Shell (SHEL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Shell PLC. Energy minerals sector. Market cap $263.6B.

$94.54−1.28 (−1.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Shell (SHEL) closes at $94.54, down 1.3% on the day, holding above both its 50-day average of $90.71 and 200-day average of $84.12. The GekkoIndex reads 53.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Against Gekko Fair Value of $148.09, price sits 36.2% below that mark.

This week's coverage centers on Shell's LNG expansion and U.S. power portfolio moves. Reports indicate the Shell-led LNG Canada project could reach a final investment decision on its Phase 2 expansion as early as October. Separately, Shell strengthened its U.S. to Europe LNG strategy through a multi-year supply deal with MET. On the power side, Shell sold a $715 million stake in a New England asset to Constellation Energy, while also expanding PJM exposure by acquiring 169 MW through the Hunlock deal and selling RISEC for $715 million.

Looking ahead, Shell's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 October, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. The prior report, on 30 July, showed adjusted earnings beating estimates ($3.52 versus $3.23), with a 4.1% reaction, and Shell has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters. Analyst coverage from 6 firms shows 3 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $100.35, implying 6.1% upside. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.3% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them — a pattern worth noting alongside the pending LNG Canada decision.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $94.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $148.09

Key stats

Market cap
$263.6B
P/E ratio
10.6
Forward P/E
9.8
EPS, TTM
$9.05
Revenue, TTM
$296.6B
Profit margin
8.8%
Dividend yield
1.58%
Beta
-0.22
Volume
4.57M avg 6.34M
1-year return
+32.4%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
50-day average
$90.71
200-day average
$84.12
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
2.86B
52-week range
$68.63$99.16

Shell swing-trade checklist

Shell scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $94.54 is above the 50-day ($90.71) and 200-day ($84.12) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.5, Neutral

    Reading 53.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    36.2% below

    Price is 36.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 39 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Shell stock chart and price history

Shell closed at $94.54 on Sep 18, 2026, +32.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $68.63 to $99.16.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.9%
3 months
+20.0%
6 months
+3.7%
1 year
+32.4%
The full SHEL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SHEL in Gekko

Follow Shell through every session

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About Shell

Shell searches for and pulls up crude oil, natural gas and related liquids, then carries that output forward through marketing, shipping and pipeline networks so it reaches drivers, industries and households. People generally know the company for its fuel stations and for turning crude into everyday products like gasoline, diesel, jet and ship fuel, lubricants, bitumen and sulfur, plus a growing line of cleaner fuel blends.

Internally the business splits into groups handling gas, upstream drilling, marketing, chemicals and refined products, and renewable ventures. A trading desk buys and sells gas, LNG, crude, power and carbon credits, while a chemicals arm makes building-block compounds such as ethylene, propylene and aromatics along with derivatives like styrene monomer and propylene oxide. Oil sands projects sit alongside newer efforts in wind and solar generation, hydrogen, electric vehicle charging points and LNG as a transport fuel, with customers ranging from heavy industry to everyday motorists.

On the market, Shell trades under the ticker SHEL.

Sector
Energy minerals
Website
shell.com

Shell GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Shell’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.5, in the Neutral zone, up 8.7 points over five sessions.

010053.5Neutral

Up 8.7 points over five sessions, from the Distribution zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+1.4%+4.8%+8.3%+11.7%
Accumulation159+0.8%+0.6%+0.7%+3.6%
Neutral (current zone)391+0.2%+0.7%+1.3%+1.8%
Distribution42−0.8%−2.1%−2.8%−4.2%
Selling0Not available

Average SHEL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SHEL price, zone by zone.Track SHEL in Gekko

Is Shell stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Shell trades 36.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $148.09, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Shell shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$148.09

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

36.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SHEL in Gekko

Shell insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Shell, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SHEL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SHEL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SHEL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SHEL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SHEL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SHEL in Gekko

Buybacks

Shell has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$3.00B
As a share of market cap
1.14%
Trailing four quarters
$13.22B

From company filings.

Shell earnings: next date and track record

Shell reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.9%Oct ’24+1.7%Jan ’25+0.5%May ’25+0.4%Jul ’25−0.8%Oct ’25−4.4%Feb ’26−3.7%May ’26+4.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Shell reported Q2 2026 adjusted earnings of $9.8 billion with over $21 billion in cash flow from operations. LNG Canada achieved full capacity, Brazil upstream hit record production, and refineries reached 102% utilization. Chemicals posted best results in 5+ years. Structural cost reductions reached $700 million YTD, with $6 billion in portfolio savings since 2022. ARC Resources acquisition pending final regulatory approval.
Guidance
2026 cash CapEx guidance unchanged at $24-26 billion, including ~$4 billion for ARC Resources. ARC acquisition expected to lift production growth to ~4% annually through 2030 vs. ~1% previously. $3 billion share buyback program to complete by Q3 2026 results in October.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$3.52
est $3.23
+9.0%$94.66B
est $86.22B
+9.8%+4.1%
May 7, 2026$2.44
est $2.14
+14.0%$69.69B
est $77.54B
−10.1%−3.7%
Feb 5, 2026$1.14
est $1.21
−5.8%$64.09B
est $62.64B
+2.3%−4.4%
Oct 30, 2025$1.86
est $1.72
+8.1%$67.74B
est $67.73B
0.0%−0.8%
Jul 31, 2025$1.42
est $1.13
+25.7%$65.41B
est $70.23B
−6.9%+0.4%
May 2, 2025$1.84
est $1.54
+19.5%$69.23B
est $70.86B
−2.3%+0.5%
Jan 30, 2025$1.20
est $1.74
−31.0%$66.28B
est $65.02B
+1.9%+1.7%
Oct 31, 2024$2.36
est $1.66
+42.2%$71.09B
est $61.34B
+15.9%+2.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Shell stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Shell is $100.35, +6.1% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$100.35consensus 12-month target, +6.1% from the last close
Low $98High $107
Buy3
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 3Piper SandlerHold, maintained$100+5.8%
Sep 3Morgan StanleyBuy, upgraded$101.30+7.2%
Aug 27Erste GroupBuy, upgraded
Aug 3Piper SandlerHold, maintained$89−5.9%
Jul 31Wells FargoHold, reiterated$105+11.1%
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Shell seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Shell averaged +5.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+23.1%2021−2.1%2022+5.1%2023−2.6%2024+2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.0%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.0%3 of 5

For scale, SHEL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.

Shell market cap and key statistics

Shell’s market cap is $263.6B, with a P/E ratio of 10.6 and revenue of $296.6B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$263.6B
P/E ratio
10.6
Forward P/E
9.8
EPS, TTM
$9.05
Gekko Fair Value
$148.09

Trading

Volume
4.57M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.34M
52-week high
$99.16
52-week low
$68.63
Shares outstanding
2.86B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$296.6B
Profit margin
8.8%
Return on equity
14.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+220.0%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.22
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
Dividend yield
1.58%

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Shell stock FAQ

What is Shell’s market cap?

Shell’s market cap is $263.6B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $94.54, with 2.86B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.6.

What is the Shell stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Shell is $100.35, +6.1% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Shell stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Shell is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $94.54 is 36.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $148.09. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Shell report earnings next?

Shell is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.08 per share on revenue of $82.30B. Shell beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.3% on average across the report.

What is Shell’s 52-week high and low?

Shell’s 52-week high is $99.16 and its 52-week low is $68.63; it closed at $94.54 on Sep 18, 2026, +32.4% over the past year.

Is Shell stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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