Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for FDX in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every FDX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FDX in Gekko
NYSE: FDX
FedEx (FDX) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$303.65−2.23 (−0.7%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryFedEx trades at $303.65, down 0.7%, sitting below its 50-day average of $318.48 but above its 200-day average of $295.67. The GekkoIndex reads 67.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 4.3 over the last five readings. Price sits 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $329.01. Over the past month the shares are down 7.5%, and over three months down 6.9%, though the one-year return stands at 67%.
The week's news centers on FedEx's European expansion and logistics network moves. A FedEx-led consortium with Advent International completed a €7.8 billion tender offer for InPost, securing over 89.8% of shares and exceeding the 80% minimum threshold, with InPost set to delist from Euronext Amsterdam; Polish billionaire Rafal Brzoska will remain CEO with operational independence maintained. Separately, FedEx launched a premium QR code delivery service in the U.S. and Canada aimed at authenticating high-value shipments, and FedEx Freight is set to become title sponsor of the NASCAR Truck Series starting in 2027.
Looking ahead, FedEx next reports earnings on 28 October 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window; the last quarter beat estimates with EPS of $6.31 against $5.91 expected, though shares reacted -3.6%. Over the last 30 days, one unusual options signal appeared, with put premium of $1,272,676 against call premium of $350,370. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -3.9% over five years, rising in just one of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $303.65200-day averageGekko Fair Value $329.01
Key stats
- Market cap
- $71.84B
- P/E ratio
- 16.3
- Forward P/E
- 14.7
- EPS, TTM
- $18.81
- Revenue, TTM
- $94.72B
- Profit margin
- 4.7%
- Dividend yield
- 1.85%
- Beta
- 1.36
- Volume
- 2.99M avg 1.43M
- 1-year return
- +67.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
- 50-day average
- $318.48
- 200-day average
- $295.67
- Next earnings
- Oct 28 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 236.7M
FedEx swing-trade checklist
FedEx scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $303.65 sits between the 50-day ($318.48) and 200-day ($295.67) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
67.7, Accumulation
Reading 67.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
7.7% below
Price is 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 38 days
Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−3.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.9% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
FedEx stock chart and price history
FedEx closed at $303.65 on Sep 18, 2026, +67.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $180.87 to $345.37.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −7.5%
- 3 months
- −6.9%
- 6 months
- +5.9%
- 1 year
- +67.0%
The full FDX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FDX in Gekko
Follow FedEx through every session
Put FDX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track FDX in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About FedEx
FedEx moves goods and information for customers at home and overseas, combining transport with e-commerce support and other business services. It has built its name on fast, time-critical delivery of packages and freight, including options that cross borders and lean on technology to speed things along.
The business is split into distinct parts. One unit concentrates on urgent, quick-turnaround shipments, another handles set-schedule deliveries for companies and private customers, and a third moves bulk freight that doesn't fill a full truckload, backed by a wide fleet and network of local hubs. A separate arm looks after shared functions like sales, marketing, tech systems, customer support and billing for the whole group. Remaining activities bring in supply chain coordination, tailored transport, customs clearance, ocean and air cargo forwarding, paperwork services and drop-off counters for shipments.
The company traces back to 1971 and runs its main offices out of Memphis, Tennessee. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker FDX.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Air freight/Couriers
- Website
- fedex.com
FedEx GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
FedEx’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.3 points over five sessions.
67.7Accumulation
Up 4.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 31 | +1.2% | −1.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 170 | +0.6% | +0.8% | ||
| Neutral | 272 | +0.1% | +2.2% | ||
| Distribution | 70 | +0.3% | +1.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average FDX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FDX price, zone by zone.Track FDX in Gekko
Is FedEx stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
FedEx trades 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $329.01, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what FedEx shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$329.01
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
7.7% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FDX in Gekko
FedEx insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for FedEx, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in FDX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for FDX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FDX in Gekko
Buybacks
FedEx has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Nov 30, 2025
- $296.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.41%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.79B
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 22% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 18, $1.62M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
3of the funds Gekko tracks hold FDX.
1added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
FedEx earnings: next date and track record
FedEx reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
Expected after the close, 38 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.63
- Revenue estimate
- $21.52B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jun 23, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- FedEx reported a very strong finish to FY2026, with consolidated revenue and adjusted operating income up 8% year over year, driven by FedEx Express (FEC) which grew revenue 9% and delivered nearly $7 billion in incremental revenue. Management highlighted exceeding the $1 billion transformation savings target and historic adjusted free cash flow and adjusted EPS ($20.24 FY2026; $6.31 in Q4) that beat the high end of guidance. The company completed the FedEx Freight spin-off on June 1 and will report Freight separately; Freight results weighed on consolidated results but are no longer central to FEC guidance. Management emphasized growth in premium B2B and high-value B2C verticals, strong momentum in APAC (data center/AI and industrial verticals), continued network transformation (Network 2.0, Tricolor, Europe initiatives), and structural cost reductions. Key operational notes included fuel surcharge mechanics (weekly reset, largely offsetting fuel expense), variable compensation timing headwinds, and pilot contract timing effects on seasonality. Capital allocation: 5% dividend increase, up to $1 billion of share repurchases in remainder of CY2026, planned investment in InPost, and intention to monetize Freight stake in a tax-efficient manner within 24 months of the spin.
- Guidance
- Management provided forward-looking guidance for the transition year and calendar year: margins and operating profit are expected to improve year over year (transition year improvement slightly stronger than calendar year). At the midpoint, management referenced ~19% profit growth and ~20% EPS growth. Stranded costs: from a $600M starting point, $250M has been conveyed, leaving $350M; expected $100M reduction during CY2026 and full mitigation by exit rate of CY2027. Variable compensation headwind of ~$100M in the transition year. Cash returns: dividend increased 5%, up to $1B share repurchase authorization for remainder of CY2026. Strategic targets reiterated: FEC free cash flow target of $6B by CY2029 and ~14% CAGR on bottom line by CY2029. Freight monetization planned within 24 months.
- Risks flagged
- Management cited multiple risks including the evolving global trade environment (tariffs, de minimis changes), geopolitical unrest in the Middle East, IEFA refund process and related trade/refund costs, grounding of MD-11 fleet historically, variability from incentive/variable compensation timing, pilot contract timing, fuel price volatility (though largely offset by surcharges), and weaker FedEx Freight results (a near-term consolidated headwind). They also noted standard forward-looking statement risks per SEC filings.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | $6.31 est $5.91 | $25.00B est $22.91B | −3.6% |
| Mar 19, 2026 | $5.25 est $4.15 | $24.00B est $23.49B | +2.6% |
| Dec 18, 2025 | $4.82 est $4.12 | $23.47B est $22.78B | +2.3% |
| Sep 18, 2025 | $3.83 est $3.60 | $22.24B est $21.65B | +2.6% |
| Jun 24, 2025 | $6.07 est $5.82 | $22.22B est $21.74B | −3.2% |
| Mar 20, 2025 | $4.51 est $4.63 | $22.16B est $21.87B | −6.8% |
| Dec 19, 2024 | $4.05 est $3.97 | $21.97B est $22.12B | +0.9% |
| Sep 19, 2024 | $3.60 est $4.77 | $21.58B est $21.83B | −14.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
FedEx stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for FedEx is $355.10, +16.9% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$355.10consensus 12-month target, +16.9% from the last close
Now $303.65Avg $355.10
Low $160High $425
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Morgan Stanley | $160 | −47.3% |
| Sep 10 | Citi | $359 | +18.2% |
| Sep 8 | J.P. Morgan | $400 | +31.7% |
| Sep 8 | J.P. Morgan | $400 | +31.7% |
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $397 | +30.7% |
+0.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
FedEx seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, FedEx averaged −3.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −5.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −4.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −6.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −3.9% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −2.0% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, FDX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.
FedEx market cap and key statistics
FedEx’s market cap is $71.84B, with a P/E ratio of 16.3 and revenue of $94.72B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $71.84B
- P/E ratio
- 16.3
- Forward P/E
- 14.7
- EPS, TTM
- $18.81
- Gekko Fair Value
- $329.01
Trading
- Volume
- 2.99M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.43M
- 52-week high
- $345.37
- 52-week low
- $180.87
- Shares outstanding
- 236.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $94.72B
- Profit margin
- 4.7%
- Return on equity
- 14.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −4.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.36
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
- Dividend yield
- 1.85%
FedEx stock news this week
Coverage of FedEx this week reads positive: 14 positive, 5 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- FedEx Counts on Polish Billionaire to Crack Markets in EuropeYahoo Finance UK, Sep 19
- FedEx-led Group Buys InPost for €7.8BBriefs Finance, Sep 19
- FedEx launches new premium QR code delivery serviceThe Business Journals, Sep 18
- FedEx, Advent-led consortium secures over 89% of InPost shares in takeover offerReuters, Sep 18
- FedEx Corp. stock underperforms Thursday when compared to competitors despite daily gainsMarketWatch, Sep 18
- FedEx is returning to NASCAR, but not with Denny HamlinBeyond the Flag, Sep 18
FedEx peers
FedEx’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| UPSUnited Parcel Service | Accumulation | 24.6% below |
| DASHDoorDash | Accumulation | 5.7% below |
| EXPDExpeditors International of Washington | Neutral | 30.1% above |
| CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide | Neutral | 3.4% above |
| GRABGrab | Buying | 35.2% below |
| CARTMaplebear | Buying | 12.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
FedEx stock FAQ
What is FedEx’s market cap?
FedEx’s market cap is $71.84B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $303.65, with 236.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.3.
What is the FedEx stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for FedEx is $355.10, +16.9% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 17 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is FedEx stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate FedEx is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $303.65 is 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $329.01. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does FedEx report earnings next?
FedEx is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.63 per share on revenue of $21.52B. FedEx beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.
What is FedEx’s 52-week high and low?
FedEx’s 52-week high is $345.37 and its 52-week low is $180.87; it closed at $303.65 on Sep 18, 2026, +67.0% over the past year.
Is FedEx stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (smart money and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in FedEx?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in FedEx over the last 30 days, with $350K of flagged premium in calls and $1.27M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 18, 2026 with $1.62M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See FedEx the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.