Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for UPS in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every UPS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UPS in Gekko
NYSE: UPS
United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$99.06−1.11 (−1.1%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryUPS closes at $99.06, down 1.1%, with the close sitting below both the 50-day average of $106.05 and the 200-day average of $105.18. The GekkoIndex reads 66.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $131.31, leaving price 24.6% below that mark. Over the past year the stock is up 17.7%, though the three-month return is -5.5% and the one-month return is -3.7%.
Coverage this week centers on UPS's dividend, valuation, and the aftermath of its network restructuring. Several pieces highlight a 6.4% dividend yield, with commentary split on whether the payout signals strength or reflects the price decline pushing the yield higher. Other coverage points to the deliberate reduction of Amazon volume, framed as improving revenue mix and margins, alongside references to Q2 results that beat estimates and included raised full-year guidance. A separate comparison piece weighs UPS's dividend against FedEx's for income-focused portfolios. Shares were also noted falling 3.5% to $98.77 on 16 September, alongside a one-day gain to $102.46 on 14 September.
Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 27 October, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. UPS has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters, and the last report produced a -7.4% reaction despite an EPS beat, with average absolute earnings-day moves of 7.1%. Analyst coverage from 18 firms shows 9 buy, 7 hold, and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $116.08. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 0% across 5 years, positive in 3 of them.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $99.06200-day averageGekko Fair Value $131.31
Key stats
- Market cap
- $84.12B
- P/E ratio
- 18.4
- Forward P/E
- 12.4
- EPS, TTM
- $5.46
- Revenue, TTM
- $89.93B
- Profit margin
- 5.1%
- Dividend yield
- 6.64%
- Beta
- 1.04
- Volume
- 9.41M avg 4.16M
- 1-year return
- +17.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- 50-day average
- $106.05
- 200-day average
- $105.18
- Next earnings
- Oct 27 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 749.3M
United Parcel Service swing-trade checklist
United Parcel Service scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $99.06 sits between the 50-day ($106.05) and 200-day ($105.18) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.8, Accumulation
Reading 66.8 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
24.6% below
Price is 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
0.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged 0% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
United Parcel Service stock chart and price history
United Parcel Service closed at $99.06 on Sep 18, 2026, +17.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $82.00 to $122.41.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −3.7%
- 3 months
- −5.5%
- 6 months
- +2.6%
- 1 year
- +17.7%
The full UPS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UPS in Gekko
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About United Parcel Service
United Parcel Service transports packages, documents and freight for businesses and individuals, moving shipments by air and by ground on set delivery schedules. It is widely known for its parcel delivery network, which handles everything from single letters to palletized loads. The company also arranges cross-border and e-commerce shipments and supports urgent transport needs alongside routine deliveries.
Its operations are divided into two segments: one covering package delivery within the United States, and another covering small package handling across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, Latin America and Asia. Beyond core delivery, it provides freight forwarding by air and sea, contract logistics, customs brokerage, insurance, mail handling and distribution support, along with services tailored to healthcare shipments. Its customers include businesses and individuals who need domestic and international goods moved on defined timelines.
United Parcel Service began operations in 1907 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia. It is listed on the NYSE under the ticker UPS.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Air freight/Couriers
- Website
- ups.com
United Parcel Service GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
United Parcel Service’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.5 points over five sessions.
66.8Accumulation
Up 0.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 51 | +0.3% | +1.7% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 260 | +0.4% | +0.3% | ||
| Neutral | 334 | −0.7% | −2.1% | ||
| Distribution | 13 | −2.6% | −2.5% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average UPS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UPS price, zone by zone.Track UPS in Gekko
Is United Parcel Service stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
United Parcel Service trades 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $131.31, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what United Parcel Service shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$131.31
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
24.6% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UPS in Gekko
United Parcel Service insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for United Parcel Service, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in UPS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for UPS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UPS in Gekko
Buybacks
United Parcel Service has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2025
- $1.00B
- As a share of market cap
- 1.19%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold UPS.
0added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
United Parcel Service earnings: next date and track record
United Parcel Service reports on Oct 27, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
Expected before the open, 37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.63
- Revenue estimate
- $22.15B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- UPS reported solid execution of its multi-year Amazon glide down and network reconfiguration, delivering improved revenue quality and margin expansion in Q2 2026. Consolidated revenue was $22.8 billion (+7.6% y/y), consolidated operating profit was $2.1 billion (+12% y/y), consolidated operating margin expanded to 9.2%, and diluted EPS was $1.76. Management emphasized the successful elimination of ~2 million lower-quality Amazon pieces per day, removal of ~$4.5 billion of related expense, increased automation (about 68% of U.S. volume flowing through automated facilities), and rightsizing of capacity (closures of buildings and significant reduction in hours/positions). All three segments contributed to the quarter, with international showing improving trade-lane momentum and domestic demonstrating stronger revenue quality. Management highlighted continued investment in differentiated capabilities (RFID, cold-chain cross-docks, return solutions, DAP), reduced structural capital intensity versus prior cycles (~3.5% of revenue), and readiness for peak season with expected sequential U.S. volume lift from Q3 to Q4.
- Guidance
- Management reiterated its full-year outlook: normalization of seasonality with an anticipated mid‑teens EPS growth in both Q3 and Q4 (adjusted for last year's sale-leaseback), expectation that Q3→Q4 U.S. volume will rise ~24%, continued pricing environment described as rational with base pricing in the U.S. in a ~250-350 bps range (with an expected normalization to ~4-4.5% RPP in coming periods), and a long-term capital spend run-rate around 3.5% of revenue. Management also expects a 50-100 bps spread between RPP and CPP to drive domestic margin accretion going forward.
- Risks flagged
- Noted risks and headwinds include: significant after-tax transformation charges in Q2 ($891 million) tied to workforce reduction/Driver Choice program; fuel price volatility driven by Middle East conflict (increased fuel-related revenue and costs with modest net profit impact); tariff and trade policy uncertainty impacting certain trade lanes (e.g., Canada→U.S.) and volume; potential competitive pressure including from Amazon; upcoming Teamsters contract renewal (~2 years out) as a labor negotiation risk; and residual execution/costs related to network reconfiguration (e.g., lease/redirect costs, block hours).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $1.76 est $1.65 | $22.80B est $21.86B | −7.4% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $1.07 est $1.02 | $21.20B est $20.99B | −1.5% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $2.38 est $2.20 | $24.50B est $24.01B | −3.1% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $1.74 est $1.29 | $21.42B est $20.84B | +9.2% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $1.55 est $1.56 | $21.22B est $20.85B | −14.2% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.49 est $1.38 | $21.55B est $21.00B | −1.8% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $2.75 est $2.52 | $25.30B est $25.41B | −14.6% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $1.76 est $1.63 | $22.25B est $22.10B | +4.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
United Parcel Service stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for United Parcel Service is $116.08, +17.2% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$116.08consensus 12-month target, +17.2% from the last close
Now $99.06Avg $116.08
Low $76High $132
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $131 | +32.2% |
| Sep 1 | Bank of America Securities | $115 | +16.1% |
| Aug 31 | Wells Fargo | $110 | +11.0% |
| Aug 27 | Citi | $132 | +33.3% |
| Aug 24 | Bernstein | $131 | +32.2% |
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
0.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
United Parcel Service seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, United Parcel Service averaged 0.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −3.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −3.3% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | 0.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, UPS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.
United Parcel Service market cap and key statistics
United Parcel Service’s market cap is $84.12B, with a P/E ratio of 18.4 and revenue of $89.93B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $84.12B
- P/E ratio
- 18.4
- Forward P/E
- 12.4
- EPS, TTM
- $5.46
- Gekko Fair Value
- $131.31
Trading
- Volume
- 9.41M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 4.16M
- 52-week high
- $122.41
- 52-week low
- $82.00
- Shares outstanding
- 749.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $89.93B
- Profit margin
- 5.1%
- Return on equity
- 29.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −53.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.04
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- Dividend yield
- 6.64%
United Parcel Service stock news this week
6 headlines about United Parcel Service from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- UPS vs FedEx: Which Dividend Is Actually Stronger for Income Investors24/7 Wall Street, Sep 18
- United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Shares Fall 3.5% -- What GF Score of 76 Tells InvestorsGuruFocus, Sep 16
- UPS: Costs May Weigh In 2026, But Free Cash Flow Remains Strong; 6.4% Dividend YieldSeeking Alpha, Sep 15
- UPS: A Leaner Network, Better Revenue Mix, And International Recovery Support The Buy CaseSeeking Alpha, Sep 15
- United Parcel Service (UPS) Ascends While Market Falls: Some Facts to NoteZacks Investment Research, Sep 14
- The UPS Dividend Yield Is Unusually High and That Is Not the Compliment It Sounds Like24/7 Wall Street, Sep 14
United Parcel Service peers
United Parcel Service’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DASHDoorDash | Accumulation | 5.7% below |
| FDXFedEx | Accumulation | 7.7% below |
| EXPDExpeditors International of Washington | Neutral | 30.1% above |
| CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide | Neutral | 3.4% above |
| GRABGrab | Buying | 35.2% below |
| CARTMaplebear | Buying | 12.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
United Parcel Service stock FAQ
What is United Parcel Service’s market cap?
United Parcel Service’s market cap is $84.12B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $99.06, with 749.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.4.
What is the United Parcel Service stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for United Parcel Service is $116.08, +17.2% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is United Parcel Service stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate United Parcel Service is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $99.06 is 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $131.31. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does United Parcel Service report earnings next?
United Parcel Service is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.63 per share on revenue of $22.15B. United Parcel Service beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.
What is United Parcel Service’s 52-week high and low?
United Parcel Service’s 52-week high is $122.41 and its 52-week low is $82.00; it closed at $99.06 on Sep 18, 2026, +17.7% over the past year.
Is United Parcel Service stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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