NYSE: SCCO

Southern Copper (SCCO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Southern Copper Corporation. Non-energy minerals sector, other metals/minerals industry. Market cap $163.3B.

$195.70−0.41 (−0.2%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Southern Copper closes at $195.70, down 0.2% on the day, holding above both its 50-day average of $193.09 and its 200-day average of $181.46. The GekkoIndex reads 60.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 32.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $147.38, a gap that bears watching. Over the past year the stock has returned 83.1%, though its 3-month return is a more modest 1.4%.

This week's flow centers on institutional position changes and analyst caution rather than operational news. Corient Private Wealth LP cut its stake by 10.7%, California State Teachers Retirement System reduced its position by 53.3%, and NewEdge Advisors LLC trimmed 13%, while Bank of America Corp DE opened a new position of 1.83 million shares valued at approximately $318.4 million and Virginia Retirement Systems added 6,184 shares worth about $1.08 million. Separately, a consensus "Reduce" rating from 15 analysts carries an average target of $146.84, and one commentary questions the stock's valuation premium at 14.5x EV/EBITDA and 25x PE on 2027 estimates. Consensus among the 8 firms tracked shows 1 buy, 2 hold and 5 sell, with a target of $171.44.

Looking to the next 20 trading days, earnings are scheduled for 27 October, 37 days out, placing the report outside this window. Seasonality data across 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 7.6%, with gains in 3 of those years. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, leaving positioning signals thin for now.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $195.70200-day averageGekko Fair Value $147.38

Key stats

Market cap
$163.3B
P/E ratio
28.5
Forward P/E
28.1
EPS, TTM
$6.88
Revenue, TTM
$15.79B
Profit margin
35.9%
Dividend yield
1.85%
Beta
1.15
Volume
1.36M avg 1.13M
1-year return
+83.1%
Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
50-day average
$193.09
200-day average
$181.46
Next earnings
Oct 27
Shares outstanding
844.3M
52-week range
$105.10$223.89

Southern Copper swing-trade checklist

Southern Copper scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $195.70 is above the 50-day ($193.09) and 200-day ($181.46) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.1, Accumulation

    Reading 60.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    32.8% above

    Price is 32.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Southern Copper stock chart and price history

Southern Copper closed at $195.70 on Sep 18, 2026, +83.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $105.10 to $223.89.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.5%
3 months
+1.4%
6 months
+22.5%
1 year
+83.1%
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About Southern Copper

Southern Copper extracts and processes copper along with related minerals such as molybdenum, zinc, silver, gold, and lead. Its work spans the full production chain, from mining and ore concentration through smelting and refining into finished copper cathodes, rods, and other materials. The company runs mining and processing operations across Mexico, Peru, and other American countries, including open-pit mines, underground mines, concentrators, smelters, and refineries.

Its principal sites include the Toquepala and Cuajone mines with an associated smelter and refinery in Peru, and the La Caridad and Buenavista mines in Mexico, which are supported by concentrators and SX-EW plants. Beyond copper, the company also mines coal and operates a zinc refinery, and it holds substantial land concessions for mining and exploration in Peru, Mexico, Argentina, and Chile. It functions as a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.

Southern Copper traces its incorporation back to 1952 and previously operated under the name Southern Peru Copper Corp. before adopting its current name in 1996. It is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker SCCO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Other metals/Minerals
Website
southerncoppercorp.com

Southern Copper GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Southern Copper’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.6 points over five sessions.

010060.1Accumulation

Down 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying12+5.0%+7.9%+10.7%+24.1%
Accumulation (current zone)199+1.6%+3.4%+4.4%+9.1%
Neutral400+0.2%+0.4%+2.4%+7.8%
Distribution47+2.6%+5.0%+8.1%+8.7%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average SCCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SCCO price, zone by zone.Track SCCO in Gekko

Is Southern Copper stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Southern Copper trades 32.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $147.38, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Southern Copper shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$147.38

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

32.8% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SCCO in Gekko

Southern Copper insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Southern Copper, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SCCO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SCCO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SCCO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SCCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SCCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SCCO in Gekko

Buybacks

Southern Copper has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2016
$71.70M
As a share of market cap
0.04%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SCCO.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Southern Copper earnings: next date and track record

Southern Copper reports on Oct 27, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

0.0%Oct ’24+6.2%Feb ’25+2.2%Apr ’25−1.6%Jul ’25+6.5%Oct ’25+5.2%Jan ’26−5.4%Apr ’26−3.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Southern Copper reported an "exceptional" quarter with record sales, adjusted EBITDA and net income, driven by strong copper prices (LME up ~40% YoY) and sustained demand. Copper production fell 3.5% YoY to 230,662 tons, mainly due to lower ore grades and recoveries at Cuajone and Toquepala (Peru), partially offset by higher production in Mexico. Management raised its 2026 production expectation slightly to 917,000 tons (from ~910,000) and expects second-half volumes to improve as processing inventories are drawn down. The company issued $1.25 billion of bonds principally to finance the Tia Maria project (total expected Tia Maria spend ~$1.8 billion). Project updates: El Pilar water license renewed and early works to begin (construction full-scale in Q1 next year); Tia Maria physical progress advancing with purchase orders for major equipment (including desalination plant) and management reports no expected delay to current schedule. Tia Maria cash cost estimate is $1.16/lb (no by-product credits). Management discussed Peruvian political developments, viewing the incoming administration's priorities (including fighting illegal mining and institutional changes) as potentially positive for mining, while noting the usual execution and social risks for projects. Overall tone: confident but measured, acknowledging operational headwinds (ore grades) and project execution risks while emphasizing strong financial results and healthy market fundamentals.
Guidance
2026 production guidance updated to ~917,000 tons of copper. Tia Maria expected total spend ~$1.8 billion; company issued $1.25 billion bond to finance Tia Maria. Tia Maria cash cost estimate: $1.16/lb (no by-product credits). El Pilar initial works to begin September with full construction in Q1 next year. Market view: slight copper market deficit expected for 2026. (No specific revenue or EPS guidance given.)
Risks flagged
Ore grade declines at key Peruvian mines (Cuajone, Toquepala) affecting near-term production; project execution and procurement risks (e.g., desalination plant for Tia Maria); political and regulatory uncertainty in Peru (new government policies, possible changes to mining law, distribution of mining canon); illegal mining affecting Los Chancas; commodity price volatility that could alter realized revenues and margins.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$2.01
est $1.97
+2.0%$4.29B
est $4.32B
−0.8%−3.1%
Apr 28, 2026$1.92
est $1.81
+6.1%$4.25B
est $4.20B
+1.1%−5.4%
Jan 27, 2026$1.55
est $1.51
+2.6%$3.87B
est $3.71B
+4.3%+5.2%
Oct 28, 2025$1.33
est $1.24
+7.3%$3.38B
est $3.21B
+5.3%+6.5%
Jul 28, 2025$1.20
est $1.10
+9.1%$3.05B
est $3.05B
+0.1%−1.6%
Apr 24, 2025$1.17
est $1.12
+4.5%$3.12B
est $2.96B
+5.4%+2.2%
Feb 12, 2025$0.97
est $0.98
−1.0%$2.78B
est $2.87B
−2.8%+6.2%
Oct 23, 2024$1.12
est $1.10
+1.8%$2.93B
est $2.95B
−0.8%0.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Southern Copper stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Southern Copper is $171.44, −12.4% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$171.44consensus 12-month target, −12.4% from the last close
Low $128.50High $275
Buy1
Hold2
Sell5

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 7UBSSell, maintained
Aug 27JefferiesBuy, maintained$275+40.5%
Jul 26CICCHold, downgraded$180.70−7.7%
Jul 23BarclaysSell, maintained$166−15.2%
Jul 22ScotiabankSell, maintained$140−28.5%
+4.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Southern Copper seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Southern Copper averaged +7.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+14.5%2021−0.4%2022−5.9%2023+6.8%2024+18.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.1%3 of 5

For scale, SCCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.

Southern Copper market cap and key statistics

Southern Copper’s market cap is $163.3B, with a P/E ratio of 28.5 and revenue of $15.79B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$163.3B
P/E ratio
28.5
Forward P/E
28.1
EPS, TTM
$6.88
Gekko Fair Value
$147.38

Trading

Volume
1.36M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.13M
52-week high
$223.89
52-week low
$105.10
Shares outstanding
844.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.79B
Profit margin
35.9%
Return on equity
49.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+71.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.15
Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
Dividend yield
1.85%

Southern Copper peers

Southern Copper’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
FCXFreeport-McMoRan+0.8%Accumulation12.2% above
CCJCameco−2.7%Accumulation1.2% above
TECKTeck Resources+0.4%Neutral9.4% above
ATIATI+3.8%Accumulation3.8% below
CRSCarpenter Technology−0.3%Buying12.9% below
HBMHudbay Minerals+0.9%Neutral5.0% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Southern Copper stock FAQ

What is Southern Copper’s market cap?

Southern Copper’s market cap is $163.3B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $195.70, with 844.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 28.5.

What is the Southern Copper stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Southern Copper is $171.44, −12.4% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 5 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Southern Copper stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Southern Copper is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $195.70 is 32.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $147.38. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Southern Copper report earnings next?

Southern Copper is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.87 per share on revenue of $4.24B. Southern Copper beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.8% on average across the report.

What is Southern Copper’s 52-week high and low?

Southern Copper’s 52-week high is $223.89 and its 52-week low is $105.10; it closed at $195.70 on Sep 18, 2026, +83.1% over the past year.

Is Southern Copper stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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