Shell (SHEL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$101.86−2.34 (−2.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Shell's week is dominated by portfolio moves and strong quarterly results. The company agreed to sell its North West Shelf interest to ADNOC's XRG for $1.45 billion, sharpening its portfolio focus while retaining Australian LNG exposure, and separately struck a five-year LNG supply deal with METLEN covering six annual cargoes from 2027. These follow Q3 results showing adjusted earnings of $10.8 billion and $21 billion in cash flow from operations, with revenue of $95.32 billion, record refining margins, LNG strength and a $5 billion buyback. One firm downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold with a $111 target, citing expectations that refining and gas strength normalize by 2027-2028.

Shares closed at $101.86, down 2.2% on the day but still above both the 50-day ($98.74) and 200-day ($88.78) moving averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 56.9, placing Shell in the Neutral zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $156.85, leaving price 35.1% below that level.

The next earnings date falls on 4 February 2027, outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -1.2% over five years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus across 9 firms stands at 3 buy and 6 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $108.81, about 6.8% above the current price.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Shell price vs fair value

▲$156.85$101.86Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $101.86200-day averageGekko Fair Value $156.85

Shell quick facts

Market cap
$298.0B
P/E ratio
9.4
Forward P/E
10.3
EPS, TTM
$11.12
Revenue, TTM
$321.3B
Profit margin
10.2%
Dividend yield
1.42%
Beta
-0.24
Volume
8.85M avg 5.92M
1-year return
+36.9%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.7%
50-day average
$98.74
200-day average
$88.78
Next earnings
Feb 4 before open
Shares outstanding
2.84B
52-week range
$68.63$109.37

Shell swing-trade checklist

Shell scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $101.86 is above the 50-day ($98.74) and 200-day ($88.78) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.9, Neutral

    Reading 56.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    35.1% below

    Price is 35.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 91 days

    Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Shell stock chart and price history

Shell closed at $101.86 on Nov 4, 2026, +36.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $68.63 to $109.37.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Shell share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$70$80$90$110DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct101.86

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+4.3%
3 months
+13.7%
6 months
+16.8%
1 year
+36.9%
The full SHEL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SHEL in Gekko

Follow Shell through every session

Put SHEL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Shell

Shell searches for and pulls up crude oil, natural gas and related liquids, then carries that output forward through marketing, shipping and pipeline networks so it reaches drivers, industries and households. People generally know the company for its fuel stations and for turning crude into everyday products like gasoline, diesel, jet and ship fuel, lubricants, bitumen and sulfur, plus a growing line of cleaner fuel blends.

Internally the business splits into groups handling gas, upstream drilling, marketing, chemicals and refined products, and renewable ventures. A trading desk buys and sells gas, LNG, crude, power and carbon credits, while a chemicals arm makes building-block compounds such as ethylene, propylene and aromatics along with derivatives like styrene monomer and propylene oxide. Oil sands projects sit alongside newer efforts in wind and solar generation, hydrogen, electric vehicle charging points and LNG as a transport fuel, with customers ranging from heavy industry to everyday motorists.

On the market, Shell trades under the ticker SHEL.

Sector
Energy minerals
Website
shell.com

Shell GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Shell’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.9, in the Neutral zone, up 6.2 points over five sessions.

010056.9Neutral

Up 6.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+1.4%+4.8%+8.3%+11.7%
Accumulation159+0.8%+0.6%+0.7%+3.8%
Neutral (current zone)416+0.3%+0.9%+1.7%+2.7%
Distribution52−0.6%−1.6%−2.5%−2.4%
Selling0Not available

Average SHEL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SHEL price, zone by zone.Track SHEL in Gekko

Is Shell stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Shell trades 35.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $156.85, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Shell shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$156.85

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

35.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$157$104Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SHEL in Gekko

Shell insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Shell, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SHEL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SHEL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SHEL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SHEL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SHEL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SHEL in Gekko

Buybacks

Shell has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$3.15B
As a share of market cap
1.06%
Trailing four quarters
$12.76B

From company filings.

Shell earnings: next date and track record

Shell reports on Feb 4, 2027, before the open (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.7%Jan ’25+0.5%May ’25+0.4%Jul ’25−0.8%Oct ’25−4.4%Feb ’26−3.7%May ’26+4.1%Jul ’26+3.3%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Shell reported Q3 2026 adjusted earnings of $10.8 billion and $21 billion in cash flow from operations. Upstream delivered highest Gulf of America monthly production in over two decades. Key strategic moves include completing the ARC Resources acquisition ($6B, adding 370,000 boe/day), taking FID on LNG Canada Phase 2 (adding ~6 mtpa), and acquiring Tri Star Energy. Products achieved record results with refining utilization above 100% (ex-Rheinland).
Guidance
Full-year 2026 cash CapEx guided at $23-25 billion, including ~$4 billion for ARC Resources. A new $5 billion share buyback announced, expected completed by Q4 results. Dividend per share grew 9% over 12 months; shareholder distributions policy of 40-50% of CFFO maintained. Capital Markets update scheduled February 4, 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026$3.86
est $3.60
+7.2%$92.85B
est $93.25B
−0.4%+3.3%
Jul 30, 2026$3.52
est $3.23
+9.0%$94.66B
est $86.22B
+9.8%+4.1%
May 7, 2026$2.44
est $2.14
+14.0%$69.69B
est $77.54B
−10.1%−3.7%
Feb 5, 2026$1.14
est $1.21
−5.8%$64.09B
est $62.64B
+2.3%−4.4%
Oct 30, 2025$1.86
est $1.72
+8.1%$67.74B
est $67.73B
0.0%−0.8%
Jul 31, 2025$1.42
est $1.13
+25.7%$65.41B
est $70.23B
−6.9%+0.4%
May 2, 2025$1.84
est $1.54
+19.5%$69.23B
est $70.86B
−2.3%+0.5%
Jan 30, 2025$1.20
est $1.74
−31.0%$66.28B
est $65.02B
+1.9%+1.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Shell stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Shell is $108.81, +6.8% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$108.81consensus 12-month target, +6.8% from the last close
Low $100High $120
Buy3
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2TD CowenBuy, maintained$120+17.8%
Nov 2Freedom Capital MarketsHold, maintained$106+4.1%
Oct 30Piper SandlerHold, maintained$100−1.8%
Oct 30Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained$107+5.0%
Oct 30Evercore ISIHold, maintained$115+12.9%
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−1.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Shell seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Shell averaged −1.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.9%2021+0.6%2022−4.0%2023−3.6%2024+1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.3%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.6%0 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.5%0 of 5

For scale, SHEL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.7%.

Shell market cap and key statistics

Shell’s market cap is $298.0B, with a P/E ratio of 9.4 and revenue of $321.3B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$298.0B
P/E ratio
9.4
Forward P/E
10.3
EPS, TTM
$11.12
Gekko Fair Value
$156.85

Trading

Volume
8.85M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.92M
52-week high
$109.37
52-week low
$68.63
Shares outstanding
2.84B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$321.3B
Profit margin
10.2%
Return on equity
17.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+136.7%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.24
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.7%
Dividend yield
1.42%

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Shell stock FAQ

What is Shell’s market cap?

Shell’s market cap is $298.0B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $101.86, with 2.84B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.4.

What is the Shell stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Shell is $108.81, +6.8% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Shell stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Shell is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $101.86 is 35.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $156.85. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Shell report earnings next?

Shell is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027, before the market opens (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.49 per share on revenue of $100.7B. Shell beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.4% on average across the report.

What is Shell’s 52-week high and low?

Shell’s 52-week high is $109.37 and its 52-week low is $68.63; it closed at $101.86 on Nov 4, 2026, +36.9% over the past year.

Is Shell stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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