NYSE: BCO

Brinks (BCO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$104.75−2.07 (−1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Brink's stock this week reflects a mix of institutional positioning and analyst repositioning. Wall Street Zen cut its rating on Brink's from "Buy" to "Hold," even as consensus among analysts remains a "Moderate Buy" with an average price target of $154. Separately, commentary has focused on whether Brink's remains undervalued following its recent pullback, with some valuation narratives citing 30% undervaluation tied to expansion in new service lines, while others point to a P/E ratio above industry average. Institutional filings during the period, including a stake increase by Envestnet Portfolio Solutions and a reduction by Corient Private Wealth, round out the week's activity.

BCO closed at $104.75, down 1.9%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $112.13 and 200-day average of $112.27, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares are down 4.3% over one month and 9.5% over one year, though up 13.7% over three months. The GekkoIndex reads 63.7, placing BCO in the Accumulation zone. The stock trades 47% below Gekko Fair Value of $197.46.

Brink's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, before the open, 36 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.2% return over 5 years, rising in 2 of those years. Two trailblazer holders are noted among current positioning.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Brinks price vs fair value

▲$197.46$104.75Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $104.75200-day averageGekko Fair Value $197.46

Brinks quick facts

Market cap
$4.31B
P/E ratio
24.3
Forward P/E
17.3
EPS, TTM
$4.36
Revenue, TTM
$5.48B
Profit margin
3.3%
Dividend yield
0.97%
Beta
1.02
Volume
426,952 avg 433,187
1-year return
−9.5%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$112.13
200-day average
$112.27
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
41.18M
52-week range
$91.05$136.37

Brinks swing-trade checklist

Brinks scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $104.75 is below the 50-day ($112.13) and 200-day ($112.27) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.7, Accumulation

    Reading 63.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    47.0% below

    Price is 47% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Brinks stock chart and price history

Brinks closed at $104.75 on Sep 28, 2026, −9.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $91.05 to $136.37.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Brinks share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$90$100$110$120$130NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep104.75

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.3%
3 months
+13.7%
6 months
+3.9%
1 year
−9.5%
The full BCO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BCO in Gekko

Follow Brinks through every session

Put BCO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Brinks

Brinks provides secure logistics and cash-handling services to organizations that move or store valuables. Its work includes armored transport for cash and other high-value items such as diamonds, jewelry, precious metals, currency, electronics and pharmaceuticals, along with ATM support covering replenishment, forecasting, monitoring and maintenance. The company is widely recognized for this combination of armored transit and cash management work.

Beyond transport, Brinks handles vault outsourcing, money processing tasks like counterfeit detection and reconciliation, and the upkeep of smart safes. It also builds and maintains physical security systems, including alarms, cameras and access controls, and supplies guarding and monitoring for places such as airports, offices, warehouses and retail sites. Additional services cover bill payment, collections, and prepaid or corporate debit cards. Customers span banks, other financial institutions, retailers, government bodies, mints and jewelers, among other commercial clients, with operations reaching across North America, Latin America, Europe and further international regions.

The company traces its founding to 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, having previously operated as The Pittston Company before taking the Brinks name in 2003. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BCO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Miscellaneous commercial services
Website
brinks.com

Brinks GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Brinks’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.6 points over five sessions.

010063.7Accumulation

Down 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+2.4%+6.0%+10.5%+5.8%
Accumulation (current zone)205+0.3%+0.4%+1.7%+3.7%
Neutral391+0.1%+0.4%+0.6%+2.3%
Distribution42+0.3%−0.1%−1.1%+6.5%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average BCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BCO price, zone by zone.Track BCO in Gekko

Is Brinks stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Brinks trades 47.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $197.46, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Brinks shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$197.46

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

47.0% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BCO in Gekko

Brinks insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Brinks, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BCO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BCO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BCO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BCO in Gekko

Buybacks

Brinks has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$30.20M
As a share of market cap
0.70%
Trailing four quarters
$139.8M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold BCO.

2added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Brinks earnings: next date and track record

Brinks reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.6%Aug ’24−3.3%Nov ’24−2.6%Feb ’25−2.9%May ’25+18.4%Aug ’25+6.0%Nov ’25−9.9%Feb ’26+3.3%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Brink's Q1 2026 results landed at the upper end of guidance with 10% revenue growth including 4.5% organic growth, driven by 15% organic growth in AMS/DRS segments. Q1 EBITDA reached $238M (17.3% margin), with trailing 12-month EBITDA surpassing $1B for the first time. Free cash flow exceeded $0.5B on a trailing 12-month basis, more than doubling since 2022. Company is pursuing transformational acquisition of NCR Atleos with $200M identified cost synergies.
Guidance
Full-year 2026 organic growth expected in mid-single digits; standalone EBITDA margins to expand 30-50 basis points. Combined entity expected to generate $1B free cash flow. NCR Atleos debt refinanced at 100+ basis points improvement over current rates.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 6, 2026$1.80
est $1.59
+13.2%$1.38B
est $1.36B
+0.9%+3.3%
Feb 26, 2026$2.54
est $2.48
+2.4%$1.38B
est $1.35B
+1.8%−9.9%
Nov 5, 2025$2.08
est $2.09
−0.5%$1.34B
est $1.35B
−1.4%+6.0%
Aug 6, 2025$1.79
est $1.43
+25.2%$1.30B
est $1.33B
−2.0%+18.4%
May 12, 2025$1.62
est $1.17
+38.1%$1.25B
est $1.24B
+0.7%−2.9%
Feb 26, 2025$2.12
est $1.89
+12.4%$1.26B
est $1.22B
+3.9%−2.6%
Nov 6, 2024$1.51
est $1.79
−15.6%$1.26B
est $1.26B
0.0%−3.3%
Aug 7, 2024$1.67
est $1.47
+13.6%$1.25B
est $1.26B
−0.5%−5.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Brinks stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Brinks is $146.33, +39.7% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$146.33consensus 12-month target, +39.7% from the last close
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Aug 5William BlairBuy, maintained——
Jul 28Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Jul 27Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$141+34.6%
Jul 27William BlairBuy, maintained——
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Brinks seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Brinks averaged +0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.2%2021+18.6%2022−9.5%2023−9.7%2024−0.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.5%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.2%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.5%3 of 5

For scale, BCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Brinks market cap and key statistics

Brinks’s market cap is $4.31B, with a P/E ratio of 24.3 and revenue of $5.48B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.31B
P/E ratio
24.3
Forward P/E
17.3
EPS, TTM
$4.36
Gekko Fair Value
$197.46

Trading

Volume
426,952
Avg volume, 20 days
433,187
52-week high
$136.37
52-week low
$91.05
Shares outstanding
41.18M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.48B
Profit margin
3.3%
Return on equity
46.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+4.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.02
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
0.97%

Brinks stock news this week

Coverage of Brinks this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Brinks peers

Brinks’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHOPShopify+4.3%Neutral5.0% above
CTASCintas+0.5%Neutral11.5% above
PYPLPayPal−0.2%Accumulation4.6% below
XYZBlock−2.7%Accumulation2.5% above
CPAYCorpay+0.2%Accumulation18.1% below
FISVFiserv0.0%Buying40.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Brinks stock FAQ

What is Brinks’s market cap?

Brinks’s market cap is $4.31B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $104.75, with 41.18M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.3.

What is the Brinks stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Brinks is $146.33, +39.7% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Brinks stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Brinks is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $104.75 is 47.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $197.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Brinks report earnings next?

Brinks is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.42 per share on revenue of $1.39B. Brinks beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.5% on average across the report.

What is Brinks’s 52-week high and low?

Brinks’s 52-week high is $136.37 and its 52-week low is $91.05; it closed at $104.75 on Sep 28, 2026, −9.5% over the past year.

Is Brinks stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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