Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$18.35+0.11 (+0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on AKR's new 52-week low and a mix of analyst actions. Argus lowered its target to $17.00, J.P. Morgan maintained a Hold with a $20.00 target, Weiss downgraded shares from Buy to Hold after the stock hit its low, and Wall Street Zen upgraded AKR from Sell to Hold, while Truist initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $22.00 target citing limited retail supply and high occupancy. Separately, Bath & Body Works signed a 9,000 square foot lease at Acadia's 129 Fifth Avenue property in Flatiron, a leasing update concerning the company's street retail portfolio.

AKR closed at $18.35, up 0.6% on the day, but sits below both its 50-day average of $20.01 and its 200-day average of $20.78, with the 1-month return at -7.2% and the 3-month return at -14.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 72.6, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $19.14, putting the current price 4.1% below that level.

AKR next reports earnings on 27 October 2026, 15 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a 1.1% reaction after EPS of $0.31 against a $0.30 estimate. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +7.6% across 5 years, rising in 5 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the approaching earnings date and the current analyst consensus target of $24.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Acadia Realty Trust price vs fair value

$19.14$18.35Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $18.35200-day averageGekko Fair Value $19.14

Acadia Realty Trust quick facts

Market cap
$2.52B
P/E ratio
53.5
Forward P/E
57.8
EPS, TTM
$0.34
Revenue, TTM
$415.2M
Profit margin
13.2%
Dividend yield
4.42%
Beta
1.13
Volume
975,750 avg 1.24M
1-year return
−6.2%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
50-day average
$20.01
200-day average
$20.78
Next earnings
Oct 27
Shares outstanding
137.3M
52-week range
$17.98$23.03

Acadia Realty Trust swing-trade checklist

Acadia Realty Trust scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $18.35 is below the 50-day ($20.01) and 200-day ($20.78) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72.6, Buying

    Reading 72.6 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.1% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.1% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 15 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 15 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.6% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Acadia Realty Trust stock chart and price history

Acadia Realty Trust closed at $18.35 on Oct 12, 2026, −6.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $17.98 to $23.03.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Acadia Realty Trust share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$18$19$20$21$22NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct18.35

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.2%
3 months
−14.1%
6 months
−11.6%
1 year
−6.2%
The full AKR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AKR in Gekko

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About Acadia Realty Trust

Acadia Realty Trust operates as an equity real estate investment trust focused on generating profitability over time. It is best known for owning and managing properties concentrated in some of the country's busier urban centers, pairing steady, income-producing holdings with investments aimed at capturing additional upside.

The trust runs its business through two connected parts, a core portfolio of real estate holdings and a fund platform that manages capital for institutional investors. Through the fund side, Acadia pursues opportunistic and value-add projects, while the core side is meant to provide more stable, long-term holdings. Together these segments are supported by an emphasis on keeping the balance sheet financially sound.

Acadia Realty Trust trades under the ticker AKR.

Sector
Finance
Website
acadiarealty.com

Acadia Realty Trust GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Acadia Realty Trust’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.6, in the Buying zone, down 7.6 points over five sessions.

010072.6Buying

Down 7.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)39−0.4%+0.3%−0.1%−0.1%
Accumulation185+0.4%+0.1%+0.1%+1.2%
Neutral3910.0%+0.2%+0.5%+1.8%
Distribution20+2.4%+4.5%+7.6%+13.9%
Selling0Not available

Average AKR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AKR price, zone by zone.Track AKR in Gekko

Is Acadia Realty Trust stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Acadia Realty Trust trades 4.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.14, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Acadia Realty Trust shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$19.14

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

4.1% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.7% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$19$18Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AKR in Gekko

Acadia Realty Trust insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Acadia Realty Trust, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AKR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AKR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AKR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AKR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AKR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AKR in Gekko

Buybacks

Acadia Realty Trust has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
$22.39M
As a share of market cap
0.89%

From company filings.

Acadia Realty Trust earnings: next date and track record

Acadia Realty Trust reports on Oct 27, 2026 (15 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.4%Oct ’24+3.5%Feb ’25−3.5%Apr ’25+0.1%Jul ’25−3.8%Oct ’25−2.2%Feb ’26+1.9%Apr ’26+1.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Acadia Realty Trust reported strong Q2 2026 results with 11% year-over-year earnings growth and same-property NOI of 8.7%, ahead of plan. Record leasing activity was achieved with rent spreads exceeding 90% versus single digits a year ago. The company disposed of or recapitalized over $500 million year-to-date at nearly 2x equity multiple. Street retail thesis continues to be validated through strong tenant demand and DTC brand migration.
Guidance
Management expects street retail portfolio to generate 200-300 basis points of incremental same-store growth above suburban portfolio, with balance sheet maintaining dry powder for future acquisitions. External growth pipeline remains active with additional street retail REIT additions anticipated.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$0.31
est $0.30
+3.3%$91.19M
est $92.36M
−1.3%+1.1%
Apr 28, 2026$0.03
est $0.05
−40.0%$103.0M
est $98.61M
+4.4%+1.9%
Feb 10, 2026$0.04
est $0.08
−50.0%$102.5M
est $89.35M
+14.7%−2.2%
Oct 28, 2025$0.09
est $0.07
+28.6%$98.71M
est $85.86M
+15.0%−3.8%
Jul 29, 2025$0.06
est $0.09
−33.3%$100.6M
est $82.34M
+22.2%+0.1%
Apr 29, 2025$0.00
est $0.06
−93.7%$104.4M
est $90.66M
+15.1%−3.5%
Feb 11, 2025$0.10
est $0.10
0.0%$93.33M
est $79.68M
+17.1%+3.5%
Oct 28, 2024$0.06
est $0.07
−14.3%$87.75M
est $79.37M
+10.6%+1.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Acadia Realty Trust stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Acadia Realty Trust is $24.00, +30.8% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$24.00consensus 12-month target, +30.8% from the last close
Low $20High $26
Buy5
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Oct 8J.P. MorganHold, maintained$20+9.0%
Oct 2Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$22+19.9%
Oct 1Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$22+19.9%
Sep 22KeyBancBuy, maintained$25+36.2%
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+7.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Acadia Realty Trust seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Acadia Realty Trust averaged +7.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.1%2021+14.8%2022+4.3%2023+7.6%2024+6.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.6%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.3%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.6%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.0%5 of 5

For scale, AKR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.

Acadia Realty Trust market cap and key statistics

Acadia Realty Trust’s market cap is $2.52B, with a P/E ratio of 53.5 and revenue of $415.2M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.52B
P/E ratio
53.5
Forward P/E
57.8
EPS, TTM
$0.34
Gekko Fair Value
$19.14

Trading

Volume
975,750
Avg volume, 20 days
1.24M
52-week high
$23.03
52-week low
$17.98
Shares outstanding
137.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$415.2M
Profit margin
13.2%
Return on equity
5.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+400.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.13
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
Dividend yield
4.42%

Acadia Realty Trust stock news this week

Coverage of Acadia Realty Trust this week reads neutral: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Acadia Realty Trust stock FAQ

What is Acadia Realty Trust’s market cap?

Acadia Realty Trust’s market cap is $2.52B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $18.35, with 137.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 53.5.

What is the Acadia Realty Trust stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Acadia Realty Trust is $24.00, +30.8% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Acadia Realty Trust stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Acadia Realty Trust is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $18.35 is 4.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.14. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Acadia Realty Trust report earnings next?

Acadia Realty Trust is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (15 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.07 per share on revenue of $94.38M. Acadia Realty Trust beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.2% on average across the report.

What is Acadia Realty Trust’s 52-week high and low?

Acadia Realty Trust’s 52-week high is $23.03 and its 52-week low is $17.98; it closed at $18.35 on Oct 12, 2026, −6.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $26.29 on Nov 29, 2024.

Is Acadia Realty Trust stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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