Itau Unibanco (ITUB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$7.28+0.23 (+3.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Itau Unibanco's shares moved sharply this week following Brazil's presidential runoff result, which the bank's weekly recap links to a 24% drop, even as Q3 2026 results showed recurring net income of BRL 12.6 billion, up 6.7% year over year, with ROE of 23.6% and an NPL ratio of 2.0% for loans over 90 days. Management also revised 2026 tax-rate guidance to 28.0%-29.0% while keeping other guidance unchanged, and flagged rising credit costs, up 10.2%, alongside a disciplined capital stance heading into a tougher 2027. Separately, the bank disclosed the acquisition of AI startup NeoSpace for R$2.925 billion, alongside new crypto trading and Itaú Pay services.

ITUB closed at $7.28, down from both its 50-day average of $8.49 and 200-day average of $8.37, with the stock off 28.3% over one month and 2.5% over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 68.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 16.4% below the Gekko Fair Value of $8.71.

The next earnings date is 3 February 2027, 90 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective 90-day and 30-day windows, and billionaire holders stand at zero. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -3.6% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Itau Unibanco price vs fair value

$8.71$7.28Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $7.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $8.71

Itau Unibanco quick facts

Market cap
$80.24B
P/E ratio
9.2
Forward P/E
8.2
EPS, TTM
$0.78
Revenue, TTM
$143.7B
Profit margin
32.6%
Dividend yield
41.40%
Beta
0.17
Volume
31.09M avg 40.28M
1-year return
−2.5%
Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
50-day average
$8.49
200-day average
$8.37
Next earnings
Feb 3
Shares outstanding
5.40B
52-week range
$6.82$10.20

Itau Unibanco swing-trade checklist

Itau Unibanco scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $7.28 sits between the 50-day ($8.49) and 200-day ($8.37) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.9, Accumulation

    Reading 68.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    16.4% below

    Price is 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 90 days

    Next report Feb 3, 2027, 90 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Itau Unibanco stock chart and price history

Itau Unibanco closed at $7.28 on Nov 4, 2026, −2.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.82 to $10.20.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Itau Unibanco share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$7$8$9$10DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct7.28

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−28.3%
3 months
−11.0%
6 months
−13.8%
1 year
−2.5%
The full ITUB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ITUB in Gekko

Follow Itau Unibanco through every session

Put ITUB on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track ITUB in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Itau Unibanco

Itau Unibanco provides a wide range of banking and insurance services to individuals and businesses in Brazil and abroad. It offers deposit accounts, loans, credit cards, real estate financing, leasing and foreign exchange, alongside investment and commercial banking services. The company also sells insurance covering property, casualty and life risks, as well as reinsurance, making it known for combining retail banking with a substantial insurance business.

Its operations are split into three main areas: Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, and Activities with the Market and Corporation. Customers span everyday retail clients, both with and without accounts, private individuals, legal entities, wealthier clients, and small to micro-sized businesses. Itau Unibanco operates as a subsidiary of IUPAR - Itaú Unibanco Participações S.A.

The company traces its origins to 1924 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil, having taken its present name in April 2009 after previously operating as Itaú Unibanco Banco Múltiplo S.A. Its shares trade under the ticker ITUB.

Sector
Finance
Website
itau.com.br

Itau Unibanco GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Itau Unibanco’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.8 points over five sessions.

010068.9Accumulation

Down 1.8 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+0.1%+0.1%+3.5%+7.8%
Accumulation (current zone)209+0.2%+1.4%+3.6%+3.8%
Neutral374+0.4%+0.5%+0.8%+4.0%
Distribution37−0.8%−0.8%−0.1%+0.2%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average ITUB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ITUB price, zone by zone.Track ITUB in Gekko

Is Itau Unibanco stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Itau Unibanco trades 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $8.71, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Itau Unibanco shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$8.71

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

16.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 11.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$9$7Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ITUB in Gekko

Itau Unibanco insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Itau Unibanco, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ITUB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ITUB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ITUB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ITUB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ITUB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ITUB in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ITUB.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Itau Unibanco earnings: next date and track record

Itau Unibanco reports on Feb 3, 2027 (90 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.5%Nov ’24+0.9%Feb ’25+8.4%May ’25+3.4%Aug ’25+0.1%Nov ’25−1.3%Feb ’26−0.2%May ’26−3.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
ITUB reported Q2 2026 recurring net income of BRL 12.4 billion, up 7.8% YoY and 1% QoQ. Consolidated ROE reached 24.3% (25.1% adjusted to 11.5% CET1). Loan portfolio grew 10% YoY to BRL 1.522 trillion. NII with clients rose 5% YoY to BRL 32.6 billion. Non-interest expenses grew only 3.1% YoY, and CET1 ratio improved 30bps to 12.3%.
Guidance
Management highlighted continued growth momentum in payroll lending, mortgages, and SME segments with disciplined capital allocation. No explicit numerical targets provided, but tone suggests sustained high profitability and credit quality consistent with recent quarters.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.21
est $0.22
−4.5%——−3.3%
May 5, 2026$0.23
est $0.21
+9.5%——−0.2%
Feb 4, 2026$0.20
est $0.20
0.0%——−1.3%
Nov 4, 2025$0.20
est $0.20
0.0%——+0.1%
Aug 5, 2025$0.19
est $0.18
+5.6%——+3.4%
May 8, 2025$0.19
est $0.17
+11.8%——+8.4%
Feb 3, 2025$0.17
est $0.20
−15.0%$13.24B
est $8.10B
+63.5%+0.9%
Nov 5, 2024$0.17
est $0.17
0.0%——+4.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Itau Unibanco stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Itau Unibanco is $9.03, +24.0% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$9.03consensus 12-month target, +24.0% from the last close
Low $9.10High $10.50
Buy1
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$10.50+44.2%
Oct 8HSBCHold, downgraded$9.10+25.0%
+3.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Itau Unibanco seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Itau Unibanco averaged −3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.9%2021−19.7%2022+12.9%2023−12.1%2024+4.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−7.2%1 of 5

For scale, ITUB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.

Itau Unibanco market cap and key statistics

Itau Unibanco’s market cap is $80.24B, with a P/E ratio of 9.2 and revenue of $143.7B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$80.24B
P/E ratio
9.2
Forward P/E
8.2
EPS, TTM
$0.78
Gekko Fair Value
$8.71

Trading

Volume
31.09M
Avg volume, 20 days
40.28M
52-week high
$10.20
52-week low
$6.82
Shares outstanding
5.40B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$143.7B
Profit margin
32.6%
Return on equity
21.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+8.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.17
Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
Dividend yield
41.40%

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Finance

Itau Unibanco stock FAQ

What is Itau Unibanco’s market cap?

Itau Unibanco’s market cap is $80.24B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $7.28, with 5.40B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.2.

What is the Itau Unibanco stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Itau Unibanco is $9.03, +24.0% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Itau Unibanco stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Itau Unibanco is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $7.28 is 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $8.71. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Itau Unibanco report earnings next?

Itau Unibanco is expected to report on Feb 3, 2027 (90 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.23 per share on revenue of $10.04B. Itau Unibanco beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is Itau Unibanco’s 52-week high and low?

Itau Unibanco’s 52-week high is $10.20 and its 52-week low is $6.82; it closed at $7.28 on Nov 4, 2026, −2.5% over the past year.

Is Itau Unibanco stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Itau Unibanco the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,461 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.