NYSE: GBTG

Global Business Travel (GBTG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$9.500.00 (0.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's coverage of Global Business Travel (GBTG) centers on a comparative piece pairing it with Sportradar Group (SRAD), weighing profitability, institutional ownership, risk, and valuation between the two mid-cap consumer discretionary names. No standalone company-specific catalyst, earnings update, or regulatory development accompanies the stock this week beyond that contrast.

GBTG closed at $9.50, unchanged on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $9.45 and its 200-day average of $7.92, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock trades near its 52-week high of $9.56, well above its 52-week low of $4.96, and shows a six-month return of 78.2% and a one-year return of 18.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 49.8, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -7.8. Price sits just 0.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.57, a narrow gap.

The next earnings date falls on 9 November 2026, 41 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 4 August 2026 showed EPS of $0.03 against a $0.06 estimate, with four beats across eight quarters and an average absolute reaction of 7.3%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of -2.6% from this point, rising in just 1 of those years, a factor worth noting alongside the consensus target of $9.75.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Global Business Travel price vs fair value

$9.57$9.50Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $9.50200-day averageGekko Fair Value $9.57

Global Business Travel quick facts

Market cap
$4.96B
P/E ratio
59.4
Forward P/E
14.4
EPS, TTM
$0.16
Revenue, TTM
$3.18B
Profit margin
2.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.93
Volume
3.88M avg 2.57M
1-year return
+18.8%
Typical daily move
±0.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
50-day average
$9.45
200-day average
$7.92
Next earnings
Nov 9 before open
Shares outstanding
522.4M
52-week range
$4.96$9.56

Global Business Travel swing-trade checklist

Global Business Travel scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $9.50 is above the 50-day ($9.45) and 200-day ($7.92) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.8, Neutral

    Reading 49.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.7% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.7% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 41 days

    Next report Nov 9, 2026, 41 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Global Business Travel stock chart and price history

Global Business Travel closed at $9.50 on Sep 28, 2026, +18.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.96 to $9.56.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Global Business Travel share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$6$7$8$9NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep9.50

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.4%
3 months
+1.2%
6 months
+78.2%
1 year
+18.8%
The full GBTG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GBTG in Gekko

Follow Global Business Travel through every session

Put GBTG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Global Business Travel

Global Business Travel runs a digital platform built for the business-to-business travel space, connecting corporate clients, business travelers, travel content providers, and outside travel agencies on a single system. The platform is used to arrange trips, track and process travel expenses, and coordinate meetings and events for organizations, positioning the company around the tools that support corporate travel management rather than travel booking for individual leisure customers.

The company works as a marketplace linking supply and demand within business travel, giving corporate customers and agencies access to booking options alongside expense and event coordination features in one place. Its customer base spans companies that send employees on business trips, the travel agencies that serve them, and the providers of travel content that feed into the platform.

Global Business Travel is based in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GBTG.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Other consumer services
Website
amexglobalbusinesstravel.com

Global Business Travel GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Global Business Travel’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.8, in the Neutral zone, down 7.8 points over five sessions.

010049.8Neutral

Down 7.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying33+0.7%+1.4%+2.2%−1.3%
Accumulation1590.0%−0.8%−1.7%+8.4%
Neutral (current zone)435+0.8%+1.9%+4.0%+6.8%
Distribution39+0.5%+1.1%+1.2%+2.6%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average GBTG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GBTG price, zone by zone.Track GBTG in Gekko

Is Global Business Travel stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Global Business Travel trades 0.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.57, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Global Business Travel shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$9.57

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

0.7% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GBTG in Gekko

Global Business Travel insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Global Business Travel, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GBTG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GBTG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GBTG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GBTG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GBTG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GBTG in Gekko

Buybacks

Global Business Travel has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$9.00M
As a share of market cap
0.18%
Trailing four quarters
$119.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds GBTG.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Global Business Travel earnings: next date and track record

Global Business Travel reports on Nov 9, 2026, before the open (41 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+10.3%Aug ’24+8.7%Nov ’24−3.6%Feb ’25−13.5%May ’25+17.5%Aug ’25−1.1%Nov ’25−4.0%Mar ’260.0%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.03
est $0.06
−50.0%$870.0M
est $810.6M
+7.3%0.0%
Mar 9, 2026$0.14
est $0.02
+600.0%$792.0M
est $790.0M
+0.3%−4.0%
Nov 10, 2025−$0.07
est $0.12
−158.2%$674.0M
est $614.7M
+9.6%−1.1%
Aug 5, 2025$0.03
est $0.02
+50.0%$631.0M
est $600.1M
+5.2%+17.5%
May 6, 2025$0.16
est $0.04
+291.8%$621.0M
est $652.6M
−4.8%−13.5%
Feb 27, 2025−$0.04
est $0.04
−210.5%$591.0M
est $638.8M
−7.5%−3.6%
Nov 5, 2024−$0.28
est −$0.02
−1,300.0%$597.0M
est $585.7M
+1.9%+8.7%
Aug 6, 2024$0.06
est −$0.04
+250.0%$625.0M
est $613.5M
+1.9%+10.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Global Business Travel stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Global Business Travel is $9.75, +2.6% from the last close.

$9.75consensus 12-month target, +2.6% from the last close
+4.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±0.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Global Business Travel seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Global Business Travel averaged −2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.1%2021+2.3%2022−10.9%2023−0.1%2024−1.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.0%0 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.3%0 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.6%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.3%1 of 5

For scale, GBTG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.

Global Business Travel market cap and key statistics

Global Business Travel’s market cap is $4.96B, with a P/E ratio of 59.4 and revenue of $3.18B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.96B
P/E ratio
59.4
Forward P/E
14.4
EPS, TTM
$0.16
Gekko Fair Value
$9.57

Trading

Volume
3.88M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.57M
52-week high
$9.56
52-week low
$4.96
Shares outstanding
522.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.18B
Profit margin
2.8%
Return on equity
6.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+5.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.93
Typical daily move
±0.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%

Global Business Travel stock news this week

1 headline about Global Business Travel from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Global Business Travel peers

Global Business Travel’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BKNGBooking+0.8%Accumulation28.1% below
EXPEExpedia+1.6%Accumulation4.4% below
SCIService Corporation International−0.8%Accumulation1.2% above
LTHLife Time−1.4%Accumulation17.9% below
ANDGAndersen+0.7%Accumulation16.0% below
HRBH&R Block−3.8%Buying42.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Global Business Travel stock FAQ

What is Global Business Travel’s market cap?

Global Business Travel’s market cap is $4.96B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $9.50, with 522.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 59.4.

What is the Global Business Travel stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Global Business Travel is $9.75, +2.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Global Business Travel stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Global Business Travel is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $9.50 is 0.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.57. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Global Business Travel report earnings next?

Global Business Travel is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026, before the market opens (41 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.01 per share on revenue of $825.9M. Global Business Travel beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.3% on average across the report.

What is Global Business Travel’s 52-week high and low?

Global Business Travel’s 52-week high is $9.56 and its 52-week low is $4.96; it closed at $9.50 on Sep 28, 2026, +18.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $10.02 on Dec 3, 2021.

Is Global Business Travel stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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