Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MOS in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MOS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MOS in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryMosaic stock slipped this week as the company carried out a debt redemption of $537.23 million on September 28, part of a broader reshaping of its debt profile, alongside a reported decrease in Q2 2026 operating cash flow and a 6% drop in sales. Separately, Mosaic announced a leadership transition, naming Walt Precourt as Executive Vice President of Operations effective December 1, succeeding Karen Swager, who will retire in the second quarter of 2027; Precourt's package includes a $710,000 base salary, an 85% target bonus, and a long-term incentive award valued at $1.725 million.
Shares closed at $22.25, down 3.3%, below both the 50-day average of $23.61 and the 200-day average of $24.56, with the 50-day sitting under the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -6.4% and its six-month return at -11%, against a 52-week range of $19.80 to $36.00. The GekkoIndex reads 66.1, placing Mosaic in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 18.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.16.
Mosaic's next earnings date falls on 3 November 2026, 35 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, and the last 30 days show 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $212,380 against put premium of $43,500. Analyst consensus stands at 5 buy and 6 hold ratings across 11 firms, with a consensus target of $26.77. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +0.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Mosaic price vs fair value
Close $22.25200-day averageGekko Fair Value $27.16
Mosaic quick facts
- Market cap
- $7.07B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 9.4
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.96
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.25B
- Profit margin
- -5.2%
- Dividend yield
- 3.61%
- Beta
- 0.83
- Volume
- 6.95M avg 8.40M
- 1-year return
- −36.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.2%
- 50-day average
- $23.61
- 200-day average
- $24.56
- Next earnings
- Nov 3 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 317.9M
Mosaic swing-trade checklist
Mosaic scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $22.25 is below the 50-day ($23.61) and 200-day ($24.56) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.1, Accumulation
Reading 66.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
18.1% below
Price is 18.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 35 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+0.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Mosaic stock chart and price history
Mosaic closed at $22.25 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.80 to $36.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.4%
- 3 months
- −0.8%
- 6 months
- −11.0%
- 1 year
- −36.0%
The full MOS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MOS in Gekko
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About Mosaic
Mosaic makes and supplies concentrated crop nutrients built around phosphate and potash, using its own mines to pull raw material out of the ground and turn it into fertilizers such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate and other ammoniated phosphate blends. It is also known for phosphate-based animal feed ingredients sold under the Biofos and Nexfos names, plus a magnesium-sulfate potash product called K-Mag.
The company runs through three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. Potash from Mosaic goes into compound fertilizers, animal feed, industrial uses, de-icing products and water-softener regenerants, while the business also sells nitrogen-based nutrients, additional feed ingredients, and related services, and trades in phosphate, potash and nitrogen products it buys and resells. Its customers span wholesale distributors, retail chains, farm cooperatives, independent retailers, individual farmers and large national accounts.
The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MOS.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Process industries
- Industry
- Chemicals: agricultural
- Website
- mosaicco.com
Mosaic GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Mosaic’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.6 points over five sessions.
66.1Accumulation
Up 5.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 58 | +1.6% | +2.2% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 246 | +0.8% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral | 350 | −1.1% | −2.4% | ||
| Distribution | 17 | +3.5% | +9.4% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MOS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MOS price, zone by zone.Track MOS in Gekko
Is Mosaic stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Mosaic trades 18.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.16, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Mosaic shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$27.16
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
18.1% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MOS in Gekko
Mosaic insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Mosaic, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Aug 12 traded Jul 7 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Mosaic has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
- $25.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.35%
- Trailing four quarters
- $235.4M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 83% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 25, $256K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MOS.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Mosaic earnings: next date and track record
Mosaic reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
Expected before the open, 35 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.09
- Revenue estimate
- $3.08B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Mosaic described a difficult market driven primarily by disrupted sulfur supply (Strait of Hormuz closure, Kazakhstan blockade) leading to elevated spot sulfur prices. Management has curtailed phosphate production, minimized purchases of high-cost raw materials, deferred/redirected capital, and locked a significant portion of third-quarter sulfur at materially lower-than-spot contract prices. They emphasized aggressive SG&A cost reductions, balance sheet fortification (terming out short-term debt and an untapped $2.5B revolver), and strategic reallocation of capital toward higher-return opportunities including Mosaic Biosciences. Operationally, curtailments drove reduced fixed-cost absorption and elevated idle expenses in Phosphates and Fertilizantes, with Potash completing planned turnaround activity. Management provided specific near-term input cost guidance for Q3 (realized sulfur and ammonia) and DAP pricing ranges, reiterated a working capital liberation target for the year ($300–$500M midpoint ~$400M) and laid out expected seasonal patterns in Brazil (large Q3 sales and subsequent Q4 collections). They also noted potential medium-term tailwinds from reduced phosphate application in 2025–26 that could lift crop prices and eventual fertilizer demand. Overall, the tone was cautious and pragmatic: acknowledging significant headwinds but emphasizing confidence in Mosaic’s liquidity, cost actions, contractual relationships for advantaged raw materials, and optionality to weather the downturn until markets normalize.
- Guidance
- Q3 realized sulfur costs: ~$700–$710/long ton; Q3 realized ammonia costs: ~$610–$620/tonne; DAP FOB pricing guidance: $820–$840/tonne; Q3 sales guidance: ~1.1 million to 1.4 million tonnes (sales range referenced by management); Working capital liberation for full year: $300–$500 million (midpoint ~$400M), with $100–$200M expected in Q3 and bulk in Q4; CapEx reduced to about $1.2 billion for the year (down from prior $1.5B and $1.25B updates), with a Q3 CapEx run-rate around ~$300M then dropping materially in Q4; Expectation that debt will be stable in Q3 and modestly down in Q4 if conditions don’t worsen; Fertilizantes: Q3 profitability expected down vs Q2 but potential contributions from coproducts, distribution and ~ $30M of Biosciences sales in Brazil with ~40% contribution margin.
- Risks flagged
- Elevated and volatile sulfur prices due to geopolitical disruptions (Strait of Hormuz closure, Kazakhstan blockade); sustained sulfur constraints leading to prolonged production curtailments; reduced farmer fertilizer application (North America and Brazil) causing lower demand and potential yield impacts; weaker prepayments/changes in buyer behavior in Brazil impacting working capital timing; higher freight costs and mix shifts reducing potash netbacks; potential for prolonged market dislocation into 2027 which would require additional balance-sheet or operational actions.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $0.13 est $0.09 | $2.82B est $3.10B | +7.3% |
| May 11, 2026 | $0.05 est $0.33 | $3.00B est $2.93B | +0.9% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $0.22 est $0.48 | $2.97B est $2.93B | −6.1% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $1.04 est $0.97 | $3.45B est $3.53B | −3.8% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.51 est $0.67 | $3.01B est $3.89B | −12.9% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.49 est $0.45 | $2.62B est $2.69B | +3.1% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.45 est $0.53 | $2.82B est $2.92B | −5.2% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | $0.34 est $0.54 | $2.81B est $3.17B | −6.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Mosaic stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Mosaic is $26.77, +20.3% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$26.77consensus 12-month target, +20.3% from the last close
Now $22.25Avg $26.77
Low $23High $30
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Rothschild & Co Redburn | $30 | +34.8% |
| Sep 15 | BMO Capital | $30 | +34.8% |
| Sep 11 | KeyBanc | — | — |
| Sep 10 | KeyBanc | — | — |
| Aug 11 | Morgan Stanley | $26 | +16.9% |
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Mosaic seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Mosaic averaged +0.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −3.8% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, MOS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.2%.
Mosaic market cap and key statistics
Mosaic’s market cap is $7.07B and revenue of $12.25B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $7.07B
- Forward P/E
- 9.4
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.96
- Gekko Fair Value
- $27.16
Trading
- Volume
- 6.95M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 8.40M
- 52-week high
- $36.00
- 52-week low
- $19.80
- Shares outstanding
- 317.9M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.25B
- Profit margin
- -5.2%
- Return on equity
- -5.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +239.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.83
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.2%
- Dividend yield
- 3.61%
Mosaic stock news this week
Coverage of Mosaic this week reads positive: 5 positive, 5 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Mosaic Company stock slips 2.93 percent as debt redemption arrivesAD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- Form 8K MOSAIC CO For: 25 September By Investing.comInvesting.com Nigeria, Sep 25
- A $1.725 million incentive award is approved for Mosaic (MOS)'s incoming operations chief.Stock Titan, Sep 25
- Mosaic Company stock heads into the open after a flat sessionAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- Does Leadership Transition Change The Bull Case For Mosaic Stock (MOS)?Simply Wall Street, Sep 25
- Mosaic Company stock heads into the open after a 0.4 percent gainAD HOC NEWS, Sep 24
Mosaic peers
Mosaic’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NTRNutrien | Accumulation | 4.7% above |
| CFCF Industries | Accumulation | 35.4% below |
| ICLICL | Accumulation | 8.6% below |
| SMGScotts Miracle-Gro | Buying | 28.3% below |
| UANCVR Partners | Accumulation | 36.7% below |
| ODCOil-Dri Corporation Of America | Neutral | 3.4% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Mosaic stock FAQ
What is Mosaic’s market cap?
Mosaic’s market cap is $7.07B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $22.25, with 317.9M shares outstanding.
What is the Mosaic stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Mosaic is $26.77, +20.3% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Mosaic stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Mosaic is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $22.25 is 18.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Mosaic report earnings next?
Mosaic is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.09 per share on revenue of $3.08B. Mosaic beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.8% on average across the report.
What is Mosaic’s 52-week high and low?
Mosaic’s 52-week high is $36.00 and its 52-week low is $19.80; it closed at $22.25 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $79.28 on Apr 18, 2022.
Is Mosaic stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Mosaic?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Mosaic over the last 30 days, with $212K of flagged premium in calls and $44K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 25, 2026 with $256K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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