NYSE: BIRK

Birkenstock (BIRK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$32.97−0.63 (−1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Birkenstock shares moved this week on continued analyst attention rather than new operating news. JPMorgan reiterated an Overweight rating and a $58.00 price target following investor meetings, citing a projected multi-year revenue growth profile of 13% to 15% in constant currency supported by unit growth and rising average selling prices. Separate coverage noted a "Moderate Buy" consensus recommendation from nineteen ratings firms, alongside a 4.2% intraday share gain on light volume, and commentary pointing to the stock's valuation relative to its growth and profitability profile.

The stock closed at $32.97, down 1.9%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $35.98 and its 200-day average of $39.36, with the shorter average also below the longer one. Over the past month shares are down 6.6%, and over three months down 24%. The GekkoIndex reads 57.2, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 10.3 points over five sessions. The price sits 14.6% below the Gekko Fair Value of $38.62.

No confirmed earnings date is currently on the calendar; the last report, on 13 August 2026, showed EPS in line with estimates and a 7.1% reaction. Over the last 30 days, 2 unusual options signals were recorded, with call premium of $2,482,128 versus put premium of $322,070. Analyst coverage spans 18 firms, with 13 at buy and 5 at hold, and a consensus target of $50.94. Peers to watch for comparison include NKE, RL, LULU, DECK, ONON and LEVI.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Birkenstock price vs fair value

$38.62$32.97Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $32.97200-day averageGekko Fair Value $38.62

Birkenstock quick facts

Market cap
$6.06B
P/E ratio
16.2
Forward P/E
11.6
EPS, TTM
$2.08
Revenue, TTM
$2.27B
Profit margin
14.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.28
Volume
1.53M avg 2.26M
1-year return
−26.6%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.9%
50-day average
$35.98
200-day average
$39.36
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
165.1M
52-week range
$29.93$50.73

Birkenstock swing-trade checklist

Birkenstock scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $32.97 is below the 50-day ($35.98) and 200-day ($39.36) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.2, Neutral

    Reading 57.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    14.6% below

    Price is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Birkenstock stock chart and price history

Birkenstock closed at $32.97 on Sep 28, 2026, −26.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $29.93 to $50.73.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Birkenstock share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35$40$45$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep32.97

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.6%
3 months
−24.0%
6 months
−3.6%
1 year
−26.6%
The full BIRK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BIRK in Gekko

Follow Birkenstock through every session

Put BIRK on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track BIRK in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Birkenstock

Birkenstock designs and sells footwear built around sandals, shoes and closed-toe styles, and rounds out its range with skincare products and accessories. The company is widely recognized for its footwear line, which forms the core of its business alongside these smaller product categories.

Birkenstock reaches customers through several channels, selling directly via its own online platforms and physical retail locations while also supplying products through wholesale arrangements with other businesses. Its operations span multiple regions, with a presence in the United States, Brazil, Canada, Mexico, Europe and the APMA region covering Asia Pacific, the Middle East and Africa.

The company traces its founding back to 1774 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom. It operates as a subsidiary of BK LC Lux MidCo S.à r.l. Shares of Birkenstock are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BIRK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Apparel/Footwear
Website
birkenstock-holding.com

Birkenstock GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Birkenstock’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.2, in the Neutral zone, down 10.3 points over five sessions.

010057.2Neutral

Down 10.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying55+1.1%+1.7%+2.7%+6.7%
Accumulation285−0.1%−0.2%+0.7%+5.8%
Neutral (current zone)297−0.5%−0.8%−1.9%−7.2%
Distribution30+2.0%+0.5%−1.5%−7.1%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average BIRK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BIRK price, zone by zone.Track BIRK in Gekko

Is Birkenstock stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Birkenstock trades 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.62, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Birkenstock shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$38.62

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

14.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BIRK in Gekko

Birkenstock insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Birkenstock, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BIRK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BIRK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BIRK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BIRK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BIRK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BIRK in Gekko

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 89% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 22, $386K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BIRK.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Birkenstock earnings: next date and track record

Birkenstock beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 7% on average across the report.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−17.8%Aug ’24+2.7%Dec ’24−5.3%Feb ’25+4.0%May ’25−0.9%Aug ’25−8.3%Dec ’25−10.1%May ’26+7.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Birkenstock reported Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue growth of 15% in constant currency, with EMEA up 15%, Americas up 14%, and APAC up 23%. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 60 basis points year-over-year. DTC accelerated to 16% growth, own retail revenue surged 50%, and same-store sales rose high single digits. The company repurchased EUR 230 million in shares and refinanced senior notes at 75 basis points lower rate.
Guidance
Management raised full-year fiscal 2026 guidance to 15% revenue growth in constant currency and adjusted EBITDA of at least EUR 710 million, targeting approximately 140 retail doors by year-end.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026$0.86
est $0.86
−0.3%$821.7M
est $817.0M
+0.6%+7.1%
May 13, 2026$0.59
est $0.69
−14.0%$714.4M
est $716.6M
−0.3%−10.1%
Dec 18, 2025$0.60
est $0.42
+41.7%$616.5M
est $613.1M
+0.5%−8.3%
Aug 14, 2025$0.70
est $0.70
−0.4%$747.7M
est $749.8M
−0.3%−0.9%
May 15, 2025$0.58
est $0.58
−0.3%$629.6M
est $613.8M
+2.6%+4.0%
Feb 20, 2025$0.19
est $0.16
+18.8%$374.6M
est $570.9M
−34.4%−5.3%
Dec 18, 2024$0.32
est $0.29
+10.3%$499.9M
est $488.6M
+2.3%+2.7%
Aug 29, 2024$0.49
est $0.52
−5.8%$607.3M
est $606.4M
+0.1%−17.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Birkenstock stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Birkenstock is $50.94, +54.5% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$50.94consensus 12-month target, +54.5% from the last close
Low $35High $76
Buy13
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$58+75.9%
Sep 11GuggenheimBuy, reiterated$55+66.8%
Sep 9BMO CapitalHold, initiated$35+6.2%
Sep 8BMO CapitalHold, initiated$35+6.2%
Aug 27Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$50+51.7%
−1.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Birkenstock market cap and key statistics

Birkenstock’s market cap is $6.06B, with a P/E ratio of 16.2 and revenue of $2.27B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.06B
P/E ratio
16.2
Forward P/E
11.6
EPS, TTM
$2.08
Gekko Fair Value
$38.62

Trading

Volume
1.53M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.26M
52-week high
$50.73
52-week low
$29.93
Shares outstanding
165.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.27B
Profit margin
14.8%
Return on equity
12.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−13.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.28
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.9%

Birkenstock peers

Birkenstock’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NKENike+2.6%Accumulation20.3% below
RLRalph Lauren+0.7%Neutral10.3% above
LULUlululemon athletica+0.8%Accumulation37.6% below
DECKDeckers Outdoor+0.2%Accumulation38.3% below
ONONOn+1.2%Neutral16.3% below
LEVILevi Strauss+1.2%Accumulation1.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Birkenstock stock FAQ

What is Birkenstock’s market cap?

Birkenstock’s market cap is $6.06B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $32.97, with 165.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.2.

What is the Birkenstock stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Birkenstock is $50.94, +54.5% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Birkenstock stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Birkenstock is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $32.97 is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.62. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Birkenstock’s 52-week high and low?

Birkenstock’s 52-week high is $50.73 and its 52-week low is $29.93; it closed at $32.97 on Sep 28, 2026, −26.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $64.78 on Aug 26, 2024.

Is Birkenstock stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (fair value and smart money), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Birkenstock?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Birkenstock over the last 30 days, with $2.48M of flagged premium in calls and $322K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 22, 2026 with $386K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Birkenstock the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.