Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CBSH in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CBSH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CBSH in Gekko
NASDAQ: CBSH
Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$55.88−0.56 (−1.0%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryMorgan Stanley raises its price target on Commerce Bancshares to $77.00 from $76.00, maintaining an "overweight" rating. Insider activity also surfaces this week, with executive vice president Kevin G. Barth awarded 118 shares and executive chairman David W. Kemper indirectly acquiring 128 shares, both part of an executive compensation plan dated 22 September.
CBSH closes at $55.88, down 1% on the day, with its 1-month return at -3.7% and its 6-month return at 16.2%. The price sits between its 50-day average of $58.42 and its 200-day average of $54.20. The GekkoIndex reads 66.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the index has slipped 3.7 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value stands at $61.68, putting the current price 9.4% below that level.
Earnings are due on 20 October, 21 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS beat of $1.01 against a $1 estimate, with a 1.5% reaction, and the company has posted 8 beats across 8 quarters. Seasonality over the same calendar stretch has averaged -3.3% across 5 years, with gains in 2 of those years. Analyst coverage from 8 firms includes 1 buy and 7 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $66.56, representing 19.1% upside from current levels. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity is recorded in the current windows.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Commerce Bancshares price vs fair value
Close $55.88200-day averageGekko Fair Value $61.68
Commerce Bancshares quick facts
- Market cap
- $8.15B
- P/E ratio
- 13.8
- Forward P/E
- 13.2
- EPS, TTM
- $4.08
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.84B
- Profit margin
- 31.6%
- Dividend yield
- 1.93%
- Beta
- 0.58
- Volume
- 659,505 avg 1.04M
- 1-year return
- −6.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.8%
- 50-day average
- $58.42
- 200-day average
- $54.20
- Next earnings
- Oct 20
- Shares outstanding
- 143.4M
Commerce Bancshares swing-trade checklist
Commerce Bancshares scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $55.88 sits between the 50-day ($58.42) and 200-day ($54.20) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.3, Accumulation
Reading 66.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
9.4% below
Price is 9.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 21 days
Reports on Oct 20, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−3.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Commerce Bancshares stock chart and price history
Commerce Bancshares closed at $55.88 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $46.99 to $60.92.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −3.7%
- 3 months
- −3.8%
- 6 months
- +16.2%
- 1 year
- −6.1%
The full CBSH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CBSH in Gekko
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About Commerce Bancshares
Commerce Bancshares serves as the holding company for Commerce Bank, offering a wide range of banking and financial services to individual and business customers throughout the United States. It is recognized for combining everyday retail banking with more specialized services such as mortgage lending, trust administration, and asset management.
The company runs its business through three divisions. The Consumer division handles personal banking needs, including deposit accounts, home equity and installment loans, auto and recreational vehicle financing, mortgage banking, and debit and credit cards. The Commercial division works with businesses and institutions, providing corporate lending, equipment leasing, international banking, cash management, and fixed-income securities trading for correspondent banks, municipalities, and other institutional clients. The Wealth Management division covers trust and estate services, investment advisory and portfolio management, brokerage, and private banking. The company also engages in private equity investing, insurance agency work, and specialized leasing, alongside online and mobile banking access and a network of branches across several states.
Commerce Bancshares was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CBSH.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Regional banks
- Website
- commercebank.com
Commerce Bancshares GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Commerce Bancshares’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.7 points over five sessions.
66.3Accumulation
Down 3.7 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 29 | +1.3% | +3.3% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 223 | −0.1% | +1.2% | ||
| Neutral | 386 | +0.1% | +0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 30 | +0.3% | +0.1% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CBSH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CBSH price, zone by zone.Track CBSH in Gekko
Is Commerce Bancshares stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Commerce Bancshares trades 9.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.68, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Commerce Bancshares shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$61.68
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
9.4% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CBSH in Gekko
Commerce Bancshares insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Commerce Bancshares, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CBSH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CBSH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CBSH in Gekko
Buybacks
Commerce Bancshares has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $112.1M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.38%
- Trailing four quarters
- $336.9M
From company filings.
Commerce Bancshares earnings: next date and track record
Commerce Bancshares reports on Oct 20, 2026 (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 20, 2026
21 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.08
- Revenue estimate
- $499.7M
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | $1.01 est $1.00 | $449.4M est $442.5M | +1.5% |
| Oct 16, 2025 | $1.06 est $1.04 | $448.9M est $447.5M | −5.3% |
| Jul 16, 2025 | $1.14 est $1.04 | $445.8M est $434.4M | +1.5% |
| Apr 16, 2025 | $0.98 est $0.93 | $420.5M est $418.0M | +2.0% |
| Jan 22, 2025 | $1.01 est $0.94 | $423.1M est $415.0M | +0.4% |
| Oct 17, 2024 | $1.02 est $0.96 | $425.2M est $419.7M | −0.6% |
| Jul 18, 2024 | $1.07 est $0.90 | $417.7M est $406.9M | +2.5% |
| Apr 16, 2024 | $0.86 est $0.81 | $397.6M est $389.5M | +3.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Commerce Bancshares stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Commerce Bancshares is $66.56, +19.1% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$66.56consensus 12-month target, +19.1% from the last close
Now $55.88Avg $66.56
Low $62High $77
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Morgan Stanley | $77 | +37.8% |
| Sep 8 | Morgan Stanley | $76 | +36.0% |
| Aug 27 | Raymond James | — | — |
| Aug 10 | Wells Fargo | $63 | +12.7% |
| Jul 20 | KBW | $62 | +11.0% |
+1.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Commerce Bancshares seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Commerce Bancshares averaged −3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.5% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | 0.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −3.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, CBSH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.
Commerce Bancshares market cap and key statistics
Commerce Bancshares’s market cap is $8.15B, with a P/E ratio of 13.8 and revenue of $1.84B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $8.15B
- P/E ratio
- 13.8
- Forward P/E
- 13.2
- EPS, TTM
- $4.08
- Gekko Fair Value
- $61.68
Trading
- Volume
- 659,505
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.04M
- 52-week high
- $60.92
- 52-week low
- $46.99
- Shares outstanding
- 143.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.84B
- Profit margin
- 31.6%
- Return on equity
- 14.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +1.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.58
- Typical daily move
- ±1.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.93%
Commerce Bancshares stock news this week
Coverage of Commerce Bancshares this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Commerce Bancshares (NASDAQ:CBSH) Price Target Raised to $77.00MarketBeat, Sep 28
- An entity managed by Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) chairman holds 1.26 million shares.Stock Titan, Sep 25
- Form 4 Commerce Bancshares Inc For: 24 SeptemberInvesting.com India, Sep 25
- Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) executive receives 118 shares and reports 89,007 held directlyStock Titan, Sep 25
- CBSH Historical Stock Prices & Daily Price Data | Commerce Bancshares IncQuiver Quantitative, Sep 24
Commerce Bancshares peers
Commerce Bancshares’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CMCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | Accumulation | 4.8% below |
| USBU.S. Bancorp | Accumulation | 10.6% below |
| NUNu | Buying | 24.1% below |
| TFCTruist Financial | Buying | 10.3% below |
| FITBFifth Third Bancorp | Accumulation | 11.5% below |
| MTBM&T Bank | Accumulation | 11.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Commerce Bancshares stock FAQ
What is Commerce Bancshares’s market cap?
Commerce Bancshares’s market cap is $8.15B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $55.88, with 143.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.8.
What is the Commerce Bancshares stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Commerce Bancshares is $66.56, +19.1% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Commerce Bancshares stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Commerce Bancshares is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $55.88 is 9.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.68. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Commerce Bancshares report earnings next?
Commerce Bancshares is expected to report on Oct 20, 2026 (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.08 per share on revenue of $499.7M. Commerce Bancshares beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.2% on average across the report.
What is Commerce Bancshares’s 52-week high and low?
Commerce Bancshares’s 52-week high is $60.92 and its 52-week low is $46.99; it closed at $55.88 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $72.75 on Nov 25, 2024.
Is Commerce Bancshares stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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