Grupo Aeromexico (AERO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$16.07+0.50 (+3.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Grupo Aeromexico's recent commentary has centered on a stock-grading review published 10 October that compiles sentiment, trading metrics and the average analyst price target rather than any new operational or regulatory development. The piece carries a negative sentiment tag but does not detail a specific catalyst beyond summarizing existing financial data and market gauges for the ADR.

AERO closes at $16.07, up 3.2% on the session, sitting between its 50-day average of $15.39 and 200-day average of $16.67. The stock has gained 7.1% over one month, 2.7% over three months and 5.8% over six months, within a 52-week range of $12.26 to $23.05. The GekkoIndex reads 56.3, placing it in the Neutral zone, while the shares trade 41.8% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $27.59.

Earnings are due 19 October 2026 after the close, six days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report, on 13 July, showed EPS of -0.40 against a -0.37 estimate and drew a -6.5% reaction; the company has beaten estimates in 2 of its last 4 quarters, with an average absolute post-earnings move of 6.4%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, though one billionaire holder is recorded among current positions, a detail worth noting heading into the report.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Grupo Aeromexico price vs fair value

▲$27.59$16.07Nov ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $16.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $27.59

Grupo Aeromexico quick facts

Market cap
$2.34B
P/E ratio
1.1
Forward P/E
69.9
EPS, TTM
$13.80
Revenue, TTM
$5.68B
Profit margin
3.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
409,863 avg 399,780
1-year return
—
Typical daily move
±4.9%
Typical 20-day move
±8.5%
50-day average
$15.39
200-day average
$16.67
Next earnings
Oct 19 after close
Shares outstanding
145.9M
52-week range
$12.26$23.05

Grupo Aeromexico swing-trade checklist

Grupo Aeromexico scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $16.07 sits between the 50-day ($15.39) and 200-day ($16.67) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.3, Neutral

    Reading 56.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    41.8% below

    Price is 41.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 7 days

    Reports on Oct 19, 2026, 7 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Grupo Aeromexico stock chart and price history

Grupo Aeromexico closed at $16.07 on Oct 12, 2026, inside a 52-week range of $12.26 to $23.05.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Grupo Aeromexico share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$12$14$18$20$22DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct16.07

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+7.1%
3 months
+2.7%
6 months
+5.8%
The full AERO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AERO in Gekko

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About Grupo Aeromexico

Grupo Aeromexico provides commercial air transport for passengers and cargo, operating through its subsidiaries. Its services include scheduled passenger flights, dedicated freight operations, and additional travel-related offerings. The company is recognized for the breadth of its flight network, which links destinations across Mexico, the United States, Canada, Central and South America, the Caribbean, Europe, and Asia.

Beyond flying passengers and goods, the company runs programs designed to reward and retain frequent travelers, adding a loyalty-based component to its core transport business. Its operations serve both individual travelers and cargo clients who rely on its routes to move goods across the same international network.

Grupo Aeromexico traces its origins to 1934 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. Its shares trade under the ticker AERO.

Sector
Transportation
Website
aeromexico.com

Grupo Aeromexico GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Grupo Aeromexico’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.3, in the Neutral zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions.

010056.3Neutral

Down 3.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying25−0.3%+2.7%+9.6%+14.1%
Accumulation78+3.0%+3.3%+1.5%+1.4%
Neutral (current zone)118−2.0%−2.5%−3.8%−12.6%
Distribution6Too few readings yet
Selling0Not available

Average AERO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AERO price, zone by zone.Track AERO in Gekko

Is Grupo Aeromexico stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Grupo Aeromexico trades 41.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.59, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Grupo Aeromexico shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$27.59

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

41.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 37.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$28$16Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AERO in Gekko

Grupo Aeromexico insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Grupo Aeromexico, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AERO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AERO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AERO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AERO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AERO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AERO in Gekko

Buybacks

Grupo Aeromexico has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$205.3M
As a share of market cap
8.76%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AERO.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Grupo Aeromexico earnings: next date and track record

Grupo Aeromexico reports on Oct 19, 2026, after the close (7 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 4 reports.

2 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.4%average move across the report
2 of 4reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.2%Dec ’25+13.9%Feb ’26−5.1%Apr ’26−6.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Aeromexico reported Q2 results in line with guidance despite volatile jet fuel prices and World Cup-related demand disruption. Revenue grew 10.5% year-over-year with record revenues in June and Q2 overall. Premium revenue mix hit a record 43%, up 1pp YoY. Two new long-haul routes launched (Mexico City-Barcelona, Monterrey-Paris). Loyalty program participation reached record 39% of passengers.
Guidance
Management confirmed Q2 results aligned with April guidance. Capacity grew 2% YoY in line with targets. No explicit forward-looking financial targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 13, 2026−$0.40
est −$0.37
−8.1%$1.48B
est $1.51B
−1.8%−6.5%
Apr 21, 2026$0.07
est $0.17
−59.5%$1.34B
est $1.33B
+0.6%−5.1%
Feb 17, 2026$1.13
est $0.49
+130.6%$1.44B
est $1.42B
+1.4%+13.9%
Dec 3, 2025$0.71
est $0.00
———+0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Grupo Aeromexico stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Grupo Aeromexico is $26.82, +66.9% from the last close.

$26.82consensus 12-month target, +66.9% from the last close
−3.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±4.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Grupo Aeromexico market cap and key statistics

Grupo Aeromexico’s market cap is $2.34B, with a P/E ratio of 1.1 and revenue of $5.68B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.34B
P/E ratio
1.1
Forward P/E
69.9
EPS, TTM
$13.80
Gekko Fair Value
$27.59

Trading

Volume
409,863
Avg volume, 20 days
399,780
52-week high
$23.05
52-week low
$12.26
Shares outstanding
145.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.68B
Profit margin
3.8%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−56.3%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±4.9%
Typical 20-day move
±8.5%

Grupo Aeromexico stock news this week

1 headline about Grupo Aeromexico from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Grupo Aeromexico stock FAQ

What is Grupo Aeromexico’s market cap?

Grupo Aeromexico’s market cap is $2.34B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.07, with 145.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 1.1.

What is the Grupo Aeromexico stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Grupo Aeromexico is $26.82, +66.9% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Grupo Aeromexico stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Grupo Aeromexico is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.07 is 41.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.59. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Grupo Aeromexico report earnings next?

Grupo Aeromexico is expected to report on Oct 19, 2026, after the market closes (7 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.29 per share on revenue of $1.62B. Grupo Aeromexico beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 4 reports, moving 6.4% on average across the report.

What is Grupo Aeromexico’s 52-week high and low?

Grupo Aeromexico’s 52-week high is $23.05 and its 52-week low is $12.26; it closed at $16.07 on Oct 12, 2026.

Is Grupo Aeromexico stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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