NYSE: VMC

Vulcan Materials (VMC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$297.69+13.09 (+4.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Vulcan Materials rose 4.60% to $297.69 this week, outperforming the broader market, after Q3 2026 results showed revenue of $2.19 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $707 million, with a 32.3% adjusted EBITDA margin despite slight declines from the prior year. The company also set a dividend of $0.52 per share, payable 24 November with an ex-dividend date of 9 November, and highlighted a low payout ratio of 24% of income and 34% of free cash flow. Following the print, Stephens & Co. raised its price target to $315 from $285 while maintaining Overweight, Citigroup lifted its target to $326 from $300 on a Buy rating, and B. Riley Securities raised its target to $315 from $300, also on Buy.

VMC trades above both its 50-day average of $256.62 and 200-day average of $280.04, and sits 10.09% below its 52-week high. The GekkoIndex reading of 41.8 places the stock in the Distribution zone, and the price stands 11.2% above the Gekko Fair Value of $267.64.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 16 February 2027, outside that window. Smart-money activity over the past 90 days shows 1 Congressional buy and 0 sells. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 2.8% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus across 15 firms includes 10 buys, 4 holds and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $312.43.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Vulcan Materials price vs fair value

$297.69$267.64Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $297.69200-day averageGekko Fair Value $267.64

Vulcan Materials quick facts

Market cap
$38.21B
P/E ratio
34.2
Forward P/E
25.8
EPS, TTM
$8.45
Revenue, TTM
$8.01B
Profit margin
13.8%
Dividend yield
0.73%
Beta
0.99
Volume
1.78M avg 1.31M
1-year return
+3.2%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
50-day average
$256.62
200-day average
$280.04
Next earnings
Feb 16
Shares outstanding
128.3M
52-week range
$237.03$331.09

Vulcan Materials swing-trade checklist

Vulcan Materials scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $297.69 sits between the 50-day ($256.62) and 200-day ($280.04) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    41.8, Distribution

    Reading 41.8 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    11.2% above

    Price is 11.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 103 days

    Next report Feb 16, 2027, 103 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Vulcan Materials stock chart and price history

Vulcan Materials closed at $297.69 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $237.03 to $331.09.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Vulcan Materials share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$240$260$280$320DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct297.69

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+19.6%
3 months
+5.7%
6 months
+0.7%
1 year
+3.2%
The full VMC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VMC in Gekko

Follow Vulcan Materials through every session

Put VMC on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Vulcan Materials

Vulcan Materials produces and supplies construction aggregates such as crushed stone, sand, and gravel across the United States, along with related services. These materials are used in building and maintaining highways, public infrastructure, homes, and commercial and industrial structures, and this aggregates work forms the core of what the company is known for.

The business operates through four divisions. Beyond aggregates, its asphalt operations supply asphalt mixture and paving work to customers in a handful of states including Alabama, Arizona, California, New Mexico, Tennessee, and Texas. Its concrete division delivers ready-mixed concrete to customers spanning California, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia, and Washington D.C. A separate calcium division mines, manufactures, and markets calcium products used in animal feed, plastics, and water treatment.

Vulcan Materials was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker VMC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Construction materials
Website
vulcanmaterials.com

Vulcan Materials GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Vulcan Materials’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.8, in the Distribution zone, down 9.3 points over five sessions.

010041.8Distribution

Down 9.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40−0.3%+0.8%+4.9%+7.6%
Accumulation231+0.3%+0.9%+1.7%+2.2%
Neutral393+0.2%0.0%−0.6%−0.8%
Distribution (current zone)32+0.7%+1.4%+1.4%+0.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average VMC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VMC price, zone by zone.Track VMC in Gekko

Is Vulcan Materials stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Vulcan Materials trades 11.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $267.64, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Vulcan Materials shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$267.64

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

11.2% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$268$285Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VMC in Gekko

Vulcan Materials insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Vulcan Materials, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VMC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VMC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VMC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Vulcan Materials has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$350.0M
As a share of market cap
0.92%
Trailing four quarters
$1.15B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds VMC.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Vulcan Materials earnings: next date and track record

Vulcan Materials reports on Feb 16, 2027 (103 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.0%Feb ’25+7.5%Apr ’25+0.8%Jul ’25−1.9%Oct ’25−8.6%Feb ’26+3.5%Apr ’26−6.0%Jul ’26+6.1%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Vulcan Materials reported Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $707 million with 20 basis points of year-over-year margin expansion. Underlying business EBITDA grew 5% excluding ~$40M energy cost headwinds and prior divestitures. Aggregate shipments declined 3% year-over-year due to favorable prior-year weather comparisons, while mix-adjusted selling prices improved 5%. The company completed multiple bolt-on acquisitions in Texas, Tennessee, Colorado, and Ohio, with more expected before year-end.
Guidance
Management expects several more bolt-on acquisitions before year-end with a healthy pipeline. Public infrastructure demand remains supported by remaining IIJA funds (~35% unspent) and federal highway bill extension. Residential recovery timing remains unclear due to affordability and rate pressures.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026$2.83
est $2.81
+0.7%$2.18B
est $2.24B
−2.5%+6.1%
Jul 29, 2026$2.59
est $2.46
+5.3%$2.16B
est $2.14B
+0.7%−6.0%
Apr 29, 2026$1.35
est $1.23
+9.8%$1.76B
est $1.64B
+7.1%+3.5%
Feb 17, 2026$1.70
est $2.11
−19.4%$1.91B
est $1.96B
−2.3%−8.6%
Oct 30, 2025$2.84
est $2.65
+7.2%$2.28B
est $2.27B
+0.7%−1.9%
Jul 31, 2025$2.45
est $2.53
−3.2%$2.10B
est $2.20B
−4.6%+0.8%
Apr 30, 2025$1.00
est $0.76
+30.9%$1.63B
est $1.65B
−1.2%+7.5%
Feb 18, 2025$2.17
est $1.85
+17.3%$1.85B
est $1.81B
+2.3%−2.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Vulcan Materials stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Vulcan Materials is $312.43, +5.0% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$312.43consensus 12-month target, +5.0% from the last close
Low $253High $340
Buy10
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$311+4.5%
Nov 3BarclaysBuy, maintained$340+14.2%
Nov 2J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$320+7.5%
Nov 2B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, maintained$315+5.8%
Nov 2StephensBuy, reiterated$315+5.8%
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+2.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Vulcan Materials seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Vulcan Materials averaged +2.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.3%2021+5.2%2022+2.4%2023+6.6%2024+0.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.9%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.6%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.0%4 of 5

For scale, VMC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.

Vulcan Materials market cap and key statistics

Vulcan Materials’s market cap is $38.21B, with a P/E ratio of 34.2 and revenue of $8.01B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$38.21B
P/E ratio
34.2
Forward P/E
25.8
EPS, TTM
$8.45
Gekko Fair Value
$267.64

Trading

Volume
1.78M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.31M
52-week high
$331.09
52-week low
$237.03
Shares outstanding
128.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$8.01B
Profit margin
13.8%
Return on equity
12.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−0.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.99
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
Dividend yield
0.73%

Vulcan Materials peers

Vulcan Materials’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CRHCRH+2.6%Distribution16.5% above
MLMMartin Marietta Materials+3.1%Distribution2.9% above
AMRZAmrize+1.5%Distribution18.9% below
JHXJames Hardie Industries+4.6%Distribution8.2% above
ACAArcosa+0.2%Distribution25.1% above
EXPEagle Materials−0.7%Distribution10.6% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Construction materials

Vulcan Materials stock FAQ

What is Vulcan Materials’s market cap?

Vulcan Materials’s market cap is $38.21B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $297.69, with 128.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 34.2.

What is the Vulcan Materials stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Vulcan Materials is $312.43, +5.0% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Vulcan Materials stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Vulcan Materials is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $297.69 is 11.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $267.64. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Vulcan Materials report earnings next?

Vulcan Materials is expected to report on Feb 16, 2027 (103 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.06 per share on revenue of $1.94B. Vulcan Materials beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.

What is Vulcan Materials’s 52-week high and low?

Vulcan Materials’s 52-week high is $331.09 and its 52-week low is $237.03; it closed at $297.69 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.2% over the past year.

Is Vulcan Materials stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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