NYSE: UAN

CVR Partners (UAN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$125.49+0.74 (+0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

CVR Partners (UAN) trades at $125.49, up 0.6%, sitting between its 50-day average of $126.87 and 200-day average of $120.21, a mixed trend signal. The GekkoIndex reads 61.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $196.83, leaving price 36.2% below that mark. Over the past month the stock is down 7.6%, over three months up 9%, and over the past year up 32.3%, with a 52-week range of $89.20 to $139.50.

Over the next 20 trading days the main scheduled event is the next earnings report, due 2 November 2026, which falls inside that window; the prior quarter saw an EPS beat with a 5.1% reaction and an average absolute reaction of 2.9%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent 90-day and 30-day windows respectively, though one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonality for this calendar stretch has averaged a -1.4% return over 5 years, with gains in 2 of those years, a point worth noting given the stock's typical 20-day move of 6.3%. The consensus analyst target stands at $9.50, implying a -92.4% gap to current price.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

CVR Partners price vs fair value

▲$196.83$125.49Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $125.49200-day averageGekko Fair Value $196.83

CVR Partners quick facts

Market cap
$1.33B
P/E ratio
8.3
Forward P/E
10.2
EPS, TTM
$15.16
Revenue, TTM
$676.9M
Profit margin
23.7%
Dividend yield
11.60%
Beta
0.24
Volume
6,347 avg 22,573
1-year return
+32.3%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6.3%
50-day average
$126.87
200-day average
$120.21
Next earnings
Nov 2
Shares outstanding
10.57M
52-week range
$89.20$139.50

CVR Partners swing-trade checklist

CVR Partners scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $125.49 sits between the 50-day ($126.87) and 200-day ($120.21) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.1, Accumulation

    Reading 61.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    36.2% below

    Price is 36.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

CVR Partners stock chart and price history

CVR Partners closed at $125.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +32.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $89.20 to $139.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
CVR Partners share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$100$120$140NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct125.49

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.6%
3 months
+9.0%
6 months
−0.5%
1 year
+32.3%
The full UAN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UAN in Gekko

Follow CVR Partners through every session

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About CVR Partners

CVR Partners makes nitrogen fertilizers and sells them to farmers and industrial buyers throughout the United States. Its main product is ammonia, which goes to both agricultural and industrial users, and it is perhaps most recognized for this line of business. Alongside ammonia, the company also produces urea and ammonium nitrate, which are sold mainly to agricultural customers, along with retailers and distributors who move the product further down the supply chain.

The business runs through a group of subsidiaries, with CVR GP, LLC serving as the general partner overseeing the partnership structure. Its customer base spans growers who need fertilizer for crops as well as industrial operations that use ammonia in their own processes, giving it reach across both farming and manufacturing-related demand.

CVR Partners was founded in 2007 and operates out of Sugar Land, Texas. Its units trade on the NYSE under the ticker UAN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Chemicals: agricultural
Website
cvrpartners.com

CVR Partners GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

CVR Partners’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.5 points over five sessions.

010061.1Accumulation

Up 0.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+3.0%+5.0%+8.3%+16.2%
Accumulation (current zone)167+1.4%+2.3%+5.1%+8.7%
Neutral421+0.3%+0.8%+1.7%+3.5%
Distribution65−0.6%−1.2%−4.6%+4.5%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average UAN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UAN price, zone by zone.Track UAN in Gekko

Is CVR Partners stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

CVR Partners trades 36.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $196.83, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what CVR Partners shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$196.83

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

36.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 44.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$197$125Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UAN in Gekko

CVR Partners insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CVR Partners, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UAN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every UAN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UAN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UAN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UAN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UAN in Gekko

Buybacks

CVR Partners has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2022
$12.40M
As a share of market cap
0.93%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds UAN.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

CVR Partners earnings: next date and track record

CVR Partners reports on Nov 2, 2026 (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 1 report.

1 of 1reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.9%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.8%Oct ’24+3.7%Feb ’25+1.2%Apr ’25+4.4%Jul ’25+3.3%Oct ’25+0.5%Feb ’26−4.0%Apr ’26+5.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
CVR Partners (UAN) reported Q2 2026 net sales of $202M, net income of $78M ($7.33/unit), and EBITDA of $107M. Ammonia plant utilization hit 99% with UAN prices up 24% and ammonia prices up 33% YoY, driven by Middle East supply disruptions. Sold 333K tons of UAN at $392/ton and 54K tons of ammonia at $791/ton. Total liquidity stood at $187M with a $6.08/unit distribution declared.
Guidance
Full-year 2026 capital spending estimated at $85M-$95M, with $49M-$57M in maintenance capital. Management noted a solid H2 order book but acknowledged demand softening for UAN due to elevated prices relative to competing nitrogen fertilizers.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$7.33—$202.2M—+5.1%
Apr 29, 2026$4.72
est $0.00
—$180.0M—−4.0%
Feb 18, 2026−$0.97—$131.1M—+0.5%
Oct 29, 2025$4.08—$163.5M—+3.3%
Jul 30, 2025$3.67—$168.6M—+4.4%
Apr 28, 2025$2.56—$142.9M—+1.2%
Feb 18, 2025$1.73—$139.6M—+3.7%
Oct 28, 2024$0.36—$125.2M—−0.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

CVR Partners stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for CVR Partners is $9.50, −92.4% from the last close.

$9.50consensus 12-month target, −92.4% from the last close
+5.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

CVR Partners seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, CVR Partners averaged −1.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.1%2021−6.0%2022−3.5%2023+0.9%2024+7.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.5%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.1%2 of 5

For scale, UAN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.3%.

CVR Partners market cap and key statistics

CVR Partners’s market cap is $1.33B, with a P/E ratio of 8.3 and revenue of $676.9M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.33B
P/E ratio
8.3
Forward P/E
10.2
EPS, TTM
$15.16
Gekko Fair Value
$196.83

Trading

Volume
6,347
Avg volume, 20 days
22,573
52-week high
$139.50
52-week low
$89.20
Shares outstanding
10.57M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$676.9M
Profit margin
23.7%
Return on equity
48.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+99.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.24
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6.3%
Dividend yield
11.60%

CVR Partners peers

CVR Partners’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NTRNutrien0.0%Accumulation1.8% below
CFCF Industries+1.9%Accumulation36.1% below
ICLICL−1.0%Accumulation8.3% below
MOSMosaic+0.2%Buying30.9% below
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro+0.8%Accumulation22.0% below
ODCOil-Dri Corporation Of America+0.7%Accumulation1.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

CVR Partners stock FAQ

What is CVR Partners’s market cap?

CVR Partners’s market cap is $1.33B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $125.49, with 10.57M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.3.

What is the CVR Partners stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for CVR Partners is $9.50, −92.4% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is CVR Partners stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate CVR Partners is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $125.49 is 36.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $196.83. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does CVR Partners report earnings next?

CVR Partners is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026 (21 days away).

What is CVR Partners’s 52-week high and low?

CVR Partners’s 52-week high is $139.50 and its 52-week low is $89.20; it closed at $125.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +32.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $179.74 on Apr 20, 2022.

Is CVR Partners stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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