Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ATI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ATI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ATI in Gekko
NYSE: ATI
ATI (ATI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$191.63+7.99 (+4.4%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryATI closes at $191.63, up 4.4% on the day, with price sitting between the 50-day average of $203.00 and the 200-day average of $162.83. The GekkoIndex reads 66.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 2.9 over the last five readings. Gekko Fair Value stands at $199.22, putting the current price 3.8% below that level.
This week's coverage centers on ATI's aerospace and defense momentum alongside insider selling. Shares are highlighted as up 64% year-to-date, attributed to aerospace and defense demand, strong production rates, and a record backlog of $4.4 billion. Separately, an officer sold 100,000 shares for $3.19 million at an average price of $31.91, and Senior VP Timothy J. Harris disposed of 16,500 shares at $193.06 each, reducing his holdings by about 14.5% to 97,187 shares; a related Rule 144 filing for the same 16,500-share, $3.19 million sale was also noted. CEO Kim Fields presented at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference on 17 September, discussing aerospace opportunities and ATI's specialized materials capabilities.
Looking ahead, ATI's next earnings report is set for 27 October, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 6 August showed EPS of $1.23 against a $1.03 estimate, with a 11.1% reaction, part of a streak of 7 beats in the last 8 quarters. Six analysts covering the stock all rate it buy, with a consensus target of $259.89. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -4.3% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a factor worth noting given the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $191.63200-day averageGekko Fair Value $199.22
Key stats
- Market cap
- $26.15B
- P/E ratio
- 55.5
- Forward P/E
- 29.7
- EPS, TTM
- $3.31
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.72B
- Profit margin
- 10.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.01
- Volume
- 4.03M avg 2.07M
- 1-year return
- +144.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.9%
- 50-day average
- $203.00
- 200-day average
- $162.83
- Next earnings
- Oct 27 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 136.2M
ATI swing-trade checklist
ATI scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $191.63 sits between the 50-day ($203.00) and 200-day ($162.83) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.6, Accumulation
Reading 66.6 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.8% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.8% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−4.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
ATI stock chart and price history
ATI closed at $191.63 on Sep 18, 2026, +144.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $75.02 to $243.57.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −11.3%
- 3 months
- −4.8%
- 6 months
- +29.9%
- 1 year
- +144.3%
The full ATI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ATI in Gekko
Follow ATI through every session
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About ATI
ATI produces specialty metals and engineered components for industries that need materials able to withstand extreme conditions. Its output includes titanium, nickel- and cobalt-based superalloys, and powdered alloys, shaped into ingots, bars, wire, tubing, forgings, and machined parts. The company is also recognized for zirconium-based materials, including hafnium and niobium, along with rolled plate, sheet, and strip products.
Operations are split into two segments. One, High Performance Materials & Components, supplies advanced alloys and finished parts to aerospace, defense, medical, and energy customers. The other, Advanced Alloys & Solutions, makes zirconium, nickel, and titanium alloy products and offers hot-rolling conversion work for carbon steel and titanium, with customers in energy, aerospace and defense, automotive, and electronics.
The company was previously called Allegheny Technologies Incorporated and dates back to 1960. It is based in Dallas, Texas, and its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker ATI.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Industry
- Other metals/Minerals
- Website
- atimaterials.com
ATI GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
ATI’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.9 points over five sessions.
66.6Accumulation
Up 2.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 35 | +3.7% | +9.9% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 136 | +1.2% | +10.4% | ||
| Neutral | 383 | +1.2% | +5.0% | ||
| Distribution | 107 | +1.7% | +3.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ATI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ATI price, zone by zone.Track ATI in Gekko
Is ATI stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
ATI trades 3.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $199.22, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what ATI shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$199.22
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
3.8% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ATI in Gekko
ATI insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ATI, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ATI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ATI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ATI in Gekko
Buybacks
ATI has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $500.0M, Feb 19, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 28, 2026
- $31.10M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.12%
- Trailing four quarters
- $341.8M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ATI.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
ATI earnings: next date and track record
ATI reports on Oct 27, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
Expected before the open, 37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.35
- Revenue estimate
- $1.32B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.9%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ATI reported Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $284 million, up 37% year-over-year and $29 million above guidance high-end, marking the strongest quarterly EBITDA since 2007. Revenue grew 11% YoY to $1.3 billion with EBITDA margins expanding 440 bps to 22.6%. Record backlog reached $4.4 billion, up 18% YoY. AA&S segment EBITDA margins improved to ~22% from 14%, driven by aerospace/defense mix shift and hafnium/zirconium pricing strength.
- Guidance
- ATI raised full-year 2026 outlook based on strong first-half performance. Free cash flow of $143 million in H1 is expected to accelerate in H2, targeting positive free cash flow every quarter of 2026. HPMC expected to deliver sequentially stronger H2 performance.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $1.23 est $1.03 | $1.26B est $1.22B | +11.1% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $1.00 est $0.88 | $1.15B est $1.19B | +6.2% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.93 est $0.86 | $1.18B est $1.19B | +4.7% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.85 est $0.74 | $1.13B est $1.12B | +12.3% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.74 est $0.71 | $1.14B est $1.14B | −18.6% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.67 est $0.58 | $1.14B est $1.14B | +22.4% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $0.79 est $0.59 | $1.17B est $1.06B | +13.6% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $0.60 est $0.67 | $1.05B est $1.11B | −14.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
ATI stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ATI is $259.89, +35.6% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$259.89consensus 12-month target, +35.6% from the last close
Now $191.63Avg $259.89
Low $210High $275
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | KeyBanc | $258 | +34.6% |
| Aug 10 | J.P. Morgan | $260 | +35.7% |
| Aug 10 | Deutsche Bank | $262 | +36.7% |
| Aug 7 | Wells Fargo | $275 | +43.5% |
| Aug 7 | Susquehanna | $265 | +38.3% |
+10.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
ATI seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, ATI averaged −4.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −4.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.7% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, ATI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.9%.
ATI market cap and key statistics
ATI’s market cap is $26.15B, with a P/E ratio of 55.5 and revenue of $4.72B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $26.15B
- P/E ratio
- 55.5
- Forward P/E
- 29.7
- EPS, TTM
- $3.31
- Gekko Fair Value
- $199.22
Trading
- Volume
- 4.03M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.07M
- 52-week high
- $243.57
- 52-week low
- $75.02
- Shares outstanding
- 136.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.72B
- Profit margin
- 10.1%
- Return on equity
- 25.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +55.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.01
- Typical daily move
- ±4.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.9%
ATI stock news this week
Coverage of ATI this week reads negative: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 5 negative headlines.
- (ATI) Volatility Zones as Tactical TriggersStock Traders Daily, Sep 18
- ATI Inc(ATI.US) Officer Sells US$3.19 Million in Common StockMoomoo, Sep 17
- Senior VP Harris Timothy J Disposes 16,500 Shares of ATI INC at $193.06 EachKalkine Media, Sep 17
- ATI Inc. (ATI) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference TranscriptSeeking Alpha, Sep 17
- Zacks Industry Outlook HEICO, ATI and AARZacks Investment Research, Sep 17
- ATI Shares Surge 64% YTD: What's Driving the Momentum?TradingView, Sep 15
ATI peers
ATI’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SCCOSouthern Copper | Accumulation | 32.8% above |
| FCXFreeport-McMoRan | Accumulation | 12.2% above |
| CCJCameco | Accumulation | 1.2% above |
| TECKTeck Resources | Neutral | 9.4% above |
| CRSCarpenter Technology | Buying | 12.9% below |
| HBMHudbay Minerals | Neutral | 5.0% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
ATI stock FAQ
What is ATI’s market cap?
ATI’s market cap is $26.15B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $191.63, with 136.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 55.5.
What is the ATI stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ATI is $259.89, +35.6% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is ATI stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate ATI is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $191.63 is 3.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $199.22. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does ATI report earnings next?
ATI is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.35 per share on revenue of $1.32B. ATI beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.9% on average across the report.
What is ATI’s 52-week high and low?
ATI’s 52-week high is $243.57 and its 52-week low is $75.02; it closed at $191.63 on Sep 18, 2026, +144.3% over the past year.
Is ATI stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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