NYSE: ICL

ICL (ICL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$5.02−0.12 (−2.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's coverage of ICL centers on its dividend profile, with several pieces highlighting the company's above-average yield in the fertilizers industry and its history of dividend growth as central to the investment case, alongside a note on the stock's decline of 6.13% since January 1, 2026. A separate bond profile piece detailed the ICL.B7 issue's coupon and redemption terms.

ICL closed at $5.02, down 2.3%, with the close sitting between its 50-day and 200-day averages, both at $5.44, reflecting a mixed trend. The stock's one-month return stands at -11.5%, its six-month return at -3.5%, and its one-year return at -16.5%, while the 52-week range spans $4.76 to $6.97. The GekkoIndex reads 69.8, placing ICL in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 over five days. Price sits 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $5.49.

Over the next 20 trading days, ICL's earnings report is scheduled for 11 November 2026, 43 days out, before the open, placing it outside a typical holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, this calendar point has produced an average 20-day return of 2.2% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus from 3 firms rates ICL a hold, with a consensus target of $5.81, implying 15.7% upside from current levels.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

ICL price vs fair value

$5.49$5.02Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $5.02200-day averageGekko Fair Value $5.49

ICL quick facts

Market cap
$6.48B
P/E ratio
21.4
Forward P/E
55.6
EPS, TTM
$0.24
Revenue, TTM
$7.71B
Profit margin
4%
Dividend yield
4.00%
Beta
1.00
Volume
888,937 avg 1.25M
1-year return
−16.5%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%
50-day average
$5.44
200-day average
$5.44
Next earnings
Nov 11 before open
Shares outstanding
1.29B
52-week range
$4.76$6.97

ICL swing-trade checklist

ICL scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $5.02 sits between the 50-day ($5.44) and 200-day ($5.44) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.8, Accumulation

    Reading 69.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    8.6% below

    Price is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 11, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

ICL stock chart and price history

ICL closed at $5.02 on Sep 28, 2026, −16.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.76 to $6.97.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
ICL share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5.50$6.00$6.50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep5.02

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.5%
3 months
+0.2%
6 months
−3.5%
1 year
−16.5%
The full ICL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ICL in Gekko

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About ICL

ICL is a global producer of minerals and chemicals, working across four business units. It extracts bromine from a byproduct of potash production and turns it into bromine-based compounds, alongside potash, salt, magnesium chloride and magnesia products, plus phosphorus-based flame retardants. It also draws potash from the Dead Sea and mines and produces potash and salt more broadly, making it known for its mineral extraction and processing activities.

Beyond raw extraction, ICL converts phosphate commodities into fertilizers, sulphuric acid, and phosphoric acid used across oral hygiene, cleaning, paints and coatings, water treatment, asphalt, construction and metal treatment. It also makes functional food ingredients and phosphate additives for processed meat, poultry, seafood, dairy, beverages and baked goods, as well as milk and whey proteins for the food ingredients industry. Its Innovative Ag Solutions unit develops nitrogen, potash and phosphate fertilizers, including water-soluble, liquid, soluble and controlled-release forms, sold worldwide through marketing firms, agents and distributors.

The company began as Israel Chemicals Ltd, founded in 1968, and took its present name in May 2020. It is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker ICL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Chemicals: agricultural
Website
icl-group.com

ICL GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

ICL’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.

010069.8Accumulation

Up 4.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying46+1.3%+3.5%+3.2%+7.9%
Accumulation (current zone)193+0.6%+1.4%+2.0%+2.1%
Neutral389−0.1%−0.3%+0.3%+1.2%
Distribution37+1.3%+1.3%−0.3%−3.8%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average ICL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ICL price, zone by zone.Track ICL in Gekko

Is ICL stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

ICL trades 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $5.49, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what ICL shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$5.49

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

8.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ICL in Gekko

ICL insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ICL, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ICL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ICL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ICL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ICL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ICL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ICL in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ICL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

ICL earnings: next date and track record

ICL reports on Nov 11, 2026, before the open (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.2%May ’24+7.3%Aug ’24+3.4%Nov ’24−4.7%Feb ’25−2.5%May ’25+2.8%Aug ’25+0.4%Nov ’25−0.3%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 12, 2026 AI summary

What they said
ICL reported a solid finish to 2025, achieving its annual target of $1 billion of specialty-driven EBITDA. Management highlighted strategic progress including acquisitions (Bartek Ingredients and Lavie Bio) to expand specialty food and growing solutions, a binding agreement with the State of Israel securing compensation for Dead Sea concession assets and bromine supply through at least 2035, and continued focus on maximizing core potash operations. Operational improvements in potash production in the Dead Sea and Spain were noted. Management outlined a refined strategy prioritizing specialty crop nutrition and specialty food solutions, continued disciplined capital allocation (pausing/terminating lower-synergy projects such as LFP battery projects and shelving Boulby), and plans for further M&A and a cost transformation program. Macro and segment-level headwinds include elevated sulfur prices (major raw material for phosphate products), a strong shekel versus the dollar increasing local costs, mixed agricultural fundamentals (Brazil challenging, China bromine demand uncertain) and credit constraints in Brazil for farmers and distributors. Management’s Q&A provided color on drivers and sensitivities: potash volumes/prices and bromine as upside, sulfur costs and shekel strength as downside, and shekel sensitivity (~$10 million EBITDA impact per 1% move) with roughly 50-60% hedging.
Guidance
Management guided 2026 to be largely 'very similar' or flattish compared with 2025 at the midpoint. They flagged upside scenarios (higher potash volumes/prices and potential bromine price recovery post-Chinese New Year) and downside risks (sustained high sulfur costs and continued shekel strengthening). Management provided a USD/ILS assumption range seen in the market of roughly 315-320+ and stated their hedged exposure is around 50-60%.
Risks flagged
Elevated sulfur prices (major input for phosphate products), stronger shekel versus the U.S. dollar (increases Israel-based operating costs), credit constraints and farmer affordability issues in Brazil (supplier financing risk and distribution pressure), uncertainty in Chinese bromine demand post-New Year, and broader macro/commodity volatility. Management also cited battery market structural changes that reduced the attractiveness of certain downstream investments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 12, 2026$0.09
est $0.10
−13.4%$1.70B
est $1.77B
−3.9%−0.3%
Nov 10, 2025$0.10
est $0.11
−9.1%$1.85B
est $1.95B
−4.9%+0.4%
Aug 6, 2025$0.09
est $0.08
+12.5%$1.83B
est $1.83B
0.0%+2.8%
May 19, 2025$0.09
est $0.08
+12.5%$1.77B
est $1.82B
−3.0%−2.5%
Feb 26, 2025$0.08
est $0.09
−11.1%$1.60B
est $1.71B
−6.3%−4.7%
Nov 11, 2024$0.11
est $0.08
+37.5%$1.75B
est $1.65B
+6.1%+3.4%
Aug 14, 2024$0.10
est $0.09
+11.1%$1.75B
est $1.76B
−0.4%+7.3%
May 9, 2024$0.09
est $0.09
0.0%$1.72B
est $1.75B
−1.8%−1.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

ICL stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ICL is $5.81, +15.7% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$5.81consensus 12-month target, +15.7% from the last close
Low $5.75High $6
Buy0
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 11BarclaysHold, maintained$6+19.5%
Aug 10Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$5.75+14.5%
Aug 6BMO CapitalHold, reiterated$6+19.5%
Aug 6BarclaysHold, maintained$6+19.5%
Jul 27BarclaysHold, maintained$6+19.5%
+2.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

ICL seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, ICL averaged +2.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+13.8%2021+10.0%2022−13.3%2023−2.6%2024+4.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.2%2 of 5

For scale, ICL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.1%.

ICL market cap and key statistics

ICL’s market cap is $6.48B, with a P/E ratio of 21.4 and revenue of $7.71B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.48B
P/E ratio
21.4
Forward P/E
55.6
EPS, TTM
$0.24
Gekko Fair Value
$5.49

Trading

Volume
888,937
Avg volume, 20 days
1.25M
52-week high
$6.97
52-week low
$4.76
Shares outstanding
1.29B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.71B
Profit margin
4%
Return on equity
5.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+51.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.00
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%
Dividend yield
4.00%

ICL stock news this week

Coverage of ICL this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

ICL peers

ICL’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NTRNutrien−0.4%Accumulation4.7% above
CFCF Industries−1.5%Accumulation35.4% below
MOSMosaic−2.2%Accumulation18.1% below
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro−3.7%Buying28.3% below
UANCVR Partners+1.2%Accumulation36.7% below
ODCOil-Dri Corporation Of America+1.0%Neutral3.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

ICL stock FAQ

What is ICL’s market cap?

ICL’s market cap is $6.48B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $5.02, with 1.29B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.4.

What is the ICL stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ICL is $5.81, +15.7% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is ICL stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate ICL is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $5.02 is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $5.49. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does ICL report earnings next?

ICL is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026, before the market opens (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.12 per share on revenue of $2.13B. ICL beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is ICL’s 52-week high and low?

ICL’s 52-week high is $6.97 and its 52-week low is $4.76; it closed at $5.02 on Sep 28, 2026, −16.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $12.96 on Apr 14, 2022.

Is ICL stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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