Barclays (BCS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$23.70+1.30 (+5.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Barclays shares moved this week against a backdrop of regulatory and legal filings rather than core operating news: a Form 424B2 for Autocallable Leveraged Buffered Notes linked to the iShares Semiconductor ETF, a Form 8.3 disclosure on SEGRO PLC positions, a Holding(s) in Company notice tied to a 7.11% voting stake in Mobico Group PLC, and a report that Rosen Law Firm continues to investigate potential securities claims tied to prior disclosures. Separately, Barclays disclosed it is stepping up client reviews to track flood exposure amid regulatory pressure from the Bank of England, while a Group Chief Risk Officer share acquisition under the SAYE scheme was also noted. Commentary also surfaced questioning whether Barclays shares represent a FTSE 100 bargain following mixed third-quarter results.

The stock closed at $23.70, up 5.8% on the day, but remains below both its 50-day average of $24.30 and 200-day average of $24.82, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The three-month return stands at -15.9%, while the one-year return is 10.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 59.7, placing it in the Neutral zone. Gekko Fair Value sits at $26.44, putting the current price 10.4% below that mark.

The next earnings date falls on 9 February 2027, 96 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.6% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus from 2 firms carries a $29.42 target, implying 24.1% upside.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Barclays price vs fair value

$26.44$23.70Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $23.70200-day averageGekko Fair Value $26.44

Barclays quick facts

Market cap
$79.79B
P/E ratio
8.3
Forward P/E
6.6
EPS, TTM
$2.68
Revenue, TTM
$28.46B
Profit margin
28.2%
Dividend yield
0.50%
Beta
0.91
Volume
6.90M avg 6.47M
1-year return
+10.2%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$24.30
200-day average
$24.82
Next earnings
Feb 9 before open
Shares outstanding
3.32B
52-week range
$19.84$28.69

Barclays swing-trade checklist

Barclays scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $23.70 is below the 50-day ($24.30) and 200-day ($24.82) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.7, Neutral

    Reading 59.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.4% below

    Price is 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 96 days

    Next report Feb 9, 2027, 96 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Barclays stock chart and price history

Barclays closed at $23.70 on Nov 4, 2026, +10.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.84 to $28.69.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Barclays share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct23.70

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.1%
3 months
−15.9%
6 months
−1.3%
1 year
+10.2%
The full BCS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BCS in Gekko

Follow Barclays through every session

Put BCS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Barclays

Barclays supplies a wide array of banking and finance services to individuals and businesses spread across the UK, Europe, the Americas, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. Customers can access everyday banking products such as deposit and savings accounts, home loans, credit cards, and personal borrowing, together with services covering corporate banking, investment banking, wealth management, and asset management. It also handles trading in securities and the issuance of credit cards.

Operationally, the company is divided into distinct segments: Barclays UK, Barclays UK Corporate Bank, Barclays Private Bank and Wealth Management, Barclays Investment Bank, and Barclays US Consumer Bank. Through these divisions it reaches everyday retail customers, corporate accounts, private and wealth management clients, and consumer banking customers in the United States, covering a mix of personal and institutional financial needs.

The bank dates back to 1690 and keeps its head office in London, United Kingdom. It once carried the name Barclays Bank public limited company before being renamed Barclays PLC in early 1985. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker BCS.

Sector
Finance
Website
home.barclays

Barclays GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Barclays’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.7, in the Neutral zone, down 5.8 points over five sessions.

010059.7Neutral

Down 5.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+0.4%+0.8%+10.1%+17.5%
Accumulation104+1.7%+3.2%+4.1%+15.2%
Neutral (current zone)487+0.6%+1.2%+2.7%+7.0%
Distribution31+0.1%+2.0%+3.3%+4.5%
Selling0Not available

Average BCS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BCS price, zone by zone.Track BCS in Gekko

Is Barclays stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Barclays trades 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.44, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Barclays shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$26.44

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 3, 2026

10.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 9.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$26$23Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BCS in Gekko

Barclays insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Barclays, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BCS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BCS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BCS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BCS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BCS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BCS in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BCS.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Barclays earnings: next date and track record

Barclays reports on Feb 9, 2027, before the open (96 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.5%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.3%Feb ’25−1.9%Apr ’25+2.3%Jul ’25+5.7%Oct ’25−2.1%Feb ’26−0.4%Apr ’26−8.8%Jul ’26−3.8%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Barclays reported Q3 2026 income of GBP 7.4 billion (+3% YoY), with profit before tax up 12% to GBP 2.3 billion and RoTE of 11.7% for the quarter (13.8% YTD). EPS grew 18% YoY, on track for a third consecutive year of 20% growth. A GBP 500 million share buyback was announced, bringing YTD distributions to GBP 2.8 billion (+47%). CET1 ratio stands at 14.2%, with UK retail, corporate franchises, and equities driving performance.
Guidance
Management confirmed confidence in achieving group RoTE greater than 12% for 2026 and full-year income target of approximately GBP 31.5 billion. NII growth expected to continue until at least 2030, supported by structural hedge and lending momentum. Absolute cost and efficiency savings path for 2027 to be detailed at full-year results.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 22, 2026$0.66
est $0.67
−1.5%$9.86B
est $10.10B
−2.4%−3.8%
Jul 28, 2026$0.90
est $0.89
+1.1%$11.08B
est $10.78B
+2.8%−8.8%
Apr 28, 2026$0.76
est $0.75
+1.3%$11.02B
est $10.88B
+1.3%−0.4%
Feb 10, 2026$0.46
est $0.42
+9.5%$9.68B
est $9.42B
+2.8%−2.1%
Oct 22, 2025$0.56
est $0.54
+3.7%$9.64B
est $9.26B
+4.1%+5.7%
Jul 29, 2025$0.62
est $0.50
+24.0%$25.11B
est $9.38B
+167.9%+2.3%
Apr 30, 2025$0.65
est $0.61
+6.6%$9.95B
est $9.31B
+6.9%−1.9%
Feb 13, 2025$0.21
est $0.19
+10.5%$7.13B
est $9.17B
−22.3%−3.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Barclays stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Barclays is $29.42, +24.1% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$29.42consensus 12-month target, +24.1% from the last close
Buy1
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 23Berenberg BankBuy, maintained$33.50+41.4%
Sep 1Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained——
Sep 1Bank of America SecuritiesHold, downgraded——
Aug 14Berenberg BankBuy, maintained$33.50+41.4%
+2.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Barclays seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Barclays averaged +4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.5%2021+7.8%2022+4.3%2023+6.1%2024+10.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.7%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.8%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.0%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.8%4 of 5

For scale, BCS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

Barclays market cap and key statistics

Barclays’s market cap is $79.79B, with a P/E ratio of 8.3 and revenue of $28.46B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$79.79B
P/E ratio
8.3
Forward P/E
6.6
EPS, TTM
$2.68
Gekko Fair Value
$26.44

Trading

Volume
6.90M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.47M
52-week high
$28.69
52-week low
$19.84
Shares outstanding
3.32B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$28.46B
Profit margin
28.2%
Return on equity
10.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+17.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.91
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
Dividend yield
0.50%

Barclays stock news this week

Coverage of Barclays this week reads neutral: 5 positive, 11 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

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Barclays stock FAQ

What is Barclays’s market cap?

Barclays’s market cap is $79.79B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $23.70, with 3.32B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.3.

What is the Barclays stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Barclays is $29.42, +24.1% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Barclays stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Barclays is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $23.70 is 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.44. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Barclays report earnings next?

Barclays is expected to report on Feb 9, 2027, before the market opens (96 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.48 per share on revenue of $9.89B. Barclays beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.5% on average across the report.

What is Barclays’s 52-week high and low?

Barclays’s 52-week high is $28.69 and its 52-week low is $19.84; it closed at $23.70 on Nov 4, 2026, +10.2% over the past year.

Is Barclays stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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