NYSE: ATI

ATI (ATI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$179.09−1.24 (−0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

ATI reported third-quarter 2026 results that beat estimates, with sales of $1.42 billion, up 26% year-over-year, and adjusted earnings per share reported as $1.46 in one summary and $1.37 in another, driven by a 39% rise in jet-engine revenue and broad aerospace, defense and specialty-energy demand. The company raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance by $35 million to $1.195 billion, for the third time this year, and repurchased $70 million in shares. BTIG maintained its Buy rating on ATI and raised its price target to $250.

The stock closed at $179.09, down 0.7%, sitting between its 50-day average of $188.51 and its 200-day average of $174.16. The GekkoIndex reads 59.5, placing ATI in the Neutral zone, down 9.6 over five readings. Gekko Fair Value stands at $185.43, putting the current price 3.4% below that level.

The next earnings date is 2 February 2027, 89 days away, outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, though one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.7% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Across 7 covering firms, the consensus rating is Buy, with a consensus target of $247.22, representing 38% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

ATI price vs fair value

$185.43$179.09Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $179.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $185.43

ATI quick facts

Market cap
$24.32B
P/E ratio
43.6
Forward P/E
25.9
EPS, TTM
$4.00
Revenue, TTM
$5.01B
Profit margin
11.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.07
Volume
2.00M avg 1.71M
1-year return
+81.6%
Typical daily move
±6.7%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
50-day average
$188.51
200-day average
$174.16
Next earnings
Feb 2 before open
Shares outstanding
135.8M
52-week range
$93.11$243.57

ATI swing-trade checklist

ATI scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $179.09 sits between the 50-day ($188.51) and 200-day ($174.16) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.5, Neutral

    Reading 59.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.4% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.4% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 89 days

    Next report Feb 2, 2027, 89 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

ATI stock chart and price history

ATI closed at $179.09 on Nov 4, 2026, +81.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $93.11 to $243.57.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
ATI share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$150$200DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct179.09

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.0%
3 months
−19.8%
6 months
+8.5%
1 year
+81.6%
The full ATI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ATI in Gekko

Follow ATI through every session

Put ATI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About ATI

ATI produces specialty metals and engineered components for industries that need materials able to withstand extreme conditions. Its output includes titanium, nickel- and cobalt-based superalloys, and powdered alloys, shaped into ingots, bars, wire, tubing, forgings, and machined parts. The company is also recognized for zirconium-based materials, including hafnium and niobium, along with rolled plate, sheet, and strip products.

Operations are split into two segments. One, High Performance Materials & Components, supplies advanced alloys and finished parts to aerospace, defense, medical, and energy customers. The other, Advanced Alloys & Solutions, makes zirconium, nickel, and titanium alloy products and offers hot-rolling conversion work for carbon steel and titanium, with customers in energy, aerospace and defense, automotive, and electronics.

The company was previously called Allegheny Technologies Incorporated and dates back to 1960. It is based in Dallas, Texas, and its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker ATI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Other metals/Minerals
Website
atimaterials.com

ATI GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

ATI’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.5, in the Neutral zone, down 9.6 points over five sessions.

010059.5Neutral

Down 9.6 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+3.8%+5.2%+9.9%+24.9%
Accumulation166+0.4%+2.0%+7.9%+20.0%
Neutral (current zone)386+1.1%+2.7%+4.4%+11.7%
Distribution107+1.7%+1.7%+3.3%+8.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average ATI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ATI price, zone by zone.Track ATI in Gekko

Is ATI stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

ATI trades 3.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $185.43, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what ATI shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$185.43

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

3.4% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$185$180Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ATI in Gekko

ATI insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ATI, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ATI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ATI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ATI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ATI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ATI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ATI in Gekko

Buybacks

ATI has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$500.0M, Feb 19, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Sep 27, 2026
$70.00M
As a share of market cap
0.29%
Trailing four quarters
$261.6M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ATI.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

ATI earnings: next date and track record

ATI reports on Feb 2, 2027, before the open (89 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.9%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−14.3%Oct ’24+13.6%Feb ’25+22.4%May ’25−18.6%Jul ’25+12.3%Oct ’25+4.7%Feb ’26+6.2%Apr ’26+11.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
ATI reported Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $284 million, up 37% year-over-year and $29 million above guidance high-end, marking the strongest quarterly EBITDA since 2007. Revenue grew 11% YoY to $1.3 billion with EBITDA margins expanding 440 bps to 22.6%. Record backlog reached $4.4 billion, up 18% YoY. AA&S segment EBITDA margins improved to ~22% from 14%, driven by aerospace/defense mix shift and hafnium/zirconium pricing strength.
Guidance
ATI raised full-year 2026 outlook based on strong first-half performance. Free cash flow of $143 million in H1 is expected to accelerate in H2, targeting positive free cash flow every quarter of 2026. HPMC expected to deliver sequentially stronger H2 performance.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$1.23
est $1.03
+19.4%$1.26B
est $1.22B
+3.7%+11.1%
Apr 30, 2026$1.00
est $0.88
+13.6%$1.15B
est $1.19B
−3.0%+6.2%
Feb 3, 2026$0.93
est $0.86
+8.1%$1.18B
est $1.19B
−0.8%+4.7%
Oct 28, 2025$0.85
est $0.74
+14.9%$1.13B
est $1.12B
+0.2%+12.3%
Jul 31, 2025$0.74
est $0.71
+4.2%$1.14B
est $1.14B
−0.2%−18.6%
May 1, 2025$0.67
est $0.58
+15.5%$1.14B
est $1.14B
+0.2%+22.4%
Feb 4, 2025$0.79
est $0.59
+33.9%$1.17B
est $1.06B
+10.2%+13.6%
Oct 29, 2024$0.60
est $0.67
−10.4%$1.05B
est $1.11B
−5.3%−14.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

ATI stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ATI is $247.22, +38.0% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$247.22consensus 12-month target, +38.0% from the last close
Low $210High $265
Buy7
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Wells FargoBuy, maintained$240+34.0%
Oct 30KeyBancBuy, maintained$228+27.3%
Oct 30BTIGBuy, maintained$250+39.6%
Oct 8KeyBancBuy, maintained$228+27.3%
Oct 7SusquehannaBuy, maintained$265+48.0%
+4.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

ATI seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, ATI averaged +1.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−12.4%2021+5.2%2022−5.1%2023+11.6%2024+2.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.0%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.9%3 of 5

For scale, ATI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8%.

ATI market cap and key statistics

ATI’s market cap is $24.32B, with a P/E ratio of 43.6 and revenue of $5.01B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$24.32B
P/E ratio
43.6
Forward P/E
25.9
EPS, TTM
$4.00
Gekko Fair Value
$185.43

Trading

Volume
2.00M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.71M
52-week high
$243.57
52-week low
$93.11
Shares outstanding
135.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.01B
Profit margin
11.1%
Return on equity
28.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+75.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.07
Typical daily move
±6.7%
Typical 20-day move
±8%

ATI stock news this week

Coverage of ATI this week reads positive: 10 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

ATI peers

ATI’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SCCOSouthern Copper−1.3%Accumulation21.1% above
FCXFreeport-McMoRan−1.4%Accumulation7.4% below
CCJCameco−1.6%Buying11.9% below
TECKTeck Resources+2.1%Neutral0.1% above
CRSCarpenter Technology−1.6%Accumulation18.8% below
HBMHudbay Minerals−0.2%Accumulation10.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Other metals/Minerals

ATI stock FAQ

What is ATI’s market cap?

ATI’s market cap is $24.32B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $179.09, with 135.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 43.6.

What is the ATI stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ATI is $247.22, +38.0% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is ATI stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate ATI is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $179.09 is 3.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $185.43. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does ATI report earnings next?

ATI is expected to report on Feb 2, 2027, before the market opens (89 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.54 per share on revenue of $1.44B. ATI beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.9% on average across the report.

What is ATI’s 52-week high and low?

ATI’s 52-week high is $243.57 and its 52-week low is $93.11; it closed at $179.09 on Nov 4, 2026, +81.6% over the past year.

Is ATI stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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