Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RIO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every RIO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RIO in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeRio Tinto's week is dominated by lithium and energy-supply moves in its portfolio. The company officially opened its $1.4 billion lithium projects in Argentina, following earlier commentary from chief executive Simon Trott that a further lithium plant in the country is being assessed, requiring about $1 billion in additional investment. Separately, Rio Tinto secured a power agreement with Tasmanian and Australian authorities and Hydro Tasmania to keep the Bell Bay Aluminium plant, which employs about 550 full-time staff, running through the end of 2031. Commentary elsewhere pointed to iron ore and broader commodity weakness tied to demand concerns in China, alongside a 27% rise in Oyu Tolgoi copper output offsetting softer results at Escondida and disruptions at Kennecott.
Shares closed at $84.56, up 3.6% on the day, but remain below both the 50-day average of $94.02 and the 200-day average of $96.36, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Over the past month the stock is down 11.8%, and over three and six months it is down 15.1% and 19.9% respectively, while the one-year return stands at 20.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 67.7, placing RIO in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 31.3% below the Gekko Fair Value of $123.02.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 24 February 2027, 111 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a 1.9% reaction following an EPS beat of $4.21 versus $4.09 estimated. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.2% gain over 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. Analyst views remain split, with consensus target at $102.71 against four firms covering the stock.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Rio Tinto price vs fair value
Close $84.56200-day averageGekko Fair Value $123.02
Rio Tinto quick facts
- Market cap
- $137.5B
- P/E ratio
- 11.2
- Forward P/E
- 10.1
- EPS, TTM
- $7.38
- Revenue, TTM
- $61.79B
- Profit margin
- 19.6%
- Dividend yield
- 5.68%
- Beta
- 0.70
- Volume
- 2.69M avg 2.84M
- 1-year return
- +20.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.8%
- 50-day average
- $94.02
- 200-day average
- $96.36
- Next earnings
- Feb 24
- Shares outstanding
- 1.25B
Rio Tinto swing-trade checklist
Rio Tinto scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $84.56 is below the 50-day ($94.02) and 200-day ($96.36) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
67.7, Accumulation
Reading 67.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
31.3% below
Price is 31.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 111 days
Next report Feb 24, 2027, 111 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Rio Tinto stock chart and price history
Rio Tinto closed at $84.56 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $67.74 to $112.58.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −11.8%
- 3 months
- −15.1%
- 6 months
- −19.9%
- 1 year
- +20.2%
The full RIO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RIO in Gekko
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About Rio Tinto
Rio Tinto searches for, extracts, and processes mineral resources on a global scale. Its work spans iron ore, aluminium and lithium, and copper, and it is widely recognized for its scale in mining raw materials that feed into industries such as construction, transport, and electronics.
The business is structured around three segments. The Iron Ore division mines iron ore and produces salt and gypsum in Western Australia. The Aluminium and lithium division handles bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminium smelting and recycling, along with lithium mining and processing. The Copper division mines and refines copper together with gold, silver, molybdenum, and related by-products, and also carries out exploration work. Across these segments, the company runs open pit and underground mines as well as refineries, smelters, processing plants, power facilities, and shipping operations.
Rio Tinto was established in 1873 and has its headquarters in London, United Kingdom. Its shares trade under the ticker RIO.
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Website
- riotinto.com
Rio Tinto GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Rio Tinto’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.1 points over five sessions.
67.7Accumulation
Down 2.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 19 | +2.3% | +6.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 201 | +0.1% | +1.7% | ||
| Neutral | 401 | +0.3% | +0.8% | ||
| Distribution | 29 | −0.4% | +2.7% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average RIO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RIO price, zone by zone.Track RIO in Gekko
Is Rio Tinto stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Rio Tinto trades 31.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $123.02, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Rio Tinto shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$123.02
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
31.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RIO in Gekko
Rio Tinto insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Rio Tinto, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in RIO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for RIO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RIO in Gekko
Buybacks
Rio Tinto has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2020
- $3.73M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold RIO.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Rio Tinto earnings: next date and track record
Rio Tinto reports on Feb 24, 2027 (111 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 24, 2027
111 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.80
- Revenue estimate
- $31.91B
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Rio Tinto reported strong H1 2026 results with momentum building month-on-month across operations. Nearly 60% of EBITDA was delivered from copper, aluminum, and lithium segments. Key projects are tracking to plan: Simandou is over 75% complete, Oyu Tolgoi (OT) is achieving record production, and Rhodes Ridge study is progressing on track. Management emphasized operational efficiency improvements and world-class asset monetization.
- Guidance
- Management signaled continued focus on performance and shareholder returns through the cycle. Major growth projects including Simandou, OT ramp-up, and lithium initiatives are advancing, with several ahead of schedule, suggesting near-term production growth across key commodities.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $4.21 est $4.09 | $31.03B est $31.62B | +1.9% |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $3.73 est $3.71 | $30.77B est $30.19B | −1.9% |
| Oct 14, 2025 | $0.00 est $0.00 | — | +1.0% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $2.23 est $2.35 | $19.72B est $19.78B | −4.3% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $2.49 est $2.56 | $21.46B est $21.64B | +0.2% |
| Oct 15, 2024 | $3.56 est $3.49 | $26.80B est $27.04B | −2.6% |
| Jul 31, 2024 | $2.76 est $2.73 | $21.17B est $21.11B | −0.1% |
| May 14, 2024 | $0.00 est $0.00 | $27.16B est $27.88B | +0.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Rio Tinto stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Rio Tinto is $102.71, +21.5% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$102.71consensus 12-month target, +21.5% from the last close
Now $84.56Avg $102.71
Low $86.02High $90
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Bernstein | $86.50 | +2.3% |
| Oct 14 | RBC Capital | $86.02 | +1.7% |
| Sep 9 | Bernstein | $89.50 | +5.8% |
| Aug 27 | Erste Group | — | — |
| Aug 24 | Morgan Stanley | $90 | +6.4% |
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Rio Tinto seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Rio Tinto averaged +6.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +8.6% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, RIO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.
Rio Tinto market cap and key statistics
Rio Tinto’s market cap is $137.5B, with a P/E ratio of 11.2 and revenue of $61.79B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $137.5B
- P/E ratio
- 11.2
- Forward P/E
- 10.1
- EPS, TTM
- $7.38
- Gekko Fair Value
- $123.02
Trading
- Volume
- 2.69M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.84M
- 52-week high
- $112.58
- 52-week low
- $67.74
- Shares outstanding
- 1.25B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $61.79B
- Profit margin
- 19.6%
- Return on equity
- 19.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +46.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.70
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.8%
- Dividend yield
- 5.68%
Rio Tinto stock news this week
Coverage of Rio Tinto this week reads positive: 3 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Rio Tinto Opens $1.4B Lithium Projects in ArgentinaFuel Cells Works, Nov 3
- A power deal covers Rio Tinto (RIO)'s Bell Bay plant, home to about 550 full-time employees.Stock Titan, Nov 2
- REG - Rio Tinto - Issue of SharesTradingView, Nov 2
- REG - Rio Tinto - Appointment of Additional Rio Tinto Ltd SecretaryTradingView, Nov 2
- Rio Tinto: Commodity Risks Keep Us NeutralSeeking Alpha, Oct 31
- Rio Tinto: Good Price To Buy And Hold For A Strong 2027Seeking Alpha, Oct 31
Rio Tinto stock FAQ
What is Rio Tinto’s market cap?
Rio Tinto’s market cap is $137.5B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $84.56, with 1.25B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.2.
What is the Rio Tinto stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Rio Tinto is $102.71, +21.5% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Rio Tinto stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Rio Tinto is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $84.56 is 31.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $123.02. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Rio Tinto report earnings next?
Rio Tinto is expected to report on Feb 24, 2027 (111 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.80 per share on revenue of $31.91B. Rio Tinto beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.6% on average across the report.
What is Rio Tinto’s 52-week high and low?
Rio Tinto’s 52-week high is $112.58 and its 52-week low is $67.74; it closed at $84.56 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.2% over the past year.
Is Rio Tinto stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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