NYSE: LPX

Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$66.06−0.64 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Louisiana-Pacific has drawn attention this week after setting a new 52-week low of $64.49, with shares trading down further and closing recent sessions near $65.32 to $66.28. The company also expanded its SmartSide Trim & Siding lineup with a new product, even as the stock continued to show weakness. Coverage has highlighted a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from research firms, with a consensus target price cited at $93.67 in one report.

LPX closed at $66.06, down 1%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $70.95 and 200-day average of $77.11, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 62.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $64.4, putting the current price 2.6% above that level. One-year return stands at -20.8%, with the three-month return at -18%.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior quarter showed adjusted EPS of $0.40 against an estimate of $0.56, with a -1.2% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.6% return over 5 years, rising in 2 of those years. Analyst coverage shows 8 buy ratings, 0 hold, and 1 sell among 9 firms, with a consensus target of $92.07.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Louisiana-Pacific price vs fair value

$66.06$64.40Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $66.06200-day averageGekko Fair Value $64.40

Louisiana-Pacific quick facts

Market cap
$4.62B
P/E ratio
88.4
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
$0.75
Revenue, TTM
$2.47B
Profit margin
2.2%
Dividend yield
1.71%
Beta
1.59
Volume
1.03M avg 1.10M
1-year return
−20.8%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
50-day average
$70.95
200-day average
$77.11
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
69.92M
52-week range
$64.49$100.34

Louisiana-Pacific swing-trade checklist

Louisiana-Pacific scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $66.06 is below the 50-day ($70.95) and 200-day ($77.11) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.8, Accumulation

    Reading 62.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.6% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.6% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Louisiana-Pacific stock chart and price history

Louisiana-Pacific closed at $66.06 on Sep 28, 2026, −20.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $64.49 to $100.34.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Louisiana-Pacific share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$70$80$90$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep66.06

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.6%
3 months
−18.0%
6 months
−7.3%
1 year
−20.8%
The full LPX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LPX in Gekko

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About Louisiana-Pacific

Louisiana-Pacific makes and supplies building materials used in new home construction, renovation work, and outdoor structures. It is known for its siding lines, including LP SmartSide and LP SmartSide ExpertFinish trim and siding, LP BuilderSeries lap siding, and LP Outdoor Building Solutions, alongside engineered products for trim, soffits, and fascia.

The company runs four segments: Siding, Oriented Strand Board, Engineered Wood Products, and South America. The OSB segment produces structural panels such as LP TechShield radiant barriers, LP WeatherLogic barriers, LP Legacy and LP TopNotch sub-flooring, and LP FlameBlock sheathing. The Engineered Wood Products segment supplies laminated veneer lumber and LP SolidStart I-joists for flooring, roofing, and other structural uses. In South America, Louisiana-Pacific manufactures and distributes OSB panels and siding, manages timber holdings, and supports wood frame construction with related products. Customers include retailers, wholesalers, and firms in homebuilding and industrial trades, with sales reaching North America, South America, Asia, Australia, and Europe.

Louisiana-Pacific was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker LPX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Forest products
Website
lpcorp.com

Louisiana-Pacific GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Louisiana-Pacific’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.4 points over five sessions.

010062.8Accumulation

Down 4.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40+0.1%+0.8%+2.7%+4.1%
Accumulation (current zone)228+1.2%+2.2%+4.3%+3.0%
Neutral379−0.5%−0.9%−1.8%−1.3%
Distribution24+0.2%−1.2%−0.8%+5.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average LPX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LPX price, zone by zone.Track LPX in Gekko

Is Louisiana-Pacific stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Louisiana-Pacific trades 2.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $64.40, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Louisiana-Pacific shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$64.40

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

2.6% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LPX in Gekko

Louisiana-Pacific insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Louisiana-Pacific, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LPX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LPX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LPX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LPX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LPX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LPX in Gekko

Buybacks

Louisiana-Pacific has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2025
$61.00M
As a share of market cap
1.32%
Trailing four quarters
$260.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold LPX.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Louisiana-Pacific earnings: next date and track record

Louisiana-Pacific reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.9%Nov ’24−10.7%Feb ’25+2.5%May ’25−2.5%Aug ’25−9.5%Nov ’25−7.9%Feb ’26+8.2%May ’26−1.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
LPX reported Q2 2026 net sales of $664 million (down $90M YoY) and EBITDA of $79 million (down $63M YoY), with adjusted EPS of $0.40. Siding revenue grew 4% YoY with 26% EBITDA margins, while OSB declined due to soft demand. Weather disruptions and freight constraints created unexpected headwinds. SmartSide volume has grown at 10% CAGR since 2011 versus 6% for single-family starts, demonstrating consistent share gains.
Guidance
Management expects to recover some weather and freight headwind impacts later in 2026. Updated full-year guidance reflects normalized Primed SmartSide channel inventories and rebounding order intake. LP ended Q2 with nearly $1 billion in liquidity.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.40
est $0.56
−28.1%$664.0M
est $667.3M
−0.5%−1.2%
May 6, 2026$0.38
est $0.09
+322.2%$574.0M
est $570.0M
+0.7%+8.2%
Feb 17, 2026$0.03
est $0.00
+1,171.4%$567.0M
est $588.0M
−3.6%−7.9%
Nov 5, 2025$0.36
est $0.37
−2.7%$663.0M
est $593.8M
+11.7%−9.5%
Aug 6, 2025$0.99
est $0.97
+2.1%$755.0M
est $721.5M
+4.6%−2.5%
May 6, 2025$1.27
est $1.13
+12.4%$724.0M
est $776.4M
−6.8%+2.5%
Feb 19, 2025$1.03
est $0.79
+30.4%$681.0M
est $726.1M
−6.2%−10.7%
Nov 5, 2024$1.22
est $0.88
+38.6%$722.0M
est $647.0M
+11.6%+6.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Louisiana-Pacific stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Louisiana-Pacific is $92.07, +39.4% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$92.07consensus 12-month target, +39.4% from the last close
Low $74High $107
Buy8
Hold0
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 2BarclaysBuy, maintained$92+39.3%
Sep 1D.A. DavidsonBuy, maintained$99+49.9%
Aug 6TD CowenBuy, maintained$90+36.2%
Aug 6Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$100+51.4%
Aug 6D.A. DavidsonBuy, maintained$103+55.9%
+4.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Louisiana-Pacific seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Louisiana-Pacific averaged +0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.2%2021+13.9%2022−8.7%2023−4.9%2024+8.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.0%4 of 5

For scale, LPX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.

Louisiana-Pacific market cap and key statistics

Louisiana-Pacific’s market cap is $4.62B, with a P/E ratio of 88.4 and revenue of $2.47B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.62B
P/E ratio
88.4
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
$0.75
Gekko Fair Value
$64.40

Trading

Volume
1.03M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.10M
52-week high
$100.34
52-week low
$64.49
Shares outstanding
69.92M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.47B
Profit margin
2.2%
Return on equity
3.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−51.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.59
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
Dividend yield
1.71%

Louisiana-Pacific peers

Louisiana-Pacific’s 4 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WFGWest Fraser Timber+0.8%Neutral0.0% above
TREXTrex−0.3%Neutral1.5% above
UFPIUFP Industries+1.3%Accumulation8.2% below
JELDJELD-WEN−2.2%Accumulation5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Louisiana-Pacific stock FAQ

What is Louisiana-Pacific’s market cap?

Louisiana-Pacific’s market cap is $4.62B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $66.06, with 69.92M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 88.4.

What is the Louisiana-Pacific stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Louisiana-Pacific is $92.07, +39.4% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Louisiana-Pacific stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Louisiana-Pacific is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $66.06 is 2.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $64.40. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Louisiana-Pacific report earnings next?

Louisiana-Pacific is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.22 per share on revenue of $672.1M. Louisiana-Pacific beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.2% on average across the report.

What is Louisiana-Pacific’s 52-week high and low?

Louisiana-Pacific’s 52-week high is $100.34 and its 52-week low is $64.49; it closed at $66.06 on Sep 28, 2026, −20.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $122.87 on Nov 25, 2024.

Is Louisiana-Pacific stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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