Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for UPS in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every UPS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UPS in Gekko
NYSE: UPS
United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$114.31+5.14 (+4.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeUPS shares have climbed since the company's Q3 2026 report on 27 October, with consolidated revenue of $22.9 billion, up 6.7% year-over-year, and operating profit of $2.1 billion. U.S. Domestic operating profit grew over 14% with margin expansion, and International returned to year-over-year profit growth. Alongside the results, UPS declared a quarterly dividend of $1.64 per share, a level held for seven straight quarters, which several commentaries have tied to questions about free cash flow coverage of the payout. Separate coverage noted TFI International's struggles with the former UPS freight unit it acquired five years ago.
UPS closed at $114.31, up 4.7%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $99.67 and 200-day average of $104.64. The GekkoIndex reads 41.3, placing the stock in the Distribution zone. Price remains 11.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.11.
The next earnings date falls on 26 January 2027, 82 days away, outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3.3% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst views are split, with 8 buy, 7 hold and 2 sell ratings among 17 firms, and a consensus target of $115.42. The gap to Gekko Fair Value bears watching alongside ongoing dividend-coverage discussion in the headlines.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
United Parcel Service price vs fair value
Close $114.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $129.11
United Parcel Service quick facts
- Market cap
- $85.65B
- P/E ratio
- 20.4
- Forward P/E
- 13.6
- EPS, TTM
- $5.38
- Revenue, TTM
- $91.37B
- Profit margin
- 4.8%
- Dividend yield
- 6.06%
- Beta
- 0.95
- Volume
- 7.88M avg 5.15M
- 1-year return
- +21.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- 50-day average
- $99.67
- 200-day average
- $104.64
- Next earnings
- Jan 26 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 749.3M
United Parcel Service swing-trade checklist
United Parcel Service scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $114.31 sits between the 50-day ($99.67) and 200-day ($104.64) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
41.3, Distribution
Reading 41.3 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
11.5% below
Price is 11.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 82 days
Next report Jan 26, 2027, 82 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
United Parcel Service stock chart and price history
United Parcel Service closed at $114.31 on Nov 4, 2026, +21.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $90.84 to $122.41.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +22.8%
- 3 months
- +10.8%
- 6 months
- +14.4%
- 1 year
- +21.5%
The full UPS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UPS in Gekko
Follow United Parcel Service through every session
Put UPS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About United Parcel Service
United Parcel Service transports packages, documents and freight for businesses and individuals, moving shipments by air and by ground on set delivery schedules. It is widely known for its parcel delivery network, which handles everything from single letters to palletized loads. The company also arranges cross-border and e-commerce shipments and supports urgent transport needs alongside routine deliveries.
Its operations are divided into two segments: one covering package delivery within the United States, and another covering small package handling across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, Latin America and Asia. Beyond core delivery, it provides freight forwarding by air and sea, contract logistics, customs brokerage, insurance, mail handling and distribution support, along with services tailored to healthcare shipments. Its customers include businesses and individuals who need domestic and international goods moved on defined timelines.
United Parcel Service began operations in 1907 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia. It is listed on the NYSE under the ticker UPS.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Air freight/Couriers
- Website
- ups.com
United Parcel Service GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
United Parcel Service’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.3, in the Distribution zone, down 2.3 points over five sessions.
41.3Distribution
Down 2.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 54 | +0.3% | +1.9% | ||
| Accumulation | 284 | +0.3% | +0.1% | ||
| Neutral | 342 | −0.6% | −2.2% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 13 | −2.6% | −2.5% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average UPS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UPS price, zone by zone.Track UPS in Gekko
Is United Parcel Service stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
United Parcel Service trades 11.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.11, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what United Parcel Service shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$129.11
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
11.5% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 23.2% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UPS in Gekko
United Parcel Service insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for United Parcel Service, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 25 |
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 11 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
United Parcel Service has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2025
- $1.00B
- As a share of market cap
- 1.17%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold UPS.
0added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
United Parcel Service earnings: next date and track record
United Parcel Service reports on Jan 26, 2027, before the open (82 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Jan 26, 2027
Expected before the open, 82 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.76
- Revenue estimate
- $25.71B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- UPS reported Q3 2026 consolidated revenue of $22.9 billion, up 6.7% year-over-year, with consolidated operating profit of $2.1 billion. U.S. Domestic operating profit grew over 14% YoY with 60 basis points of margin expansion, as revenue per piece outpaced cost per piece growth. International returned to YoY operating profit growth for the first time since 2025 trade policy changes. UPS announced a new global operating model reorganizing leadership across domestic, international, and network operations.
- Guidance
- Transcript excerpt does not include explicit forward-looking financial targets or guidance figures. Management signaled continued confidence in strategy execution, premium growth acceleration, and network synergies under the new global operating model.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | $1.69 est $1.62 | $22.90B est $22.27B | +5.3% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | $1.76 est $1.65 | $22.80B est $21.86B | −7.4% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $1.07 est $1.02 | $21.20B est $20.99B | −1.5% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $2.38 est $2.20 | $24.50B est $24.01B | −3.1% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $1.74 est $1.29 | $21.42B est $20.84B | +9.2% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $1.55 est $1.56 | $21.22B est $20.85B | −14.2% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.49 est $1.38 | $21.55B est $21.00B | −1.8% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $2.75 est $2.52 | $25.30B est $25.41B | −14.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
United Parcel Service stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for United Parcel Service is $115.42, +1.0% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$115.42consensus 12-month target, +1.0% from the last close
Now $114.31Avg $115.42
Low $76High $135
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Susquehanna | $120 | +5.0% |
| Oct 29 | Morgan Stanley | $76 | −33.5% |
| Oct 29 | Stifel Nicolaus | $116 | +1.5% |
| Oct 28 | Evercore ISI | $107 | −6.4% |
| Oct 28 | Citi | $131 | +14.6% |
−2.5%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
United Parcel Service seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, United Parcel Service averaged +3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, UPS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.
United Parcel Service market cap and key statistics
United Parcel Service’s market cap is $85.65B, with a P/E ratio of 20.4 and revenue of $91.37B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $85.65B
- P/E ratio
- 20.4
- Forward P/E
- 13.6
- EPS, TTM
- $5.38
- Gekko Fair Value
- $129.11
Trading
- Volume
- 7.88M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 5.15M
- 52-week high
- $122.41
- 52-week low
- $90.84
- Shares outstanding
- 749.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $91.37B
- Profit margin
- 4.8%
- Return on equity
- 28.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −11.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.95
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- Dividend yield
- 6.06%
United Parcel Service stock news this week
Coverage of United Parcel Service this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- UPS Announces Quarterly DividendQuantisnow, Nov 4
- UPS Has Paid the Same $1.64 Dividend for 7 Quarters. Should Retirees Worry?24/7 Wall Street, Nov 4
- Here's What a $10,000 Investment in UPS Stock Could Be Worth in 3 YearsThe Motley Fool, Nov 4
- United Parcel Stock Up Over 9% Since Strong Q3: Buy for More Upside?Zacks Investment Research, Nov 3
- UPS's $5.4 Billion Dividend Bill Exceeded Its Free Cash Flow. Is the Payout at Risk?24/7 Wall Street, Nov 3
- Five years after buying UPS’s freight business, TFI is struggling to turn it aroundThe Globe and Mail, Nov 2
United Parcel Service peers
United Parcel Service’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DASHDoorDash | Neutral | 0.2% below |
| FDXFedEx | Distribution | 0.1% above |
| EXPDExpeditors International of Washington | Neutral | 29.0% above |
| CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide | Accumulation | 3.7% above |
| CARTMaplebear | Distribution | 9.6% above |
| GRABGrab | Neutral | 16.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
United Parcel Service stock FAQ
What is United Parcel Service’s market cap?
United Parcel Service’s market cap is $85.65B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $114.31, with 749.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.4.
What is the United Parcel Service stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for United Parcel Service is $115.42, +1.0% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is United Parcel Service stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate United Parcel Service is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $114.31 is 11.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.11. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does United Parcel Service report earnings next?
United Parcel Service is expected to report on Jan 26, 2027, before the market opens (82 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.76 per share on revenue of $25.71B. United Parcel Service beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.
What is United Parcel Service’s 52-week high and low?
United Parcel Service’s 52-week high is $122.41 and its 52-week low is $90.84; it closed at $114.31 on Nov 4, 2026, +21.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $233.72 on Feb 1, 2022.
Is United Parcel Service stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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