NYSE: NTR

Nutrien (NTR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nutrien Ltd. Process industries sector, chemicals: agricultural industry. Market cap $37.01B.

$77.09−1.83 (−2.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Nutrien closes at $77.09, down 2.3% on the day, with the stock trading above both its 50-day average of $71.67 and its 200-day average of $69.75. The GekkoIndex reads 53.8, placing it in the Neutral zone. Price sits 11.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.11, a gap that bears watching. Over the past month the shares are up 9.3%, and the three-month return stands at 22.6%, with the 52-week range spanning $53.03 to $85.36.

Recent coverage centers on ownership and analyst positioning rather than operational news. Tidal Investments LLC disclosed a reduction of its Nutrien stake by 37.9%, selling 14,326 shares to leave a holding of 23,455 shares. KeyBanc initiated coverage with a Sector Weight rating and a $73.00 price target, built on a sum-of-the-parts approach and citing a bearish view of the potash market through the decade balanced against improving agricultural fundamentals. Separately, commentary noted the stock's 17.2% one-month rally, outpacing the broader Fertilizers industry's 16.8% gain over the same span.

Nutrien's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, 45 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. The prior print on 5 August showed EPS of $2.67 against an estimate of $2.57, with a muted -0.2% share reaction; the company has beaten estimates in 3 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.5% gain over five years, positive in three of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current 90-day and 30-day windows respectively.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $77.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $69.11

Key stats

Market cap
$37.01B
P/E ratio
16
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
$4.94
Revenue, TTM
$27.29B
Profit margin
8.7%
Dividend yield
2.82%
Beta
1.08
Volume
2.16M avg 2.41M
1-year return
+36.5%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$71.67
200-day average
$69.75
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
477.2M
52-week range
$53.03$85.36

Nutrien swing-trade checklist

Nutrien scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $77.09 is above the 50-day ($71.67) and 200-day ($69.75) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.8, Neutral

    Reading 53.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    11.5% above

    Price is 11.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 45 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nutrien stock chart and price history

Nutrien closed at $77.09 on Sep 18, 2026, +36.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $53.03 to $85.36.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+9.3%
3 months
+22.6%
6 months
+1.4%
1 year
+36.5%
The full NTR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NTR in Gekko

Follow Nutrien through every session

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About Nutrien

Nutrien provides farmers with the materials needed to grow crops, offering fertilizer types such as potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate. The company also supplies seeds, products for protecting crops, and other farm merchandise, while making financing options available to those who buy from it.

Sales run through a wide chain of roughly 2,000 retail locations spanning North and South America along with Australia. In addition to this retail side, Nutrien deals directly with growers via farm centers found across those same regions, giving producers access to more individualized support.

Founded in 2017, Nutrien is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker NTR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Chemicals: agricultural
Website
nutrien.com

Nutrien GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nutrien’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.8, in the Neutral zone, up 4.7 points over five sessions.

010053.8Neutral

Up 4.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30+2.4%+4.0%+5.1%+11.0%
Accumulation201+1.0%+1.6%+2.0%+4.0%
Neutral (current zone)390+0.2%+0.4%+1.2%+2.3%
Distribution38−1.5%−1.2%−1.2%−0.8%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average NTR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NTR price, zone by zone.Track NTR in Gekko

Is Nutrien stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nutrien trades 11.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.11, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nutrien shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$69.11

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

11.5% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NTR in Gekko

Nutrien insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nutrien, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NTR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NTR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NTR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NTR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTR in Gekko

Buybacks

Nutrien has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$173.0M
As a share of market cap
0.47%
Trailing four quarters
$617.0M

From company filings.

Nutrien earnings: next date and track record

Nutrien reports on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.3%Nov ’24+2.9%Feb ’25−3.0%May ’25−5.8%Aug ’25+3.6%Nov ’25+2.7%Feb ’26−11.5%May ’26−0.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Nutrien delivered record potash sales volumes in H1 2026, with 53% of ore mined using automation exceeding Investor Day targets. Retail adjusted EBITDA grew 4%, with proprietary crop nutrients gross margin up 10%. The company completed ~$1 billion in asset divestitures since Q4 2024, reviewing strategic alternatives for phosphate, Trinidad nitrogen, and Brazilian retail businesses. Nitrogen assets benefited from advantaged natural gas costs and a completed Carseland debottlenecking project.
Guidance
Nutrien raised the bottom end of 2026 potash sales volume guidance, lowered capex guidance range, and accelerated share repurchases. Strategic asset reviews for phosphate, Trinidad nitrogen, and Brazilian retail are expected to conclude in 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$2.67
est $2.57
+3.9%$10.47B
est $10.44B
+0.3%−0.2%
May 6, 2026$0.51
est $0.55
−7.3%$5.69B
est $5.30B
+7.3%−11.5%
Feb 18, 2026$0.83
est $0.92
−10.2%$5.12B
est $5.43B
−5.6%+2.7%
Nov 5, 2025$0.97
est $0.93
+4.3%$5.94B
est $5.25B
+13.2%+3.6%
Aug 6, 2025$2.65
est $2.40
+10.4%$10.44B
est $10.45B
−0.1%−5.8%
May 7, 2025$0.11
est $0.33
−66.7%$5.10B
est $5.15B
−0.9%−3.0%
Feb 19, 2025$0.31
est $0.37
−16.2%$5.08B
est $5.08B
−0.1%+2.9%
Nov 6, 2024$0.39
est $0.44
−11.4%$5.35B
est $5.06B
+5.7%−3.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nutrien stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nutrien is $76.90, −0.2% from the last close.

$76.90consensus 12-month target, −0.2% from the last close
+1.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nutrien seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Nutrien averaged +1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+15.7%2021−11.2%2022−0.9%2023+0.8%2024+1.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.9%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.2%2 of 5

For scale, NTR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Nutrien market cap and key statistics

Nutrien’s market cap is $37.01B, with a P/E ratio of 16 and revenue of $27.29B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$37.01B
P/E ratio
16
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
$4.94
Gekko Fair Value
$69.11

Trading

Volume
2.16M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.41M
52-week high
$85.36
52-week low
$53.03
Shares outstanding
477.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$27.29B
Profit margin
8.7%
Return on equity
9.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+1.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.08
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
2.82%

Nutrien stock news this week

4 headlines about Nutrien from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Nutrien peers

Nutrien’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CFCF Industries−3.8%Neutral30.7% below
MOSMosaic−3.5%Neutral10.8% below
ICLICL−3.1%Accumulation3.1% below
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro−2.1%Buying23.6% below
UANCVR Partners−0.8%Neutral33.8% below
FMCFMC+0.1%Buying16.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Nutrien stock FAQ

What is Nutrien’s market cap?

Nutrien’s market cap is $37.01B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $77.09, with 477.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.

What is the Nutrien stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nutrien is $76.90, −0.2% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nutrien stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nutrien is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $77.09 is 11.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.11. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Nutrien report earnings next?

Nutrien is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.92 per share on revenue of $5.78B. Nutrien beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.

What is Nutrien’s 52-week high and low?

Nutrien’s 52-week high is $85.36 and its 52-week low is $53.03; it closed at $77.09 on Sep 18, 2026, +36.5% over the past year.

Is Nutrien stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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