NYSE: CRS

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$385.30−11.54 (−2.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Carpenter Technology has been trading near $400 after its July earnings, when the company reported fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year results, with earnings per share of $3.23 topping the consensus estimate and quarterly revenue up 12.6% year-over-year. The company was also added to the FTSE All-World Index, a move that followed recent corporate activity including insider share sales, a board-approved share repurchase program and quarterly dividend declarations. Separately, CRS has been highlighted as a top-ranked growth stock.

CRS closed at $385.30, down 2.9%, sitting between its 50-day average of $494.69 and 200-day average of $440.01, with the stock down 21.5% over one month and 36.5% over three months, though still up 65.8% over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 68.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 16.2% below the Gekko Fair Value of $459.93.

The next earnings date falls on 22 October 2026, 23 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed a -2.1% reaction despite an eps beat, against an average absolute reaction of 7.1% across the last 8 quarters. Two billionaire holders and one trailblazer holder are on record, though no insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5% gain over 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus among 7 firms stands at 6 buy and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $625.88.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Carpenter Technology price vs fair value

$459.93$385.30Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $385.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $459.93

Carpenter Technology quick facts

Market cap
$19.14B
P/E ratio
37.6
Forward P/E
23.4
EPS, TTM
$10.66
Revenue, TTM
$3.12B
Profit margin
17%
Dividend yield
0.20%
Beta
1.26
Volume
637,751 avg 866,680
1-year return
+65.8%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±8.6%
50-day average
$494.69
200-day average
$440.01
Next earnings
Oct 22
Shares outstanding
49.56M
52-week range
$233.78$625.99

Carpenter Technology swing-trade checklist

Carpenter Technology scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $385.30 sits between the 50-day ($494.69) and 200-day ($440.01) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.9, Accumulation

    Reading 68.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    16.2% below

    Price is 16.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +5.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Carpenter Technology stock chart and price history

Carpenter Technology closed at $385.30 on Sep 28, 2026, +65.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $233.78 to $625.99.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Carpenter Technology share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$300$500$600NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep385.30

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−21.5%
3 months
−36.5%
6 months
+2.2%
1 year
+65.8%
The full CRS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CRS in Gekko

Follow Carpenter Technology through every session

Put CRS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Carpenter Technology GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Carpenter Technology’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.9 points over five sessions.

010068.9Accumulation

Down 1.9 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying14+4.4%+5.8%+12.4%+46.4%
Accumulation (current zone)136+1.5%+2.8%+6.0%+26.6%
Neutral427+1.5%+3.4%+7.6%+20.9%
Distribution89+1.6%+2.8%+4.6%+2.4%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average CRS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CRS price, zone by zone.Track CRS in Gekko

Is Carpenter Technology stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Carpenter Technology trades 16.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $459.93, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Carpenter Technology shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$459.93

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

16.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CRS in Gekko

Carpenter Technology insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Carpenter Technology, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CRS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CRS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CRS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CRS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CRS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CRS in Gekko

Buybacks

Carpenter Technology has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$45.20M
As a share of market cap
0.24%
Trailing four quarters
$179.1M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold CRS.

0added0opened3trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Carpenter Technology earnings: next date and track record

Carpenter Technology reports on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.8%Oct ’24−7.7%Jan ’25+4.3%Apr ’25−9.1%Jul ’25+28.4%Oct ’25−4.2%Jan ’260.0%Apr ’26−2.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Carpenter Technology reported a record fiscal 2026 fourth quarter and record fiscal year results driven by volume growth, improved productivity, favorable mix and pricing. Q4 sales excluding surcharge rose 9% year-over-year on 22% higher volume; gross profit increased 26% year-over-year to $268.9 million; adjusted operating income was a record $206.9 million in Q4 and $702 million for fiscal 2026 (up 34% year-over-year). EPS was $3.23 for the quarter. The company generated $362.3 million in adjusted free cash flow for FY26, repurchased $179.1 million of stock and paid $40.3 million in dividends. Management reiterated disciplined capital allocation and highlighted the Athens (brownfield) expansion as on schedule, on budget and expected online early FY28 with ramp to incremental operating income in FY28 and an earlier disclosed target of roughly $150 million incremental OI by 2030. Management emphasized safety and operational discipline and signaled continued opportunities from aerospace, medical and other high-value markets. Leadership note: Tony Thene was reappointed CEO following the sudden passing of Brian Malloy; the Board is not launching an external search. The prepared remarks were confident and the Q&A maintained an assertive, measured tone with management repeatedly framing guidance as conservative and achievable.
Guidance
Q1 FY2027 operating income projected between $195 million and $200 million. Full FY2027 operating income projected between $850 million and $880 million (approximately 21% to 25% growth vs FY2026). Brownfield (Athens) project expected online early FY2028 and OI-accretive in FY2028 with ramp; management previously targets roughly $150 million of incremental operating income contribution by 2030. Management described FY2029 as higher than FY2027 and expects continued growth beyond FY2029, but no specific FY2029 numeric operating income was disclosed on the call.
Risks flagged
Customer caution in the structural aerospace submarket and dependency on Boeing and Airbus build-rate recoveries. Complexity and execution risk on the brownfield expansion project. Potential exposure from long-term agreement (LTA) terms entered pre-COVID (a small number remain). Macro and program-specific timing uncertainties (e.g., aerospace OEM ramp timing) that could delay or moderate revenue and operating income growth. Leadership transition risk given the sudden passing of the prior CEO (though management stated Tony will remain as CEO indefinitely).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$3.23
est $3.03
+6.6%$851.0M
est $863.3M
−1.4%−2.1%
Apr 29, 2026$2.77
est $2.64
+4.9%$811.5M
est $797.0M
+1.8%0.0%
Jan 29, 2026$2.33
est $2.22
+5.0%$728.0M
est $690.9M
+5.4%−4.2%
Oct 23, 2025$2.43
est $2.13
+14.1%$733.7M
est $717.9M
+2.2%+28.4%
Jul 31, 2025$2.21
est $2.07
+6.8%$755.6M
est $792.5M
−4.7%−9.1%
Apr 24, 2025$1.88
est $1.74
+8.0%$727.0M
est $729.8M
−0.4%+4.3%
Jan 30, 2025$1.66
est $1.61
+3.1%$676.9M
est $723.8M
−6.5%−7.7%
Oct 24, 2024$1.73
est $1.58
+9.5%$717.6M
est $743.0M
−3.4%−0.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Carpenter Technology stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Carpenter Technology is $625.88, +62.4% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$625.88consensus 12-month target, +62.4% from the last close
Low $540High $700
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 4Wells FargoHold, maintained$540+40.2%
Aug 3KeyBancBuy, maintained$608+57.8%
Jul 31Deutsche Bank Buy, maintained$689+78.8%
Jul 31Deutsche Bank Buy, reiterated$689+78.8%
Jul 31SusquehannaBuy, maintained$600+55.7%
+6.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Carpenter Technology seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Carpenter Technology averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.1%2021+10.5%2022−7.0%2023+4.0%2024+32.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+14.3%3 of 5

For scale, CRS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.6%.

Carpenter Technology market cap and key statistics

Carpenter Technology’s market cap is $19.14B, with a P/E ratio of 37.6 and revenue of $3.12B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$19.14B
P/E ratio
37.6
Forward P/E
23.4
EPS, TTM
$10.66
Gekko Fair Value
$459.93

Trading

Volume
637,751
Avg volume, 20 days
866,680
52-week high
$625.99
52-week low
$233.78
Shares outstanding
49.56M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.12B
Profit margin
17%
Return on equity
25.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+46.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.26
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±8.6%
Dividend yield
0.20%

Carpenter Technology stock news this week

3 headlines about Carpenter Technology from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Carpenter Technology peers

Carpenter Technology’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SCCOSouthern Copper+2.9%Neutral35.2% above
FCXFreeport-McMoRan+3.2%Neutral11.3% above
CCJCameco+0.3%Accumulation2.5% below
TECKTeck Resources+1.7%Accumulation8.2% above
ATIATI−1.1%Accumulation9.0% below
HBMHudbay Minerals+5.7%Neutral3.4% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Carpenter Technology stock FAQ

What is Carpenter Technology’s market cap?

Carpenter Technology’s market cap is $19.14B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $385.30, with 49.56M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 37.6.

What is the Carpenter Technology stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Carpenter Technology is $625.88, +62.4% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Carpenter Technology stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Carpenter Technology is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $385.30 is 16.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $459.93. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Carpenter Technology report earnings next?

Carpenter Technology is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.04 per share on revenue of $828.7M. Carpenter Technology beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.

What is Carpenter Technology’s 52-week high and low?

Carpenter Technology’s 52-week high is $625.99 and its 52-week low is $233.78; it closed at $385.30 on Sep 28, 2026, +65.8% over the past year.

Is Carpenter Technology stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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