NYSE: GXO

GXO Logistics (GXO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$44.77−0.43 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news centers on GXO Logistics building out its aerospace and defense business, naming Dan Davis, previously President of FSI Defense with 15 years at Lockheed Martin, as President of Aerospace & Defense in a newly created role. Alongside this, GXO continues rolling out a global Labor Management System, piloted in the U.S., UK, Netherlands, Poland and Spain, aimed at improving workforce planning and productivity, with a broader deployment referenced ahead of 2027. Shares also touched a 52-week low of $44.99 during the period covered by these stories.

GXO closes at $44.77, down 1%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $48.03 and 200-day average of $52.62, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The one-year return stands at -15.1%, and the 52-week range runs from $43.61 to $66.85. The GekkoIndex reads 64.1, placing GXO in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 10.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $49.86.

The next earnings date falls on 3 November, 35 days out and before the open, which is outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 5 May showed EPS of $0.50 against an estimate of $0.37, with a 7.9% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3.7% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage shows 13 buy ratings and 1 hold among 14 firms, with a consensus target of $68.71.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

GXO Logistics price vs fair value

$49.86$44.77Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $44.77200-day averageGekko Fair Value $49.86

GXO Logistics quick facts

Market cap
$5.15B
P/E ratio
40
Forward P/E
13.2
EPS, TTM
$1.13
Revenue, TTM
$13.64B
Profit margin
1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.54
Volume
1.38M avg 1.38M
1-year return
−15.1%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
50-day average
$48.03
200-day average
$52.62
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
114.7M
52-week range
$43.61$66.85

GXO Logistics swing-trade checklist

GXO Logistics scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $44.77 is below the 50-day ($48.03) and 200-day ($52.62) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.1, Accumulation

    Reading 64.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.2% below

    Price is 10.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

GXO Logistics stock chart and price history

GXO Logistics closed at $44.77 on Sep 28, 2026, −15.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $43.61 to $66.85.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
GXO Logistics share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$55$60$65NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep44.77

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.7%
3 months
−11.3%
6 months
−9.8%
1 year
−15.1%
The full GXO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GXO in Gekko

Follow GXO Logistics through every session

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About GXO Logistics

GXO Logistics provides supply chain and warehousing services to businesses around the world. Its work covers storing goods, managing distribution, fulfilling orders, and handling the returns and reverse-shipping needs tied to online shopping. The company is recognized for offering these combined logistics functions on a broad, global scale rather than a single narrow service.

GXO Logistics runs its operations through hundreds of facilities positioned across different regions, supporting clients who need help moving and managing physical goods. Its customer base is spread across several fields, including e-commerce, retail that blends online and in-store shopping, consumer electronics, food and beverage, manufacturing and industrial firms, and makers of packaged consumer goods.

The company was established in 2021 and runs its headquarters out of Greenwich, Connecticut. GXO Logistics is listed on the NYSE under the ticker GXO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Air freight/Couriers
Website
gxo.com

GXO Logistics GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

GXO Logistics’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.2 points over five sessions.

010064.1Accumulation

Up 0.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying55−0.4%−1.2%+1.8%−2.9%
Accumulation (current zone)228+0.8%+1.5%+1.7%+3.4%
Neutral364−0.5%−0.7%−1.1%+0.1%
Distribution20+0.4%−0.4%−3.4%−6.4%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average GXO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GXO price, zone by zone.Track GXO in Gekko

Is GXO Logistics stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

GXO Logistics trades 10.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $49.86, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what GXO Logistics shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$49.86

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

10.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GXO in Gekko

GXO Logistics insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GXO Logistics, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GXO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GXO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GXO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GXO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GXO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GXO in Gekko

Buybacks

GXO Logistics has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$18.00M
As a share of market cap
0.35%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds GXO.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

GXO Logistics earnings: next date and track record

GXO Logistics reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.9%Aug ’24−1.5%Nov ’24−15.6%Feb ’25+5.1%May ’25+4.2%Aug ’25−5.1%Nov ’25+8.1%Feb ’26+7.9%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
GXO reported Q1 2026 revenue of $3.3 billion (+11% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA of $200 million (+23%) and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.50 (+72%). Organic revenue grew 4% with all regions contributing. New business wins of $227 million included aerospace/defense, AI cloud infrastructure hyperscalers, NHS expansion, and L'Oreal partnership. The company has $870 million in secured incremental new business revenue for 2026, up 19% YoY.
Guidance
GXO raised full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS, now expecting 22% adjusted EPS growth at the midpoint. Management cited $870 million in secured 2026 revenue and strong commercial momentum as basis for increased confidence.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 5, 2026$0.50
est $0.37
+35.1%$3.30B
est $3.22B
+2.5%+7.9%
Feb 10, 2026$0.87
est $0.83
+4.8%$3.51B
est $3.48B
+0.8%+8.1%
Nov 4, 2025$0.79
est $0.78
+1.3%$3.40B
est $3.48B
−2.3%−5.1%
Aug 5, 2025$0.57
est $0.56
+1.8%$3.30B
est $3.29B
+0.3%+4.2%
May 7, 2025$0.29
est $0.26
+11.5%$2.98B
est $3.05B
−2.4%+5.1%
Feb 12, 2025$1.00
est $0.94
+6.4%$3.25B
est $3.02B
+7.7%−15.6%
Nov 4, 2024$0.79
est $0.78
+1.3%$3.16B
est $3.20B
−1.4%−1.5%
Aug 6, 2024$0.55
est $0.57
−3.5%$2.85B
est $3.00B
−5.0%−3.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

GXO Logistics stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for GXO Logistics is $68.71, +53.5% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$68.71consensus 12-month target, +53.5% from the last close
Low $61High $90
Buy13
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 14Wells FargoBuy, maintained$65+45.2%
Aug 7CitiBuy, maintained$65+45.2%
Aug 6Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$71+58.6%
Aug 6J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$68+51.9%
Aug 6JefferiesBuy, reiterated$90+101.0%
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

GXO Logistics seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, GXO Logistics averaged +3.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.2%2021+2.1%2022−15.1%2023+16.5%2024+3.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.0%3 of 5

For scale, GXO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.

GXO Logistics market cap and key statistics

GXO Logistics’s market cap is $5.15B, with a P/E ratio of 40 and revenue of $13.64B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.15B
P/E ratio
40
Forward P/E
13.2
EPS, TTM
$1.13
Gekko Fair Value
$49.86

Trading

Volume
1.38M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.38M
52-week high
$66.85
52-week low
$43.61
Shares outstanding
114.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.64B
Profit margin
1%
Return on equity
4.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−4.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.54
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%

GXO Logistics stock news this week

Coverage of GXO Logistics this week reads positive: 5 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

GXO Logistics peers

GXO Logistics’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
UPSUnited Parcel Service+0.5%Accumulation26.6% below
DASHDoorDash−5.4%Accumulation12.6% below
FDXFedEx+1.3%Accumulation11.0% below
EXPDExpeditors International of Washington+1.0%Neutral28.3% above
CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide+1.4%Accumulation3.3% above
GRABGrab0.0%Accumulation27.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

GXO Logistics stock FAQ

What is GXO Logistics’s market cap?

GXO Logistics’s market cap is $5.15B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $44.77, with 114.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 40.

What is the GXO Logistics stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for GXO Logistics is $68.71, +53.5% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is GXO Logistics stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate GXO Logistics is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $44.77 is 10.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $49.86. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does GXO Logistics report earnings next?

GXO Logistics is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.87 per share on revenue of $3.55B. GXO Logistics beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.4% on average across the report.

What is GXO Logistics’s 52-week high and low?

GXO Logistics’s 52-week high is $66.85 and its 52-week low is $43.61; it closed at $44.77 on Sep 28, 2026, −15.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $105.92 on Nov 18, 2021.

Is GXO Logistics stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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