Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NEXA in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NEXA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NEXA in Gekko
NYSE: NEXA
Nexa Resources (NEXA) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$12.88−0.32 (−2.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeNexa Resources shares pulled back this week even as Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to Overweight from Equalweight, lifting its price target to $14.20 from $13.50 on what it called compelling valuation, a tender offer by Boliden, and a favorable zinc price outlook amid a reported 5% rise in zinc and copper prices. Coverage noted shares had risen about 1.9% on the day of the upgrade, with commentary framing NEXA as undervalued relative to analyst fair-value estimates near $15, even after a pullback of roughly 9% over the past month and 6% over three months against a strong one-year return exceeding 100%.
As of 12 October, NEXA closes at $12.88, down 2.4%, sitting between its 50-day average of $13.46 and its 200-day average of $12.87. The GekkoIndex reads 59, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 3.3 over the last five readings. Gekko Fair Value stands at $22.59, putting the current price 43% below that level.
Nexa next reports earnings on 29 October 2026, 16 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report on 5 August showed EPS of $0.64 against a $0.71 estimate, with a 5.9% reaction, and it has beaten estimates in 4 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 20-day return of -3.9% over 5 years, higher in 2 of those years. The consensus target sits at $14.84, implying 15.2% upside, with ratings split across 1 buy, 3 hold and 1 sell among 5 firms. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Nexa Resources price vs fair value
Close $12.88200-day averageGekko Fair Value $22.59
Nexa Resources quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.71B
- P/E ratio
- 6.2
- Forward P/E
- 3.5
- EPS, TTM
- $2.09
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.46B
- Profit margin
- 8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Beta
- 0.92
- Volume
- 637,524 avg 641,921
- 1-year return
- +141.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.7%
- 50-day average
- $13.46
- 200-day average
- $12.87
- Next earnings
- Oct 29
- Shares outstanding
- 132.4M
Nexa Resources swing-trade checklist
Nexa Resources scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $12.88 sits between the 50-day ($13.46) and 200-day ($12.87) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
59, Neutral
Reading 59 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
43.0% below
Price is 43% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 17 days
Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−3.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.9% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Nexa Resources stock chart and price history
Nexa Resources closed at $12.88 on Oct 12, 2026, +141.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.05 to $16.89.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −3.2%
- 3 months
- −11.3%
- 6 months
- +6.5%
- 1 year
- +141.7%
The full NEXA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NEXA in Gekko
Follow Nexa Resources through every session
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About Nexa Resources
Nexa Resources mines and processes zinc on a worldwide basis, turning out metallic zinc along with zamac, gold, sulfuric acid and zinc oxide. Alongside these main products, its operations yield a range of by-products including silver concentrate, copper cement, copper sulfate, and lead and lead-silver concentrates. The company is most closely tied to its zinc output and the metallurgical materials that come from the same mining and refining process.
Its work is split into two parts, mining and smelting, each covering a stage of turning ore into finished metal and related materials. Production runs through three polymetallic mines in Peru and two in Brazil, feeding a smelting network made up of one zinc smelter in Peru and two more in Brazil. Nexa Resources operates as part of Votorantim S.A., which holds it as a subsidiary.
The company traces back to 1956 and was known as VM Holding S.A. before taking the Nexa Resources name in September 2017. It is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker NEXA.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Industry
- Other metals/Minerals
- Website
- nexaresources.com
Nexa Resources GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Nexa Resources’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59, in the Neutral zone, down 3.3 points over five sessions.
59Neutral
Down 3.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 16 | +3.4% | +1.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 206 | +0.8% | +3.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 421 | +0.8% | +2.3% | ||
| Distribution | 36 | −0.3% | +7.2% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NEXA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NEXA price, zone by zone.Track NEXA in Gekko
Is Nexa Resources stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Nexa Resources trades 43.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $22.59, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Nexa Resources shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$22.59
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
43.0% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.4% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NEXA in Gekko
Nexa Resources insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nexa Resources, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NEXA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NEXA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NEXA in Gekko
Buybacks
Nexa Resources has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2023
- $24.73M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.45%
From company filings.
Nexa Resources earnings: next date and track record
Nexa Resources reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
17 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.65
- Revenue estimate
- $939.3M
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.64 est $0.71 | $907.9M est $906.5M | +5.9% |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.67 est $0.59 | $888.3M est $885.9M | −12.9% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $0.60 est $0.45 | $903.0M est $838.6M | +12.3% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | −$0.03 est $0.11 | $751.6M est $760.3M | +4.3% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.11 est −$0.05 | $708.4M est $625.2M | −1.5% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $0.16 est $0.09 | $627.1M est $585.7M | −2.7% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | −$1.00 est $0.20 | $740.9M est $731.8M | +1.1% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.09 est $0.12 | $709.5M est $701.1M | +1.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Nexa Resources stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nexa Resources is $14.84, +15.2% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$14.84consensus 12-month target, +15.2% from the last close
Now $12.88Avg $14.84
Low $14High $16
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | Morgan Stanley | $14.20 | +10.2% |
| Aug 28 | Scotiabank | $15 | +16.5% |
| Aug 16 | Bank of America Securities | $14 | +8.7% |
| Aug 10 | RBC Capital | $16 | +24.2% |
| Aug 7 | Scotiabank | $14 | +8.7% |
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−3.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Nexa Resources seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Nexa Resources averaged −3.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +7.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +8.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −3.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.5% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, NEXA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.7%.
Nexa Resources market cap and key statistics
Nexa Resources’s market cap is $1.71B, with a P/E ratio of 6.2 and revenue of $3.46B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.71B
- P/E ratio
- 6.2
- Forward P/E
- 3.5
- EPS, TTM
- $2.09
- Gekko Fair Value
- $22.59
Trading
- Volume
- 637,524
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 641,921
- 52-week high
- $16.89
- 52-week low
- $5.05
- Shares outstanding
- 132.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.46B
- Profit margin
- 8%
- Return on equity
- 29.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +6,235.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.92
- Typical daily move
- ±3.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.7%
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
Nexa Resources stock news this week
Coverage of Nexa Resources this week reads positive: 4 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Nexa Resources (NEXA) Pulls Back As Investors Ask If The Rebound Still Leaves ValueSimply Wall Street, Oct 8
- Morgan Stanley Upgrades Nexa Resources to Overweight From Equalweight, Price Target is $14.20Yahoo Finance, Oct 8
- Nexa Resources raised at Morgan Stanley on compelling valuation, Boliden tender offer (NEXA:NYSE)Seeking Alpha, Oct 7
- Morgan Stanley upgrades Nexa Resources stock rating on zinc price outlookInvesting.com, Oct 7
- (NEXA) Price Dynamics and Execution-Aware PositioningStock Traders Daily, Oct 7
- Nexa Resources Shares Rise After Morgan Stanley UpgradeYahoo Finance, Oct 7
Nexa Resources peers
Nexa Resources’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SCCOSouthern Copper | Neutral | 36.1% above |
| FCXFreeport-McMoRan | Neutral | 9.1% above |
| CCJCameco | Accumulation | 3.4% below |
| TECKTeck Resources | Neutral | 8.8% above |
| ATIATI | Accumulation | 4.6% below |
| CRSCarpenter Technology | Accumulation | 15.4% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Nexa Resources stock FAQ
What is Nexa Resources’s market cap?
Nexa Resources’s market cap is $1.71B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.88, with 132.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.2.
What is the Nexa Resources stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nexa Resources is $14.84, +15.2% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Nexa Resources stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Nexa Resources is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.88 is 43.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $22.59. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Nexa Resources report earnings next?
Nexa Resources is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.65 per share on revenue of $939.3M. Nexa Resources beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.3% on average across the report.
What is Nexa Resources’s 52-week high and low?
Nexa Resources’s 52-week high is $16.89 and its 52-week low is $5.05; it closed at $12.88 on Oct 12, 2026, +141.7% over the past year.
Is Nexa Resources stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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