NYSE: FDX

FedEx (FDX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$329.40+11.38 (+3.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

FedEx's week is shaped largely by portfolio restructuring and quarterly results. The company completed CMA CGM's $1.4 billion acquisition of FedEx Supply Chain, alongside the earlier FedEx Freight spinoff and the InPost transaction, as part of a broader set of strategic portfolio actions. Q3 earnings, reported 28 October, showed EPS of $3.74 against an estimate of $3.34, with 12% revenue growth and 16% adjusted operating income growth, while FedEx also repurchased $2 billion in stock. Commentary from Jim Cramer highlighted the stock's recent move off the bottom, and a Form 144 filing and an executive's trust sale of shares were also noted during the week.

FedEx closed at $329.40, up 3.6%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $303.75 and 200-day average of $305.77, with a 52-week range of $201.52 to $345.37. The GekkoIndex reads 41.5, placing the stock in the Distribution zone. Price sits just 0.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $329.03.

The next earnings date falls on 2 February 2027, 89 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells, while the last 30 days show 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $6.5 million against put premium of $315,695. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current Distribution reading.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

FedEx price vs fair value

$329.40$329.03Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $329.40200-day averageGekko Fair Value $329.03

FedEx quick facts

Market cap
$77.15B
P/E ratio
17.2
Forward P/E
14.8
EPS, TTM
$18.55
Revenue, TTM
$94.72B
Profit margin
4.7%
Dividend yield
1.78%
Beta
1.31
Volume
2.41M avg 1.38M
1-year return
+61.7%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%
50-day average
$303.75
200-day average
$305.77
Next earnings
Feb 2 after close
Shares outstanding
234.2M
52-week range
$201.52$345.37

FedEx swing-trade checklist

FedEx scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $329.40 sits between the 50-day ($303.75) and 200-day ($305.77) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    41.5, Distribution

    Reading 41.5 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.1% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.1% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 89 days

    Next report Feb 2, 2027, 89 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

FedEx stock chart and price history

FedEx closed at $329.40 on Nov 4, 2026, +61.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $201.52 to $345.37.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
FedEx share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$250$300DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct329.40

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+14.0%
3 months
+4.3%
6 months
+8.4%
1 year
+61.7%
The full FDX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FDX in Gekko

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About FedEx

FedEx moves goods and information for customers at home and overseas, combining transport with e-commerce support and other business services. It has built its name on fast, time-critical delivery of packages and freight, including options that cross borders and lean on technology to speed things along.

The business is split into distinct parts. One unit concentrates on urgent, quick-turnaround shipments, another handles set-schedule deliveries for companies and private customers, and a third moves bulk freight that doesn't fill a full truckload, backed by a wide fleet and network of local hubs. A separate arm looks after shared functions like sales, marketing, tech systems, customer support and billing for the whole group. Remaining activities bring in supply chain coordination, tailored transport, customs clearance, ocean and air cargo forwarding, paperwork services and drop-off counters for shipments.

The company traces back to 1971 and runs its main offices out of Memphis, Tennessee. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker FDX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Air freight/Couriers
Website
fedex.com

FedEx GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

FedEx’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.5, in the Distribution zone, down 10.9 points over five sessions.

010041.5Distribution

Down 10.9 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+1.0%+0.2%−0.5%−3.2%
Accumulation192+0.4%+0.2%+0.6%+0.6%
Neutral280+0.1%+0.6%+1.5%+5.0%
Distribution (current zone)70+0.3%+1.2%+1.3%+5.7%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average FDX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FDX price, zone by zone.Track FDX in Gekko

Is FedEx stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

FedEx trades 0.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $329.03, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what FedEx shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$329.03

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

0.1% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$329$318Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FDX in Gekko

FedEx insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FedEx, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FDX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FDX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FDX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 11
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

FedEx has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$2.00B
As a share of market cap
2.59%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 95% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 28, $6.86M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold FDX.

1added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

FedEx earnings: next date and track record

FedEx reports on Feb 2, 2027, after the close (89 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.9%Dec ’24−6.8%Mar ’25−3.2%Jun ’25+2.6%Sep ’25+2.3%Dec ’25+2.6%Mar ’26−3.6%Jun ’26+0.2%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
FedEx Q3 CY2026 delivered 12% revenue growth and 16% adjusted operating income growth year-over-year. Express U.S. Domestic revenue grew 10% with 7% AOI growth; Express International revenue grew 17% with 52% AOI growth. Strategic portfolio actions included spinning off FedEx Freight, selling FedEx Supply Chain to CMA CGM, and completing the InPost transaction. FedEx repurchased $2 billion in stock since June, reflecting strong adjusted free cash flow generation.
Guidance
FedEx raised and tightened CY2026 EPS outlook to $18.00-$18.60, implying approximately 23% adjusted EPS growth year-over-year. Full-year adjusted free cash flow is expected to reach approximately $4 billion.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 28, 2026$3.74
est $3.34
+12.0%$22.86B
est $22.73B
+0.5%+0.2%
Jun 23, 2026$6.31
est $5.91
+6.8%$25.00B
est $22.91B
+9.1%−3.6%
Mar 19, 2026$5.25
est $4.15
+26.5%$24.00B
est $23.49B
+2.2%+2.6%
Dec 18, 2025$4.82
est $4.12
+17.0%$23.47B
est $22.78B
+3.0%+2.3%
Sep 18, 2025$3.83
est $3.60
+6.4%$22.24B
est $21.65B
+2.8%+2.6%
Jun 24, 2025$6.07
est $5.82
+4.3%$22.22B
est $21.74B
+2.2%−3.2%
Mar 20, 2025$4.51
est $4.63
−2.6%$22.16B
est $21.87B
+1.3%−6.8%
Dec 19, 2024$4.05
est $3.97
+2.0%$21.97B
est $22.12B
−0.7%+0.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

FedEx stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for FedEx is $357.00, +8.4% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$357.00consensus 12-month target, +8.4% from the last close
Low $160High $425
Buy14
Hold0
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$425+29.0%
Nov 2Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$160−51.4%
Nov 2CitiBuy, maintained$374+13.5%
Oct 30Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$330+0.2%
Oct 30Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$359+9.0%
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+6.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

FedEx seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, FedEx averaged +6.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.7%2021+12.7%2022+8.5%2023+4.3%2024+7.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.3%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.7%5 of 5

For scale, FDX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.

FedEx market cap and key statistics

FedEx’s market cap is $77.15B, with a P/E ratio of 17.2 and revenue of $94.72B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$77.15B
P/E ratio
17.2
Forward P/E
14.8
EPS, TTM
$18.55
Gekko Fair Value
$329.03

Trading

Volume
2.41M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.38M
52-week high
$345.37
52-week low
$201.52
Shares outstanding
234.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$94.72B
Profit margin
4.7%
Return on equity
14.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−68.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.31
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%
Dividend yield
1.78%

FedEx peers

FedEx’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DASHDoorDash+5.2%Neutral0.2% below
UPSUnited Parcel Service+3.6%Distribution11.5% below
EXPDExpeditors International of Washington−4.5%Neutral29.0% above
CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide−1.1%Accumulation3.7% above
CARTMaplebear+1.3%Distribution9.6% above
GRABGrab+4.4%Neutral16.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Air freight/Couriers

FedEx stock FAQ

What is FedEx’s market cap?

FedEx’s market cap is $77.15B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $329.40, with 234.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.2.

What is the FedEx stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for FedEx is $357.00, +8.4% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is FedEx stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate FedEx is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $329.40 is 0.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $329.03. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does FedEx report earnings next?

FedEx is expected to report on Feb 2, 2027, after the market closes (89 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.45 per share on revenue of $25.49B. FedEx beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is FedEx’s 52-week high and low?

FedEx’s 52-week high is $345.37 and its 52-week low is $201.52; it closed at $329.40 on Nov 4, 2026, +61.7% over the past year.

Is FedEx stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in FedEx?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in FedEx over the last 30 days, with $6.55M of flagged premium in calls and $316K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 28, 2026 with $6.86M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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