NASDAQ: STGW

Stagwell (STGW) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$8.86+0.21 (+2.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's activity centers on Stagwell's upcoming report for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026, scheduled for 29 October, alongside the launch of Stagwell Media, a global agency using AI-powered technology called The Machine OS to optimize media investment and audience engagement across more than 50 markets. The company also disclosed that director Bradley J. Gross will resign from its board effective 16 October, stating this is not due to any disagreement over operations, policies, or practices.

Stagwell closed at $8.86, up 2.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $8.68 and 200-day average of $6.90, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 53.1, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 4.3 points over five sessions. Price remains 21.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.25.

Earnings are set for 29 October, 16 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 30 July saw EPS of $0.25 against a $0.19 estimate, with a 4.6% reaction, against an average absolute move of 8.7% across prior quarters. Five analysts currently rate the stock buy, with a consensus target of $10.71. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the 20 trading days from this point averaging a 4% gain, positive in 3 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Stagwell price vs fair value

▲$11.25$8.86Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $8.86200-day averageGekko Fair Value $11.25

Stagwell quick facts

Market cap
$2.20B
P/E ratio
175.2
Forward P/E
6
EPS, TTM
$0.05
Revenue, TTM
$3.04B
Profit margin
0.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.30
Volume
1.40M avg 1.46M
1-year return
+70.4%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%
50-day average
$8.68
200-day average
$6.90
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
244.5M
52-week range
$4.29$9.55

Stagwell swing-trade checklist

Stagwell scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $8.86 is above the 50-day ($8.68) and 200-day ($6.90) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.1, Neutral

    Reading 53.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    21.2% below

    Price is 21.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Stagwell stock chart and price history

Stagwell closed at $8.86 on Oct 12, 2026, +70.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.29 to $9.55.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Stagwell share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$6$7$8NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct8.86

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.0%
3 months
+16.7%
6 months
+37.8%
1 year
+70.4%
The full STGW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STGW in Gekko

Follow Stagwell through every session

Put STGW on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Stagwell

Stagwell works across marketing and communications, helping businesses build digital platforms, plan media spending, and shape how they present themselves to the public. Its work spans custom websites and apps, back-end systems for e-commerce and content management, and data strategies built on cookie-less tools for reaching audiences. The company is also known for its creative and communications work, which covers advertising, live events, social media campaigns, public relations, and public affairs.

The company runs through three parts: the Integrated Agencies Network, the Media Network, and the Communications Network. Together these groups handle media buying and planning, strategic advice on products and content, and broader communications support. Its offerings also reach into influencer marketing, brand research, communications technology, and augmented reality, often aimed at supporting in-house marketing teams at client organizations with technology-based solutions.

Stagwell is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker STGW.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Miscellaneous commercial services
Website
stagwellglobal.com

Stagwell GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Stagwell’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.1, in the Neutral zone, down 4.3 points over five sessions.

010053.1Neutral

Down 4.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35+4.3%+6.6%+8.3%+9.7%
Accumulation239+1.1%+3.7%+6.0%+7.1%
Neutral (current zone)363−0.1%−1.0%−1.2%+1.9%
Distribution38−2.5%−4.5%−5.7%−0.6%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average STGW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STGW price, zone by zone.Track STGW in Gekko

Is Stagwell stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Stagwell trades 21.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.25, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Stagwell shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$11.25

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

21.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 27.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$11$9Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STGW in Gekko

Stagwell insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Stagwell, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for STGW in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every STGW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STGW in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in STGW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for STGW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STGW in Gekko

Buybacks

Stagwell has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$350.0M, Mar 10, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$47.23M
As a share of market cap
2.15%
Trailing four quarters
$153.4M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold STGW.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Stagwell earnings: next date and track record

Stagwell reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.9%Aug ’24+10.3%Nov ’24−3.3%Feb ’25−16.2%May ’25+8.1%Jul ’25+0.2%Nov ’25+18.9%Mar ’26+4.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Stagwell reported its biggest Q2 in company history with 10% organic revenue growth and 5% organic net revenue growth year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA reached $109 million, up 15%+ with margins expanding 140bps to 17.2%. Digital Transformation led with 18% organic net revenue growth and 30% EBITDA margins. Net new business hit a record $171 million, 45% above prior year Q2, with wins including IBM, Hershey, Mondelez, and Heineken. Adjusted EPS grew 39% to $0.25.
Guidance
Stagwell expects cumulative year-end pipeline to be approximately 30% higher than last year. Management characterized 2026 as a pivotal year with momentum building toward a top-4 industry position, supported by accelerating Digital Transformation and AI-driven product suite expansion.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.25
est $0.19
+32.6%$786.3M
est $754.6M
+4.2%+4.6%
Mar 10, 2026$0.30
est $0.29
+3.4%$807.4M
est $797.1M
+1.3%+18.9%
Nov 6, 2025$0.24
est $0.23
+4.3%$743.0M
est $813.5M
−8.7%+0.2%
Jul 31, 2025$0.17
est $0.17
0.0%$706.8M
est $743.1M
−4.9%+8.1%
May 8, 2025$0.12
est $0.17
−29.4%$651.7M
est $700.4M
−6.9%−16.2%
Feb 27, 2025$0.24
est $0.25
−4.0%$788.7M
est $688.4M
+14.6%−3.3%
Nov 7, 2024$0.22
est $0.21
+4.8%$711.3M
est $749.9M
−5.2%+10.3%
Aug 1, 2024$0.14
est $0.17
−17.6%$672.2M
est $652.7M
+3.0%−7.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Stagwell stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Stagwell is $10.71, +20.9% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$10.71consensus 12-month target, +20.9% from the last close
Low $10High $13
Buy5
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5Goldman SachsBuy, initiated$13+46.7%
Aug 4Rosenblatt SecuritiesBuy, maintained$10+12.9%
Jul 31Craig-HallumBuy, maintained$11+24.2%
Jul 31B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$10+12.9%
Jul 30NeedhamBuy, reiterated$10+12.9%
−1.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Stagwell seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Stagwell averaged +4.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+23.3%2021+0.8%2022+0.2%2023+4.9%2024−4.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.4%4 of 5

For scale, STGW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.3%.

Stagwell market cap and key statistics

Stagwell’s market cap is $2.20B, with a P/E ratio of 175.2 and revenue of $3.04B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.20B
P/E ratio
175.2
Forward P/E
6
EPS, TTM
$0.05
Gekko Fair Value
$11.25

Trading

Volume
1.40M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.46M
52-week high
$9.55
52-week low
$4.29
Shares outstanding
244.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.04B
Profit margin
0.5%
Return on equity
2.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+65.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.30
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%

Stagwell peers

Stagwell’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHOPShopify+3.1%Distribution25.9% above
CTASCintas+0.9%Neutral14.1% above
PYPLPayPal+0.8%Neutral0.8% below
XYZBlock−0.1%Neutral7.5% above
CPAYCorpay−0.7%Neutral17.5% below
FISVFiserv+1.3%Accumulation39.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Stagwell stock FAQ

What is Stagwell’s market cap?

Stagwell’s market cap is $2.20B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.86, with 244.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 175.2.

What is the Stagwell stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Stagwell is $10.71, +20.9% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Stagwell stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Stagwell is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.86 is 21.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.25. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Stagwell report earnings next?

Stagwell is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.31 per share on revenue of $838.4M. Stagwell beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.7% on average across the report.

What is Stagwell’s 52-week high and low?

Stagwell’s 52-week high is $9.55 and its 52-week low is $4.29; it closed at $8.86 on Oct 12, 2026, +70.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $11.04 on Nov 5, 2021.

Is Stagwell stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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