Honda Motor (HMC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$35.22+1.23 (+3.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Honda's week is dominated by product and market news rather than financial results. Honda Racing unveiled its Passport Baja Spec Trophy Truck at the SEMA Show, and the company revealed the RN0, a new carbon eMTB developed with Rotwild, featuring a Shimano motor, at EICMA 2026 in Milan. Separately, Honda is weighing a restart of EU car output depending on new regulations, with its European unit president saying the company has no intention of leaving Europe. On the sales side, Honda rode hybrid and retail demand to gains in October alongside Toyota, Hyundai, and Kia.

HMC closed at $35.22, up 3.6%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $32.78 and 200-day average of $28.93, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at 10.7%, its six-month return at 42.5%, and it trades near its 52-week high of $35.42. The GekkoIndex reads 49.6, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 2.6 over five days. Gekko Fair Value is set at $50.39, leaving price 30.1% below that level.

Honda reports earnings on 11 November 2026, before the open, six days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day hold; its last report showed EPS of $2.18 with a 2% reaction, against an average absolute reaction of 4% across prior quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -6%, with gains in just 1 of those years, worth noting alongside the single analyst consensus target of $34.09.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Honda Motor price vs fair value

▲$50.39$35.22Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $35.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $50.39

Honda Motor quick facts

Market cap
$45.70B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
26
EPS, TTM
−$0.72
Revenue, TTM
$22.52T
Profit margin
-0.7%
Dividend yield
3.88%
Beta
0.30
Volume
1.04M avg 809,722
1-year return
+15.2%
Typical daily move
±1.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
50-day average
$32.78
200-day average
$28.93
Next earnings
Nov 11 before open
Shares outstanding
1.30B
52-week range
$23.25$35.42

Honda Motor swing-trade checklist

Honda Motor scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $35.22 is above the 50-day ($32.78) and 200-day ($28.93) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.6, Neutral

    Reading 49.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    30.1% below

    Price is 30.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 6 days

    Reports on Nov 11, 2026, 6 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −6.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Honda Motor stock chart and price history

Honda Motor closed at $35.22 on Nov 4, 2026, +15.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $23.25 to $35.42.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Honda Motor share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct35.22

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+10.7%
3 months
+14.6%
6 months
+42.5%
1 year
+15.2%
The full HMC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HMC in Gekko

Follow Honda Motor through every session

Put HMC on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Honda Motor

Honda Motor makes and sells motorcycles, automobiles, and power equipment to customers in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide. Its motorcycle lineup spans sporty bikes, commuter and business models, plus off-road machines such as ATVs and side-by-sides, while its automobile range covers passenger cars, light trucks, and compact mini-vehicles.

The company runs four business segments: Motorcycle, Automobile, Financial Services, and Life Creation and Other Businesses. The financial arm handles retail lending and leasing for consumers along with wholesale financing for dealers. The Life Creation segment covers general-purpose engines, generators, water pumps, lawn mowers including robotic types, brush cutters, tillers, snow blowers, outboard marine engines, walking assist devices, portable battery inverters, and HondaJet aircraft. Honda also sells spare parts and after-sale services through direct dealers, independent distributors, and licensed partners.

Founded in 1946, Honda Motor is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Its shares trade under the ticker HMC.

Sector
Consumer durables
Website
honda.co.jp

Honda Motor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Honda Motor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.6, in the Neutral zone, down 2.6 points over five sessions.

010049.6Neutral

Down 2.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying59+0.6%+0.5%−0.7%+0.7%
Accumulation236−0.3%−0.1%+0.4%+0.8%
Neutral (current zone)351+0.2%+0.1%−0.1%−0.3%
Distribution4Too few readings yet
Selling0Not available

Average HMC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HMC price, zone by zone.Track HMC in Gekko

Is Honda Motor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Honda Motor trades 30.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.39, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Honda Motor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$50.39

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

30.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 0.7% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$50$34Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HMC in Gekko

Honda Motor insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Honda Motor, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HMC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HMC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HMC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HMC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HMC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HMC in Gekko

Honda Motor earnings: next date and track record

Honda Motor reports on Nov 11, 2026, before the open (6 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 7 reports.

3 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.4%Nov ’24+4.0%Feb ’25−4.8%May ’25−0.5%Aug ’25−3.1%Nov ’25+2.0%Feb ’26+7.4%May ’26+2.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Honda reported record consolidated operating profit of JPY 530.7 billion for the fiscal first quarter ended June 30, 2026. Key drivers were strong Motorcycle performance (all-time high quarterly operating profit, driven by India and Brazil), solid Automobile results in North America (automotive operating profit JPY 192.1 billion, margin 5.0%), and favorable foreign exchange and tariff impacts. No EV-related losses were recorded in Q1; EV-related losses for the full year were maintained at JPY 500 billion at the start of the year and revised to JPY 520 billion to reflect exchange-rate changes. Management revised the consolidated operating profit forecast upward by JPY 150 billion to JPY 650 billion and updated the exchange-rate assumption to JPY 155/USD. Production was disrupted by the July 28, 2026 Kumamoto earthquake, with temporary suspensions at multiple domestic plants and parts shortages from suppliers; management is monitoring supplier recovery and possible alternative sourcing. Management detailed ongoing supplier negotiations related to North America EV strategy and compensation; timing and amounts of EV-related loss recognition remain uncertain and may be booked stepwise as negotiations progress. Other topics included China’s weak ICE/hybrid market and model transition, semiconductor supply/cost pressures (memory cost increases factored into guidance), and contingency planning for earthquake-related supply disruptions. Overall tone: upbeat on reported results and guidance uplift but cautious around EV-loss realization, China market weakness, semiconductor costs, earthquake recovery, and FX volatility.
Guidance
Revised consolidated operating profit forecast for fiscal year ending March 31, 2027: increased by JPY 150 billion to JPY 650 billion. Exchange-rate assumption revised to JPY 155 per USD. EV-related losses for the fiscal year: JPY 520 billion (reflecting foreign exchange impact; originally JPY 500 billion). Unit-sales and other full-year sales forecasts were generally maintained (no broad downward revision announced). Semiconductor-related additional cost of JPY 20-30 billion was already factored into the forecast.
Risks flagged
Kumamoto earthquake causing production suspensions and supplier damage leading to parts shortages and uncertain restart timing; ongoing, uncertain EV-related losses tied to supplier compensation negotiations (timing and amounts unknown); continued weakness in the Chinese ICE/hybrid market and model transition risk in China; semiconductor supply and rising memory costs (additional JPY 20-30 billion factored); foreign exchange volatility (sensitivity ~ JPY 10-12 billion per JPY1 movement) which can both help and hurt (especially U.S.-denominated EV supplier payments); geopolitical uncertainty (Middle East) potentially impacting unit sales and material inflation.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$2.18—$38.31B
est $36.24B
+5.7%+2.0%
May 14, 2026−$4.37
est $0.00
−136,621.9%$36.81B
est $32.99B
+11.6%+7.4%
Feb 10, 2026$0.76
est $0.52
+47.6%$34.78B
est $33.29B
+4.5%+2.0%
Nov 7, 2025$0.60
est $0.73
−17.9%$35.27B
est $35.95B
−1.9%−3.1%
Aug 6, 2025$0.97
est $0.51
+90.2%$36.88B
est $36.08B
+2.2%−0.5%
May 13, 2025$0.18
est $0.72
−75.0%$36.63B
est $36.07B
+1.6%−4.8%
Feb 13, 2025$1.31
est $1.21
+8.1%$35.18B
est $34.99B
+0.5%+4.0%
Nov 6, 2024$0.43
est $1.34
−68.0%$37.77B
est $34.44B
+9.7%−8.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Honda Motor stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Honda Motor is $34.09, −3.2% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$34.09consensus 12-month target, −3.2% from the last close
Buy0
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Exane BNP ParibasHold, initiated$34−3.5%
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−6.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Honda Motor seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Honda Motor averaged −6.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.2%2021+1.4%2022−5.5%2023−13.0%2024−4.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−4.1%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.7%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−6.0%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−6.9%1 of 5

For scale, HMC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.

Honda Motor market cap and key statistics

Honda Motor’s market cap is $45.70B and revenue of $22.52T over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$45.70B
Forward P/E
26
EPS, TTM
−$0.72
Gekko Fair Value
$50.39

Trading

Volume
1.04M
Avg volume, 20 days
809,722
52-week high
$35.42
52-week low
$23.25
Shares outstanding
1.30B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$22.52T
Profit margin
-0.7%
Return on equity
-0.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+147.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.30
Typical daily move
±1.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
Dividend yield
3.88%

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Honda Motor stock FAQ

What is Honda Motor’s market cap?

Honda Motor’s market cap is $45.70B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $35.22, with 1.30B shares outstanding.

What is the Honda Motor stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Honda Motor is $34.09, −3.2% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Honda Motor stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Honda Motor is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $35.22 is 30.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.39. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Honda Motor report earnings next?

Honda Motor is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026, before the market opens (6 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.95 per share on revenue of $36.68B. Honda Motor beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 7 reports, moving 4% on average across the report.

What is Honda Motor’s 52-week high and low?

Honda Motor’s 52-week high is $35.42 and its 52-week low is $23.25; it closed at $35.22 on Nov 4, 2026, +15.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $37.90 on Mar 22, 2024.

Is Honda Motor stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and fair value), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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