NYSE: EXP

Eagle Materials (EXP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$175.87−2.62 (−1.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Eagle Materials draws a neutral market overview this week, with coverage noting its position in cement, concrete, gypsum wallboard and aggregates within the US construction materials sector. No specific results, guidance, deal or regulatory news accompanies the update, and the stock's recent move reflects broader trading context rather than a distinct catalyst. Ten analysts covering the stock maintain hold ratings, with a consensus target of $220.50, representing 25.4% upside from current levels.

EXP closed at $175.87, down 1.5%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $198.50 and 200-day average of $208.33, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The stock trades within the Accumulation zone on the GekkoIndex, at a reading of 67.8. Price stands 7.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $189.38, a gap exceeding the 5% threshold typically considered notable.

Eagle Materials reports next on 29 October, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. One billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.6% gain over five years, rising in four of those instances. The prior earnings reaction was a decline of 6.5% following an EPS miss of $3.22 against a $3.32 estimate, with an average absolute reaction of 4.3% across recent quarters.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Eagle Materials price vs fair value

$189.38$175.87Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $175.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $189.38

Eagle Materials quick facts

Market cap
$5.39B
P/E ratio
14.1
Forward P/E
13.7
EPS, TTM
$12.69
Revenue, TTM
$2.32B
Profit margin
17.3%
Dividend yield
0.56%
Beta
1.37
Volume
431,053 avg 443,378
1-year return
−22.8%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
50-day average
$198.50
200-day average
$208.33
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
30.68M
52-week range
$171.99$245.53

Eagle Materials swing-trade checklist

Eagle Materials scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $175.87 is below the 50-day ($198.50) and 200-day ($208.33) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.8, Accumulation

    Reading 67.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.1% below

    Price is 7.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Eagle Materials stock chart and price history

Eagle Materials closed at $175.87 on Sep 28, 2026, −22.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $171.99 to $245.53.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Eagle Materials share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$220$240NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep175.87

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.0%
3 months
−22.7%
6 months
−3.5%
1 year
−22.8%
The full EXP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open EXP in Gekko

Follow Eagle Materials through every session

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About Eagle Materials

Eagle Materials produces and distributes building materials used in both large-scale construction and everyday residential projects, working through a network of subsidiaries located throughout the United States. It quarries limestone to turn into Portland cement, which it manufactures, ships, and sells, and it also grinds slag for distribution. Beyond cement, the company pulls gypsum from the ground to create gypsum wallboard, a material commonly applied to interior walls and ceilings in homes, offices, and industrial buildings. It rounds out its offerings with ready-mix concrete and aggregate materials like crushed stone, sand, and gravel, items used in everything from housing developments to highway building and upkeep.

The company runs its business across four segments: Cement, Concrete and Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard. Under the paperboard segment, it manufactures and sells recycled paperboard mainly to wallboard makers and other converters, in addition to offering containerboard and lightweight packaging materials.

Eagle Materials got its start back in 1963 under the name Centex Construction Products, Inc., later adopting its present name in January 2004. Its headquarters sit in Dallas, Texas, and its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker EXP.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Construction materials
Website
eaglematerials.com

Eagle Materials GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Eagle Materials’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.4 points over five sessions.

010067.8Accumulation

Down 2.4 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying72−0.9%+0.1%+2.5%+1.0%
Accumulation (current zone)179+1.0%+2.0%+3.1%+3.4%
Neutral389−0.4%−1.3%−2.6%−3.6%
Distribution23+0.7%+2.1%+5.4%+7.2%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average EXP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EXP price, zone by zone.Track EXP in Gekko

Is Eagle Materials stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Eagle Materials trades 7.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $189.38, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Eagle Materials shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$189.38

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

7.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EXP in Gekko

Eagle Materials insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Eagle Materials, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EXP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EXP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in EXP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for EXP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXP in Gekko

Buybacks

Eagle Materials has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$86.36M
As a share of market cap
1.60%
Trailing four quarters
$392.6M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds EXP.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Eagle Materials earnings: next date and track record

Eagle Materials reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.1%May ’24+9.5%Jul ’24−0.2%Oct ’24+1.7%Jan ’25−8.0%May ’25+0.6%Jul ’25−0.4%Oct ’25−6.5%Jan ’26

Last earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Eagle Materials' Q3 FY2026 earnings call describes continued solid performance in Heavy Materials (Cement, Concrete, Aggregates) with revenue of $556 million and EPS of $3.22, alongside softer Wallboard performance in a challenging residential housing backdrop. The management emphasizes a disciplined, cash-generating balance sheet, cost controls, and safety. They highlight broad-based demand across markets with infrastructure and nonresidential strength, modest price increases in cement to take effect in early 2026, ongoing large capex projects (Mountain Cement expansion and Duke plant), and a proactive capital allocation strategy (organic growth, M&A potential, and share repurchases). The company expects cement price realization to materialize across markets in calendar 2026, with volume momentum continuing, though some regions (e.g., Texas) face competitive pressures and imports. Wallboard pricing remains range-bound with some declines, but the company cites resilience supported by repair/remodel demand and hedging against natural gas costs for wallboard. Management notes winter weather as a factor but has prepared facilities for cold temps, and foresees timing-driven capex spending. The call ends with a closing remark reaffirming safety, operational excellence, and financial discipline while seeking growth opportunities.
Guidance
Forward-looking guidance includes: cement price increases across most markets in calendar 2026 with regional implementation timing (January to April), expectations of continued volume momentum into calendar 2026, two large organic projects underway with attractive returns, a disciplined balance sheet enabling potential M&A activity, and maintaining capital return through share repurchases. Capex guidance around $500 million in total (timing-driven). Wallboard margins expected to remain range-bound with potential upside if housing recovers; hedging program in place for natural gas, with winter spikes hedged around 50%+.
Risks flagged
Risks include a mixed construction environment and seasonality (winter weather) affecting demand; regional differences in demand and pricing, notably Texas, California, and the Far West; imports impacting Texas and near-coastal markets; raw material cost volatility; macroeconomic uncertainties; and execution risk on large capex projects.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 29, 2026$3.22
est $3.32
−3.0%$556.0M
est $553.7M
+0.4%−6.5%
Oct 23, 2025$4.23
est $4.35
−2.8%$638.9M
est $635.5M
+0.5%−0.4%
Jul 28, 2025$3.76
est $3.73
+0.8%$634.7M
est $630.0M
+0.7%+0.6%
May 19, 2025$2.08
est $2.43
−14.3%$470.2M
est $481.6M
−2.4%−8.0%
Jan 23, 2025$3.56
est $3.96
−10.1%——+1.7%
Oct 29, 2024$4.27
est $4.65
−8.2%$623.6M
est $651.5M
−4.3%−0.2%
Jul 30, 2024$3.94
est $3.56
+10.7%$608.7M
est $624.2M
−2.5%+9.5%
May 21, 2024$2.24
est $2.69
−16.7%$476.7M
est $482.3M
−1.2%−7.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Eagle Materials stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Eagle Materials is $220.50, +25.4% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$220.50consensus 12-month target, +25.4% from the last close
Low $196High $232
Buy0
Hold10
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14D.A. DavidsonHold, maintained$207+17.7%
Sep 9Wells FargoHold, downgraded$196+11.4%
Sep 2J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$225+27.9%
Aug 24D.A. DavidsonHold, initiated$220+25.1%
Aug 10CitiHold, maintained$232+31.9%
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Eagle Materials seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Eagle Materials averaged +2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.0%2021+11.5%2022−4.4%2023+1.8%2024+0.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.8%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.8%4 of 5

For scale, EXP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.

Eagle Materials market cap and key statistics

Eagle Materials’s market cap is $5.39B, with a P/E ratio of 14.1 and revenue of $2.32B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.39B
P/E ratio
14.1
Forward P/E
13.7
EPS, TTM
$12.69
Gekko Fair Value
$189.38

Trading

Volume
431,053
Avg volume, 20 days
443,378
52-week high
$245.53
52-week low
$171.99
Shares outstanding
30.68M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.32B
Profit margin
17.3%
Return on equity
27%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−12.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.37
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
Dividend yield
0.56%

Eagle Materials stock news this week

1 headline about Eagle Materials from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Eagle Materials peers

Eagle Materials’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CRHCRH+0.2%Accumulation29.9% below
VMCVulcan Materials+1.3%Accumulation7.2% below
MLMMartin Marietta Materials+2.0%Accumulation8.0% below
AMRZAmrize+0.1%Accumulation32.4% below
JHXJames Hardie Industries+0.4%Accumulation10.9% below
ACAArcosa0.0%Distribution25.0% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Eagle Materials stock FAQ

What is Eagle Materials’s market cap?

Eagle Materials’s market cap is $5.39B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $175.87, with 30.68M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.1.

What is the Eagle Materials stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Eagle Materials is $220.50, +25.4% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Eagle Materials stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Eagle Materials is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $175.87 is 7.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $189.38. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Eagle Materials report earnings next?

Eagle Materials is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.08 per share on revenue of $640.8M. Eagle Materials beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.

What is Eagle Materials’s 52-week high and low?

Eagle Materials’s 52-week high is $245.53 and its 52-week low is $171.99; it closed at $175.87 on Sep 28, 2026, −22.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $321.93 on Nov 25, 2024.

Is Eagle Materials stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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