NASDAQ: SUPN

Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$42.81+0.14 (+0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Supernus Pharmaceuticals this week drew attention on two fronts: FDA approval for ONAPGO, its Parkinson's disease treatment, which adds to the company's central nervous system portfolio, and continued progress on the proposed merger with Indivior. That merger process has included voluntarily updated joint proxy materials with additional valuation-related disclosures, following lawsuits alleging inadequate disclosures, and supplemental detail on Cantor Fitzgerald's valuation analyses, with a $1 billion Indivior dividend factoring into the proposed merger valuations.

SUPN closed at $42.81, up 0.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $44.30 and its 200-day average of $47.98, with the shorter average itself below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 59, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 1.2 over five periods. Price stands 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $68.04. Over the past year the stock is down 13.5%, with declines of 8.3% over three months and 14.3% over six months, though it has gained 2.8% over the past month.

Supernus next reports earnings on 3 November 2026 after close, 22 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report showed EPS of $0.88 against an estimate of $0.41, with a 0.9% reaction, and it has beaten estimates in 7 of 8 recent quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.1% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals price vs fair value

$68.04$42.81Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $42.81200-day averageGekko Fair Value $68.04

Supernus Pharmaceuticals quick facts

Market cap
$2.48B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
20.2
EPS, TTM
−$1.92
Revenue, TTM
$830.4M
Profit margin
-13.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.55
Volume
914,563 avg 694,849
1-year return
−13.5%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
50-day average
$44.30
200-day average
$47.98
Next earnings
Nov 3 after close
Shares outstanding
58.22M
52-week range
$40.51$59.68

Supernus Pharmaceuticals swing-trade checklist

Supernus Pharmaceuticals scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $42.81 is below the 50-day ($44.30) and 200-day ($47.98) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59, Neutral

    Reading 59 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    37.1% below

    Price is 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Supernus Pharmaceuticals stock chart and price history

Supernus Pharmaceuticals closed at $42.81 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $40.51 to $59.68.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Supernus Pharmaceuticals share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$45$50$55NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct42.81

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+2.8%
3 months
−8.3%
6 months
−14.3%
1 year
−13.5%
The full SUPN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SUPN in Gekko

Follow Supernus Pharmaceuticals through every session

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About Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Supernus Pharmaceuticals focuses on creating and selling medicines for disorders affecting the brain and nervous system, marketed to patients across the United States. Its commercial lineup covers treatments for epilepsy and migraine prevention, ADHD in children and teenagers, and several products aimed at Parkinson's disease symptoms such as involuntary movement and periods of reduced mobility. It also markets a toxin-based therapy used for neck muscle spasms and excessive drooling in adults.

Alongside its approved treatments, the company runs a pipeline of experimental compounds at various stages of testing, including a combination drug and delivery device meant to head off mobility episodes in Parkinson's patients, early-stage epilepsy research, and a compound being studied for depression that has not responded to standard treatment. Additional candidates remain in preclinical work targeting other central nervous system conditions. Its medicines reach patients through pharmaceutical wholesalers, specialty pharmacies, and authorized distributors rather than direct sales.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals was founded in 2005 and is based in Rockville, Maryland. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker SUPN.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Pharmaceuticals: major
Website
supernus.com

Supernus Pharmaceuticals GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59, in the Neutral zone, down 1.2 points over five sessions.

010059Neutral

Down 1.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+1.4%+0.6%+2.0%+7.1%
Accumulation228+0.6%+1.5%+3.1%+7.0%
Neutral (current zone)394+0.5%+0.6%+1.1%+2.5%
Distribution33−1.9%−1.1%0.0%+3.3%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average SUPN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SUPN price, zone by zone.Track SUPN in Gekko

Is Supernus Pharmaceuticals stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Supernus Pharmaceuticals trades 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $68.04, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Supernus Pharmaceuticals shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$68.04

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

37.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 42.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$68$43Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SUPN in Gekko

Supernus Pharmaceuticals insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Supernus Pharmaceuticals, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SUPN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SUPN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SUPN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SUPN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SUPN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SUPN in Gekko

Supernus Pharmaceuticals earnings: next date and track record

Supernus Pharmaceuticals reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.7%May ’24+14.3%Aug ’24+2.3%Nov ’24−2.4%Feb ’25−4.5%May ’25+14.5%Aug ’25−15.4%Nov ’25+0.9%Mar ’26

Last earnings call, Mar 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Supernus achieved record 2025 revenues of $719 million with 40% growth from four key products. The company completed an acquisition of Sage Therapeutics and launched ONAPGO for Parkinson's, generating $17.3 million in first-year sales. Qelbree exceeded $300 million in net sales with 26% growth, while GOCOVRI reached $146 million with 12% growth. ZURZUVAE contributed $53 million in collaboration revenues following the acquisition.
Guidance
Management expects Qelbree's gross-to-net percentage to remain at 50-55% in 2026. The company initiated a Phase IIb trial for SPN-820 in major depressive disorder with approximately 200 adult patients.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Mar 3, 2026$0.88
est $0.41
+115.1%$211.6M
est $195.2M
+8.4%+0.9%
Nov 4, 2025$1.01
est $0.82
+23.2%$192.1M
est $194.7M
−1.3%−15.4%
Aug 5, 2025$0.91
est $0.47
+93.6%$165.5M
est $168.2M
−1.6%+14.5%
May 6, 2025$0.42
est $0.38
+10.5%$149.8M
est $147.9M
+1.3%−4.5%
Feb 25, 2025$0.55
est $0.52
+5.4%$174.2M
est $155.3M
+12.2%−2.4%
Nov 4, 2024$0.69
est $0.44
+56.8%$175.7M
est $154.5M
+13.7%+2.3%
Aug 6, 2024$0.36
est $0.31
+16.1%$168.3M
est $148.9M
+13.1%+14.3%
May 8, 2024$0.26
est $0.38
−31.6%$143.6M
est $145.8M
−1.5%−3.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Supernus Pharmaceuticals is $61.75, +44.2% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$61.75consensus 12-month target, +44.2% from the last close
Low $60High $66
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$60+40.2%
Aug 3TD CowenBuy, maintained$65+51.8%
Jul 27Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$66+54.2%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Supernus Pharmaceuticals averaged +5.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+18.1%2021+9.4%2022−12.7%2023+14.1%2024−6.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.2%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.4%3 of 5

For scale, SUPN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals market cap and key statistics

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’s market cap is $2.48B and revenue of $830.4M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.48B
Forward P/E
20.2
EPS, TTM
−$1.92
Gekko Fair Value
$68.04

Trading

Volume
914,563
Avg volume, 20 days
694,849
52-week high
$59.68
52-week low
$40.51
Shares outstanding
58.22M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$830.4M
Profit margin
-13.2%
Return on equity
-10.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+11.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.55
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%

Supernus Pharmaceuticals stock news this week

Coverage of Supernus Pharmaceuticals this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Supernus Pharmaceuticals peers

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LLYEli Lilly+0.1%Neutral14.7% above
JNJJohnson & Johnson+0.8%Neutral3.2% below
ABBVAbbVie+1.3%Distribution28.2% above
MRKMerck−0.2%Neutral8.0% below
AZNAstraZeneca−0.7%Accumulation41.7% below
PFEPfizer−0.1%Neutral8.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Supernus Pharmaceuticals stock FAQ

What is Supernus Pharmaceuticals’s market cap?

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’s market cap is $2.48B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $42.81, with 58.22M shares outstanding.

What is the Supernus Pharmaceuticals stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Supernus Pharmaceuticals is $61.75, +44.2% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Supernus Pharmaceuticals stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Supernus Pharmaceuticals is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $42.81 is 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $68.04. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Supernus Pharmaceuticals report earnings next?

Supernus Pharmaceuticals is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.62 per share on revenue of $218.3M. Supernus Pharmaceuticals beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.3% on average across the report.

What is Supernus Pharmaceuticals’s 52-week high and low?

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’s 52-week high is $59.68 and its 52-week low is $40.51; it closed at $42.81 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.5% over the past year.

Is Supernus Pharmaceuticals stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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