NASDAQ: CROX

Crocs (CROX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$122.36−3.78 (−3.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Crocs shares moved lower this week after a broader market pullback, with the stock closing at $122.36, down 3% on the day. Coverage also weighed valuation questions following its 54% one-year run, alongside a lawsuit Crocs filed against Five Below alleging infringement of its Classic Clogs and Jibbitz charm designs. Separately, brokerages maintain a "Moderate Buy" consensus recommendation, with an average price target cited at $139.10, above the recent share price of $123.69.

Price sits at $122.36, between the 50-day average of $125.69 and the 200-day average of $105.87, reflecting a mixed short-term trend against a stronger longer-term one. The GekkoIndex reads 55.6, placing Crocs in the Neutral zone. Fair value is estimated at $116.67, putting the current price about 4.9% above that mark.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is due 29 October 2026, before the open, which falls outside that window. Smart-money activity over the past 90 days includes 4 insider purchases totaling $612,571, while options data over the past 30 days shows 1 unusual signal, with put premium of $1,081,340 against call premium of $41,325. Seasonally, this stretch has averaged a -0.3% return over 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. Analyst coverage spans 13 firms, with 6 rating it buy, 6 hold, and 1 sell, and a consensus target of $138.25.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Crocs price vs fair value

$122.36$116.67Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $122.36200-day averageGekko Fair Value $116.67

Crocs quick facts

Market cap
$5.87B
P/E ratio
11.2
Forward P/E
8.2
EPS, TTM
$11.26
Revenue, TTM
$4.05B
Profit margin
14.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.51
Volume
1.07M avg 1.13M
1-year return
+59.6%
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±9.1%
50-day average
$125.69
200-day average
$105.87
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
47.95M
52-week range
$73.21$141.28

Crocs swing-trade checklist

Crocs scores 1 supportive, 5 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive5 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $122.36 sits between the 50-day ($125.69) and 200-day ($105.87) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55.6, Neutral

    Reading 55.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.9% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.9% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneymixed

    Mixed

    Last 90 days: 4 open-market insider purchases. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Crocs stock chart and price history

Crocs closed at $122.36 on Sep 28, 2026, +59.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $73.21 to $141.28.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Crocs share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$100$140NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep122.36

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.6%
3 months
−2.4%
6 months
+53.8%
1 year
+59.6%
The full CROX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CROX in Gekko

Follow Crocs through every session

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Crocs GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Crocs’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.6, in the Neutral zone, up 0.9 points over five sessions.

010055.6Neutral

Up 0.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+4.6%+5.7%+10.4%+7.9%
Accumulation237+0.6%+2.5%+5.7%+5.0%
Neutral (current zone)348−0.3%−1.0%−2.7%−2.0%
Distribution48+1.0%+0.4%+2.4%+11.4%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average CROX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CROX price, zone by zone.Track CROX in Gekko

Is Crocs stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Crocs trades 4.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $116.67, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Crocs shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$116.67

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

4.9% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CROX in Gekko

Crocs insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 4 open-market purchases in Crocs worth $613K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$613Kin 4 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 16SMACH THOMAS J
director
Purchase680$76K
Sep 16KAPLAN BETH J
director
Purchase885$99K
Sep 14SMACH THOMAS J
director
Purchase3,000$328K
Sep 14SMACH THOMAS J
director
Purchase1,000$109K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CROX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CROX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CROX in Gekko

Buybacks

Crocs has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$1.50B, Jul 30, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$256.9M
As a share of market cap
4.38%
Trailing four quarters
$647.6M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 4% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 18, $1.12M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold CROX.

0added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Crocs earnings: next date and track record

Crocs reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−21.0%Oct ’24+22.1%Feb ’25+8.9%May ’25−28.4%Aug ’25−3.5%Oct ’25+17.1%Feb ’26+3.7%Apr ’26−4.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Crocs reported a stronger-than-expected Q2 2026 with record enterprise revenue of $1.2 billion (up 2% YoY). The Crocs brand exceeded $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time and grew 4% YoY; HEYDUDE declined 6% YoY but showed sequential improvement driven by DTC gains. DTC was a key growth driver (Crocs DTC +12% and HEYDUDE DTC +7%), while wholesale declined due to deliberate channel optimization. Management emphasized diversification (sandals, clog variants, Ballet Flat), international strength (China, India, Japan), and improving North America trends (North America Crocs returning to slight growth in the quarter; full-year NA return to growth expected in the medium term). The company generated strong free cash flow, repurchased ~2.3M shares ($251M), paid down $31M debt, and the Board approved an additional $1.5B share repurchase authorization. Management announced a revenue-recognition shift for certain marketplace partners in North America beginning in Q3 that will reduce DTC-reported revenue and increase wholesale-reported revenue (net lower reported revenue in the short term) but provide slight operating profit benefit. Tariffs remain a drag on gross margin and are cited as the primary drag on profitability. The company reaffirmed its EBIT margin guidance and raised full-year Crocs brand revenue guidance to +2% to +3%. Overall tone was confident, with management defending strategy and emphasizing durable, cash-generative operations.
Guidance
Crocs brand full-year revenue guidance raised to +2% to +3% (constant currency). Management reiterated and reaffirmed prior EBIT margin guidance for the year. Company announced Board approval of an additional $1.5 billion share repurchase authorization. Management noted a revenue-recognition shift beginning in Q3 (North America, Crocs brand marketplaces) that will lower DTC-reported revenue and increase wholesale-reported revenue in the near term but slightly benefit operating profit.
Risks flagged
Tariff headwinds (year-over-year tariffs materially pressuring gross margins), short-term reporting impact and complexity from the marketplace revenue-recognition shift (could affect near-term reported revenue and comparability), continued wholesale channel uncertainties (managed reductions and resets), and general consumer/macro uncertainty that could impact demand. Also standard SEC-listed forward-looking statement risks.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$4.55
est $4.32
+5.3%$1.18B
est $1.15B
+2.7%−4.1%
Apr 30, 2026$2.99
est $2.77
+7.8%$921.5M
est $900.6M
+2.3%+3.7%
Feb 12, 2026$2.29
est $1.76
+30.1%$957.6M
est $916.9M
+4.4%+17.1%
Oct 30, 2025$2.92
est $2.36
+23.7%$996.3M
est $960.1M
+3.8%−3.5%
Aug 7, 2025$4.23
est $4.01
+5.5%$1.15B
est $1.01B
+14.0%−28.4%
May 8, 2025$3.00
est $2.51
+19.5%$937.3M
est $1.14B
−17.6%+8.9%
Feb 13, 2025$2.52
est $2.26
+11.5%$989.8M
est $961.1M
+3.0%+22.1%
Oct 29, 2024$3.60
est $3.11
+15.8%$1.06B
est $963.9M
+10.2%−21.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Crocs stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Crocs is $138.25, +13.0% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$138.25consensus 12-month target, +13.0% from the last close
Low $95High $163
Buy6
Hold6
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 11BTIGHold, reiterated——
Aug 11Raymond JamesHold, maintained——
Aug 10Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$150+22.6%
Aug 6NeedhamBuy, maintained$150+22.6%
Aug 2Williams TradingBuy, reiterated$160+30.8%
−2.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Crocs seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Crocs averaged −0.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.4%2021+2.5%2022−2.6%2023−4.7%2024+4.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.4%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.0%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.0%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.1%2 of 5

For scale, CROX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.1%.

Crocs market cap and key statistics

Crocs’s market cap is $5.87B, with a P/E ratio of 11.2 and revenue of $4.05B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.87B
P/E ratio
11.2
Forward P/E
8.2
EPS, TTM
$11.26
Gekko Fair Value
$116.67

Trading

Volume
1.07M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.13M
52-week high
$141.28
52-week low
$73.21
Shares outstanding
47.95M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.05B
Profit margin
14.6%
Return on equity
42.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−4.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.51
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±9.1%

Crocs stock news this week

Coverage of Crocs this week reads positive: 6 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Crocs peers

Crocs’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NKENike+2.6%Accumulation20.3% below
RLRalph Lauren+0.7%Neutral10.3% above
LULUlululemon athletica+0.8%Accumulation37.6% below
DECKDeckers Outdoor+0.2%Accumulation38.3% below
ONONOn+1.2%Neutral16.3% below
LEVILevi Strauss+1.2%Accumulation1.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Crocs stock FAQ

What is Crocs’s market cap?

Crocs’s market cap is $5.87B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $122.36, with 47.95M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.2.

What is the Crocs stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Crocs is $138.25, +13.0% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Crocs stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Crocs is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $122.36 is 4.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $116.67. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Crocs report earnings next?

Crocs is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.30 per share on revenue of $1.00B. Crocs beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.6% on average across the report.

What is Crocs’s 52-week high and low?

Crocs’s 52-week high is $141.28 and its 52-week low is $73.21; it closed at $122.36 on Sep 28, 2026, +59.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $183.88 on Nov 15, 2021.

Is Crocs stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 5 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Crocs?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Crocs over the last 30 days, with $41K of flagged premium in calls and $1.08M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 18, 2026 with $1.12M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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