−16.4%
3 months
−18.7%
6 months
−25.4%
1 year
−49.6%
The full MLCO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MLCO in Gekko

Follow Melco Resorts & Entertainment through every session

Put MLCO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track MLCO in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Melco Resorts & Entertainment

Melco Resorts & Entertainment builds, owns, and runs casino and resort complexes across Asia and Europe. Its best-known properties sit in Macau, including City of Dreams, a large integrated resort with gaming floors, hundreds of rooms and suites, numerous restaurants and shops, pools, spas, and event space, as well as Altira Macau and the Cotai-based Studio City, a film-themed resort combining gaming with lodging, entertainment, and retail.

Beyond these flagship sites, the company runs a network of smaller venues, including seven Mocha Clubs with gaming machines and the Grand Dragon casino on Taipa Island. It also operates City of Dreams Manila in the Philippines and has a European presence through a casino in Limassol, Cyprus, plus three satellite casinos in Nicosia, Ayia Napa, and Paphos. The company operates as part of the Melco Leisure and Entertainment Group structure, which holds it as a subsidiary.

Founded in 2004, Melco Resorts & Entertainment is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong, and previously traded under the name Melco Crown Entertainment before changing its name in April 2017. Its shares trade under the ticker MLCO.

Sector
Consumer services
Website
melco-resorts.com

Melco Resorts & Entertainment GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Melco Resorts & Entertainment’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.6 points over five sessions.

010066.7Accumulation

Down 2.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying54−0.2%−0.4%+0.1%+4.1%
Accumulation (current zone)267−0.6%−0.9%+0.5%−0.5%
Neutral266−0.2%+0.2%−0.6%−2.4%
Distribution42+2.7%+1.0%−2.7%+2.2%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average MLCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MLCO price, zone by zone.Track MLCO in Gekko

Is Melco Resorts & Entertainment stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Melco Resorts & Entertainment trades 27.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $5.82, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Melco Resorts & Entertainment shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$5.82

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

27.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 24.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$6$4Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MLCO in Gekko

Melco Resorts & Entertainment insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Melco Resorts & Entertainment, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MLCO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MLCO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MLCO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MLCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MLCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MLCO in Gekko

Buybacks

Melco Resorts & Entertainment has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2025
$166.0M
As a share of market cap
10.13%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MLCO.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Melco Resorts & Entertainment earnings: next date and track record

Melco Resorts & Entertainment reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.6%Aug ’24+3.0%Nov ’24−3.0%Feb ’25+6.2%May ’25+2.7%Jul ’25+4.9%Nov ’25−10.2%Feb ’26−0.7%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Melco Resorts delivered strong Q1 2026 results with group property EBITDA growing 12% YoY to ~$381 million. Macau GGR increased ~10% YoY with EBITDA margin reaching 28%. Philippines property EBITDA surged 24% YoY. The company acquired key trademarks from Melco International for $375 million and approved a new $500 million share repurchase program, bringing total authorization to $710 million.
Guidance
REM luxury hotel at COD Macau on track for phased opening in Q3 2026. Cyprus operations showing April recovery following Middle East conflict disruption. Management targets continued debt reduction and opportunistic share buybacks, citing 20%+ implied free cash flow yield.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 30, 2026$0.21
est $0.09
+133.3%$1.37B
est $1.32B
+3.6%−0.7%
Feb 12, 2026$0.14
est $0.07
+100.0%$1.29B
est $1.27B
+1.6%−10.2%
Nov 6, 2025$0.21
est $0.11
+90.9%$1.31B
est $1.27B
+3.0%+4.9%
Jul 31, 2025$0.23
est $0.09
+155.6%$1.33B
est $1.25B
+6.2%+2.7%
May 8, 2025$0.12
est −$0.01
+1,300.0%$1.23B
est $1.22B
+0.8%+6.2%
Feb 27, 2025−$0.05
est $0.00
−963.8%$1.19B
est $1.18B
+1.1%−3.0%
Nov 5, 2024$0.06
est $0.07
−14.3%$1.18B
est $1.18B
−0.3%+3.0%
Aug 13, 2024$0.06
est $0.03
+100.0%$1.16B
est $1.15B
+1.2%−4.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Melco Resorts & Entertainment is $7.06, +67.3% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$7.06consensus 12-month target, +67.3% from the last close
Low $5.70High $8.50
Buy3
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 2Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained$6.30+49.3%
Aug 17CBREBuy, maintained$8.50+101.4%
Aug 12SusquehannaBuy, maintained$8+89.6%
Aug 3Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$6.40+51.7%
Jul 16J.P. MorganHold, maintained$5.70+35.1%
+0.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−7.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Melco Resorts & Entertainment averaged −7.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.4%2021−14.8%2022−19.9%2023−9.3%2024+8.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−6.8%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−9.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−8.7%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−7.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−8.5%2 of 5

For scale, MLCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.6%.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment market cap and key statistics

Melco Resorts & Entertainment’s market cap is $1.64B, with a P/E ratio of 7.1 and revenue of $5.22B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.64B
P/E ratio
7.1
Forward P/E
6
EPS, TTM
$0.59
Gekko Fair Value
$5.82

Trading

Volume
1.31M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.81M
52-week high
$9.53
52-week low
$4.06
Shares outstanding
380.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.22B
Profit margin
4.5%
Return on equity
-2157%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+35.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.48
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±10.6%

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Melco Resorts & Entertainment stock FAQ

What is Melco Resorts & Entertainment’s market cap?

Melco Resorts & Entertainment’s market cap is $1.64B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $4.22, with 380.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.1.

What is the Melco Resorts & Entertainment stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Melco Resorts & Entertainment is $7.06, +67.3% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Melco Resorts & Entertainment stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Melco Resorts & Entertainment is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $4.22 is 27.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $5.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Melco Resorts & Entertainment report earnings next?

Melco Resorts & Entertainment is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.07 per share on revenue of $1.26B. Melco Resorts & Entertainment beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.4% on average across the report.

What is Melco Resorts & Entertainment’s 52-week high and low?

Melco Resorts & Entertainment’s 52-week high is $9.53 and its 52-week low is $4.06; it closed at $4.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −49.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $14.46 on Apr 20, 2023.

Is Melco Resorts & Entertainment stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Melco Resorts & Entertainment the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.