NYSE: NTR

Nutrien (NTR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$72.07+2.75 (+4.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Nutrien's week centers on its third quarter 2026 results, released alongside a declared quarterly dividend of US$0.55 per share payable 15 January 2027. The company reported net earnings of $0.29 billion ($0.60 diluted per share) and adjusted EBITDA of $1.31 billion, with adjusted net earnings per share of $0.61; one headline noted the figures missed profit estimates. Separately, Nutrien shut down its Trinidad Nitrogen operations at the Point Lisas Facility indefinitely, citing natural gas supply constraints and regional uncertainty.

Shares closed at $72.07, up 4%, sitting between the 50-day average of $72.90 and the 200-day average of $71.14. The GekkoIndex reads 55.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while the price stands 3.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.42.

No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality has been supportive at this point in the calendar, with the next 20 trading days averaging a 2.5% return over 5 years, positive in 3 of them. The consensus target sits at $77.04, implying 6.9% upside per that consensus.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Nutrien price vs fair value

$72.07$69.42Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $72.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $69.42

Nutrien quick facts

Market cap
$34.39B
P/E ratio
14
Forward P/E
13.6
EPS, TTM
$4.94
Revenue, TTM
$27.29B
Profit margin
8.7%
Dividend yield
3.12%
Beta
1.13
Volume
3.29M avg 2.28M
1-year return
+32.2%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$72.90
200-day average
$71.14
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
477.2M
52-week range
$53.03$85.36

Nutrien swing-trade checklist

Nutrien scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $72.07 sits between the 50-day ($72.90) and 200-day ($71.14) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55.2, Neutral

    Reading 55.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.8% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.8% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nutrien stock chart and price history

Nutrien closed at $72.07 on Nov 4, 2026, +32.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $53.03 to $85.36.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Nutrien share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$70$80DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct72.07

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.2%
3 months
+8.0%
6 months
−2.4%
1 year
+32.2%
The full NTR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NTR in Gekko

Follow Nutrien through every session

Put NTR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Nutrien

Nutrien provides farmers with the materials needed to grow crops, offering fertilizer types such as potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate. The company also supplies seeds, products for protecting crops, and other farm merchandise, while making financing options available to those who buy from it.

Sales run through a wide chain of roughly 2,000 retail locations spanning North and South America along with Australia. In addition to this retail side, Nutrien deals directly with growers via farm centers found across those same regions, giving producers access to more individualized support.

Founded in 2017, Nutrien is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker NTR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Chemicals: agricultural
Website
nutrien.com

Nutrien GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nutrien’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.2, in the Neutral zone, down 6.3 points over five sessions.

010055.2Neutral

Down 6.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30+2.4%+4.0%+5.1%+11.0%
Accumulation223+0.8%+1.3%+1.8%+4.2%
Neutral (current zone)400+0.1%+0.2%+1.0%+2.5%
Distribution41−1.6%−1.7%−2.6%−0.8%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average NTR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NTR price, zone by zone.Track NTR in Gekko

Is Nutrien stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nutrien trades 3.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.42, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nutrien shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$69.42

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

3.8% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.1% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$69$69Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NTR in Gekko

Nutrien insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nutrien, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NTR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NTR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NTR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NTR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTR in Gekko

Buybacks

Nutrien has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$173.0M
As a share of market cap
0.50%
Trailing four quarters
$617.0M

From company filings.

Nutrien earnings: next date and track record

Nutrien beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.3%Nov ’24+2.9%Feb ’25−3.0%May ’25−5.8%Aug ’25+3.6%Nov ’25+2.7%Feb ’26−11.5%May ’26−0.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Nutrien delivered record potash sales volumes in H1 2026, with 53% of ore mined using automation exceeding Investor Day targets. Retail adjusted EBITDA grew 4%, with proprietary crop nutrients gross margin up 10%. The company completed ~$1 billion in asset divestitures since Q4 2024, reviewing strategic alternatives for phosphate, Trinidad nitrogen, and Brazilian retail businesses. Nitrogen assets benefited from advantaged natural gas costs and a completed Carseland debottlenecking project.
Guidance
Nutrien raised the bottom end of 2026 potash sales volume guidance, lowered capex guidance range, and accelerated share repurchases. Strategic asset reviews for phosphate, Trinidad nitrogen, and Brazilian retail are expected to conclude in 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$2.67
est $2.57
+3.9%$10.47B
est $10.44B
+0.3%−0.2%
May 6, 2026$0.51
est $0.55
−7.3%$5.69B
est $5.30B
+7.3%−11.5%
Feb 18, 2026$0.83
est $0.92
−10.2%$5.12B
est $5.43B
−5.6%+2.7%
Nov 5, 2025$0.97
est $0.93
+4.3%$5.94B
est $5.25B
+13.2%+3.6%
Aug 6, 2025$2.65
est $2.40
+10.4%$10.44B
est $10.45B
−0.1%−5.8%
May 7, 2025$0.11
est $0.33
−66.7%$5.10B
est $5.15B
−0.9%−3.0%
Feb 19, 2025$0.31
est $0.37
−16.2%$5.08B
est $5.08B
−0.1%+2.9%
Nov 6, 2024$0.39
est $0.44
−11.4%$5.35B
est $5.06B
+5.7%−3.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nutrien stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nutrien is $77.04, +6.9% from the last close.

$77.04consensus 12-month target, +6.9% from the last close
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nutrien seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Nutrien averaged +2.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.6%2021+7.2%2022−0.9%2023−3.9%2024+12.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.7%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.4%2 of 5

For scale, NTR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Nutrien market cap and key statistics

Nutrien’s market cap is $34.39B, with a P/E ratio of 14 and revenue of $27.29B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$34.39B
P/E ratio
14
Forward P/E
13.6
EPS, TTM
$4.94
Gekko Fair Value
$69.42

Trading

Volume
3.29M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.28M
52-week high
$85.36
52-week low
$53.03
Shares outstanding
477.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$27.29B
Profit margin
8.7%
Return on equity
9.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+1.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.13
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
3.12%

Nutrien stock news this week

Coverage of Nutrien this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 5 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Nutrien peers

Nutrien’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CFCF Industries−3.7%Accumulation39.4% below
MOSMosaic+13.9%Neutral20.5% below
ICLICL+3.9%Accumulation16.9% below
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro+0.9%Distribution7.7% above
UANCVR Partners−4.9%Buying42.7% below
ODCOil-Dri Corporation Of America+0.5%Accumulation27.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Chemicals: agricultural

Nutrien stock FAQ

What is Nutrien’s market cap?

Nutrien’s market cap is $34.39B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $72.07, with 477.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.

What is the Nutrien stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nutrien is $77.04, +6.9% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nutrien stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nutrien is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $72.07 is 3.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Nutrien’s 52-week high and low?

Nutrien’s 52-week high is $85.36 and its 52-week low is $53.03; it closed at $72.07 on Nov 4, 2026, +32.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $117.25 on Apr 18, 2022.

Is Nutrien stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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