NYSE: SCCO

Southern Copper (SCCO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$176.84+3.35 (+1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

This week's news for Southern Copper centers on an announced dividend increase, with the quarterly payout raised 18.2% to $1.30 per share, carrying an annualized dividend of $5.20 and a 2.9% yield, alongside a payout ratio of 117.1% that analysts project improving to 66.5%. The stock went ex-dividend on November 3, with payment set for November 19. Separately, a company overview noted net cash cost per pound falling 98% to $0.01 in 2026, with the Tia Maria and El Pilar projects expected to add 156,000 tons of copper, and Southern Copper was also named in a broader industry outlook alongside peers including Freeport-McMoRan and Lundin Mining.

Shares closed at $176.84, up 1.9% on the day, though the stock has fallen 13.4% over one month and 7.3% over three months. The close sits below both the 50-day average of $198.46 and the 200-day average of $188.82. The GekkoIndex reads 66.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price remains 21.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $146.

The next earnings date is set for 27 January 2027, 83 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day stretch. The last report on 21 October showed EPS of $2.15 against a $1.99 estimate, yet the stock reacted with a 9.3% move. Seasonality over this stretch has averaged a 1.9% return across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, while analyst views remain split, with 6 of 8 firms rated sell.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Southern Copper price vs fair value

$176.84$146.00Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $176.84200-day averageGekko Fair Value $146.00

Southern Copper quick facts

Market cap
$149.3B
P/E ratio
23.9
Forward P/E
28.1
EPS, TTM
$7.51
Revenue, TTM
$17.11B
Profit margin
37.2%
Dividend yield
2.16%
Beta
1.16
Volume
1.54M avg 1.25M
1-year return
+29.0%
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%
50-day average
$198.46
200-day average
$188.82
Next earnings
Jan 27
Shares outstanding
844.3M
52-week range
$119.25$223.89

Southern Copper swing-trade checklist

Southern Copper scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $176.84 sits between the 50-day ($198.46) and 200-day ($188.82) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.7, Accumulation

    Reading 66.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    21.1% above

    Price is 21.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 83 days

    Next report Jan 27, 2027, 83 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.9% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Southern Copper stock chart and price history

Southern Copper closed at $176.84 on Nov 4, 2026, +29.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $119.25 to $223.89.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Southern Copper share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$125$150$200$225DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct176.84

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.4%
3 months
−7.3%
6 months
−3.8%
1 year
+29.0%
The full SCCO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SCCO in Gekko

Follow Southern Copper through every session

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About Southern Copper

Southern Copper extracts and processes copper along with related minerals such as molybdenum, zinc, silver, gold, and lead. Its work spans the full production chain, from mining and ore concentration through smelting and refining into finished copper cathodes, rods, and other materials. The company runs mining and processing operations across Mexico, Peru, and other American countries, including open-pit mines, underground mines, concentrators, smelters, and refineries.

Its principal sites include the Toquepala and Cuajone mines with an associated smelter and refinery in Peru, and the La Caridad and Buenavista mines in Mexico, which are supported by concentrators and SX-EW plants. Beyond copper, the company also mines coal and operates a zinc refinery, and it holds substantial land concessions for mining and exploration in Peru, Mexico, Argentina, and Chile. It functions as a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.

Southern Copper traces its incorporation back to 1952 and previously operated under the name Southern Peru Copper Corp. before adopting its current name in 1996. It is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker SCCO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Other metals/Minerals
Website
southerncoppercorp.com

Southern Copper GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Southern Copper’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 7.2 points over five sessions.

010066.7Accumulation

Up 7.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying12+5.0%+7.9%+10.7%+24.1%
Accumulation (current zone)209+1.7%+3.4%+4.5%+9.3%
Neutral425+0.1%+0.2%+2.0%+7.7%
Distribution47+2.6%+5.0%+8.1%+8.7%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average SCCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SCCO price, zone by zone.Track SCCO in Gekko

Is Southern Copper stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Southern Copper trades 21.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $146.00, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Southern Copper shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$146.00

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

21.1% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 52.2% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$146$173Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SCCO in Gekko

Southern Copper insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Southern Copper, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SCCO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SCCO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SCCO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SCCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SCCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SCCO in Gekko

Buybacks

Southern Copper has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2016
$71.70M
As a share of market cap
0.05%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SCCO.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Southern Copper earnings: next date and track record

Southern Copper reports on Jan 27, 2027 (83 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.2%Feb ’25+2.2%Apr ’25−1.6%Jul ’25+6.5%Oct ’25+5.2%Jan ’26−5.4%Apr ’26+11.7%Jul ’26−9.3%Oct ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 21, 2026$2.15
est $1.99
+8.0%$4.70B
est $4.49B
+4.6%−9.3%
Jul 21, 2026$2.01
est $1.96
+2.6%$4.29B
est $4.28B
+0.3%+11.7%
Apr 28, 2026$1.92
est $1.81
+6.1%$4.25B
est $4.20B
+1.1%−5.4%
Jan 27, 2026$1.55
est $1.51
+2.6%$3.87B
est $3.71B
+4.3%+5.2%
Oct 28, 2025$1.33
est $1.24
+7.3%$3.38B
est $3.21B
+5.3%+6.5%
Jul 28, 2025$1.20
est $1.10
+9.1%$3.05B
est $3.05B
+0.1%−1.6%
Apr 24, 2025$1.17
est $1.12
+4.5%$3.12B
est $2.96B
+5.4%+2.2%
Feb 12, 2025$0.97
est $0.98
−1.0%$2.78B
est $2.87B
−2.8%+6.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Southern Copper stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Southern Copper is $176.32, −0.3% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$176.32consensus 12-month target, −0.3% from the last close
Low $150High $275
Buy1
Hold1
Sell6

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 26BarclaysSell, maintained$165−6.7%
Oct 23Wells FargoHold, maintained$193+9.1%
Oct 21ScotiabankSell, maintained$150−15.2%
Oct 20Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$203+14.8%
Oct 19BarclaysSell, maintained$168−5.0%
+4.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Southern Copper seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Southern Copper averaged +1.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.3%2021+12.9%2022−3.6%2023−8.4%2024+6.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.5%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.9%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.6%3 of 5

For scale, SCCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.

Southern Copper market cap and key statistics

Southern Copper’s market cap is $149.3B, with a P/E ratio of 23.9 and revenue of $17.11B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$149.3B
P/E ratio
23.9
Forward P/E
28.1
EPS, TTM
$7.51
Gekko Fair Value
$146.00

Trading

Volume
1.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.25M
52-week high
$223.89
52-week low
$119.25
Shares outstanding
844.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$17.11B
Profit margin
37.2%
Return on equity
52.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+62.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.16
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%
Dividend yield
2.16%

Southern Copper stock news this week

Coverage of Southern Copper this week reads positive: 7 positive, 7 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Southern Copper peers

Southern Copper’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
FCXFreeport-McMoRan−1.4%Accumulation7.4% below
CCJCameco−1.6%Buying11.9% below
TECKTeck Resources+2.1%Neutral0.1% above
ATIATI−2.2%Neutral3.4% below
CRSCarpenter Technology−1.6%Accumulation18.8% below
HBMHudbay Minerals−0.2%Accumulation10.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Other metals/Minerals

Southern Copper stock FAQ

What is Southern Copper’s market cap?

Southern Copper’s market cap is $149.3B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $176.84, with 844.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.9.

What is the Southern Copper stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Southern Copper is $176.32, −0.3% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 6 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Southern Copper stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Southern Copper is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $176.84 is 21.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $146.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Southern Copper report earnings next?

Southern Copper is expected to report on Jan 27, 2027 (83 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.03 per share on revenue of $4.45B. Southern Copper beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.

What is Southern Copper’s 52-week high and low?

Southern Copper’s 52-week high is $223.89 and its 52-week low is $119.25; it closed at $176.84 on Nov 4, 2026, +29.0% over the past year.

Is Southern Copper stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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